LEADER 2: baseline calcitonin in 9340 people with type 2 diabetes enrolled in the Liraglutide Effect and Action in Diabetes: Evaluation of cardiovascular outcome Results (LEADER) trial: preliminary observations.

AIMS: To report preliminary data on baseline serum calcitonin concentrations and associated clinical characteristics in a global population with type 2 diabetes before liraglutide or placebo randomization. METHODS: The ongoing LEADER trial has enrolled 9340 people with type 2 diabetes and at high risk of cardiovascular disease at 410 centres worldwide. People with baseline serum calcitonin ≤ 50 ng/l were randomized to liraglutide once daily or placebo and will be followed for up to 5 years. Serum calcitonin was measured at baseline and will be measured annually thereafter. An independent committee of thyroid experts will oversee calcitonin monitoring throughout the trial and will review all calcitonin concentrations ≥ 20 ng/l. RESULTS: The mean age of participants was 64.3 ± 7.2 years, 64.3% were men, and mean the body mass index was 32.5 ± 6.3 kg/m(2). The median (interquartile range) baseline serum calcitonin values were 3.9 (1.0 to >7.6) ng/l in men and 1.0 (1.0 to >1) ng/l in women. Serum calcitonin was >10 ng/l in 14.6% of men and in 0.96% of women. In sex-specific multivariable linear analysis of covariance models, a reduced glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was associated with higher serum calcitonin concentrations that were statistically significant. A 20 ml/min/1.73 m(2) decrease in estimated GFR (eGFR) was associated with a 14% increase in serum calcitonin in women and an 11% increase in men. CONCLUSIONS: In the LEADER population, the prevalence of elevated serum calcitonin concentrations at baseline was high, and there was an inverse association between eGFR and serum calcitonin concentrations.

Resting heart rate is associated with renal disease outcomes in patients with vascular disease: results of the ONTARGET and TRANSCEND studies.

BACKGROUND: Resting heart rate (RHR) is associated with cardiovascular disease outcomes in high-risk patients. It is not known whether RHR is predictive of renal outcomes such as albuminuria, end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or doubling of creatinine. We evaluated whether RHR could predict renal endpoints in patients at a high risk of cardiovascular disease. We also tested the effects of RHR at different levels of systolic blood pressure (SBP). METHODS: We analysed data from 28 757 patients in the ONTARGET and TRANSCEND trials. RHR and SBP were available for a mean of 4.9 ± 0.4 visits (range 3-5) within the first 2 years of the studies. Albuminuria was determined at baseline, at 2 years and at study end. RESULTS: Mean RHR was predictive of incident micro-albuminuria [hazard ratio (HR) for RHR ≥80 vs. <60 beats min(-1) 1.49, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.29-1.71, P < 0.0001], incident macro-albuminuria (HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.39-2.42, P < 0.0001), doubling of creatinine (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.00-2.17, P = 0.050) and ESRD (HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.00-3.16, P = 0.050), and the combined renal end-point (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.32-1.74, P < 0.0001). Associations were robust at SBPs from <120 to ≥150 mmHg, with the lowest risk at a SBP of 130-140 mmHg. CONCLUSION: Resting heart rate is a potent predictor of these renal outcomes, as well as their combination, in patients with cardiovascular disease. RHR at all SBP levels should be considered as a possible renal disease risk predictor and should be investigated as a treatment target with RHR-reducing agents.

Fewer dose changes with once-monthly C.E.R.A. in patients with chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Frequent dosing and requirements for dose adjustments of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) create significant burdens for healthcare providers and have been associated with hemoglobin (Hb) cycling, hampering maintenance of target Hb levels. We compared the frequency of dose changes in dialysis patients who received methoxy polyethylene glycolepoetin beta; (a continuous erythropoietin receptor activator (C.E.R.A.)) or a shorter-acting ESA. METHODS: Data were analyzed from three Phase III maintenance trials, using almost identical protocols, in dialysis patients treated with C.E.R.A. every 2 weeks (q2w) or every 4 weeks (q4w) or a comparator ESA (epoetin or darbepoetin alpha; at their previous dose/administration interval). Dosage was adjusted to maintain Hb ± 1 g/dl of baseline and 10 - 13.5 g/dl during titration (28 weeks) and evaluation (8 weeks), and 11 - 13 g/dl during follow-up (16 weeks). RESULTS: Data were analyzed from 564 patients treated with C.E.R.A. q2w, 410 with C.E.R.A. q4w and 572 with comparator ESA at their usual dosing interval. Significantly fewer dose changes were needed in patients receiving C.E.R.A. q2w (p < 0.05) or C.E.R.A. q4w (p < 0.001) than in patients treated with comparator ESAs. CONCLUSION: This retrospective analysis suggests that C.E.R.A. q4w maintains Hb levels in dialysis patients and requires fewer dose changes compared with other ESAs.

C.E.R.A. safety profile: a pooled analysis in patients with chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: C.E.R.A., a continuous erythropoietin receptor activator, is a long-acting erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA) that is approved for the treatment of renal anemia. This analysis evaluated the safety profile of C.E.R.A. in comparison to that of other ESAs in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS: Safety parameters were analyzed in a pooled population comprising all patients with CKD on dialysis and not on dialysis from the completed Phase II and Phase III studies in the C.E.R.A. clinical program (Phase II/III population); patients were treated with either C.E.R.A. (n = 1,789) or comparator ESA (n = 948). Differences between treatment groups in safety parameters were identified by either a 2% difference in incidence between groups, or a statistically significant difference between groups (p < or = 0.05 with the Fisher's exact test, which was used as a conservative screening tool). To assess changes in safety findings over time, long-term safety data were analyzed from patients who were given the option to enter long-term safety studies upon completing their initial Phase II/III study (safety extension population). RESULTS: Compared with the C.E.R.A. group, the incidence of adverse events (AEs) was higher in the comparator ESA group in the Phase II/III population (C.E.R.A. vs. comparator ESA, 89.5% vs. 91.8%, p = 0.067), and significantly so in the safety extension population (93.0% vs. 95.8%, p = 0.003). The incidence of serious AEs was significantly higher in the comparator ESA group than in the C.E.R.A. group in both analysis populations (Phase II/III population, 37.8% vs. 42.4%, p = 0.021; safety extension population, 53.3% vs. 59.7%, p = 0.001). However, there was no consistent pattern of clinical events that could explain these differences between the treatment groups. CONCLUSION: Analysis of safety events in patients with renal anemia receiving long-term treatment with C.E.R.A. shows a safety profile comparable to that of other ESAs.

The prognostic significance of bundle branch block in high-risk chronic stable vascular disease patients: a report from the HOPE trial.

OBJECTIVE: The prognostic significance of left and right bundle branch block (LBBB and RRBB) in patients with chronic stable cardiovascular (CV) disease is not well characterized and was evaluated in the Heart Outcomes Prevention Evaluation (HOPE) study cohort. DESIGN: Observational analysis of data prospectively collected in the HOPE trial. SETTING AND PATIENTS: HOPE was a multicenter, international trial, which evaluated ramipril and vitamin E in 9,541 patients aged > or = 55 years with CV disease or diabetes with > or = 1 CV risk factor(s) but without heart failure (HF) or known left ventricular systolic dysfunction. Follow-up extended for a median of 4.5 years. Electrocardiograms were obtained at baseline in all study participants and were read centrally. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Major CV events (defined as CV death, myocardial infarction, or stroke), heart failure, CV death, all-cause death, and sudden death. RESULTS: Baseline LBBB was present in 246 (2.6%) patients and was associated with increased risk for major CV events (HR = 1.54; 95% CI, 1.18-2.02), CV death (HR 2.29; 95% CI, 1.63-3.20), heart failure (HR 2.99; 95% CI, 2.31-3.87), sudden death (HR 3.17; 95% CI, 2.13-4.73), and all-cause death (HR = 2.10; 95% CI, 1.59-2.77). In multivariate models, LBBB remained an independent predictor of heart failure, sudden death, CV death, and all-cause death (P < or = 0.002 for all). Baseline RBBB was present in 428 (4.5%) of patients and was not associated with increased CV risk. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with stable chronic CV disease, LBBB but not RBBB is an independent predictor of heart failure, sudden death, CV death, and all-cause death.

Cardiovascular risk in patients with mild renal insufficiency: implications for the use of ACE inhibitors.

We review the evidence linking mild renal insufficiency (MRI) with increased cardiovascular risk. MRI is associated with a number of cardiovascular risk factors, including nighttime hypertension, and increased levels of lipoprotein (a), homocysteine, asymmetric dimethyl-arginine, and inflammation and insulin resistance markers and mediators. Epidemiologic evidence associates coronary artery disease and nephrosclerosis, a frequent cause of early renal insufficiency in the elderly. In a middle-aged general population MRI was found in 8% of women and 9% of men, but was not associated with cardiovascular disease. Nonetheless, in a representative sample of middle-aged British men the risk of stroke was 60% higher for the sub-group with MRI: in people at high cardiovascular risk (mostly coronary disease), the HOPE study found a 2-fold (unadjusted) or 1.4-fold (adjusted) higher incidence of cardiovascular outcomes with MRI. The combined incidence of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction and stroke increased with the level of serum creatinine. Several studies have examined the cardiovascular risk associated with MRI in hypertension. In HDFP, as in HOPE, cardiovascular mortality increased with serum creatinine (five-fold difference in cardiovascular mortality between the lowest and the highest creatinine strata). The risk associated with renal insufficiency was independent of other classic cardiovascular risk factors. Two trials of hypertensives with low risk (HOT and a small Italian trial) found that cardiovascular outcomes approximately doubled in subjects with MRI. Another study (MRFIT) found that it was not baseline creatinine, but its increase on follow-up that predicted future cardiovascular disease. These observational data suggest that regardless of etiology MRI is a strong predictor of cardiovascular disease and is found in 10% of populations at low cardiovascular risk and in up to 30% of those at high risk. No prospective therapeutic trials aimed at reducing the cardiovascular burden in people with MRI are available. Subgroup analyses of the HOPE study indicate that angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibition with ramipril is beneficial and does not increase the risk of such side effects as acute renal failure or hyperkalemia. Thus the frequent practice of withholding ACE inhibitors from patients with mild renal insufficiency is unwarranted, especially since MRI identifies a group at high risk that appears to benefit most from treatment. Moreover, there is evidence that ACE inhibitors improve renal outcomes in renal insufficiency. Prospective studies should test the predictive power of early renal insufficiency for cardiovascular disease and prognosis with various therapeutic options.

The relationship between dysglycaemia and cardiovascular and renal risk in diabetic and non-diabetic participants in the HOPE study: a prospective epidemiological analysis.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Emerging data suggest that different indices of glycaemia are risk factors for clinical events. The aim of this analysis was to investigate the relationship between fasting plasma glucose or glycated haemoglobin (GHb) levels and incident cardiovascular (CV) outcomes, death, heart failure and overt nephropathy in diabetic and non-diabetic individuals enrolled in the Heart Outcomes Prevention Evaluation (HOPE) study. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The adjusted 4.5-year risk of CV events (myocardial infarction or stroke or CV death), heart failure, death and overt nephropathy was analysed in relation to baseline and updated GHb levels (in 3,529 diabetic HOPE study participants) and baseline fasting plasma glucose levels (in 1,937 non-diabetic and 1,013 diabetic participants). RESULTS: In diabetic participants, a 1% absolute rise in the updated GHb predicted future CV events (relative risk [RR]=1.07, 95% CI 1.01-1.13; p=0.014), death (RR=1.12, 95% CI 1.05-1.19; p=0.0004), heart failure (RR=1.20, 95% CI 1.08-1.33; p=0.0008) and overt nephropathy (RR=1.26, 95% CI 1.17-1.36; p<0.0001) after adjusting for age, sex, diabetes duration, blood pressure, WHR, hyperlipidaemia and ramipril. Similarly, a 1 mmol/l rise in fasting plasma glucose was related to an increased risk of CV outcomes (RR=1.09, 95% CI 1.05-1.13; p<0.0001), death (RR=1.06, 95% CI 1.01-1.12; p=0.017), heart failure (RR=1.16, 95% CI 1.06-1.13; p=0.0007) and overt nephropathy (RR=1.34, 95% CI 1.23-1.45; p<0.0001) in the group composed of diabetic and non-diabetic individuals. The significant relationship between fasting plasma glucose and CV outcomes persisted after adjustment for diabetes status (RR=1.06, 95% CI 1.00-1.12; p=0.043). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: There is an independent progressive relationship between indices of glycaemia and incident CV events, renal disease and death. Clinical trials of glucose lowering to prevent these outcomes in diabetic and non-diabetic individuals are indicated.

Serum potassium, cardiovascular risk, and effects of an ACE inhibitor: results of the HOPE study.

BACKGROUND: Both hyper- and hypokalemia increase cardiovascular risk. Modest hyperkalemia is common with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibition. We studied post-hoc the association of an initial, on-treatment serum potassium measurement with subsequent cardiovascular outcomes over 4.5 years in 9297 individuals at high cardiovascular risk, randomized to an ACE inhibitor or to placebo. METHODS: Post-hoc analysis of cardiovascular outcomes, as related to serum potassium levels, in the HOPE (Heart Outcomes and Prevention Evaluation) study which compared ramipril to placebo, and included 692 patients with a serum potassium level >5.0 mM and 137 with a serum potassium level <3.5 mM, defined as hyper- and hypokalemia, respectively. Serum potassium was measured 1 month after start of randomized treatment. RESULTS: With hyperkalemia, the primary event rate was unchanged compared to normokalemia (15.5 vs 15.7%, p > 0.4, respectively), with hypokalemia, the primary event rate was higher (22.6% vs 15.5%, respectively, p = 0.023). The hazard ratio for the primary outcome associated with this initial hypokalemia was 1.44 (1.00-2.06) on multivariate analysis. The combined primary outcome (myocardial infarction, cardiovascular death, stroke) was not different throughout deciles of serum potassium but the lowest and highest deciles included many with normokalemia. Randomized treatment was withheld because of hyperkalemia in 8 and 6 people allocated to ramipril and placebo, respectively. The benefit of ramipril on cardiovascular outcomes was independent of serum potassium, but ramipril reduced hypokalemia in the entire cohort (1.15 vs 1.86% with placebo, p = 0.005), particularly in those participants on diuretics (3.8% vs 6.5%, p = 0.07). CONCLUSIONS: In patients at high cardiovascular risk, modest hypokalemia predicts a less favorable outcome while modest hyperkalemia does not. Ramipril reduces hypokalemia and decreases risk.