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1.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 15953, 2024 Jul 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38987583

ABSTRACT

The global incidence of gout has increased rapidly, likely secondary to the increase in the prevalence of conditions that predispose to gout, such as obesity. Depending on the population studied, the prevalence of gout ranges from less than 1 to 6.8%. Thus, gout can be a significant burden on healthcare systems. The objective of this study is to observe the trends in the incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of gout between 1990 and 2019 globally and in the European Union (EU) 15+ nations. We extracted data from the Global Burden of Disease Study database based on the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) versions 10 and 9. Incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were extracted for individual EU15+ countries and globally in males and females between 1990 and 2019. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to describe trends. Between 1990 and 2019, gout prevalence, incidence, and DALYs increased in both males (+ 21.42%, + 16.87%, + 21.49%, respectively) and females (+ 21.06%, + 18.75%, + 20.66%, respectively) globally. The United States of America had the highest increase in prevalence (males: + 90.6%; females + 47.1%), incidence (males: + 63.73%; females: + 39.11%) and DALYs (males: + 90.43%; females: + 42.75%). Incidence, prevalence, and DALYs from gout are increasing worldwide and in most of the EU15+ countries for males and females. Studies have reported the association of gout with comorbidities such as metabolic syndrome, diabetes mellitus, and cardiovascular disease. Health policies and resource allocation are required to increase awareness and modify risk factors globally.


Subject(s)
Disability-Adjusted Life Years , Global Burden of Disease , Gout , Humans , Gout/epidemiology , Global Burden of Disease/trends , Male , Female , Prevalence , Incidence , Disability-Adjusted Life Years/trends , Global Health , Middle Aged , World Health Organization , Cost of Illness , Adult , Aged
2.
Ann Surg Open ; 5(2): e453, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38911626

ABSTRACT

Objective: The aim of this observational study was to analyze trends in the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of benign gallbladder and biliary diseases across high-income countries between 1990 and 2019. Background: Benign gallbladder and biliary diseases place a substantial burden on healthcare systems in high-income countries. Accurate characterization of the disease burden may help optimize healthcare policy and resource distribution. Materials and methods: Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs), and DALYs data for gallbladder and biliary diseases in males and females were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. A mortality-incidence index (MII) was also calculated. Joinpoint regression analysis was performed. Results: The median ASIRs across the European Union 15+ countries in 2019 were 758/100,000 for females and 282/100,000 for males. Between 1990 and 2019 the median percentage change in ASIR was +2.49% for females and +1.07% for males. The median ASMRs in 2019 were 1.22/100,000 for females and 1.49/100,000 for males with a median percentage change over the observation period of -21.93% and -23.01%, respectively. In 2019, the median DALYs was 65/100,000 for females and 37/100,000 among males, with comparable percentage decreases over the observation period of -21.27% and -19.23%, respectively. Conclusions: International variation in lifestyle factors, diagnostic and management strategies likely account for national and sex disparities. This study highlights the importance of ongoing clinical efforts to optimize treatment pathways for gallbladder and biliary diseases, particularly in the provision of emergency surgical services and efforts to address population risk factors.

3.
Br J Anaesth ; 133(1): 164-177, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38637268

ABSTRACT

Invasive mechanical ventilation is a key supportive therapy for patients on intensive care. There is increasing emphasis on personalised ventilation strategies. Clinical decision support systems (CDSS) have been developed to support this. We conducted a narrative review to assess evidence that could inform device implementation. A search was conducted in MEDLINE (Ovid) and EMBASE. Twenty-nine studies met the inclusion criteria. Role allocation is well described, with interprofessional collaboration dependent on culture, nurse:patient ratio, the use of protocols, and perception of responsibility. There were no descriptions of process measures, quality metrics, or clinical workflow. Nurse-led weaning is well-described, with factors grouped by patient, nurse, and system. Physician-led weaning is heterogenous, guided by subjective and objective information, and 'gestalt'. No studies explored decision-making with CDSS. Several explored facilitators and barriers to implementation, grouped by clinician (facilitators: confidence using CDSS, retaining decision-making ownership; barriers: undermining clinician's role, ambiguity moving off protocol), intervention (facilitators: user-friendly interface, ease of workflow integration, minimal training requirement; barriers: increased documentation time), and organisation (facilitators: system-level mandate; barriers: poor communication, inconsistent training, lack of technical support). One study described factors that support CDSS implementation. There are gaps in our understanding of ventilation practice. A coordinated approach grounded in implementation science is required to support CDSS implementation. Future research should describe factors that guide clinical decision-making throughout mechanical ventilation, with and without CDSS, map clinical workflow, and devise implementation toolkits. Novel research design analogous to a learning organisation, that considers the commercial aspects of device design, is required.


Subject(s)
Clinical Decision-Making , Decision Support Systems, Clinical , Respiration, Artificial , Humans , Respiration, Artificial/methods , Clinical Decision-Making/methods , Critical Care/methods , Critical Care/standards , Ventilator Weaning/methods
5.
Injury ; 55(4): 111404, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38354687

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Fractures of the ribs and sternum are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Characterization of the injury burden across England is necessary to inform and evaluate developments in trauma care and infrastructure, however is yet to be comprehensively undertaken. Therefore, the aim of this study was to describe trends in the incidence of sternal and rib fractures across England between 1990 and 2019. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Age-standardised incidence rates (ASIRs) for rib and sternal fractures in males and females were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study by all causes, falls and road traffic collisions for 9 sub-regions of England. Temporal trends within the study period were analysed using Joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: The overall ASIRs in England in 2019 were 30.34/100,000 and 46.02/100,000 for females and males, respectively. Between 1990 and 2019, the estimated overall percentage change across England was +0.20 % among females and -7.05 % among males. A statistically significant increase in ASIR was observed in all 9 sub-regions of England among females from 2014-2019 (p<0.001). Among males, a statistically significant increase in ASIR was observed in 7 of the 9 regions from 2014-2019 (p<0.001) and in the remaining 2 regions from 2015-2019 (p<0.001). DISCUSSION: Increasing ASIRs of rib and sternal fractures were observed among females and decreasing ASIRs among males, with overall ASIRs higher among males. Developments in trauma infrastructure and associated variations in diagnostic and management strategies over the observation period likely contribute to changes in the national injury burden. The findings are suggestive of the importance of ongoing financial investment in trauma infrastructure and of clear clinical guidelines to manage an increasing national injury burden.


Subject(s)
Fractures, Bone , Rib Fractures , Thoracic Injuries , Male , Female , Humans , Incidence , Global Burden of Disease , Fractures, Bone/epidemiology , Ribs , Rib Fractures/epidemiology
6.
Liver Int ; 44(2): 411-421, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38010995

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The importance of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) matching between liver transplant donors and recipients on graft survival remains unclear and is not a clinical consideration in liver transplantation. This study aimed to determine the relationship between HLA matching and liver graft survival using a large-scale multi-centre database (UNOS/OPTN) and multivariate logistic analysis. The secondary aim was to determine whether this relationship was influenced by transplant indication and donor status. METHODS: This retrospective observational analysis was performed using 22 702 liver transplant recipients from the UNOS/OPTN database. Patients were divided into two groups based on number of HLA mismatches (0-3 mismatches vs. 4-6 mismatches) and then subcategorized by indication and donor status. Risk-adjusted outcomes were assessed by multivariate Cox analysis adjusting for donor and recipient characteristics and visualized using Kaplan-Meier survival curves. RESULTS: Allograft survival and risk of acute rejection were associated with degree of HLA mismatch. This association between HLA mismatch and graft survival persisted in individuals who underwent transplant for hepatitis, metabolic, drug toxicity, and congenital indications. Donor status also influenced the relationship between HLA mismatch and graft survival. Graft survival in DBD recipients was longer than in DCD in the 4-6 HLA mismatch group, whereas no significant difference was found in the 0-3 HLA mismatch group. CONCLUSION: HLA mismatch significantly reduced graft survival and increased risk of acute rejection. This association was noted only in specific indications. These findings are of potential clinical relevance to organ allocation, allograft matching algorithms, immunosuppression protocols, and transplant surveillance.


Subject(s)
Graft Survival , Liver Transplantation , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Graft Rejection/epidemiology , Histocompatibility Testing , Tissue Donors , HLA Antigens
7.
Diab Vasc Dis Res ; 20(6): 14791641231221763, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38128564

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This observational study assesses trends in type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) disease burden across the 19 countries of the European Union (EU) 15+ between 1990 and 2019. METHODS: The Global Burden of Disease Study database was used to gather T1DM age-standardised incidence (ASIR), prevalence (ASPR), mortality (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates per 100,000 for each EU15+ country (1990 - 2019). Joinpoint regression analysis was used to describe the trends. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, T1DM ASIRs and ASPRs increased globally except for females in Finland (-2.9% and -9.4%), the largest increase in ASPR for males and females was observed in France (+144.4% and +137.5% respectively). All had reductions in ASMRs for males and females, with the largest observed in Spain (-56.7% and -79.0% respectively). Trends in DALYs were variable across countries, with increases in DALYs noted in 14/19 for males, and 9/19 for females. Denmark, Finland, Norway, Netherlands, and Sweden had a reduction in DALYs for both males and females. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality from T1DM is reducing across EU15+ countries, despite concomitant increases in incidence and prevalence rates. Trends in DALYs are variable across countries, reflecting differential trends in the disease burden across countries with similarly high health expenditure.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 , Female , Humans , Male , Cost of Illness , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/diagnosis , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/epidemiology , Health Expenditures , Incidence , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Sweden , Databases, Factual
8.
JCO Glob Oncol ; 9: e2300229, 2023 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37992271

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: AML accounts for 80% of acute leukemia in adults. While progress has been made in treating younger patients in the past 2 decades, there has been limited improvement for older patients until recently. This study examines the global and European Union (EU) 15+ trends in AML between 1990 and 2019. METHODS: We extracted age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), age-standardized death rates (ASMRs), and disability-adjusted life years, stratified by sex from the Global Burden of Disease Study database, and mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) were computed. Trends were compared using Joinpoint regression. RESULTS: The findings show a global increase in AML incidence for both sexes from 1990 to 2019. In the EU15+ countries, most countries exhibited an increase in ASIR for both sexes. Joinpoint revealed that globally for male patients, ASIR steadily increased until 2010, remained stable until 2015 followed by a decline till 2019. Similar trends were observed in female patients. For ASMR, although there was an increase globally and in most EU15+ countries, there was a statistically significant decrease in mortality rates globally and in the majority of EU15+ countries in recent years. MIR improved in both sexes globally. On age stratification, AML burden was highest among older groups (55 years and older), while the lowest rates were observed in younger than 20 years. CONCLUSION: The findings from our study indicate a global rise in AML incidence and mortality in both sexes and decrease in MIR from 1990 to 2019 suggesting a better survival. However, on Joinpoint analysis, there is no change in MIR in women in the past decade and past 4 years in men indicating plateau in survival trends despite recent advances.


Subject(s)
Global Burden of Disease , Adult , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Incidence
9.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 15030, 2023 09 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37699961

ABSTRACT

Cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator modulators have revolutionized cystic fibrosis (CF) care in the past decade. This study explores the CF-related mortality trends in the US from 1999 to 2020. We extracted CF-related mortality data from the CDC WONDER database. CF age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) were identified by ICD-10 code E84 and were stratified by demographic and geographical variables. Temporal trends were analyzed using Joinpoint modeling. CF-related ASMRs decreased from 1.9 to 1.04 per million population (p = 0.013), with a greater reduction in recent years. This trend was replicated in both sexes. The median age of death increased from 24 to 37 years. CF mortality rates decreased across sex, white race, non-Hispanic ethnicity, census regions, and urbanization status. Incongruent trends were reported in non-white races and Hispanic ethnicity. A lower median age of death was observed in women, non-white races, and Hispanic ethnicity. SARS-CoV-2 infection was the primary cause of death in 1.7% of CF decedents in 2020. The national CF-related mortality rates declined and the median age of death among CF decedents increased significantly indicating better survival in the recent years. The changes were relatively slow during the earlier period of the study, followed by a greater decline lately. We observed patterns of sex, ethnic, racial, and geographical disparities associated with the worsening of the gap between ethnicities, narrowing of the gap between races and rural vs. urban counties, and closing of the gap between sexes over the study period.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Cystic Fibrosis , Male , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Female , Young Adult , Adult , SARS-CoV-2 , Ethnicity , White
10.
Med Image Anal ; 90: 102957, 2023 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37716199

ABSTRACT

Open international challenges are becoming the de facto standard for assessing computer vision and image analysis algorithms. In recent years, new methods have extended the reach of pulmonary airway segmentation that is closer to the limit of image resolution. Since EXACT'09 pulmonary airway segmentation, limited effort has been directed to the quantitative comparison of newly emerged algorithms driven by the maturity of deep learning based approaches and extensive clinical efforts for resolving finer details of distal airways for early intervention of pulmonary diseases. Thus far, public annotated datasets are extremely limited, hindering the development of data-driven methods and detailed performance evaluation of new algorithms. To provide a benchmark for the medical imaging community, we organized the Multi-site, Multi-domain Airway Tree Modeling (ATM'22), which was held as an official challenge event during the MICCAI 2022 conference. ATM'22 provides large-scale CT scans with detailed pulmonary airway annotation, including 500 CT scans (300 for training, 50 for validation, and 150 for testing). The dataset was collected from different sites and it further included a portion of noisy COVID-19 CTs with ground-glass opacity and consolidation. Twenty-three teams participated in the entire phase of the challenge and the algorithms for the top ten teams are reviewed in this paper. Both quantitative and qualitative results revealed that deep learning models embedded with the topological continuity enhancement achieved superior performance in general. ATM'22 challenge holds as an open-call design, the training data and the gold standard evaluation are available upon successful registration via its homepage (https://atm22.grand-challenge.org/).


Subject(s)
Lung Diseases , Trees , Humans , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods , Image Processing, Computer-Assisted/methods , Algorithms , Lung/diagnostic imaging
12.
J Thorac Dis ; 15(6): 3256-3272, 2023 Jun 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37426148

ABSTRACT

Background: Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is an independent risk factor for morbidity and mortality. In the last two decades, significant advances have been made in management of World Health Organization (WHO) group 1 PH. However, there are no approved targeted pharmacotherapies for PH secondary to left-sided heart diseases or chronic hypoxic lung diseases which are thought to account for more than 70-80% of the disease burden. No recent investigation has analyzed and compared the mortality burden related to WHO group 1 PH with the mortality burden with WHO groups 2-5 PH at the national level in the United States (US). We hypothesize that WHO group 1 PH-related mortality has improved over the last two decades in comparison to WHO groups 2-5 PH. Methods: In this study, we used data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) the underlying cause of death database to study age-standardized mortality rates related to PH in the US from 2003 to 2020. Results: A total of 126,526 deaths were recorded from PH in the US between 2003 and 2020. Across the study period, PH-related ASMR increased from 17.81 per million population in 2003 to 23.89 in 2020 with a percentage change (PC) of +34%. However, there are contrasting mortality trends in WHO group 1 PH when compared to WHO groups 2-5 PH. Data demonstrated a decline in mortality from group 1 PH regardless of gender. In contrast, an increase in mortality from WHO groups 2-5 PH was observed, accounting for the major proportion of the overall PH mortality burden in recent years. Conclusions: PH-related mortality continues to an increase primarily due to increase in mortality attributed to WHO groups 2-5 PH. These findings have notable public health implications. Screening and risk assessment tools for secondary PH, risk factor modification, and novel management strategies are vital to improve outcomes.

13.
BMC Pulm Med ; 23(1): 184, 2023 May 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37237250

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) is a major source of global morbidity and mortality. Latent infection has enabled it to spread to a quarter of the world's population. The late 1980s and early 1990s saw an increase in the number of TB cases related to the HIV epidemic, and the spread of multidrug-resistant TB. Few studies have reported pulmonary TB mortality trends. Our study reports and compares trends in pulmonary TB mortality. METHODS: We utilized the World Health Organization (WHO) mortality database from 1985 through 2018 to analyze TB mortality using the International Classification of Diseases-10 codes. Based on the availability and quality of data, we investigated 33 countries including two countries from the Americas; 28 countries from Europe; and 3 countries from the Western Pacific region. Mortality rates were dichotomized by sex. We computed age-standardized death rates per 100,000 population using the world standard population. Time trends were investigated using joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: We observed a uniform decrease in mortality in all countries across the study period except the Republic of Moldova, which showed an increase in female mortality (+ 0.12 per 100,000 population). Among all countries, Lithuania had the greatest reduction in male mortality (-12) between 1993-2018, and Hungary had the greatest reduction in female mortality (-1.57) between 1985-2017. For males, Slovenia had the most rapid recent declining trend with an estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of -47% (2003-2016), whereas Croatia showed the fastest increase (EAPC, + 25.0% [2015-2017]). For females, New Zealand had the most rapid declining trend (EAPC, -47.2% [1985-2015]), whereas Croatia showed a rapid increase (EAPC, + 24.9% [2014-2017]). CONCLUSIONS: Pulmonary TB mortality is disproportionately higher among Central and Eastern European countries. This communicable disease cannot be eliminated from any one region without a global approach. Priority action areas include ensuring early diagnosis and successful treatment to the most vulnerable groups such as people of foreign origin from countries with a high burden of TB and incarcerated population. Incomplete reporting of TB-related epidemiological data to WHO excluded high-burden countries and limited our study to 33 countries only. Improvement in reporting is crucial to accurately identify changes in epidemiology, the effect of new treatments, and management approaches.


Subject(s)
Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary , Humans , Male , Female , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/epidemiology , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/epidemiology , Morbidity , Europe , Hungary , Incidence
14.
Int J Surg ; 109(9): 2608-2613, 2023 Sep 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37232122

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Appendicitis places a substantial burden on healthcare systems, with acute appendicitis alone being the most common abdominal surgical emergency worldwide. Further characterisation of the disease burden in EU15+ countries may help optimise the distribution of healthcare resources. The aim of this observational study was to assess the trends in mortality, incidence and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of appendicitis across European Union (EU) 15+ countries between the years 1990 and 2019, Supplemental Digital Content 3, http://links.lww.com/JS9/A589 . MATERIALS AND METHODS: Age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs), age-standardised incidence rates (ASIRs) and DALYs data for appendicitis in males and females were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. Temporal trends within the study period were analysed using Joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: The median ASMRs across EU15+ countries in 2019 were 0.08/100 000 and 0.13/100 000 for females and males, respectively. Between 1990 and 2019 the median percentage change in ASMR was -52.12% for females and -53.18% in males. The median ASIRs in 2019 for females and males were 251/100 000 and 278/100 000, respectively, with a median percentage change of +7.22% for females and +3.78% for males during the observation period. Decreasing trends in DALYs were observed over the 30-year study period, with median percentage changes of -23.57% and -33.81% for females and males, respectively, Supplemental Digital Content 3, http://links.lww.com/JS9/A589 . CONCLUSION: Overall, a general trend of decreasing appendicitis ASMRs and DALYs was observed across EU15+ countries, despite small overall increases in appendicitis ASIRs, Supplemental Digital Content 3, http://links.lww.com/JS9/A589 . Variations in both diagnostic and management strategies over the study period are likely contributory to the changing trends.


Subject(s)
Appendicitis , Global Burden of Disease , Male , Female , Humans , Disability-Adjusted Life Years , Incidence , Appendicitis/epidemiology , Appendicitis/surgery , Delivery of Health Care , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Global Health
15.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg ; 66(1): 68-76, 2023 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36934837

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess trends in abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) hospital admissions, interventions, and aneurysm related mortality in England, and to examine the impact of endovascular repair on mortality for the years 1998 - 2020. METHODS: Hospital admission and operative approach (endovascular aortic aneurysm repair, or open surgical repair [OSR]) using Hospital Episodes Statistics (HES), and aneurysm related mortality data from the Office for National Statistics for England standardised to the 2013 European Standard Population, were analysed using linear regression and Joinpoint regression analyses. Aneurysm related mortality was compared between the pre-endovascular era (1998 - 2010) and the endovascular era (2011 - 2019). RESULTS: A declining trend in hospital admission incidence was observed, mainly due to a decline in ruptured admissions from 34.6 per 100 000 (95% confidence interval [CI] 33.5 - 35.6) to 13.5 per 100 000 (95% CI 12.9 - 14.2; ßi = -1.04, r2 = .97, p < .001). Operative interventions have been declining over the last 23 years mainly due to the statistically significant decline in open procedures (41.2 per 100 000 in 2000 [95% CI 40 - 42.3] to 9.6 per 100 000 [95% CI 9.1 - 10.1]; ßi = -1.92, r2 = .95; p < .001). There was an increasing trend toward endovascular procedures (5.8 per 100 000 [95% CI 5.3 - 6.2] in 2006 to 16.9 per 100 000 [95% CI 16.2 - 17.5] in 2020; ßi = .82, r2 = .30, p = .040). Reductions in aneurysm related mortality due to AAAs were observed for males and females, irrespective of age and rupture status. CONCLUSION: A significant decrease in hospital admissions for AAAs was observed over the last 23 years in England, paralleled by a shift toward endovascular repair and a decline in OSR. Declines in aneurysm related mortality were observed overall, and in the endovascular era irrespective of age, sex, and rupture status.


Subject(s)
Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal , Aortic Rupture , Blood Vessel Prosthesis Implantation , Endovascular Procedures , Male , Female , Humans , Aortic Rupture/surgery , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/surgery , Endovascular Procedures/methods , England/epidemiology , Hospitals , Treatment Outcome , Blood Vessel Prosthesis Implantation/adverse effects , Risk Factors , Retrospective Studies
16.
Br J Dermatol ; 188(2): 237-246, 2023 02 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36763862

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Keratinocyte cancers (KCs) are the most common type of cancer in the White population worldwide, with associated high healthcare costs. Understanding the epidemiological trends for KCs, namely basal cell carcinomas (BCCs) and cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas (SCCs), is required to assess burden of disease, project future trends and identify strategies for addressing this pressing global health issue. OBJECTIVES: To report trends in BCC and SCC incidence, and SCC mortality and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). METHODS: An observational study of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database between 1990 and 2017 was performed. European Union countries and other selected high-income countries, including the UK and the USA, classified as having high-quality mortality data, were included. Annual age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) and DALYs for each country were obtained from the GBD database. Trends were described using joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: Overall, 33 countries were included. For both BCC and SCC in 2015-2017, the highest ASIRs were observed in the USA and Australia. Males had higher ASIRs than females at the end of the observation period in all countries for SCC, and in all countries but two for BCC. In contrast, the highest ASDRs for SCC were observed in Australia and Latvia for males, and in Romania and Croatia for females. The highest DALYs for SCC for both sexes were seen in Australia and Romania. Over the observation period, there were more countries demonstrating decreasing trends in mortality than in incidence, and disparities were observed between which countries had comparatively high mortality rates and which had high incidence rates. Overall reductions in SCC DALYs were observed in 24 of 33 countries for males, and 25 countries for females. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past 27 years, although trends in SCC incidence have risen in most countries, there is evidence that mortality rates have been decreasing. Burden of disease as assessed using DALYs has decreased in the majority of countries. Future work will explore potential explanatory factors for the observed disparity in trends in SCC incidence and mortality.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Basal Cell , Carcinoma, Squamous Cell , Skin Neoplasms , Male , Female , Humans , Incidence , Skin Neoplasms/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Basal Cell/epidemiology , Cost of Illness , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Global Health
17.
Int J Cardiol ; 371: 441-451, 2023 Jan 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36179905

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Infective endocarditis (IE) remains a life-threatening disease with high morbidity and mortality. OBJECTIVES: To describe temporal trends in IE incidence, mortality and survival over the last 30 years. METHODS: Nineteen high-income countries (the 'EU 15+') were included. Age-standardised and sex-stratified incidence rates (ASIRs) and mortality rates (ASMRs) for IE were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database between 1990 and 2019, and mortality to incidence ratios (ASMIRs) were calculated. Trends were analysed using Joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: ASIRs were higher in males than females and increased in both sexes in all countries between 1990 and 2019. A recent steep rise in ASIRs was noted in several countries including the UK, the USA and Germany. ASMRs increased for both sexes in all countries except Finland and Austria. The largest increase in ASMR was observed in females in Italy (+246%). ASMIRs were generally higher in females compared to males, with large increases in ASMIRs (indicating worsening survival) at the end of the 20th century, but more recent stabilisation or decline across the study cohort. CONCLUSIONS: While the incidence and mortality of IE have increased over the last 30 years, recent data suggest that these trends have plateaued or reversed in most countries studied. However, a recent surge in incidence in several countries (including the USA and UK) is of concern, while unfavourable outcomes in females also merit attention. More encouragingly, this analysis provides the first indication of improving IE survival at population level, supporting recent advances in diagnosis and treatment.


Subject(s)
Endocarditis, Bacterial , Endocarditis , Female , Male , Humans , Developed Countries , Incidence , Global Burden of Disease , Morbidity , Endocarditis/diagnosis , Endocarditis/epidemiology , Mortality
18.
Injury ; 54(2): 645-651, 2023 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36456215

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Neck of femur fractures (NOFF) pose significant socio-economic costs to society with a high degree of morbidity and mortality. Its incidence rate has been collated within the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database; however, to date, no comparison across countries has been reported. METHODS: NOFF age-standardised incidence rates (ASIR) per 100,000 population were extracted from the GBD database for European Union (EU) 15+ countries over the period 1990 to 2017. Joinpoint regression analysis of the data identified trends in ASIR and associated estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC). These were analysed by specified timeframe, country and gender. RESULTS: Of the 19 EU15+ countries, 11 (58%) had overall increases in NOFF ASIRs in 2017 compared to 1990. The median ASIRs were 240/100,000 and 322/100,000 for males and females, respectively, in 1990. By 2017, this had increased to 259/100,000 and 325/100,000, respectively. Females consistently had relatively higher NOFF ASIRs with a median gender fracture gap of 62/100,000 in 2017. Males had a higher percentage change in increasing ASIRs, with a smaller percentage change in decreasing ASIRs for all included countries. The highest national ASIRs was observed in Australia, followed by Finland and Belgium. Conversely the Mediterranean countries demonstrated the lowest ASIRs, closely followed by the USA. CONCLUSION: Despite significant advances in primary and secondary hip fracture prevention strategies over the 28-year study period, significant increases in NOFF ASIRs among most EU15+ countries were observed, especially with respect to gender.


Subject(s)
Femoral Neck Fractures , Hip Fractures , Male , Female , Humans , Incidence , Belgium , European Union , Femoral Neck Fractures/epidemiology
20.
Prostate Cancer Prostatic Dis ; 26(3): 552-562, 2023 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36522462

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In the United States of America (USA), prostate cancer (PC) is the most common cancer in men and the second cause of cancer mortality. Black men (BM) have a higher incidence and worse mortality when compared to white men (WM). We compared trends in PC mortality in the USA by race and state from 1999 to 2019. METHODS: We extracted PC mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) WONDER database using the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 10 code C61. Age-Standardized Mortality Rates (ASMR) were divided into racial groups and reported by year and state. Due to the lack of available data in many states, analyses were conducted only for WM and BM using Joinpoint regression for trend comparisons. RESULTS: Between 1999-2019, ASMR decreased at the national level in Black (-44.6%), Asian (-44.8%), White (-31.8%), and American Indian or Alaskan native men (-19.0%). ASMR decreased in all states for both races. The greatest drop in ASMR was in Kentucky (-47.0%) for WM and Delaware (-57.8%) for BM. In 2019, ASMRs in BM (13.4/100 000) were significantly higher than WM (7.3/100 000), American Indian or Alaskan Native (3.2/100 000), and Asian men (3.2/100 000) (p < 0.001). The highest ASMRs were in Nebraska (33.5/100 000) for BM and Alaska (11/100 000) for WM. CONCLUSIONS: During the last 20 years, the PC mortality rate dropped in all states for all races, suggesting an advancement in management strategies. Although a higher decrease in ASMR was observed in BM, ASMR remain higher among BM. ASMRs were also found to be increasing in many states post USPSTF guideline change (2012), indicating a need for more education around optimized prostate cancer screening.


Subject(s)
Prostatic Neoplasms , Humans , Male , Black People , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S./statistics & numerical data , Early Detection of Cancer , Incidence , Mortality , Prostate-Specific Antigen , Prostatic Neoplasms/diagnosis , Prostatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Prostatic Neoplasms/ethnology , United States/epidemiology , Asian , White , American Indian or Alaska Native
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