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1.
Ophthalmologie ; 121(5): 427-437, 2024 May.
Article in German | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38683364

ABSTRACT

Excessive wound healing in filtering glaucoma surgery is a key factor for a failed surgery. After the introduction of trabeculectomy in the 1960s many factors associated with an increased fibrotic reaction were recognized and methods were developed to influence postoperative wound healing. These range from the perioperative use of anti-inflammatory drugs and antimetabolites to the use of newer chemical compounds that influence the morphology of postoperative fibroblast growth. In the routine clinical practice, the fine tuning of therapeutic decisions plays a decisive role in the success or failure of filtration surgery.


Subject(s)
Glaucoma , Postoperative Care , Trabeculectomy , Wound Healing , Humans , Anti-Inflammatory Agents/therapeutic use , Glaucoma/surgery , Postoperative Care/methods , Postoperative Complications , Trabeculectomy/methods , Wound Healing/drug effects , Practice Guidelines as Topic
2.
J Anim Ecol ; 93(5): 567-582, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38400559

ABSTRACT

In most animals, body mass varies with ecological conditions and is expected to reflect how much energy can be allocated to reproduction and survival. Because the sexes often differ in their resource acquisition and allocation strategies, variations in adult body mass and their consequences on fitness can differ between the sexes. Assessing the relative contributions of environmental and genetic effects (i.e. heritability)-and whether these effects and their fitness consequences are sex-specific-is essential to gain insights into the evolution of sexual dimorphism and sexual conflicts. We used 20+ years of data to study the sources of variation in adult body mass and associated fitness consequences in a bird with biparental care, the Alpine swift (Tachymarptis melba). Swifts appear monomorphic to human observers, though subtle dimorphisms are present. We first investigated the effects of weather conditions on adult body mass using a sliding window analysis approach. We report a positive effect of temperature and a negative effect of rainfall on adult body mass, as expected for an aerial insectivorous bird. We then quantified the additive genetic variance and heritability of body mass in both sexes and assessed the importance of genetic constraints on mass evolution by estimating the cross-sex genetic correlation. Heritability was different from zero in both sexes at ~0.30. The positive cross-sex genetic correlation and comparable additive genetic variance between the sexes suggest the possibility for evolutionary constraints when it comes to body mass. Finally, we assessed the sex-specific selection on adjusted body mass using multiple fitness components. We report directional positive and negative selection trending towards stabilizing and diversifying selection on females and males respectively in relation to the weighted proportion of surviving fledglings. Overall, these results suggest that while body mass may be able to respond to environmental conditions and evolve, genetic constraints would result in similar changes in both sexes or an overall absence of response to selection. It remains unclear whether the weak (1%) dimorphism in Alpine swift body mass we report is simply a result of the similar fitness peaks between the sexes or of genetic constraints.


Subject(s)
Birds , Selection, Genetic , Sex Characteristics , Animals , Male , Female , Birds/genetics , Birds/physiology , Body Weight
3.
Am Nat ; 203(1): 109-123, 2024 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38207133

ABSTRACT

AbstractSampling, investing time or energy to learn about the environment, allows organisms to track changes in resource distribution and quality. The use of sampling is predicted to change as a function of energy expenditure, food availability, and starvation risk, all of which can vary both within and among individuals. We studied sampling behavior in a field study with black-capped chickadees (Poecile atricapillus) and show that individuals adjust their use of sampling as a function of ambient temperature (a proxy for energy expenditure), the presence of an alternative food source (yes or no, a proxy for risk of energy shortfall), and their interaction, as predicted by models of optimal sampling. We also observed repeatable differences in sampling. Some individuals consistently sampled more, and individuals that sampled more overall also had a higher annual survival. These results are consistent with among-individual differences in resource acquisition (e.g., food caches or dominance-related differences in priority access to feeders), shaping among-individual differences in both sampling and survival, with greater resource acquisition leading to both higher sampling and higher survival. Although this explanation requires explicit testing, it is in line with several recent studies suggesting that variation in resource acquisition is a key mechanism underlying animal personality.


Subject(s)
Songbirds , Humans , Animals , Learning
4.
Ecology ; 105(2): e4215, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38037245

ABSTRACT

Dispersal contributes vitally to metacommunity structure. However, interactions between dispersal and other key processes have rarely been explored, particularly in the context of multitrophic metacommunities. We investigated such a metacommunity in naturally fragmented habitats populated by butterfly species (whose dispersal capacities were previously assessed), flowering plants, and butterfly predators. Using data on butterfly species abundance, floral abundance, and predation (on experimentally placed clay butterfly models), we asked how dispersal ability mediates interactions with predators, mutualists, and the landscape matrix. In contrast to expectations, high densities of strong dispersers were found in more isolated sites and sites with low floral resource density, while intermediate dispersers maintained similar densities across isolation and floral gradients, and higher densities of poor dispersers were found in more connected sites and sites with higher floral density. These findings raise questions about how strong dispersers experience the landscape matrix and the quality of isolated and low-resource sites. Strong dispersers were able to escape habitat patches with high predation, while intermediate dispersers maintained similar densities along a predation gradient, and poor dispersers occurred at high densities in these patches, exposing them to interactions with predators. This work demonstrates that species that vary in dispersal capacities interact differently with predators and mutualist partners in a landscape context, shaping metacommunity composition.


Subject(s)
Animal Distribution , Ecosystem , Plant Dispersal , Lepidoptera , Animals
5.
Ecol Evol ; 13(12): e10780, 2023 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38077518

ABSTRACT

With global climates changing rapidly, animals must adapt to new environmental conditions with altered weather and phenology. The key to adapting to these new conditions is adjusting the timing of reproduction to maximize fitness. Using a long-term dataset on a wild population of yellow-bellied marmots (Marmota flaviventer) at the Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory (RMBL), we investigated how the timing of reproduction changed with changing spring conditions over the past 50 years. Marmots are hibernators with a 4-month active season. It is thus crucial to reproduce early enough in the season to have time to prepare for hibernation, but not too early, as snow cover prevents access to food. Importantly, climate change in this area has, on average, increased spring temperatures by 5°C and decreased spring snowpack by 50 cm over the past 50 years. We evaluated how female marmots adjust the timing of their reproduction in response to changing conditions and estimated the importance of both microevolution and plasticity in the variation in this timing. We showed that, within a year, the timing of reproduction is not as tightly linked to the date a female emerges from hibernation as previously thought. We reported a positive effect of spring snowpack but not of spring temperature on the timing of reproduction. We found inter-individual variation in the timing of reproduction, including low heritability, but not in its response to changing spring conditions. There was directional selection for earlier reproduction since it increased the number and proportion of pups surviving their first winter. Taken together, the timing of marmot reproduction might evolve via natural selection; however, plastic changes will also be extremely important. Further, future studies on marmots should not operate under the assumption that females reproduce immediately following their emergence.

6.
Proc Biol Sci ; 290(2002): 20230511, 2023 07 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37403509

ABSTRACT

The slow-fast continuum is a commonly used framework to describe variation in life-history strategies across species. Individual life histories have also been assumed to follow a similar pattern, especially in the pace-of-life syndrome literature. However, whether a slow-fast continuum commonly explains life-history variation among individuals within a population remains unclear. Here, we formally tested for the presence of a slow-fast continuum of life histories both within populations and across species using detailed long-term individual-based demographic data for 17 bird and mammal species with markedly different life histories. We estimated adult lifespan, age at first reproduction, annual breeding frequency, and annual fecundity, and identified the main axes of life-history variation using principal component analyses. Across species, we retrieved the slow-fast continuum as the main axis of life-history variation. However, within populations, the patterns of individual life-history variation did not align with a slow-fast continuum in any species. Thus, a continuum ranking individuals from slow to fast living is unlikely to shape individual differences in life histories within populations. Rather, individual life-history variation is likely idiosyncratic across species, potentially because of processes such as stochasticity, density dependence, and individual differences in resource acquisition that affect species differently and generate non-generalizable patterns across species.


Subject(s)
Life History Traits , Reproduction , Humans , Animals , Mammals , Birds
7.
Behav Ecol ; 34(2): 210-222, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36998994

ABSTRACT

Repeated social interactions with conspecifics and/or heterospecifics during early development may drive the differentiation of behavior among individuals. Competition is a major form of social interaction and its impacts can depend on whether interactions occur between conspecifics or heterospecifics and the directionality of a response could be specific to the ecological context that they are measured in. To test this, we reared tungara frog tadpoles (Engystomops pustulosus) either in isolation, with a conspecific tadpole or with an aggressive heterospecific tadpole, the whistling frog tadpole (Leptodactylus fuscus). In each treatment, we measured the body size and distance focal E. pustulosus tadpoles swam in familiar, novel and predator risk contexts six times during development. We used univariate and multivariate hierarchical mixed effect models to investigate the effect of treatment on mean behavior, variance among and within individuals, behavioral repeatability and covariance among individuals in their behavior between contexts. There was a strong effect of competition on behavior, with different population and individual level responses across social treatments. Within a familiar context, the variance in the distance swam within individuals decreased under conspecific competition but heterospecific competition caused more variance in the average distance swam among individuals. Behavioral responses were also context specific as conspecific competition caused an increase in the distance swam within individuals in novel and predator risk contexts. The results highlight that the impact of competition on among and within individual variance in behavior is dependent on both competitor species identity and context.

8.
J Environ Manage ; 337: 117668, 2023 Jul 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36958278

ABSTRACT

Emerging diseases can have devastating consequences for wildlife and require a rapid response. A critical first step towards developing appropriate management is identifying the etiology of the disease, which can be difficult to determine, particularly early in emergence. Gathering and synthesizing existing information about potential disease causes, by leveraging expert knowledge or relevant existing studies, provides a principled approach to quickly inform decision-making and management efforts. Additionally, updating the current state of knowledge as more information becomes available over time can reduce scientific uncertainty and lead to substantial improvement in the decision-making process and the application of management actions that incorporate and adapt to newly acquired scientific understanding. Here we present a rapid prototyping method for quantifying belief weights for competing hypotheses about the etiology of disease using a combination of formal expert elicitation and Bayesian hierarchical modeling. We illustrate the application of this approach for investigating the etiology of stony coral tissue loss disease (SCTLD) and discuss the opportunities and challenges of this approach for addressing emergent diseases. Lastly, we detail how our work may apply to other pressing management or conservation problems that require quick responses. We found the rapid prototyping methods to be an efficient and rapid means to narrow down the number of potential hypotheses, synthesize current understanding, and help prioritize future studies and experiments. This approach is rapid by providing a snapshot assessment of the current state of knowledge. It can also be updated periodically (e.g., annually) to assess changes in belief weights over time as scientific understanding increases. Synthesis and applications: The rapid prototyping approaches demonstrated here can be used to combine knowledge from multiple experts and/or studies to help with fast decision-making needed for urgent conservation issues including emerging diseases and other management problems that require rapid responses. These approaches can also be used to adjust belief weights over time as studies and expert knowledge accumulate and can be a helpful tool for adapting management decisions.


Subject(s)
Anthozoa , Animals , Bayes Theorem , Uncertainty
9.
Proc Biol Sci ; 290(1990): 20222181, 2023 01 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36629105

ABSTRACT

The timing of life events (phenology) can be influenced by climate. Studies from around the world tell us that climate cues and species' responses can vary greatly. If variation in climate effects on phenology is strong within a single ecosystem, climate change could lead to ecological disruption, but detailed data from diverse taxa within a single ecosystem are rare. We collated first sighting and median activity within a high-elevation environment for plants, insects, birds, mammals and an amphibian across 45 years (1975-2020). We related 10 812 phenological events to climate data to determine the relative importance of climate effects on species' phenologies. We demonstrate significant variation in climate-phenology linkage across taxa in a single ecosystem. Both current and prior climate predicted changes in phenology. Taxa responded to some cues similarly, such as snowmelt date and spring temperatures; other cues affected phenology differently. For example, prior summer precipitation had no effect on most plants, delayed first activity of some insects, but advanced activity of the amphibian, some mammals, and birds. Comparing phenological responses of taxa at a single location, we find that important cues often differ among taxa, suggesting that changes to climate may disrupt synchrony of timing among taxa.


Subject(s)
Ecosystem , Insecta , Animals , Climate Change , Seasons , Temperature , Birds , Mammals
10.
Ecology ; 104(3): e3894, 2023 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36208282

ABSTRACT

The fate of natural populations is mediated by complex interactions among vital rates, which can vary within and among years. Although the effects of random, among-year variation in vital rates have been studied extensively, relatively little is known about how periodic, nonrandom variation in vital rates affects populations. This knowledge gap is potentially alarming as global environmental change is projected to alter common periodic variations, such as seasonality. We investigated the effects of changes in vital-rate periodicity on populations of three species representing different forms of adaptation to periodic environments: the yellow-bellied marmot (Marmota flaviventer), adapted to strong seasonality in snowfall; the meerkat (Suricata suricatta), adapted to inter-annual stochasticity as well as seasonal patterns in rainfall; and the dewy pine (Drosophyllum lusitanicum), adapted to fire regimes and periodic post-fire habitat succession. To assess how changes in periodicity affect population growth, we parameterized periodic matrix population models and projected population dynamics under different scenarios of perturbations in the strength of vital-rate periodicity. We assessed the effects of such perturbations on various metrics describing population dynamics, including the stochastic growth rate, log λS . Overall, perturbing the strength of periodicity had strong effects on population dynamics in all three study species. For the marmots, log λS decreased with increased seasonal differences in adult survival. For the meerkats, density dependence buffered the effects of perturbations of periodicity on log λS . Finally, dewy pines were negatively affected by changes in natural post-fire succession under stochastic or periodic fire regimes with fires occurring every 30 years, but were buffered by density dependence from such changes under presumed more frequent fires or large-scale disturbances. We show that changes in the strength of vital-rate periodicity can have diverse but strong effects on population dynamics across different life histories. Populations buffered from inter-annual vital-rate variation can be affected substantially by changes in environmentally driven vital-rate periodic patterns; however, the effects of such changes can be masked in analyses focusing on inter-annual variation. As most ecosystems are affected by periodic variations in the environment such as seasonality, assessing their contributions to population viability for future global-change research is crucial.


Subject(s)
Ecosystem , Fires , Periodicity , Population Dynamics , Population Growth
11.
Front Microbiol ; 13: 937912, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35966663

ABSTRACT

Over the past three decades, root organ cultures (ROCs) have been the gold standard method for studying arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF) under in vitro conditions, and ROCs derived from various plant species have been used as hosts for AM monoxenic cultures. While there is compelling evidence that host identity can significantly modify AMF fitness, there is currently no standardized methodology to assess the performance of ROCs in the propagation of their fungal symbionts. We describe RocTest, a robust methodological approach that models the propagation of AMF in symbiosis with ROCs. The development of extraradical fungal structures and the pattern of sporulation are modeled using cumulative link mixed models and linear mixed models. We demonstrate functionality of RocTest by evaluating the performance of three species of ROCs (Daucus carota, Medicago truncatula, Nicotiana benthamiana) in the propagation of three species of AMF (Rhizophagus clarus, Rhizophagus irregularis, Glomus sp.). RocTest produces a simple graphical output to assess the performance of ROCs and shows that fungal propagation depends on the three-way interaction between ROC, AMF, and time. RocTest makes it possible to identify the best combination of host/AMF for fungal development and spore production, making it an important asset for germplasm collections and AMF research.

12.
Ecol Evol ; 12(8): e9173, 2022 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35991280

ABSTRACT

Removal sampling data are the primary source of monitoring information for many populations (e.g., invasive species, fisheries). Population dynamics, temporary emigration, and imperfect detection are common sources of variation in monitoring data and are key parameters for informing management. We developed two open robust-design removal models for simultaneously modeling population dynamics, temporary emigration, and imperfect detection: a random walk linear trend model (estimable without ancillary information), and a 2-age class informed population model (InfoPM, closely related to integrated population models) that incorporated prior information for age-structured vital rates and relative juvenile availability. We applied both models to multiyear, removal trapping time-series of a large invasive lizard (Argentine black and white tegu, Salvator merianae) in three management areas of South Florida to evaluate the effectiveness of management programs. Although estimates of the two models were similar, the InfoPMs generally returned more precise estimates, partitioned dynamics into births, deaths, net migration, and provided a decision support tool to predict population dynamics under different effort scenarios while accounting for uncertainty. Trends in tegu superpopulation abundance estimates were increasing in two management areas despite generally high removal rates. However, tegu abundance appeared to decline in the Core management area, where trapping density was the highest and immigration the lowest. Finally, comparing abundance predictions of no-removal scenarios to those estimated in each management area suggested significant population reductions due to management. These results suggest that local tegu population control via systematic trapping may be feasible with high enough trap density and limited immigration; and highlights the value of these trapping programs. We provided the first estimates of tegu abundance, capture probabilities, and population dynamics, which is critical for effective management. Furthermore, our models are applicable to a wide range of monitoring programs (e.g., carcass recovery or removal point-counts).

13.
Proc Biol Sci ; 289(1977): 20220820, 2022 06 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35730154

ABSTRACT

The natal environment can have long-term fitness consequences for individuals, particularly via 'silver spoon' or 'environmental matching' effects. Invasive species could alter natal effects on native species by changing species interactions, but this potential remains unknown. Using 17 years of data on 2588 individuals across the entire US breeding range of the endangered snail kite (Rostrhamus sociabilis), a wetland raptor that feeds entirely on Pomacea snails, we tested for silver spoon and environmental matching effects on survival and movement and whether the invasion of a non-native snail may alter outcomes. We found support for silver spoon effects, not environmental matching, on survival that operated through body condition at fledging, explained by hydrology in the natal wetland. When non-native snails were present at the natal site, kites were in better condition, individual condition was less sensitive to hydrology, and kites fledged across a wider range of hydrologic conditions, leading to higher survival that persisted for at least 10 years. Movement between wetlands was driven by the current (adult) environment, and birds born in both invaded and uninvaded wetlands preferred to occupy invaded wetlands post-fledging. These results illustrate that species invasions may profoundly impact the role of natal environments on native species.


Subject(s)
Falconiformes , Animals , Birds , Humans , Introduced Species , Silver , Snails , Wetlands
14.
Nat Ecol Evol ; 6(4): 418-426, 2022 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35256811

ABSTRACT

Species that hibernate generally live longer than would be expected based solely on their body size. Hibernation is characterized by long periods of metabolic suppression (torpor) interspersed by short periods of increased metabolism (arousal). The torpor-arousal cycles occur multiple times during hibernation, and it has been suggested that processes controlling the transition between torpor and arousal states cause ageing suppression. Metabolic rate is also a known correlate of longevity; we thus proposed the 'hibernation-ageing hypothesis' whereby ageing is suspended during hibernation. We tested this hypothesis in a well-studied population of yellow-bellied marmots (Marmota flaviventer), which spend 7-8 months per year hibernating. We used two approaches to estimate epigenetic age: the epigenetic clock and the epigenetic pacemaker. Variation in epigenetic age of 149 samples collected throughout the life of 73 females was modelled using generalized additive mixed models (GAMM), where season (cyclic cubic spline) and chronological age (cubic spline) were fixed effects. As expected, the GAMM using epigenetic ages calculated from the epigenetic pacemaker was better able to detect nonlinear patterns in epigenetic ageing over time. We observed a logarithmic curve of epigenetic age with time, where the epigenetic age increased at a higher rate until females reached sexual maturity (two years old). With respect to circannual patterns, the epigenetic age increased during the active season and essentially stalled during the hibernation period. Taken together, our results are consistent with the hibernation-ageing hypothesis and may explain the enhanced longevity in hibernators.


Subject(s)
Hibernation , Marmota , Animals , Epigenesis, Genetic , Female , Longevity/genetics , Marmota/genetics , Marmota/metabolism , Seasons
15.
Curr Biol ; 32(8): 1754-1763.e6, 2022 04 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35276097

ABSTRACT

Conservation strategies are rarely systematically evaluated, which reduces transparency, hinders the cost-effective deployment of resources, and hides what works best in different contexts. Using data on the iconic and critically endangered orangutan (Pongo spp.), we developed a novel spatiotemporal framework for evaluating conservation investments. We show that around USD 1 billion was invested between 2000 and 2019 into orangutan conservation by governments, nongovernmental organizations, companies, and communities. Broken down by allocation to different conservation strategies, we find that habitat protection, patrolling, and public outreach had the greatest return on investment for maintaining orangutan populations. Given the variability in threats, land-use opportunity costs, and baseline remunerations in different regions, there were differential benefits per dollar invested across conservation activities and regions. We show that although challenging from a data and analysis perspective, it is possible to fully understand the relationships between conservation investments and outcomes and the external factors that influence these outcomes. Such analyses can provide improved guidance toward a more effective biodiversity conservation. Insights into the spatiotemporal interplays between the costs and benefits driving effectiveness can inform decisions about the most suitable orangutan conservation strategies for halting population declines. Although our study focuses on the three extant orangutan species of Sumatra and Borneo, our findings have broad application for evidence-based conservation science and practice worldwide.


Subject(s)
Endangered Species , Pongo , Animals , Conservation of Natural Resources , Indonesia , Pongo pygmaeus , Population Dynamics
16.
Anaesth Crit Care Pain Med ; 41(2): 101024, 2022 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35121186

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Ultrasound (US) allows non-invasive repeated assessments of diaphragmatic excursion (DE) and thickening fraction (DTF) at the bedside, reflecting diaphragmatic dysfunction (DD). We aimed at determining the prevalence and time-course of DD following elective thoracic surgery and the association with postoperative complications. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Prospective, single-centre, observational study with consecutive patients undergoing thoracic surgery. DE/DTF were measured by two observers blinded to each other at 3 different time-points: prior to surgery, immediately after extubation and on postoperative day 3. The changes in DE/DTF of both hemi-diaphragms over time were compared according to the side (operated/non-operated) using a two-way-ANOVA. The association with postoperative complications was assessed using logistic regression. RESULTS: Fifty patients, 60% males, aged 60 ± 15 years were included. Surgical procedures included lobectomy (n = 30), wedge-resection (n = 17) or pneumonectomy (n = 3). On the operated side, we observed a decrease in DE/DTF at D0 (-0.71 ± 0.12 mm, P < 0.05; -44 ± 30%, P < 0.05) and D3 (-0.82 ± 0.19 mm, P < 0.05; -39 ± 19%, P < 0.05) with respect to preoperative and non-operated side values over the study period. Persistent DD on the operated side was associated with an increased risk of lung infection (OR: 9.0, 95% CI [1.92-65.93], P = 0.001), ICU-admission (OR: 3.9, 95% CI [1.10-15.53], P = 0.04) according to univariate analysis and a prolonged length in hospital (OR: 1.3, 95% CI [1.1-1.7], P = 0.016) according to multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Thoracic surgery generates DD mainly observed on the operated side, which persists at least up to postoperative D3 and is associated with an increase in hospital stay.


Subject(s)
Diaphragm , Ultrasonics , Diaphragm/diagnostic imaging , Female , Humans , Lung/diagnostic imaging , Male , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Prevalence , Prospective Studies
17.
J Environ Manage ; 306: 114453, 2022 Mar 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35033890

ABSTRACT

Population projection models are important tools for conservation and management. They are often used for population status assessments, for threat analyses, and to predict the consequences of conservation actions. Although conservation decisions should be informed by science, critical decisions are often made with very little information to support decision-making. Conversely, postponing decisions until better information is available may reduce the benefit of a conservation decision. When empirical data are limited or lacking, expert elicitation can be used to supplement existing data and inform model parameter estimates. The use of rigorous techniques for expert elicitation that account for uncertainty can improve the quality of the expert elicited values and therefore the accuracy of the projection models. One recurring challenge for summarizing expert elicited values is how to aggregate them. Here, we illustrate a process for population status assessment using a combination of expert elicitation and data from the ecological literature. We discuss the importance of considering various aggregation techniques, and illustrate this process using matrix population models for the wood turtle (Glyptemys insculpta) to assist U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service decision-makers with their Species Status Assessment. We compare estimates of population growth using data from the ecological literature and four alternative aggregation techniques for the expert-elicited values. The estimate of population growth rate based on estimates from the literature (λmean = 0.952, 95% CI: 0.87-1.01) could not be used to unequivocally reject the hypotheses of a rapidly declining population nor the hypothesis of a stable, or even slightly growing population, whereas our results for the expert-elicited estimates supported the hypothesis that the wood turtle population will decline over time. Our results showed that the aggregation techniques used had an impact on model estimates, suggesting that the choice of techniques should be carefully considered. We discuss the benefits and limitations associated with each method and their relevance to the population status assessment. We note a difference in the temporal scope or inference between the literature-based estimates that provided insights about historical changes, whereas the expert-based estimates were forward looking. Therefore, conducting an expert-elicitation in addition to using parameter estimates from the literature improved our understanding of our species of interest.


Subject(s)
Turtles , Animals , Data Collection , Uncertainty
18.
Anesthesiology ; 136(3): 472-481, 2022 03 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35041738

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Perioperative hypersensitivity reactions may be difficult to diagnose during general anesthesia. Postinduction hypotension is the most common sign but is not specific. It was recently suggested that low end-tidal carbon dioxide (ETco2) might be a marker of anaphylaxis (Ring and Messmer grades III to IV immediate hypersensitivity reactions) in hypotensive patients under mechanical ventilation. To test this hypothesis, the authors compared ETco2 in patients with a diagnosis of anaphylaxis and in patients with severe hypotension from any other cause after the induction of anesthesia. METHODS: This was a retrospective single-center case-control study in which two groups were formed from an anesthesia data warehouse. The anaphylaxis group was formed on the basis of tryptase/histamine assay data and allergy workup data recorded over the period 2010 to 2018. The control (hypotension) group consisted of all patients having experienced severe hypotension (mean arterial pressure less than 50 mmHg for 5 min or longer) with a cause other than anaphylaxis after anesthesia induction in 2017. RESULTS: The anaphylaxis and hypotension groups comprised 49 patients (grade III: n = 38; grade IV: n = 11) and 555 patients, respectively. The minimum ETco2 value was significantly lower in the anaphylaxis group (median [interquartile range]: 17 [12 to 23] mmHg) than in the hypotension group (32 [29 to 34] mmHg; P < 0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (95% CI) for ETco2 was 0.95 (0.91 to 0.99). The sensitivity and specificity (95% CI) for the optimal cutoff value were 0.92 (0.82 to 0.98) and 0.94 (0.92 to 0.99), respectively. In multivariable analysis, minimum ETco2 was associated with anaphylaxis after adjusting for confounders and competing predictors, including arterial pressure, heart rate, and peak airway pressure (odds ratio [95% CI] for ETco2: 0.51 [0.38 to 0.68]; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In case of severe hypotension after anesthesia induction, a low ETco2 contributes to the diagnosis of anaphylaxis, in addition to the classical signs of perioperative immediate hypersensitivity.


Subject(s)
Anaphylaxis/etiology , Anaphylaxis/metabolism , Anesthesia, General/methods , Carbon Dioxide/metabolism , Hypotension/etiology , Hypotension/metabolism , Case-Control Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Tidal Volume
19.
J Anim Ecol ; 91(1): 8-19, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34651314

ABSTRACT

Any average pattern observed at the population level (cross-sectional analysis) may confound two different types of processes: some processes that occur among individuals and others that occur within individuals. Separating within- from among-individual processes is critical for our understanding of ecological and evolutionary dynamics. The within-individual centring method allows distinguishing within- from among-individual processes and this method has been widely used in ecology to investigate both linear and quadratic patterns. Here we show that two alternative equations could be used for the investigation of quadratic within-individual patterns. We explain the different assumptions and constraints of both equations. Reviewing the literature, we found that mainly one of these two equations has been used in studies investigating quadratic patterns. Yet this equation might not be the most appropriate in all circumstances leading to bias and imprecision. We show that these two alternative equations make different assumptions about the shape of the within-individual pattern. One equation assumes that the within-individual effect is related to an absolute process whereas the other assumes the effect arises from an individual relative process. The choice of using one equation instead of the other should depend upon the biological process investigated. Using simulations, we showed that a mismatch between the assumptions made by the equation used to analyse the data and the biological process investigated might led to flawed inference affecting output of model selection and accuracy of estimates. We stress that the equation used should be chosen carefully. We provide step by step guidelines for choosing an equation when studying quadratic pattern with the within-individual centring approach. We encourage the use of the within-individual centring method, promoting its relevant application for nonlinear relationships.


Subject(s)
Biological Evolution , Animals , Cross-Sectional Studies
20.
Mol Med ; 27(1): 101, 2021 09 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34488621

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Diet-induced obesity can result in the development of a diverse spectrum of cardiovascular and metabolic diseases, including type 2 diabetes, dyslipidemia, non-alcoholic liver steatosis and atherosclerotic disease. MicroRNAs have been described to be important regulators of metabolism and disease development. METHODS: In the current study, we investigated the effects of ubiquitous miR-100 overexpression on weight gain and the metabolic phenotype in a newly generated transgenic mouse strain under normal chow and high fat diet and used microarray expression analysis to identify new potential target genes of miR-100. RESULTS: While transgenic overexpression of miR-100 did not significantly affect weight and metabolism under a normal diet, miR-100 overexpressing mice showed a reduced weight gain under a high fat diet compared to wildtype mice, despite an equal calorie intake. This was accompanied by less visceral and subcutaneous fat development and lover serum LDL cholesterol. In addition, transgenic miR-100 mice were more glucose tolerant and insulin sensitive and demonstrated increased energy expenditure under high fat diet feeding. A comprehensive gene expression profiling revealed the differential expression of several genes involved in lipid storage- and metabolism, among them CD36 and Cyp4A14. Our data showed a direct regulation of CD36 by miR-100, leading to a reduced fatty acid uptake in primary hepatocytes overexpressing miR-100 and the downregulation of several downstream mediators of lipid metabolism such as ACC1, FABP4, FAS and PPARγ in the liver. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate a protective role of miR-100 in high fat diet induced metabolic syndrome and liver steatosis, partially mediated by the direct repression of CD36 and attenuation of hepatic lipid storage, implicating miR-100 as a possible therapeutic target in liver steatosis.


Subject(s)
Hypertriglyceridemia/etiology , Hypertriglyceridemia/metabolism , Metabolic Syndrome/etiology , Metabolic Syndrome/metabolism , MicroRNAs/genetics , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/etiology , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/metabolism , 3' Untranslated Regions , Animals , Biomarkers , Cells, Cultured , Diet, High-Fat/adverse effects , Disease Models, Animal , Disease Susceptibility , Gene Expression Regulation , Glucose/metabolism , Hepatocytes/metabolism , Insulin/metabolism , Lipid Metabolism , Male , Mice , Mice, Transgenic , Phenotype , RNA Interference , Transcriptome , Weight Gain
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