Impact of interventions for tuberculosis prevention and care in South Africa - a systematic review of mathematical modelling studies.

BACKGROUND: Substantial additional efforts are needed to prevent, find and successfully treat tuberculosis (TB) in South Africa (SA). In thepast decade, an increasing body of mathematical modelling research has investigated the population-level impact of TB prevention and careinterventions. To date, this evidence has not been assessed in the SA context. OBJECTIVE: To systematically review mathematical modelling studies that estimated the impact of interventions towards the World HealthOrganization's End TB Strategy targets for TB incidence, TB deaths and catastrophic costs due to TB in SA. METHODS: We searched the PubMed, Web of Science and Scopus databases for studies that used transmission-dynamic models of TB in SAand reported on at least one of the End TB Strategy targets at population level. We described study populations, type of interventions andtheir target groups, and estimates of impact and other key findings. For studies of country-level interventions, we estimated average annualpercentage declines (AAPDs) in TB incidence and mortality attributable to the intervention. RESULTS: We identified 29 studies that met our inclusion criteria, of which 7 modelled TB preventive interventions (vaccination,antiretroviral treatment (ART) for HIV, TB preventive treatment (TPT)), 12 considered interventions along the care cascade for TB(screening/case finding, reducing initial loss to follow-up, diagnostic and treatment interventions), and 10 modelled combinationsof preventive and care-cascade interventions. Only one study focused on reducing catastrophic costs due to TB. The highest impactof a single intervention was estimated in studies of TB vaccination, TPT among people living with HIV, and scale-up of ART. Forpreventive interventions, AAPDs for TB incidence varied between 0.06% and 7.07%, and for care-cascade interventions between 0.05%and 3.27%. CONCLUSION: We describe a body of mathematical modelling research with a focus on TB prevention and care in SA. We found higherestimates of impact reported in studies of preventive interventions, highlighting the need to invest in TB prevention in SA. However, studyheterogeneity and inconsistent baseline scenarios limit the ability to compare impact estimates between studies. Combinations, rather thansingle interventions, are likely needed to reach the End TB Strategy targets in SA.

Use of interactive messaging to reduce pre-diagnosis loss to follow-up for TB care.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the uptake and usage of a WhatsApp-based interactive communication strategy to avert pre-diagnosis loss to follow-up (LTFU) from TB care in a high-incidence setting.METHODS: We enrolled adults (≥18 years) who underwent routine sputum TB testing in two primary healthcare clinics in Khayelitsha, Cape Town, South Africa. The intervention consisted of structured WhatsApp-based reminders (prompts) sent prior to a routine clinic appointment scheduled 2-3 days after the diagnostic visit. Pre-diagnosis LTFU was defined as failure to return for the scheduled appointment and within 10 days.RESULTS: We approached 332 adults with presumptive TB, of whom 103 (31%) were successfully enrolled; 213 (64%) did not own a WhatsApp-compatible phone. Of 103 participants, 74 (72%) actively responded to WhatsApp prompts; 69 (67%) opted to include a close contact in group communication to co-receive reminders. Pre-diagnosis LTFU was low overall (n = 7, 6.8%) and was not associated with failure to respond to WhatsApp prompts.CONCLUSION: In this high-incidence setting, enrolment in a WhatsApp-based communication intervention among adults with presumptive TB was low, mainly due to low availability of WhatsApp-compatible phones. Among participants, we observed high message response rates and low LTFU, suggesting potential for interactive messaging services to support pre-diagnosis TB care.

Clinical standards for the assessment, management and rehabilitation of post-TB lung disease.

BACKGROUND: Increasing evidence suggests that post-TB lung disease (PTLD) causes significant morbidity and mortality. The aim of these clinical standards is to provide guidance on the assessment and management of PTLD and the implementation of pulmonary rehabilitation (PR).METHODS: A panel of global experts in the field of TB care and PR was identified; 62 participated in a Delphi process. A 5-point Likert scale was used to score the initial ideas for standards and after several rounds of revision the document was approved (with 100% agreement).RESULTS: Five clinical standards were defined: Standard 1, to assess patients at the end of TB treatment for PTLD (with adaptation for children and specific settings/situations); Standard 2, to identify patients with PTLD for PR; Standard 3, tailoring the PR programme to patient needs and the local setting; Standard 4, to evaluate the effectiveness of PR; and Standard 5, to conduct education and counselling. Standard 6 addresses public health aspects of PTLD and outcomes due to PR.CONCLUSION: This is the first consensus-based set of Clinical Standards for PTLD. Our aim is to improve patient care and quality of life by guiding clinicians, programme managers and public health officers in planning and implementing adequate measures to assess and manage PTLD.

Persistent chronic respiratory symptoms despite TB cure is poorly correlated with lung function.

BACKGROUND: Persistent respiratory symptoms and lung function deficits are common after patients with TB. We aimed to define the burden of post-TB lung disease (PTLD) and assess associations between symptoms and impairment in two high TB incidence communities.METHODS: This was a cross-sectional survey of adults in Cape Town, South Africa who completed TB treatment 1-5 years previously. Questionnaires, spirometry and 6-minute walking distance (6MWD) were used to assess relationships between outcome measures and associated factors.RESULTS: Of the 145 participants recruited (mean age: 42 years, range: 18-75; 55 [38%] women), 55 (38%) had airflow obstruction and 84 (58%) had low forced vital capacity (FVC); the mean 6MWD was 463 m (range: 240-723). Respiratory symptoms were common: chronic cough (n = 27, 19%), wheeze (n = 61, 42%) and dyspnoea (modified MRC dyspnoea score 3 or 4: n = 36, 25%). There was poor correlation between FVC or obstruction and 6MWD. Only low body mass index showed consistent association with outcomes on multivariable analyses. Only 19 (13%) participants had a diagnosis of respiratory disease, and 16 (11%) currently received inhalers.CONCLUSION: There was substantial burden of symptoms and physiological impairment in this "cured" population, but poor correlation between objective outcome measures, highlighting deficits in our understanding of PTLD.

Post-tuberculosis lung health: perspectives from the First International Symposium.

ALTHOUGH CURABLE, TB frequently leaves the individual with chronic physical and psycho-social impairment, but these consequences have been largely neglected. The 1st International Post-Tuberculosis Symposium (Stellenbosch, South Africa) was held to discuss priorities and gaps in addressing this issue. A barrier to progress has been the varied terminology and nomenclature, so the Delphi process was used to achieve consensus on definitions. Lack of sufficient evidence hampered definitive recommendations in most domains, including prevention and treatment of post-TB lung disease (PTLD), but the discussions clarified the research needed. A consensus was reached on a toolkit for future PTLD measurement and on PTLD patterns to be considered. The importance of extra-pulmonary consequences and progressive impairment throughout the life-course was identified, including TB recurrence and increased mortality. Patient advocates emphasised the need to address the psychological and social impacts post TB and called for clinical guidance. More generally, there is an urgent need for increased awareness and research into post-TB complications.

Notification of relapse and other previously treated tuberculosis in the 52 health districts of South Africa.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the extent to which relapse and other previously treated tuberculosis (TB) contribute to the notified TB burden in South Africa.DESIGN: We conducted an ecological analysis at the level of the 52 South African health districts using national electronic TB register data. We included all bacteriologically confirmed TB cases treated for presumed drug-susceptible TB in 2011. Treatment history information was based on recorded patient categories (new vs. retreatment).RESULTS: Relapse and other previously treated TB cases constituted between 7.6% and 40% (median 17%, interquartile range 12-22) of all bacteriologically confirmed TB cases in the 52 South African districts. Multivariable analysis suggested that districts with higher proportions of previously treated TB cases had higher TB case notification rates (P < 0.001), lower estimates of antenatal human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevalence in the district population (P < 0.001) as well as lower HIV co-infection rates (P < 0.001) among new TB cases.CONCLUSION: Relapse and other previously treated TB cases contributed substantially to the notified TB burden in several South African health districts, particularly those with high case notification rates and lower antenatal HIV prevalence. Additional efforts to prevent TB among previously treated people, such as strengthening treatment monitoring and/or secondary preventive therapy, should be considered.

Recurrent tuberculosis in the pre-elimination era.

Recurrent tuberculosis (TB), defined as TB that recurs after a patient has been considered cured, constitutes a challenge to TB control. In low TB burden countries, the underlying causes and consequences of recurrent TB are poorly understood. We conducted a literature review to summarise the evidence of recurrent TB in low-burden settings and to address current gaps in knowledge. We included peer-reviewed publications on studies conducted in countries with an estimated TB incidence of <100 cases per 100 000 population. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale was used to assess study quality. The review yielded 44 manuscripts, 39 of which were reports of observational studies and 5 of clinical trials. The median percentage of TB patients experiencing an episode of recurrent TB after treatment completion was 3.4% (interquartile range [IQR] 1.6-6.0, range 0.4-16.7) in studies with a median follow-up of 7.8 years (IQR 5-12, range 2-33). The median percentage of recurrences attributable to endogenous reactivation (rather than exogenous reinfection) was 81% (IQR 73.1-85.5, range 49-100). Commonly identified risk factors for recurrence in low-burden settings included infection by the human immunodeficiency virus, low socio-economic status, foreign birth and infection with drug-resistant TB. Current understanding of recurrence in low-burden settings is limited, in part due to substantial methodological differences between studies. Further research is required to delineate the mechanisms of TB recurrence, its health and clinical impact, as well as the implications for TB elimination efforts in low-burden countries.

Multiple cytokines for the detection of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection in children with tuberculosis.

SETTING: Interferon-gamma (IFN-γ) release assays (IGRAs) play an important role in the diagnosis of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection. However, in children with tuberculosis (TB), some studies have shown increased frequencies of false-negative or indeterminate IGRA results. OBJECTIVE: To analyse the spectrum of different cytokines to improve the diagnostic accuracy of IGRAs in latent tuberculous infection (LTBI) and active TB. DESIGN: We performed multiplex cytokine expression analysis of QuantiFERON® Gold In-Tube supernatants in children with active TB (n = 21) and disease-free contacts with (n = 15) and without LTBI (n = 12), to determine the sensitivity and specificity of the modified tests. RESULTS: Of 21 initial cytokines analysed, IFN-γ and six other candidates (interleukin [IL] 2, inducible protein 10 [IP-10], IL-13, IL-1α, tumour necrosis factor alpha [TNF-α] and granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor [GM-CSF]) were significantly more elevated in children with TB and those with LTBI than in the non-infected controls. Sensitivity and specificity were similar for IFN-γ and IL-2, but lower for the remaining candidates. Notably, a subset of candidates, including IP-10, showed M. tuberculosis antigen-induced specific expression in non-infected children. None of the candidates showed differences in expression between children with TB and those with LTBI. CONCLUSIONS: Our results did not suggest that alternative IGRA cytokines can distinguish between children with active TB and those with LTBI. IFN-γ and IL-2 showed comparable capacity in diagnosing M. tuberculosis infection in our study groups.

Increased risk of default among previously treated tuberculosis cases in the Western Cape Province, South Africa.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate, in two urban communities with high tuberculosis (TB) incidence and high rates of TB recurrence, whether a history of previous TB treatment is associated with treatment default. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of TB cases with an episode of treatment recorded in the clinic-based treatment registers between 2002 and 2007. Probabilistic record linkage was used to ascertain treatment history of TB cases back to 1996. Based on the outcome of their most recent previous treatment episode, previously treated cases were compared to new cases regarding their risk of treatment default. RESULTS: Previous treatment success (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.79; 95%CI 1.17-2.73), previous default (aOR 6.18, 95%CI 3.68-10.36) and previous failure (aOR 9.72, 95%CI 3.07-30.78) were each independently associated with treatment default (P < 0.001). Other factors independently associated with default were male sex (P = 0.003) and age 19-39 years (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Previously treated TB cases are at increased risk of treatment default, even after previous successful treatment. This finding is of particular importance in a setting where recurrent TB is very common. Adherence to treatment should be ensured in new and retreatment cases to increase cure rates and reduce transmission of TB in the community.

[Control of tuberculosis in Russia and other countries of the former Soviet Union]. / Die Kontrolle der Tuberkulose in den Nachfolgestaaten der Sowjetunion am Beispiel Russlands.

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) remains a serious threat to public health in Russia and other former Soviet Union Countries. The purpose of this paper is to describe the current trends of TB and MDR-TB in Russia and identify the characteristics of the traditional Russian TB control model inherited from the Soviet Union. We discuss current challenges to TB control in the country. METHODS: WHO tuberculosis notification data were analysed for Russia and 14 other former Soviet Union countries. To investigate the characteristics of TB control in Russia, we performed a systematic literature review using MEDLINE/EMBASE databases. 136 articles were initially identified of which 66 fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Full texts were reviewed. Additionally, we reviewed non-systematically Russian state reports, guidelines and legislations. RESULTS: In 2006, nearly 125 000 TB cases and 28 000 TB deaths were notified in the Russian Federation. The TB notification rate was 13 times higher than in Germany. The characteristics of the traditional Russian TB control model include: a centralised disease-specific inpatient network for diagnosis and treatment of TB, countrywide population screenings using fluorography, a strong focus on X-ray for diagnosis and disease classification, individualised and lengthy inpatient care, high rates of drug resistance, and inefficient financing systems. CONCLUSIONS: Current challenges to TB control in Russia are: the implementation of a quality-assured laboratory network for sputum-smear microscopy, culture and drug susceptibility testing, ensuring MDR-TB treatment and control, prevention and management of TB/HIV, and reform of health care financing systems. For TB control to be successful in the Russian Federation, the characteristics of the traditional TB control model need to be taken into account.