Comparing the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of sulfonylureas and newer diabetes drugs as second-line therapy for patients with type 2 diabetes.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to compare the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness profiles of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1-RA), sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i), and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP-4i) compared with sulfonylureas and glinides (SU). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Population-based retrospective cohort study based on linked regional healthcare utilization databases. The cohort included all residents in Lombardy aged ≥40 years, treated with metformin in 2014, who started a second-line treatment between 2015 and 2018 with SU, GLP-1-RA, SGLT2i, or DPP-4i. For each cohort member who started SU, one patient who began other second-line treatments was randomly selected and matched for sex, age, Multisource Comorbidity Score, and previous duration of metformin treatment. Cohort members were followed up until December 31, 2022. The association between second-line treatment and clinical outcomes was assessed using Cox proportional hazards models. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated and compared between newer diabetes drugs and SU. RESULTS: Overall, 22 867 patients with diabetes were included in the cohort, among which 10 577, 8125, 2893 and 1272 started a second-line treatment with SU, DPP-4i, SGLT2i and GLP-1-RA, respectively. Among these, 1208 patients for each group were included in the matched cohort. As compared with SU, those treated with DPP-4i, SGLT2i and GLP-1-RA were associated to a risk reduction for hospitalization for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) of 22% (95% CI 3% to 37%), 29% (95% CI 12% to 44%) and 41% (95% CI 26% to 53%), respectively. The ICER values indicated an average gain of €96.2 and €75.7 each month free from MACE for patients on DPP-4i and SGLT2i, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Newer diabetes drugs are more effective and cost-effective second-line options for the treatment of type 2 diabetes than SUs.

Impact of liver disease on oral anticoagulant prescription and major adverse events in patients with atrial fibrillation: analysis from a population-based cohort study.

AIMS: Data on the impact of liver disease (LD) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and the role of oral anticoagulant (OAC) drugs for stroke prevention are limited. METHODS AND RESULTS: A retrospective observational population-based cohort study on the administrative health databases of Lombardy region Italy. All AF patients ≥40 years admitted to hospital from 2000 to 2018 were considered. Atrial fibrillation and LD diagnosis were established using ICD9-CM codes. Use of OAC was determined with Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical codes. Primary study outcomes were stroke, major bleeding, and all-cause death. Among 393 507 AF patients, 16 168 (4.1%) had concomitant LD. Liver disease AF patients were significantly less treated with OAC. Concomitant LD was associated with an increased risk in all the study outcomes [hazard ratio (HR): 1.18, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.11-1.25 for stroke; HR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.47-1.66 for major bleeding; HR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.39-1.44 for all-cause death]. Use of OAC in patients with AF and LD resulted in a reduction in stroke (HR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.70-0.92), major bleeding (HR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.74-0.99), and all-cause death (HR: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.73-0.80), with similar results according to subgroups. A net clinical benefit (NCB) analysis suggested a positive benefit/risk ratio in using OAC in AF patients with LD (NCB: 0.408, 95% CI: 0.375-0.472). CONCLUSION: In AF patients, concomitant LD carries a significantly higher risk for all clinical outcomes. Use of OAC in AF patients with LD was associated with a significant favourable benefit/risk ratio, even in high-risk patient subgroups.

Sex-related differences in prevalence, treatment and outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation.

To analyze sex-related differences about AF prevalence, use of OAC and outcomes focusing on the older age classes. We used administrative data of the Lombardy Region, describing period prevalence, use of OAC and outcomes from 2002 to 2014 for all patients diagnosed with AF. AF prevalence over the 2002-2014 period was higher in males than in females (2.7% vs. 2.1%, p < 0.001), increasing with age. From 2003 to 2014, not treated AF patients decreased mostly in males (from 40.3 to 33.7% with respect to 43.7-39.8% in females). Age-stratified adjusted logistic regression analysis found that females were more likely treated with OAC when < 65 years in 2003 (OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.35-1.69) and in 2014 (OR 1.32, 95% CI 1.13-1.53); contrariwise, were less likely treated with OAC when age ≥ 75 years, in 2003 (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.86-0.98) and in 2014 (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.72-0.81).Adjusted Cox regression analysis confirmed that female AF patients had a higher risk of stroke (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.14-1.21) and a lower risk of major bleeding (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.80-0.86), while, had a lower risk for all-cause death (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.80-0.83). AF prevalence was higher in male than in female patients, while thromboembolic risk was higher in female. Older female patients were under-treated with OAC particularly in recent years. Over long-term follow-up, female had a higher risk of stroke and a lower risk of major bleeding and all-cause death.

Long-Term Relationship Between Atrial Fibrillation, Multimorbidity and Oral Anticoagulant Drug Use.

OBJECTIVES: To analyze the relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) in a population-based cohort study over a long-term follow-up period, in relation to oral anticoagulant (OAC) prescriptions and outcomes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We used data from the administrative health databases of Lombardy. All patients with AF and age 40 years and older and who were admitted to the hospital in 2002 were considered for analysis and followed up to 2014. AF diagnosis and CCI were established according to codes from the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision. RESULTS: In 2002, 24,040 patients were admitted with a diagnosis of AF. CCI was higher in patients with AF than in those without AF (1.8±2.1 vs 0.2±0.9; P<.001). Over 12 years of follow-up, AF was associated with an increased risk of higher CCI (beta coefficient, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.67-1.70). In patients with AF, CCI was inversely associated with OAC prescription at baseline (P<.001) and at the end of the follow-up (P=.03). Patients with AF and a high CCI (≥4) had a higher cumulative incidence of stroke, major bleeding, and all-cause death (all P<.001), compared with those with low CCI (range, 0-3). Adjusted Cox regression analysis revealed that time-dependent continuous CCI was associated with an increased risk for stroke, major bleeding, and all-cause death (all P<.001). CONCLUSIONS: In hospitalized patients, AF is associated with an increase in CCI that is inversely associated with OAC prescriptions during follow-up. CCI is independently associated with an increased risk of stroke, major bleeding, and all-cause death.

Sex differences in stroke and major adverse clinical events in patients with atrial fibrillation: A systematic review and meta-analysis of 993,600 patients.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most commonly diagnosed arrhythmia, which is associated with an increased risk of stroke. Several studies have suggested that female AF patients could have a greater risk for stroke and thromboembolic events (TE). METHODS: A systematic literature review update and meta-analysis was conducted using Pubmed. The search used the terms "atrial fibrillation", "gender", "sex", "female", "women", "stroke", "thromboembolism". Main aim of the study was to compare and male AF patients for occurrence of stroke and TE. Secondary outcomes were: major bleeding, cardiovascular (CV) death and all-cause death. RESULTS: Forty-four studies were included in the analysis including 993,603 patients (48.9% women). After pooling the data, there was a higher risk of stroke for women vs. male AF patients (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.24; 95% confidence intervals [CIs]: 1.14-1.36). Overall, TE risk was not different between female and male patients, despite sensitivity analysis left some uncertainties. No sex differences were found for major bleeding, CV death and all-cause death. A significant relationship between increasing age and the difference in stroke risk between female and male AF patients was found (Delta HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.00-1.03 for each year of age increase). CONCLUSIONS: Female patients with AF are at increased risk of stroke compared to men. A significant relationship between increasing age and stroke risk in women compared to men was found, most evident at age > 65 years. Female sex may act as a stroke risk modifier, particularly in elderly and very elderly AF subjects, conferring a significant increase in stroke risk.

Prevalence and management of diabetes in immigrants resident in the Lombardy Region: the importance of ethnicity and duration of stay.

AIMS: To describe the prevalence and management of diabetes among immigrants according to ethnic group and duration of stay, compared to Italian citizens. METHODS: Diabetic immigrant and Italian residents aged 20-69 years in the administrative database of the Lombardy Region. Immigrants were classified by region of origin and as long-term residents (LTR) and short-term residents (STR). Age- and sex-adjusted prevalence and indicators of diabetes management were calculated for immigrants by region of origin and by length of stay using Cox proportional models. RESULTS: In 2010 19,992 immigrants (mean age 49.1 ± 10.8, 53.7% males) and 195,049 Italians (mean age 58.7 ± 9.3, 61.1 males) with diabetes were identified. Immigrants had a higher adjusted diabetes prevalence than Italians (OR 1.48; 95% CI 1.45-1.50). STR received significantly fewer recommended cardiovascular drugs (antiplatelets, statins and ACE-inhibitors/ARBs) than Italians, although prescription was higher among LTR from some ethnic groups. Immigrants were less likely to be seen by a diabetologist and to do at least one HbA1c test per year. Although the recommended tests/visits were more often done for the LTR than the STR, in the majority of ethnic groups these indicators were still far from optimal. CONCLUSION: The prevalence and management of diabetes differ between immigrants and Italians, although some improvement can be seen among LTR.

Are all people with diabetes and cardiovascular risk factors or microvascular complications at very high risk? Findings from the Risk and Prevention Study.

AIMS: To verify whether it is possible, in people with diabetes mellitus (DM) considered at very high cardiovascular (CV) risk, stratify this risk better and identify significant modifiable risk factor (including lifestyle habits) to help patients and clinicians improve CV prevention. METHODS: People with DM and microvascular diseases or one or more CV risk factors (hypertension, hyperlipidemia, smoking, poor dietary habits, overweight, physical inactivity) included in the Risk and Prevention study were selected. We considered the combined endpoint of non-fatal acute myocardial infarction and stroke and CV death. A multivariate Cox proportional analysis was carried out to identify relevant predictors. We also used the RECPAM method to identify subgroups of patients at higher risk. RESULTS: In our study, the rate of major CV events was lower than expected (5 % in 5 years). Predictors of CV events were age, male, sex, heart failure, previous atherosclerotic disease, atrial fibrillation, insulin treatment, high HbA1c, heart rate and other CV diseases while being physically active was protective. RECPAM analysis indicated that history of atherosclerotic diseases and a low BMI defined worse prognosis (HR 4.51 95 % CI 3.04-6.69). Among subjects with no previous atherosclerotic disease, men with HbA1c more than 8 % were at higher CV risk (HR 2.77; 95 % CI 1.86-4.14) with respect to women. CONCLUSIONS: In this population, the rate of major CV events was lower than expected. This prediction model could help clinicians identify people with DM at higher CV risk and support them in achieving goals of physical activity and HbA1c.

Risk of dementia and death in patients with atrial fibrillation: A competing risk analysis of a population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have stated that atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a higher risk of dementia. However, none have examined the competition between death and incident dementia in patients with AF. We evaluated the risk of incident dementia in patients with AF in comparison to people without this arrhythmia, considering of the competing risk of death. METHODS: AF and non-AF cohorts were identified using the large administrative database of the Lombardy Region and followed for ten years. Patients with incident dementia were identified if they had an ICD 9 code referring to dementia at hospital discharge or a prescription for any anti-dementia drug. The association of AF with dementia or death was assessed with the multivariable Cox proportional-regression model, sensitivity analysis with a 1:1 propensity score matching and competing-risk analysis. RESULTS: In 2003 a total of 27,431 patients were hospitalized for AF in the Lombardy Region, while the cohort of non-AF counted 1,600,200 people. AF was associated with a higher risk of dementia (17%) and death (51%) at multivariable Cox analysis. These results were confirmed by the model fitted after propensity score matching. However, competing risk analysis found the association between AF and incident dementia was no longer significant (HR 0.99; 95% CI 0.94-1.04). CONCLUSIONS: In this real-world population the association between AF and dementia was no longer statistically significant when death was considered a competing risk.

Wastewater-based epidemiological evaluation of the effect of air pollution on short-acting beta-agonist consumption for acute asthma treatment.

Asthma, one of the most common chronic diseases in the world and a leading cause of hospitalization among children, has been associated with outdoor air pollution. We applied the wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) approach to study the association between the use of salbutamol, a short-acting beta-agonist used to treat acute bronchospasm, and air pollution in the population of Milan, Italy. Composite 24-h samples of untreated wastewater were collected daily and analyzed for human metabolic residues of salbutamol by liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry. Corresponding daily outdoor concentrations of particular matter up to 10µm (PM10) and 2.5µm (PM2.5) in aerodynamic diameter, nitrogen dioxide, ozone, sulfur dioxide, and benzene were collected from the public air monitoring network. Associations at different lag times (0-10 days) were assessed by a log-linear Poisson regression model. We found significant direct associations between defined daily doses (DDD) of salbutamol and mean daily concentrations of PM10 and PM2.5 up to nine days of lag time. The highest rate ratio, and 95% confidence interval (CI), of DDD of salbutamol was 1.06 (95% CI: 1.02-1.10) and 1.07 (95% CI: 1.02-1.12) at seven days of lag time and for an increase of 10 µg/m(3) of PM10 and PM2.5, respectively. Reducing the mean daily PM10 concentration in Milan from 50 to 30µg/m(3) means that 852 (95% CI: 483-1504) daily doses of salbutamol per day would not be used. These results confirm the association between asthma and outdoor PM10 and PM2.5 and prove the potential of the WBE approach to quantitatively estimate the relation between environmental exposures and diseases.

Improving cardiovascular prevention in general practice: Results of a comprehensive personalized strategy in subjects at high risk.

BACKGROUND: Although high cardiovascular risk patients should be the main target of preventive strategies, modifiable risk factors are often inadequately controlled. AIM: To assess feasibility and results of a comprehensive personalized method for cardiovascular prevention in high risk patients followed by their general practitioner. METHODS: Between 2004 and 2007, 12,513 patients (mean age 64.0 ± 9.5 years; 61.5% males) with multiple cardiovascular risk factors or history of atherosclerotic disease were identified and followed for five years. If control of major modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, diabetes, obesity, smoking, unhealthy diet, physical inactivity) was sub-optimal, at baseline and yearly thereafter general practitioners planned with patients, with the help of a brief checklist, preventive interventions to improve the global risk profile. Main outcome was the control of the seven major modifiable cardiovascular risk factors during follow-up. Secondary outcome was the incidence of cardiovascular deaths and hospitalization for cardiovascular reasons according to the improvement in global cardiovascular risk profile during the first year. RESULTS: Control of all major modifiable risk factors except physical inactivity improved gradually and significantly (p < 0.0001) during follow-up.The improvement in the global cardiovascular risk profile during the first year was independently and significantly associated with a lower rate of major cardiovascular events in the following years (hazard ratio 0.939; 95% confidence interval 0.887-0.994, p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Our comprehensive, personalized method for cardiovascular risk prevention in people at high risk appears feasible in general practice. The improvement in the global cardiovascular risk profile was associated with a better prognosis.

Diabetes mellitus as risk factor for atrial fibrillation hospitalization: Incidence and outcomes over nine years in a region of Northern Italy.

AIMS: Diabetes mellitus (DM) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are worldwide public health challenges and major causes of death and cardiovascular events. The association between DM and AF is controversial in literature and data on outcomes of individuals with both diseases have not been evaluated in population studies. We tested the hypothesis that DM is independently associated to AF hospitalization and assessed the risk of stroke and mortality in people with both conditions. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort-study of DM patients and their corresponding controls identified in a administrative health database of the Lombardy Region. Both cohorts were followed for nine years. A multivariable Cox proportional-hazards-regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) for first hospitalization for AF and for clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Out of 9,061,258 residents, 285,428 (3.14%) DM subjects were identified, mean age 65.8±15 years, 49% were women. The cumulative incidence of AF in DM was 10.4% vs. 7.4% in non-DM. DM was a risk factor for AF (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.30-1.34; p<0.0001). Oral anticoagulants were prescribed in 34.8% of DM patients with AF. DM associated with AF, presented the highest HR for stroke: 2.63; 95% CI 2.47-2.80 and for total death, HR 2.41; 95% CI 2.36-2.47. CONCLUSIONS: In this population study, DM was an independent risk factor for AF hospitalization. DM patients with AF had the highest risk of stroke and total mortality. Early identification of AF and a structured plan to optimize the comprehensive management of DM and AF patients is mandatory.

Epidemiologic Trends in Hospitalized Ischemic Stroke from 2002 to 2010: Results from a Large Italian Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: To describe the incidence of ischemic stroke, short-term mortality, recurrences, and prescription patterns. METHODS: Data from administrative health databases of the Lombardy Region from 2002 to 2010 (about 4 million people) were analyzed for stroke incidence and recurrence, mortality, and drug prescriptions after an ischemic stroke. RESULTS: A total of 43,352 patients with a first hospital admission for ischemic stroke were identified. During 8 years, stroke incidence decreased from 3.2 of 1000 to 2.4 of 1000 (P < .001) in people aged 65-74 years, from 7.1 of 1000 to 5.3 of 1000 (P < .001) at ages 75-84 years and from 11.9 of 1000 to 9.4 of 1000 (P < .001) at age 85 years or older. Stroke recurrences dropped by 30% (from 10.0% to 7.0%, P < .001) and 30-day mortality rate also decreased. Prescription trends showed linear increase in antiplatelets and lipid-lowering drugs, respectively, from 60.2% to 65.0% (P < .001) and from 19.1% to 34.6% (P < .001), whereas antihypertensive prescriptions did not change appreciably. Anticoagulant prescription increased in patients with atrial fibrillation, from 64.8% to 72.1% in the 65-74 years age group, (P = .004) and from 40.2% to 53.7% in the 75-84 years age group (P < .001); less than 20% of the 85 years or older age group were treated with anticoagulants (P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: Stroke incidence, recurrence, and 30-day mortality decreased from 2002 to 2010 concomitant with an increase in prescriptions of secondary stroke prevention drugs.

Changes in prescribing patterns and clinical outcomes in elderly diabetic patients in 2000 and 2010: analysis of a large Italian population-based study.

PURPOSE: To describe prescribing patterns in elderly Italian diabetic patients of the Lombardy Region in 2000 and 2010 using an administrative database. Hospital admissions and mortality were also recorded and compared in the two index years. METHODS: Analyses were performed on the whole cohort of elderly diabetic patients and across age groups. Direct age standardization was done, with data from the Lombardy Region database for 2005 used as reference to compare diabetic populations in the two index years. Logistic regression models were used to analyze changes in hospital admissions and mortality and to calculate odds ratios. RESULTS: Using data retrieved from the Lombardy Region database we identified 176,384 and 283,982 elderly diabetic patients in 2000 and 2010, respectively. The overall rates of patients treated with antidiabetic drugs were 92.5% in 2000 and 97.0% in 2010. Between 2000 and 2010 the prescribing of glibenclamide declined by 30.0% (from 52.9 to 22.9%, p < 0.001) and that of biguanides rose by 17.4 % (from 47.5 to 64.8%, p < 0.001). In 2010 thiazolidinediones, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors and incretin mimetic drugs were seldom prescribed. Drugs for cardiovascular prevention rose in all age classes from 2000 to 2010, and the rates of hospital admission overall fell from 32.0 to 26.8% (p < 0.001) during the same period, with the exception of those aged ≥85 years. Between 2000 and 2010 the mortality rate decreased in patients aged 65-74 years (from 3.4 to 2.9%, p < 0.0001) and rose significantly in those aged ≥85 years. CONCLUSIONS: The drug prescription profile of elderly diabetic patients changed from 2000 to 2010, with a tendency toward recommended drugs. These changes may possibly be linked to the decrease in both hospital admissions and mortality in the diabetic group aged 65-74 years.

Sex differences in cardiovascular outcomes, pharmacological treatments and indicators of care in patients with newly diagnosed diabetes: Analyses on administrative database.

BACKGROUND: The impact of diabetes on cardiovascular disease in both sexes is known, but the specifics have not been fully clarified. We investigated whether sex-related differences exist in terms of management and hospitalization in patients with newly diagnosed diabetes. METHODS: We examined the rates of hospitalization for cardiovascular causes, mortality, treatments and management of patients with diabetes compared to subjects without, from administrative database. Interaction between sex and diabetes on clinical outcomes were calculated using a Cox regression model. Pharmacological treatments and recommended examinations by sex were calculated using logistic regression. RESULTS: From 2002 to 2006, 158,426 patients with diabetes and 314,115 subjects without were identified and followed up for a mean of 33 months (± 17.5). Diabetes confers a higher risk for all clinical outcomes. Females with diabetes have a risk profile for hospitalization for coronary heart disease comparable to males without (4.6% and 5.3%). Interaction between sex and diabetes shows that females with diabetes had an added 19% higher risk of total death (95% CI 1.13-1.24). No differences were observed in hospitalizations, although females with diabetes were less likely to undergo revascularization after myocardial infarction. Females received cardiovascular prevention drugs less frequently than males and had a slight tendency to get fewer examinations. CONCLUSION: Diabetes is linked to a higher increase of mortality in females relative to males. This might reflect sex differences in the use of revascularization procedures or therapeutic regimens. Closer attention and implementation of standard care for females are necessary from the onset of diabetes.

n-3 fatty acids in patients with multiple cardiovascular risk factors.

BACKGROUND: Trials have shown a beneficial effect of n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids in patients with a previous myocardial infarction or heart failure. We evaluated the potential benefit of such therapy in patients with multiple cardiovascular risk factors or atherosclerotic vascular disease who had not had a myocardial infarction. METHODS: In this double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial, we enrolled a cohort of patients who were followed by a network of 860 general practitioners in Italy. Eligible patients were men and women with multiple cardiovascular risk factors or atherosclerotic vascular disease but not myocardial infarction. Patients were randomly assigned to n-3 fatty acids (1 g daily) or placebo (olive oil). The initially specified primary end point was the cumulative rate of death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke. At 1 year, after the event rate was found to be lower than anticipated, the primary end point was revised as time to death from cardiovascular causes or admission to the hospital for cardiovascular causes. RESULTS: Of the 12,513 patients enrolled, 6244 were randomly assigned to n-3 fatty acids and 6269 to placebo. With a median of 5 years of follow-up, the primary end point occurred in 1478 of 12,505 patients included in the analysis (11.8%), of whom 733 of 6239 (11.7%) had received n-3 fatty acids and 745 of 6266 (11.9%) had received placebo (adjusted hazard ratio with n-3 fatty acids, 0.97; 95% confidence interval, 0.88 to 1.08; P=0.58). The same null results were observed for all the secondary end points. CONCLUSIONS: In a large general-practice cohort of patients with multiple cardiovascular risk factors, daily treatment with n-3 fatty acids did not reduce cardiovascular mortality and morbidity. (Funded by Società Prodotti Antibiotici and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00317707.).

Cognitive impairment and risk of cardiovascular events and mortality.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive impairment may increase the risk of all cardiovascular (CV) events. We prospectively evaluated the independent association between Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score and myocardial infarction, stroke, hospital admission for heart failure and mortality, and their CV composite (major CV events), in a large high-risk CV population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Mini-Mental State Examination was recorded at baseline in 30 959 individuals enrolled into two large parallel trials of patients with prior cardiovascular disease or high-risk diabetes and followed for a median of 56 months. We used a Cox regression model to determine the association between MMSE score and incident CV events and non-CV mortality, adjusted for age, sex, education, history of vascular events, dietary factors, blood pressure, smoking, glucose, low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein, CV medications, exercise, alcohol intake pattern, depression, and psychosocial stress. Patients were categorized into four groups based on baseline MMSE; 30 (reference), 29-27, 26-24, and <24. Compared with patients with an MMSE of 30 (n = 9624), those with scores of 29-27 [n = 13 867; hazard ratio (HR) 1.08; 95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.01-1.16], 26-24 (n = 4764; HR: 1.15; 95% CI: 1.05-1.26) and <24 (n = 2704; HR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.21-1.50) had a graded increase in the risk of major vascular events (P < 0.0001). Mini-Mental State Examination score was significantly associated with each of the individual components of the composite, except myocardial infarction. There was also no association between baseline MMSE and hospitalization for unstable or new angina. Within MMSE domains, impairments in orientation to place (HR: 1.52; 1.25-1.85), attention-calculation (HR: 1.10; 1.02-1.18), recall (HR: 1.10; 1.04-1.16), and design copy (HR: 1.15; 1.06-1.24) were the most predictive of major vascular events and mortality. The magnitude of increased risk of CV events associated with an MMSE <24 was similar to a previous history of stroke. CONCLUSION: In people at increased CV risk, impairments on baseline cognitive testing are associated with a graded increase in the risk of stroke, congestive heart failure, and CV death, but not coronary events. An MMSE score of <24 increased CV disease risk to the same extent as a previous stroke.