Estimating long-term effects of disease-modifying drug therapy in multiple sclerosis patients.

Two methods were used to estimate the long-term impact of disease-modifying drug therapy (DMDT) in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS) who completed a placebo-controlled, randomized clinical trial of interferon beta-1a (IFNbeta-1a). The study cohort consisted of patients with ambulatory relapsing MS who had previously participated in a placebo-controlled clinical trial for two years. At its end, patients were managed in an unstructured fashion by their neurologists and re-evaluated at an average of 6.1 years after the end of the trial. Follow-up evaluation was obtained for 93% of the 172 eligible patients. Because study inclusion criteria required that all patients have an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of < or = 3.5 at entry, disability progression at follow-up was defined as EDSS > or = 6.0. Two methods were used to estimate the expected proportions that reached EDSS > or = 6.0 at follow-up. Estimates were compared with observed proportions. Method 1 used progression rates observed during the two-year phase III clinical trial and the percentage of time that patients were on DMDT during the follow-up period. Method 2 used progression rates from a natural history comparison group of relapsing-remitting MS patients. At the eight-year follow-up, 42.0% of the original placebo patients and 29.1% of the original IFNbeta-1a patients reached an EDSS > or = 6.0, an observed treatment effect of approximately 30%. Using method 1, it was estimated that 36.3% of the original placebo patients and 27.6% of the original IFNbeta-1a patients should have reached an EDSS > or = 6.0. Use of the natural history control group (method 2) predicted less plausible outcomes. Estimated proportions of patients reaching the endpoint were 63.3% for the original placebo group and 55.8% for the original IFNbeta-1a group. Treatment effect sizes of 75-90% would be required to match estimates from method 2 with the observed outcome. The paucity of data on the long-term treatment of patients with MS may be aided by applying these or similar methods to vigorously followed cohorts of patients.

Eight-year follow-up study of brain atrophy in patients with MS.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize whole-brain atrophy in relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients over an 8-year period. The specific goals of this study were to determine if brain atrophy is related to subsequent disability status and to identify MRI correlates of atrophy progression. METHODS: A follow-up study was conducted to reassess patients from a phase III trial of interferon beta-1a (IFNbeta-1a) 8 years after randomization. Clinical and MRI data from 172 patients followed over 2 years in the original trial were used as baseline data. Follow-up data were obtained on 160 patients, including 134 patients with follow-up MRI examinations. Brain atrophy was estimated by automated calculation of brain parenchymal fraction. The relation between atrophy during the original trial and disability status at follow-up was determined. Correlations were also determined between lesion measurements from the original trial and the brain parenchymal fraction at follow-up. RESULTS: Brain atrophy was correlated with subsequent disability status. Atrophy rate during the original trial was the most significant MRI predictor of disability status at follow-up. Brain atrophy at follow-up was related to lesion volumes measured during the original trial. CONCLUSIONS: The relation between atrophy progression and subsequent neurologic disability status suggests that atrophy progression during RRMS is clinically relevant. Therefore, atrophy progression may be a useful marker for disease progression in clinical trials. The relation between lesions and subsequent atrophy indicates that brain atrophy may be related to focal tissue damage at earlier points in time, but important predisposing or other factors contributing to atrophy remain undefined.

Use of the Multiple Sclerosis Functional Composite to predict disability in relapsing MS.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the MS Functional Composite (MSFC) can predict future disease progression in patients with relapsing remitting MS (RR-MS). BACKGROUND: The MSFC was recommended by the Clinical Outcomes Assessment Task Force of the National MS Society as a new clinical outcome measure for clinical trials. The MSFC, which contains a test of walking speed, arm dexterity, and cognitive function, is expressed as a single score on a continuous scale. It was thought to offer improved reliability and responsiveness compared with traditional clinical MS outcome measures. The predictive value of MSFC scores in RR-MS has not been determined. METHODS: The authors conducted a follow-up study of patients with RR-MS who participated in a phase III study of interferon beta-1a (AVONEX) to determine the predictive value of MSFC scores. MSFC scores were constructed from data obtained during the phase III trial. Patients were evaluated by neurologic and MRI examinations after an average interval of 8.1 years from the start of the clinical trial. The relationships between MSFC scores during the clinical trial and follow-up status were determined. RESULTS: MSFC scores from the phase III clinical trial strongly predicted clinical and MRI status at the follow-up visit. Baseline MSFC scores, and change in MSFC score over 2 years correlated with both disability status and the severity of whole brain atrophy at follow-up. There were also significant correlations between MSFC scores during the clinical trial and patient-reported quality of life at follow-up. The correlation with whole brain atrophy at follow-up was stronger for baseline MSFC than for baseline EDSS. CONCLUSION: MSFC scores in patients with RR-MS predict the level of disability and extent of brain atrophy 6 to 8 years later. MSFC scores may prove useful to assign prognosis, monitor patients during early stages of MS, and to assess treatment effects.

Relationship between brain atrophy and disability: an 8-year follow-up study of multiple sclerosis patients.

Brain atrophy measurement can provide an estimate of the amount of tissue destruction due to the pathologic processes in multiple sclerosis. The potential usefulness of atrophy as a marker of disease progression depends upon the concurrent and predictive relationships between atrophy and disability. A follow-up study was performed to measure atrophy and disability scores in patients from the Multiple Sclerosis Collaborative Research Group's phase III trial of IFNbeta-1a (Avonex) in relapsing- remitting multiple sclerosis. New data were obtained on 160 out of 172 eligible patients from the original trial were enrolled in the follow-up study approximately 8 years after randomization. The follow-up visit consisted of several tests and questionnaires including a clinical exam to determine Expanded Disability Status Score (EDSS) and Multiple Sclerosis Functional Composite (MSFC), and a magnetic resonance imaging exam to calculate the brain parenchymal fraction. Brain parenchymal fraction was correlated with both EDSS and MSFC at each of the four time points for which data were available (baseline 1, 2 and 8 years). Furthermore, the change in BPF was correlated with the changes in disability scores from the end of the phase III trial to the follow-up exam. These data suggest that brain atrophy may be a useful and clinically relevant marker of disease progression in relapsing--remitting MS.

Cerebrospinal fluid abnormalities in a phase III trial of Avonex (IFNbeta-1a) for relapsing multiple sclerosis. The Multiple Sclerosis Collaborative Research Group.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: This report provides results of CSF analyses done in a subset of relapsing remitting MS patients participating in a placebo-controlled, double-blind, phase III clinical trial of IFNbeta-Studies supported by the National Multiple Sclerosis Society (grants RG2019, RG2827),a (Avonex , Biogen). The clinical trial demonstrated that IFNbeta-1a treatment resulted in significantly reduced disability progression, annual relapse rate, and new brain lesions visualized by cranial magnetic resonance imaging. The objectives of the current study were to determine: (a) whether CSF abnormalities in MS patients correlated with disease or MRI characteristics, and (b) effects of IFNbeta-1a therapy on these CSF abnormalities. METHODS: CSF was analyzed from 262 (87%) of the 301 study subjects at entry into the clinical trial, and a second CSF sample was analyzed from 137 of these 262 subjects after 2 years of therapy. CSF cell counts, oligoclonal bands (OCB), IgG index, and free kappa light chains were measured using standard assays. Baseline CSF results were compared with demographic, disease, and MRI parameters. Differences in on-study relapse rate, gadolinium enhancement, and EDSS change according to baseline CSF status was used to determine the predictive value of CSF for subsequent clinical and MRI disease activity. Change in CSF parameters after 104 weeks were used to determine the effects of treatment. RESULTS: (1) At study baseline, 37% of the subjects had abnormal CSF WBC counts, 61% had abnormal levels of CSF free kappa light chains, 84% had abnormal IgG index values, and 90% were positive for OCB. (2) Baseline IgG index, kappa light chains, and OCB showed weakly positive, statistically significant correlations with Gd-enhanced lesion volume and T2 lesion volume. WBC showed a statistically significant correlation with Gd-enhancing lesion volume but was uncorrelated with T2 lesion volume. (3) There was an associated between baseline CSF WBC counts and on-study clinical and MRI disease activity in placebo recipients. (4) IFNbeta-1a treatment resulted in significantly reduced CSF WBC counts, but there was no treatment-related change in CSF IgG index, kappa light chains, or OCB, which remained relatively stable over time in both patient groups. CONCLUSIONS: The current study documents significant reductions in CSF WBC counts in patients treated with IFNbeta-1a for 104 weeks. This finding is considered relevant to the therapeutic response, since CSF WBC counts were found to be positively correlated with subsequent clinical and MRI disease activity in placebo-treated relapsing MS patients.

Incidence and significance of neutralizing antibodies to interferon beta-1a in multiple sclerosis. Multiple Sclerosis Collaborative Research Group (MSCRG)

BACKGROUND: Interferon beta is an effective treatment for relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS). As with other protein drugs, neutralizing antibodies (NAB) can develop that reduce the effectiveness of treatment. OBJECTIVES: To determine the incidence and biological significance of NAB to interferon beta-la (IFN-beta-1a; Avonex; Biogen, Cambridge, MA) in MS patients. METHODS: A two-step assay for NAB to IFN-beta-1a was developed and used to assay serum samples from participants in the phase III clinical trial of IFN-beta-1a, and from patients in an ongoing open-label study of IFN-beta-1a. The biological significance of NAB to IFN-beta-1a was determined by relating the NAB assay result to in vivo induction of the IFN-inducible molecules neopterin and beta-2 microglobulin, and the clinical significance was determined by comparing clinical and MRI measures of disease activity after 2 years of IFN-beta-1a therapy in patients who were NAB+ and NAB-. The incidence of NAB was compared in MS patients who had used only IFN-beta-1a with the incidence in MS patients who had used only IFN-beta-1b. RESULTS: In patients in the open-label study, development of NAB to IFN-beta-1a resulted in a titer-dependent reduction in neopterin induction after interferon injections. In patients in the phase III study, development of NAB was associated with a reduction in beta-2 microglobulin induction. In the phase III study, a trend toward reduced benefit of IFN-beta-1a on MRI activity in NAB+ versus NAB- patients was observed. The incidence of NAB to IFN-beta-1a in the open-label study was approximately 5% over 24 months of treatment of IFN-beta-1a therapy, but was four- to sixfold higher using the same assay for patients exposed only to IFN-beta-1b for a similar duration. There were no clinical, MRI, or CSF characteristics that were predictive of which patients would develop NAB. CONCLUSIONS: NAB directed against IFN-beta have in vivo biological consequences in patients with MS. The frequency with which MS patients develop NAB against IFN-beta is significantly greater with IFN-beta-1b therapy compared with IFN-beta-1a therapy. Treatment decisions in MS patients treated with IFN-beta should take into account development of NAB.

Comparing the ability of various compositive outcomes to discriminate treatment effects in MS clinical trials. The Multiple Sclerosis Collaborative Research Group (MSCRG).

We compared the ability of the Kurtzke Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and a composite outcome of non-physician-based measures of time to ambulate 25 feet (TA) and manual dexterity (the Box and Block Test [BBT], and 9-Hole Peg Test [9HPT]) to discriminate treatment effects in the Phase III study of interferon beta-1a. A log-rank comparison of Kaplan-Meier curves by treatment group showed the non-physician-based composite of BBT, 9HPT, and TA was of comparable sensitivity (P = 0.013) in discriminating sustained treatment failure as the EDSS alone (P = 0.029). The composite of BBT, 9HPT, TA, and EDSS was more sensitive (P = 0.009) in discriminating sustained treatment failure than the EDSS alone. Compositive outcomes of the EDSS and non-physician-based measures of manual dexterity and timed ambulation provide an appealing strategy to reduce the number of patients required to discriminate treatment effects in MS clinical trials.

Impact of interferon beta-1a on neurologic disability in relapsing multiple sclerosis. The Multiple Sclerosis Collaborative Research Group (MSCRG).

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: A phase III double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial demonstrated that interferon beta-1a (IFN beta-1a) (Avonex, Biogen) significantly delayed progression of disability in relapsing MS patients. The primary clinical outcome was time from study entry until disability progression, defined as > or = 1.0 point worsening from baseline Kurtzke Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score persisting for at least two consecutive scheduled visits separated by 6 months. The objective of this study was to examine the magnitude of benefit on EDSS and its clinical significance. METHODS: Post hoc analyses related to disability outcomes using data collected during the double-blind, placebo-controlled phase III clinical trial. RESULTS: (1) Clinical efficacy related to disability did not depend on the definition of disability progression. A significant benefit in favor of IFN beta-1a was observed when > or = 2.0 point worsening from baseline EDSS was required or when worsening was required to persist for > or = 1.0 year. (2) Placebo recipients who reached the primary clinical outcome worsened by a larger amount from baseline EDSS than did IFN beta-1a recipients who reached the primary study outcome. (3) Significantly fewer IFN beta-1a recipients progressed to EDSS milestones of 4.0 (relatively severe impairment) or 6.0 (unilateral assistance needed to walk). (4) Cox proportional hazards models demonstrated that the only baseline characteristic strongly correlated with longer time to disability progression was IFN beta-1a treatment. CONCLUSIONS: The primary clinical outcome for the IFN beta-1a clinical trial underestimated clinical benefits of treatment. Results in this report demonstrate that IFN beta-1a treatment is associated with robust, clinically important beneficial effects on disability progression in relapsing MS patients.

Relationship of the antispasticity effect of tizanidine to plasma concentration in patients with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Spasticity is a serious problem in multiple sclerosis (MS) and many patients do not achieve a satisfactory response to currently available oral antispasticity drugs. Tizanidine hydrochloride, an alpha 2-noradrenergic agonist, has been shown to have an antispasticity effect in single center trials of patients with MS. OBJECTIVE: To compare plasma concentrations of tizanidine with objective measures of muscle tone in patients with MS with moderate to severe spasticity. SETTING: Ten centers, all tertiary referral centers for the specialized treatment of patients with MS, in the United States and Canada. DESIGN: A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, dose-response study of tizanidine hydrochloride (8 or 16 mg). PATIENTS: One hundred forty-two patients with spastic MS who were not taking any interfering medication, such as an antispasticity drug or other alpha-noradrenergic agonist, entered the trial. RESULTS: Tizanidine treatment reduced muscle tone significantly, as shown by improved Ashworth scores and increased knee swing amplitude recorded by the pendulum test, both of which correlated significantly with plasma concentration. Placebo had no significant effect on muscle tone. Dizziness, drowsiness, dry mouth, and fatigue were reported most often in the group treated with tizanidine at peak plasma concentration. CONCLUSIONS: Tizanidine reduces spasticity in MS, and both therapeutic effects and side effects are related to the plasma drug levels.

Intramuscular interferon beta-1a for disease progression in relapsing multiple sclerosis. The Multiple Sclerosis Collaborative Research Group (MSCRG)

The accepted standard treatment of relapsing multiple sclerosis consists of medications for disease symptoms, including treatment for acute exacerbations. However, currently there is no therapy that alters the progression of physical disability associated with this disease. The purpose of this study was to determine whether interferon beta-1a could slow the progressive, irreversible, neurological disability of relapsing multiple sclerosis. Three hundred one patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis were randomized into a double-blinded, placebo-controlled, multicenter phase III trial of interferon beta-1a. Interferon beta-1a, 6.0 million units (30 micrograms¿, was administered by intramuscular injection weekly. The primary outcome variable was time to sustained disability progression of at least 1.0 point on the Kurtzke Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). Interferon beta-1a treatment produced a significant delay in time to sustained EDSS progression (p = 0.02). The Kaplan-Meier estimate of the proportion of patients progressing by the end of 104 weeks was 34.9% in the placebo group and 21.9% in the interferon beta-1a-treated group. Patients treated with interferon beta-1a also had significantly fewer exacerbations (p = 0.03) and a significantly lower number and volume of gadolinium-enhanced brain lesions on magnetic resonance images (p-values ranging between 0.02 and 0.05). Over 2 years, the annual exacerbation rate was 0.90 in placebo-treated patients versus 0.61 in interferon beta-1a-treated patients. There were no major adverse events related to treatment. Interferon beta-1a had a significant beneficial impact in relapsing multiple sclerosis patients by reducing the accumulation of permanent physical disability, exacerbation frequency, and disease activity measured by gadolinium-enhanced lesions on brain magnetic resonance images. This treatment may alter the fundamental course of relapsing multiple sclerosis.

Myelination of axons within cytosine arabinoside treated mouse cerebellar explants by cultured rat oligodendrocytes.

Cell suspensions of cultured purified rat oligodendrocytes prepared by the differential substrate adhesion method were applied to neonatal mouse cerebellar explant cultures in which myelination and oligodendrocyte maturation had been irreversibly inhibited by exposure to cytosine arabinoside. Myelination of Purkinje cell axons within 92% of the host explants was observed 2-5 days after oligodendrocyte application. Ultrastructurally, mature oligodendrocytes and axons surrounded by compact myelin, as well as spherules of compact myelin membranes without axons, were present within the cerebellar explants. It is evident that cultured dissociated purified oligodendrocytes retain the ability to myelinate appropriate axons. Such oligodendrocytes may be hyperreactive with regard to myelin membrane formation, as suggested by the presence of spheres of compact myelin without axons.