What proportion of CT scan patients are alive or deceased after 10 years?

PURPOSE: When discussing radiation risks for patients who undergo many CT examinations, some question the risks, believing that most of these patients are already very sick and likely to die within a few years, thus negating worry about radiation risk. This study seeks to evaluate the validity of this notion. METHODS: In this retrospective single large-hospital study, patients who received CT exams in 2013 were sorted into four cumulative effective dose (CED) groups: Group A (>0 to <10 mSv), Group B (10 to <50 mSv), Group C (50 to < 100 mSv), and Group D (≥100 mSv). The death rates of patients in each group were analyzed, up to December 2023. RESULTS: 36,545 patients underwent CT examinations in 2013 (mean age, 56 ± 20 years, 51.4 % men). Death rates for all dose groups peaked in the year of imaging or 1 year after. At one year after imaging, Group D had 6.7 times and Group C had 4.3 times the death rate of Group A. However, a significant portion of these patients are alive after 10 years, with 1324/2756 patients (48.0 %) in Group C and 282/769 patients (36.7 %) in Group D with the potential to face radiation effects. CONCLUSIONS: While it is true that patients receiving relatively higher doses (≥50 mSv) are more likely to die within the first two years of receiving such doses, nearly one-third to half remain alive a decade after their CT scans, potentially facing the effects of radiation. This knowledge may help policymakers and practitioners.

Is a one percent occurrence of high-dose patients significant?

Risk-free society is utopian. We come across risks in everyday life, and we use probabilities to get a feel of how risky a situation is. Risk probability numbers of around 1% are comforting, but an intercomparison of numbers among various low risks in popular situations can be enlightening. In this article, we compare risks of complications or death in several surgeries and risks in commercial air travel with risks for patients getting cumulative effective dose (CED) of 100 mSv or more, as the latter is a hot and controversial topic currently. The analysis shows that many common surgeries are a few tens or hundreds of times less risky than the risk from a 100 mSv dose, even though the former often frightens us more. Despite there being a much higher chance of developing cancer from radiation than being involved in a commercial plane accident, there is much less emphasis on patient radiation safety than aviation safety. Further, a look at the system of control on prescription drugs indicates that there is much to learn for policy planning. This analysis may help the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) in their review of recommendations.