The distribution of esophageal cancer patients enrolled in care at the Uganda Cancer Institute by sub-regions, districts and ethnicity.

Background: There is limited published data regarding the distribution of esophageal cancer patients by sub-regions, districts and ethnicity in Uganda. Objectives: To study the distribution by sub-regions, districts, ethnicity and sub-regions post-care outcomes of esophageal cancer patients in care over ten years at the Uganda Cancer Institute. Methods: Patients' charts with confirmed diagnoses of esophageal cancer for 2009-2019 were identified. Case information, which included demographics, clinical presentation, distribution by sub-regions, districts, ethnicity and sub-regions post-care outcomes, were retrospectively abstracted. Results: Central 671(34.15%), Southwestern 308(15.67%), Elgon 176(8.95%) and East central 163(8.29%) sub-regions had most patients. Mostly from administrative districts of Wakiso 167(8.50%), Mbarara 51(2.59%), Tororo 53(2.70%), Busia 33(1.68). Baganda, Banyakole, Bagisu and Basoga ethnic groups predominate. Patients from neighbouring countries were mainly from Rwanda 56(2.85%), South Sudan 24(1.22%), then Kenya 21(1.07%), and Rwandese, Dinka and Luo by ethnicity, respectively. Central and Southwestern sub-regions had the most post-care outcomes of the patients regarding living, death, and loss to follow-up. Conclusion: Patients are commonly from the administrative districts of Central, Southwestern, Elgon and East Central sub-regions and neighbouring countries of Rwanda, South Sudan and Kenya. Baganda, Banyakole, Bagisu and Basoga are the main ethnic groups. Central and Southwestern sub-regions are with most post-care outcomes.

From transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis diagnosis to tafamidis treatment: Association of drop-off with patient sociodemographic characteristics.

DISCLAIMER: In an effort to expedite the publication of articles, AJHP is posting manuscripts online as soon as possible after acceptance. Accepted manuscripts have been peer-reviewed and copyedited, but are posted online before technical formatting and author proofing. These manuscripts are not the final version of record and will be replaced with the final article (formatted per AJHP style and proofed by the authors) at a later time. PURPOSE: Compared to estimated population prevalence rates, relatively few patients at risk are diagnosed with and treated for transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis (ATTR-CA). Where along the clinical pathway patient drop-off occurs, as well as the association of drop-off with patient sociodemographic characteristics, remains unknown. METHODS: Using data from a healthcare system-wide cardiovascular imaging repository and specialty pharmacy, we characterized the clinical pathway from diagnosis with pyrophosphate scintigraphy (PYP) to tafamidis prescription, initiation, and adherence. Standardized differences (d values of ≥0.20, indicating at least a small effect size) were used to compare sociodemographics (age, sex, race, Area Deprivation Index) among patients with PYP-identified ATTR-CA by tafamidis prescription status and among patients prescribed tafamidis by initiation status. Tafamidis adherence was measured with the proportion of days covered (PDC). RESULTS: Of 97 patients with ATTR-CA, 58.8% were prescribed tafamidis, with 80.7% of those initiating therapy. Patients with ATTR-CA prescribed tafamidis were younger than those not prescribed tafamidis (d = -0.30). Utilization of a specialty pharmacy resulted in enrichment of treatment in subgroups traditionally undertreated in cardiovascular medicine, with higher rates of tafamidis initiation among women (100% initiation), patients of Black/African American race (d = 0.40), and those living in more economically disadvantaged areas (d ≥ 0.30). Adherence was high (PDC of >80%) in 88.4% of those initiating tafamidis. CONCLUSION: These findings highlight the tremendous opportunity for more robust ATTR-CA clinical programs, identifying potential patient subgroups that should be targeted to reduce disparities. For patients diagnosed with ATTR-CA, utilization of a specialty pharmacy process appears to ensure equitable provision of tafamidis therapy.

Volumetric Additive Manufacturing of Dicyclopentadiene by Solid-State Photopolymerization.

Polymerization in the solid state is generally infeasible due to restrictions on mobility. However, in this work, the solid-state photopolymerization of crystalline dicyclopentadiene is demonstrated via photoinitiated ring-opening metathesis polymerization. The source of mobility in the solid state is attributed to the plastic crystal nature of dicyclopentadiene, which yields local short-range mobility due to orientational degrees of freedom. Polymerization in the solid state enables photopatterning, volumetric additive manufacturing of free-standing structures, and fabrication with embedded components. Solid-state photopolymerization of dicyclopentadiene offers a new paradigm for advanced and freeform fabrication of high-performance thermosets.

COVID-19 Vaccination and Parent-Reported Symptomatic Child Asthma Prevalence.

This cross-sectional study evaluates the association between COVID-19 vaccination and symptomatic child asthma.

Electronic Health Record Concordance with Survey-Reported Military Sexual Trauma Among Younger Veterans: Associations with Health Care Utilization and Mental Health Diagnoses.

Introduction: Military sexual trauma (MST) is more common among post-9/11 Veterans and women versus older Veterans and men. Despite mandatory screening, the concordance of electronic health record (EHR) documentation and survey-reported MST, and associations with health care utilization and mental health diagnoses, are unknown for this younger group. Materials and Methods: Veterans' Health Administration (VHA) EHR (2001-2021) were merged with data from the observational, nationwide WomenVeterans Cohort Study (collected 2016-2020, n = 1058; 51% women). Experiencing MST was defined as positive endorsement of sexual harassment and/or assault. From the EHR, we derived Veterans' number of primary care and mental health visits in the initial two years of VHA care and diagnoses of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD), depression, and anxiety. First, the concordance of EHR MST screening and survey-reported MST was compared. Next, multivariate analyses tested the cross-sectional associations of EHR screening and survey-reported MST with Veterans' health care utilization, and compared the likelihood of PTSD, depression, and anxiety diagnoses by MST group, while covarying demographics and service-related characteristics. With few MST cases among men, multivariate analyses were only pursued for women. Results: Overall, 29% of women and 2% of men screened positive for MST in the EHR, but 64% of women and 9% of men had survey-reported MST. Primary care utilization was similar between women with concordant, positive MST reports in the EHR and survey versus those with survey-reported MST only. Women with survey-reported MST only were less likely to have a PTSD or depression diagnosis than those with concordant, positive MST reports. There was no group difference in women's likelihood of anxiety. Conclusions: EHR MST documentation is discordant for many post-9/11 Veterans-both for men and women. Improving MST screening and better supporting MST disclosure are each critical to provide appropriate and timely care for younger Veterans, particularly women.

A prospective cohort study examining the association between the periconceptual vaginal microbiota and first-trimester miscarriage in Kenyan women.

BACKGROUND: Studies evaluating the association between the vaginal microbiota and miscarriage have produced variable results. OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the association between periconceptual and first-trimester vaginal microbiota and women's risk for miscarriage. METHODS: At monthly preconception visits and at 9-12 weeks gestation, women collected vaginal swabs for molecular characterisation of the vaginal microbiota. Participants who became pregnant were followed to identify miscarriage versus pregnancy continuing to at least 20 weeks gestation. RESULTS: Forty-five women experienced miscarriage and 144 had pregnancies continuing to ≥20 weeks. A principal component analysis of periconceptual and first-trimester vaginal bacteria identified by 16S rRNA gene PCR with next-generation sequencing did not identify distinct bacterial communities with miscarriage versus continuing pregnancy. Using taxon-directed quantitative PCR assays, increasing concentrations of Megasphaera hutchinsoni, Mageeibacillus indolicus, Mobiluncus mulieris and Sneathia sanguinegens/vaginalis were not associated with miscarriage. In exploratory analyses, these data were examined as a binary exposure to allow for multivariable modelling. Detection of Mobiluncus mulieris in first-trimester samples was associated with miscarriage (adjusted relative risk [aRR] 2.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08, 4.22). Additional analyses compared women with early first-trimester miscarriage (range 4.7-7.3 weeks) to women with continuing pregnancies. Mobiluncus mulieris was detected in all eight (100%) first-trimester samples from women with early first-trimester miscarriage compared to 101/192 (52.6%) samples from women with continuing pregnancy (model did not converge). Detection of Mageeibacillus indolicus in first-trimester samples was also associated with early first-trimester miscarriage (aRR 4.10, 95% CI 1.17, 14.31). CONCLUSIONS: The primary analyses in this study demonstrated no association between periconceptual or first-trimester vaginal microbiota and miscarriage. Exploratory analyses showing strong associations between first-trimester detection of Mobiluncus mulieris and Mageeibacillus indolicus and early first-trimester miscarriage suggest the need for future studies to determine if these findings are reproducible.

The uneven impact of Medicaid expansion on rural and urban Black, Latino/a, and White mortality.

PURPOSE: To determine the differential impact of Medicaid expansion on all-cause mortality between Black, Latino/a, and White populations in rural and urban areas, and assess how expansion impacted mortality disparities between these groups. METHODS: We employ a county-level time-varying heterogenous treatment effects difference-in-difference analysis of Medicaid expansion on all-cause age-adjusted mortality for those 64 years of age or younger from 2009 to 2019. For all counties within the 50 US States and the District of Columbia, we use restricted-access vital statistics data to estimate Average Treatment Effect on the Treated (ATET) for all combinations of racial and ethnic group (Black, Latino/a, White), rurality (rural, urban), and sex. We then assess aggregate ATET, as well as how the ATET changed as time from expansion increased. FINDINGS: Medicaid expansion led to a reduction in all-cause age-adjusted mortality for urban Black populations, but not rural Black populations. Urban White populations experienced mixed effects dependent on years after expansion. Latino/a populations saw no appreciable impact. While no effect was observed for rural Black and Latino/a populations, rural White all-cause age-adjusted mortality unexpectedly increased due to Medicaid expansion. These effects reduced rural- and urban-specific Black-White mortality disparities but did not shrink the rural-urban mortality gap. CONCLUSIONS: The mortality-reducing impact of Medicaid expansion has been uneven across racial and ethnic groups and rural-urban status; suggesting that many populations-particularly rural individuals-are not seeing the same benefits as others. It is imperative that states work to ensure Medicaid expansion is being appropriately implemented in rural areas.

Cladribine Use in Xanthoma Disseminatum: A Rare Case Presentation and Brief Updated Literature Review.

Xanthoma disseminatum (XD) is a rare, non-Langerhans cell histiocytosis. While treatment is notoriously difficult, 2-chlorodeoxyadenosine (cladribine) has recently emerged as a potential effective therapeutic option. Here, we describe the case of a 65-year-old male with XD who experienced significant cutaneous improvement after cladribine treatment. We also provide an updated literature review on cladribine use in patients with XD in light of reported adverse effects (AEs). While the efficacy of cladribine in XD is clear, no consensus exists for treatment duration and AE management. Hence, we strongly encourage interdisciplinary discourse involving dermatology and oncology in these cases.

Quantifying abnormal alveolar microstructure in cystic fibrosis lung disease via hyperpolarized 129Xe diffusion MRI.

RATIONALE: Cystic Fibrosis (CF) progresses through recurrent infection and inflammation, causing permanent lung function loss and airway remodeling. CT scans reveal abnormally low-density lung parenchyma in CF, but its microstructural nature remains insufficiently explored due to clinical CT limitations. To this end, diffusion-weighted 129Xe MRI is a non-invasive and validated measure of lung microstructure. In this work, we investigate microstructural changes in people with CF (pwCF) relative to age-matched, healthy subjects using comprehensive imaging and analysis involving pulmonary-function tests (PFTs), and 129Xe MRI. METHODS: 38 healthy subjects (age 6-40; 17.2 ± 9.5 years) and 39 pwCF (age 6-40; 15.6 ± 8.0 years) underwent 129Xe-diffusion MRI and PFTs. The distribution of diffusion measurements (i.e., apparent diffusion coefficients (ADC) and morphometric parameters) was assessed via linear binning (LB). The resulting volume percentages of bins were compared between controls and pwCF. Mean ADC and morphometric parameters were also correlated with PFTs. RESULTS: Mean whole-lung ADC correlated significantly with age (P < 0.001) for both controls and CF, and with PFTs (P < 0.05) specifically for pwCF. Although there was no significant difference in mean ADC between controls and pwCF (P = 0.334), age-adjusted LB indicated significant voxel-level diffusion (i.e., ADC and morphometric parameters) differences in pwCF compared to controls (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: 129Xe diffusion MRI revealed microstructural abnormalities in CF lung disease. Smaller microstructural size may reflect compression from overall higher lung density due to interstitial inflammation, fibrosis, or other pathological changes. While elevated microstructural size may indicate emphysema-like remodeling due to chronic inflammation and infection.

Excessive firing of dyskinesia-associated striatal direct pathway neurons is gated by dopamine and excitatory synaptic input.

The striatum integrates dopaminergic and glutamatergic inputs to select preferred versus alternative actions. However, the precise mechanisms underlying this process remain unclear. One way to study action selection is to understand how it breaks down in pathological states. Here, we explored the cellular and synaptic mechanisms of levodopa-induced dyskinesia (LID), a complication of Parkinson's disease therapy characterized by involuntary movements. We used an activity-dependent tool (FosTRAP) in conjunction with a mouse model of LID to investigate functionally distinct subsets of striatal direct pathway medium spiny neurons (dMSNs). In vivo, levodopa differentially activates dyskinesia-associated (TRAPed) dMSNs compared to other dMSNs. We found this differential activation of TRAPed dMSNs is likely to be driven by higher dopamine receptor expression, dopamine-dependent excitability, and excitatory input from the motor cortex and thalamus. Together, these findings suggest how the intrinsic and synaptic properties of heterogeneous dMSN subpopulations integrate to support action selection.

The predictive validity and temporal characteristics of the HCR-20v3 for inpatient violence in forensic inpatient settings. An international study.

Aggression and violence are common day to day problems in psychiatric settings. However, the optimal means of assessing that risk remains unclear. In the context of that uncertainty many tools have evolved, among which the HCR-20 is one of the most globally accepted, though many questions remain about its performance, how and when it should be deployed and how it can be most effectively used. In this 12 month follow up study of 210 forensic psychiatric inpatients with a diagnosis of a schizophrenia spectrum disorder we explored these issues. We found that the performance of the HCR-20v3, especially its Total score, performed well up to 6 months after it was rated but its performance deteriorated after that. Repeating the HCR-20v3 at 6 months stabilised the risk assessment and led to improved performance in the second months over and above the first rating. The HCR-20v3 was good at identifying those subjects at low risk of violence over 6 months of follow up in a forensic inpatient setting. The real-world implications of this study are that the HCR-20v3 is an effective means of identifying patient at low risk of violence, but it should be reassessed every 6 months.

The use of semaglutide in patients with renal failure- a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Semaglutide, a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist is approved for weight loss and diabetes treatment, but limited literature exists regarding semaglutide use in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). Therefore, this project assessed the safety and efficacy of semaglutide among patients with eGFR (estimated glomerular filtration rate) 15-29 mL/min/1.73m2 (CKD stage 4), eGFR<15 mL/min/1.73m2 (CKD stage 5) or on dialysis. METHODS: This is a retrospective Electronic Medical Record based analysis of consecutive patients with advanced CKD (defined as CKD 4 or greater) who were started on semaglutide (injectable or oral). Data was collected between Jan 2018 and Jan 2023. Investigators verified CKD diagnosis and manually extracted data. Data were analyzed using Fisher's exact test, paired T-test, linear mixed effects models and Wilcoxon signed rank test. RESULTS: Seventy-six patients with CKD 4 or greater who initiated semaglutide were included. Most patients had a history of T2DM (96.0%), and most were male (53.9%). The mean age was 66.8 y (SD 11.5) with the mean BMI was 36.2 (SD 7.5). The initial doses were 3 mg orally and 0.25 mg by injection. Maximum prescribed dose was 1mg (injectable) in 28 (45.2%) patients and 14 mg (orally) in 2 (14.2%) patients. Patients received semaglutide for a median duration of 17.4 (IQR 0.43, 48.8) months. Forty-eight (63.1%) patients reported no adverse effects associated with the therapy. Mean weight decreased from 106.2(SD 24.2) to 101.3 (SD 27.3) kg (p<0.001). Eight patients (16%) with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) discontinued insulin after starting semaglutide. Mean HbA1c decreased from 8.0 % (SD 1.7) to 7.1 % (SD 1.3) (p<0.001). Adverse effects were the primary reason for semaglutide discontinuation (37.0%), with nausea, vomiting, and abdominal pain being the most common complaints. CONCLUSIONS: Based on this retrospective study semaglutide appears to be tolerated by most individuals with CKD 4 or greater despite associated gastrointestinal side effects similar to those observed in patients with better kidney function and leads to an improvement of glycemic control and insulin discontinuation in patients with T2DM. Modest weight loss (approximately 4.6 % of the total body weight) was observed on the prescribed doses. Larger prospective randomized studies are needed to comprehensively assess the risks and benefits of semaglutide in patients with CKD 4 or greater and obesity.

Syphilis positivity among men who have sex with men (MSM) with direct, indirect, and no linkage to female sex partners: Exploring the potential for sex network bridging in Baltimore City, MD.

BACKGROUND: Syphilis epidemics among women and men-who-have-sex-with-men (MSM) may be connected, but these connections are poorly understood. Using egocentric network data from a U.S. urban MSM cohort, we examined socio-demographics, behaviors, and syphilis positivity among MSM with (1) direct (MSM who report sex with women, MSMW); (2) indirect (MSM who only report male partners, some of whom are MSMW, MSMO/W); and (3) no (MSM who only report male partners and whose partners only have sex with men, MSMO/O) connection to women. METHODS: Sexually-active MSM aged 18-45 years were administered behavioral and network interviews (recall period: three months) and syphilis/HIV testing. Syphilis positivity was defined as RPR titer >1:8. Modified Poisson regression was used to test for differences across groups. RESULTS: Among 385 MSM, 14.5% were MSMW and 22.3% were MSMO/W. MSMW and MSMO/W were significantly more likely than MSMO/O to report sex behaviors associated with increased syphilis acquisition/transmission risk, including: > 2 sex partners [MSMW aPR:1.28 (0.98-1.68); MSMO/W aPR:1.35 (1.09-1.69)], concurrent sex partners [MSMW aPR:1.50 (1.17-1.92); MSMO/W aPR:1.39 (1.11-1.74)], and for MSMW only, transactional sex [aPR:2.07 (1.11-3.88)]. Syphilis positivity was 16.4% and was lower among MSMW (9.4%) and MSMO/W (14.1%) than MSMO/O (18.5%), but differences were not significant. CONCLUSIONS: There may be considerable connectivity between MSM and female sex partners that could facilitate syphilis transmission, and behaviors that increase acquisition/transmission risk among MSMW and MSMO/W may be distinct from MSMO/O. Future work should focus on examining the context and temporal patterns of sex partnerships among MSMW and MSMO/W.

Negative mood is associated with sociobehavioral factors contributing to cardiovascular risk in an immigrant population.

BACKGROUND: After settling in the United States (US), immigrants often accumulate obesity and cardiovascular risk factors. As mood is often associated with health behaviors in the US population, mood may be an important mediating factor in immigrant populations. METHODS: The Healthy Immigrant Community (HIC) study, set in southeast Minnesota, enrolled 475 adult participants in a weight loss intervention designed to reduce cardiovascular risk. Baseline questionnaires assessed mood, nutrition, physical activity, self-efficacy for healthy eating and physical activity, social support, and cohesion. A single-item mood rating of poor or fair was considered "negative", while ratings of good, very good, or excellent were considered "positive". RESULTS: Hispanic/Latino (n = 268) and Somali (n = 181) adults enrolled in HIC completed baseline measures and were included in this analysis. Participants endorsing negative mood compared to positive mood had lower healthy eating scores (p = 0.02), lower physical activity levels (p = 0.03), lower confidence in eating a healthy diet (p = 0.001), and felt less of a sense of belonging to their community (p = 0.01). Those endorsing negative mood reported receiving less social support to eat healthy (p = < 0.001) and be physically active (p = 0.01). They also accessed community resources for healthy eating (p = 0.001) and physical activity (p = < 0.01) less frequently than participants endorsing positive mood. CONCLUSIONS: On self-report, negative mood was associated with less healthy nutrition, lower confidence in eating healthy, sedentary lifestyle, and perceived lack of belonging to the community. Integrating mood management and self-efficacy strategies may enhance the effectiveness of lifestyle interventions to reduce obesity and cardiovascular risk among immigrants who report negative mood. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT05136339; April 23, 2022.

A framework for in-field and out-of-field patient specific secondary cancer risk estimates from treatment plans using the TOPAS Monte Carlo system.

OBJECTIVE: To allow the estimation of secondary cancer risks from radiation therapy treatment plans in a comprehensive and user-friendly Monte Carlo framework. Approach: Patient planning CTs were extended superior-inferior using the ICRP Publication 145 computational mesh phantoms and skeletal matching. Dose distributions were calculated with the TOPAS Monte Carlo system using novel mesh capabilities and the DICOM-RT interface. Finally, in-field and out-of-field cancer risk was calculated using both sarcoma and carcinoma risk models with two alternative parameter sets. Main results: The TOPAS Monte Carlo framework was extended to facilitate epidemiological studies on radiation-induced cancer risk. The framework is efficient and allows automated analysis of large datasets. Out-of-field organ dose was small compared to in-field dose, but the risk estimates indicate a non-negligible contribution to the total radiation induced cancer risk. Significance: The implementation of anatomical extension, mesh phantom capabilities, and cancer risk models into the TOPAS Monte Carlo system makes state-of-the-art out-of-field dose calculation and risk estimation accessible to a large pool of users while facilitating further refinement of risk models and sensitivity analysis of patient specific treatment options.

Cuticle Development And The Underlying Transcriptome-Metabolome Associations During Early Seedling Establishment.

The plant cuticle is a complex extracellular lipid barrier that has multiple protective functions. We investigated cuticle deposition by integrating metabolomics and transcriptomics data gathered from six different maize seedling organs of four genotypes, the inbred lines B73 and Mo17, and their reciprocal hybrids. These datasets captured the developmental transition of the seedling from heterotrophic skotomorphogenic growth to autotrophic photomorphogenic growth, which is a transition that is highly vulnerable to environmental stresses. Statistical interrogation of these data reveals that the predominant determinant of cuticle composition is seedling organ type, whereas the seedling genotype has a smaller effect on this phenotype. Gene-to-metabolite associations assessed by integrated statistical analyses identified three gene networks connected with the deposition of different elements of the cuticle: a) cuticular waxes; b) monomers of lipidized cell wall biopolymers, including cutin and suberin; and c) both of these elements. These gene networks reveal three metabolic programs that appear to support cuticle deposition, including processes of chloroplast biogenesis, lipid metabolism, and molecular regulation (e.g., transcription factors, post-translational regulators and phytohormones). This study demonstrates the wider physiological metabolic context that can determine cuticle deposition and lays the groundwork for new targets for modulating properties of this protective barrier.

Motion artifacts in capacitive ECG monitoring systems: a review of existing models and reduction techniques.

Current research focuses on improving electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring systems to enable real-time and long-term usage, with a specific focus on facilitating remote monitoring of ECG data. This advancement is crucial for improving cardiovascular health by facilitating early detection and management of cardiovascular disease (CVD). To efficiently meet these demands, user-friendly and comfortable ECG sensors that surpass wet electrodes are essential. This has led to increased interest in ECG capacitive electrodes, which facilitate signal detection without requiring gel preparation or direct conductive contact with the body. This feature makes them suitable for wearables or integrated measurement devices. However, ongoing research is essential as the signals they measure often lack sufficient clinical accuracy due to susceptibility to interferences, particularly Motion Artifacts (MAs). While our primary focus is on studying MAs, we also address other limitations crucial for designing a high Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) circuit and effectively mitigating MAs. The literature on the origins and models of MAs in capacitive electrodes is insufficient, which we aim to address alongside discussing mitigation methods. We bring attention to digital signal processing approaches, especially those using reference signals like Electrode-Tissue Impedance (ETI), as highly promising. Finally, we discuss its challenges, proposed solutions, and offer insights into future research directions.

Development and Validation of a Machine Learning COVID-19 Veteran (COVet) Deterioration Risk Score.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: To develop the COVid Veteran (COVet) score for clinical deterioration in Veterans hospitalized with COVID-19 and further validate this model in both Veteran and non-Veteran samples. No such score has been derived and validated while incorporating a Veteran sample. DERIVATION COHORT: Adults (age ≥ 18 yr) hospitalized outside the ICU with a diagnosis of COVID-19 for model development to the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) (n = 80 hospitals). VALIDATION COHORT: External validation occurred in a VHA cohort of 34 hospitals, as well as six non-Veteran health systems for further external validation (n = 21 hospitals) between 2020 and 2023. PREDICTION MODEL: eXtreme Gradient Boosting machine learning methods were used, and performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and compared with the National Early Warning Score (NEWS). The primary outcome was transfer to the ICU or death within 24 hours of each new variable observation. Model predictor variables included demographics, vital signs, structured flowsheet data, and laboratory values. RESULTS: A total of 96,908 admissions occurred during the study period, of which 59,897 were in the Veteran sample and 37,011 were in the non-Veteran sample. During external validation in the Veteran sample, the model demonstrated excellent discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88. This was significantly higher than NEWS (0.79; p < 0.01). In the non-Veteran sample, the model also demonstrated excellent discrimination (0.86 vs. 0.79 for NEWS; p < 0.01). The top three variables of importance were eosinophil percentage, mean oxygen saturation in the prior 24-hour period, and worst mental status in the prior 24-hour period. CONCLUSIONS: We used machine learning methods to develop and validate a highly accurate early warning score in both Veterans and non-Veterans hospitalized with COVID-19. The model could lead to earlier identification and therapy, which may improve outcomes.