Effect of an algorithm for automatic placing of standardised test order sets on low-value appointments and attendance rates at four Spanish teaching hospitals: an interrupted time series analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Reducing backlogs for elective care is a priority for healthcare systems. We conducted an interrupted time series analysis demonstrating the effect of an algorithm for placing automatic test order sets prior to first specialist appointment on avoidable follow-up appointments and attendance rates. DESIGN: Interrupted time series analysis. SETTING: 4 academic hospitals from Madrid, Spain. PARTICIPANTS: Patients referred from primary care attending 10 033 470 outpatient appointments from 16 clinical specialties during a 6-year period (1 January 2018 to 30 June 2023). INTERVENTION: An algorithm using natural language processing was launched in May 2021. Test order sets developed for 257 presenting complaints from 16 clinical specialties were placed automatically before first specialist appointments to increase rates of diagnosis and initiation of treatment with discharge back to primary care. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcomes included rate of diagnosis and discharge to primary care and follow-up to first appointment index. The secondary outcome was trend in 'did not attend' rates. RESULTS: Since May 2021, a total of 1 175 814 automatic test orders have been placed. Significant changes in trend of diagnosis and discharge to primary care at first appointment (p=0.005, 95% CI 0.5 to 2.9) and 'did not attend' rates (p=0.006, 95% CI -0.1 to -0.8) and an estimated attributable reduction of 11 306 avoidable follow-up appointments per month were observed. CONCLUSION: An algorithm for placing automatic standardised test order sets can reduce low-value follow-up appointments by allowing specialists to confirm diagnoses and initiate treatment at first appointment, also leading to early discharge to primary care and a reduction in 'did not attend' rates. This initiative points to an improved process for outpatient diagnosis and treatment, delivering healthcare more effectively and efficiently.

A qualitative study of patient and carer experiences with home respiratory therapies: Long-term oxygen therapy and home mechanical ventilation.

Studies exploring the experience of patients receiving home respiratory therapies (HRT), such as long-term oxygen therapy (LTOT) and home mechanical ventilation (HMV), are still limited. This study focused on patients' and carers' experience with LTOT and HMV. An exploratory, cross-sectional qualitative study, using semi-structured focus groups, was carried out with 18 patients receiving HRT (median 71y, 78% male, 56% on both LTOT and HMV) and 6 carers (median age 67y, 67% female). Three focus groups were conducted in three regions of Portugal. Thematic analysis was performed by two independent researchers. Patients' and carers' experience was reflected in seven major topics, linked to specific time points and settings of the treatment: Initial symptoms/circumstances (n = 41), Prescription (n = 232), Implementation (n = 184), Carer involvement (n = 34), Quality of life impact (n = 301), Health care support/navigability (n = 173) and Suggestions (n = 14). Our findings demonstrate a general good perception of the HRT by patients and carers recognizing a significative quality of life impact improvement, while identifying specific points where improvements in healthcare are needed, particularly about navigability issues, articulation between the hospital, primary care and homecare teams, especially regardingprescriptionrenewal. This knowledge is crucial to promote a long-term HRT adherence and to optimize HRT delivery in line with patients' experience, needs, and values. Moreover, these key points can inform the development of a specific patient-reported experience measure (PREM) for patients on HRT, which is not currently available, and foster a more integrated respiratory care model.

The Portuguese Model of Home Respiratory Care: Healthcare Professionals' Perspective.

Patients' and carers' views regarding the Portuguese model of home respiratory care were recently described, yet the complementary perspective of healthcare professionals (HCPs) is still to be investigated. Thus, this study explored HCPs experience in the management of patients needing home respiratory therapies (HRT), and their perspective about the Portuguese model. A phenomenological descriptive study, using focus groups, was carried out with 28 HCPs (median 42 y, 68% female) with distinct backgrounds (57% pulmonologists, 29% clinical physiologists, 7% physiotherapists, 7% nurses). Three focus groups were conducted in three regions of Portugal. Thematic analysis was performed by two independent researchers. HCPs have in general a positive view about the organization of the Portuguese model of home respiratory care, which was revealed in four major topics: Prescription (number of references, n = 171), Implementation and maintenance (n = 162), Carer involvement (n = 65) and Quality of healthcare (n = 247). Improvements needed were related to patients' late referral, HRT prescription (usability of the medical electronic prescription system and renewals burden), patients' education, access to hospital care team, lack of multidisciplinary work and articulation between hospital, primary and home care teams. This study describes the perspective of HCPs about the Portuguese model of home respiratory care and identifies specific points where improvements and reflections are needed. This knowledge may be useful to decision makers improve the current healthcare model.

Enhance Access to Pulmonary Rehabilitation with a Structured and Personalized Home-Based Program-reabilitAR: Protocol for Real-World Setting.

Home-based models represent one of the solutions to respond to the poor accessibility of pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) services in patients with chronic respiratory disease (CRD). The main goal of this protocol is to present the implementation of the first nationwide home-based PR program-reabilitAR-in Portugal and the strategies to assess its benefits in patients with CRD. The program consists of 2 phases: a 12-week intensive phase and a 40-week maintenance phase (total: 52 weeks, 1 year). The intervention in both phases is composed of presential home visits and phone-call follow ups, including exercise training and the self-management educational program Living Well with COPD. Dyspnea, impact of the disease, emotional status, and level of dyspnea during activities of daily living are used as patient-reported outcomes measures. A one-minute sit-to-stand test is used as a functional outcome, and the number of steps as a measure of physical activity. To ensure safety, fall risk and the cognitive function are assessed. Data are collected at baseline, at 12 weeks, at 26 weeks and at 52 weeks. This is the first nationwide protocol on enhancing access to PR, providing appropriate responses to CRD patients' needs through a structured and personalized home-based program in Portugal.

Virulence and resistance determinants of Klebsiella pneumoniae isolated from a Portuguese tertiary university hospital centre over a 31-year period / Determinantes de virulencia y resistencia en Klebsiella pneumoniae aisladas en un centro hospitalario universitario en Portugal durante 31 años

INTRODUCTION: The rapid and complex evolution of bacterial resistance mechanisms in Klebsiella pneumoniae producing extended-spectrum β-lactamases and carbapenemases in Klebsiella pneumoniae is one of the most significant threats to public health. However, questions and controversies regarding the interactions between resistance and virulence in multidrug-resistant K. pneumoniae isolates remain unclear. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed with 100 K. pneumoniae isolates recovered from a tertiary care university hospital centre in Lisbon over a 31-year period. Resistance and virulence determinants were screened using molecular methods (PCR, M13-PCR and MLST). RESULTS: The predominant virulence profile (fimH, mrkDv1, khe) was shared by all isolates, indicative of an important role of type 1 and 3 fimbrial adhesins and haemolysin, regardless of the type of β-lactamase produced. However, accumulation of virulence factors was identified in KPC-3-producers, with a higher frequency (p < 0.05) of capsular serotype K2 and iucC aerobactin when compared with non-KPC-3 Beta-lactamases or carbapenemases. Additionally, 9 different virulence profiles were found, indicating that the KPC-3 carbapenemase producers seem to adapt successfully to the host environment and maintain virulence via several pathways. CONCLUSION: This study describes an overlapping of multidrug-resistance and virulence determinants in ST-14K2 KPC-3 K. pneumoniae clinical isolates that may impose an additional challenge in the treatment of infections caused by this pathogen

INTRODUCCIÓN: La rápida y compleja evolución de los mecanismos de resistencia de Klebsiella pneumoniae productora de beta-lactamasas de espectro extendido y carbapenemasas en Klebsiella pneumoniae es una de las amenazas más importantes para la salud pública. Sin embargo, aun existe controversia sobre la interacción entre la resistencia y la virulencia en aislados de K. pneumoniae resistentes a múltiples antimicrobianos. MÉTODOS: Se realizó un estudio de cohorte retrospectivo con 100 aislados de Klebsiella pneumoniae de un centro hospitalario universitario en Lisboa durante 31 años. Los determinantes de la resistencia y virulencia se rastrearon utilizando métodos moleculares (PCR, M13-PCR y MLST). RESULTADOS: Todos los aislados compartían un perfil de virulencia predominante (fimH, mrkDv1, khe), lo que indica un papel importante de las adhesinas fimbriales de tipo 1 y 3, y de la hemolisina, independientemente del tipo de β-lactamasa producida. Sin embargo, la acumulación de factores de virulencia del serotipo capsular K2 y la aerobactina iucC se identificó con una mayor frecuencia en las cepas productoras de KPC-3 (p < 0,05) en comparación con las productoras de otras Beta-lactamasas o carbapenemasas. Además, se encontraron 9 perfiles de virulencia diferentes, indicativos de que las cepas productoras de carbapenemasa KPC-3 parecen adaptarse con éxito al entorno y mantener la virulencia por varias vías. CONCLUSIÓN: Este estudio describe la unión de resistencia a múltiples antimicrobianos junto con determinantes de virulencia en aislados clínicos de K. pneumoniae ST-14K2 KPC-3 lo que puede suponer un desafío adicional en el tratamiento de infecciones causadas por este patógeno

Nuevas perspectivas en la titulación de la oxigenoterapia: ¿es la titulación automática el futuro? / New Perspectives in Oxygen Therapy Titration: Is Automatic Titration the Future?

La oxigenoterapia, como todos los tratamientos que dependen de la tecnología, no para de evolucionar. No hay dudas respecto a su eficacia en el tratamiento de la insuficiencia respiratoria aguda y crónica en diferentes escenarios clínicos. Sin embargo, su dosificación terapéutica no es tan estricta como la de otros tratamientos. El uso de flujos más altos de lo necesario y por periodos demasiado prolongados, derivados de la percepción de «terapia salvavidas con pocos efectos secundarios» por parte del clínico, ha conllevado un uso bastante liberal de este medicamento, pese a la evidencia de que tanto su uso en exceso como su ajuste subóptimo tienen efectos nocivos. La titulación de la oxigenoterapia ha demostrado efectos beneficiosos en los pacientes. Tradicionalmente, se ha realizado de forma manual. Recientemente, se han desarrollado nuevos dispositivos para ajustar automáticamente las tasas de flujo de oxígeno a las necesidades de cada paciente, con el objetivo de mantener las saturaciones de oxígeno estables. Estos sistemas de suministro de oxígeno de circuito cerrado tienen el potencial de reducir el error médico, mejorar la morbimortalidad y reducir los costes del cuidado. Dar a conocer estos nuevos avances tecnológicos ayudará a concienciar a la comunidad médica de los riesgos del uso inadecuado del tratamiento con oxígeno. Este trabajo pretende ser una puesta al día de las recientes novedades en relación con la titulación de la oxigenoterapia

Oxygen therapy, like all technology-based treatments, is continuously evolving. There are no doubts as to its effectiveness in the treatment of acute and respiratory failure in different clinical scenarios. However, the dosing guidelines for oxygen therapy are not as strict as for other treatments. The use of higher than necessary flows over excessively long periods, derived from the clinician's perception of it as a ‘life-saving treatment with few side effects’, has led to a rather liberal use of this intervention, despite evidence that overuse and suboptimal adjustment can be harmful. The titration of oxygen therapy, which is traditionally performed manually, has been shown to be beneficial. Recently, new devices have been developed that automatically adjust oxygen flow rates to the needs of each patient, in order to maintain stable oxygen saturation levels. These closed-loop oxygen supply systems can potentially reduce medical error, improve morbidity and mortality, and reduce care costs. Familiarizing the medical community with these technological advances will improve awareness of the risks of the inappropriate use of oxygen therapy. The aim of this paper is to provide an update of recent developments in oxygen therapy titration

Nuevas perspectivas en la titulación de la oxigenoterapia: ¿es la titulación automática el futuro? / New Perspectives in Oxygen Therapy Titration: Is Automatic Titration the Future?

La oxigenoterapia, como todos los tratamientos que dependen de la tecnología, no para de evolucionar. No hay dudas respecto a su eficacia en el tratamiento de la insuficiencia respiratoria aguda y crónica en diferentes escenarios clínicos. Sin embargo, su dosificación terapéutica no es tan estricta como la de otros tratamientos. El uso de flujos más altos de lo necesario y por periodos demasiado prolongados, derivados de la percepción de «terapia salvavidas con pocos efectos secundarios» por parte del clínico, ha conllevado un uso bastante liberal de este medicamento, pese a la evidencia de que tanto su uso en exceso como su ajuste subóptimo tienen efectos nocivos. La titulación de la oxigenoterapia ha demostrado efectos beneficiosos en los pacientes. Tradicionalmente, se ha realizado de forma manual. Recientemente, se han desarrollado nuevos dispositivos para ajustar automáticamente las tasas de flujo de oxígeno a las necesidades de cada paciente, con el objetivo de mantener las saturaciones de oxígeno estables. Estos sistemas de suministro de oxígeno de circuito cerrado tienen el potencial de reducir el error médico, mejorar la morbimortalidad y reducir los costes del cuidado. Dar a conocer estos nuevos avances tecnológicos ayudará a concienciar a la comunidad médica de los riesgos del uso inadecuado del tratamiento con oxígeno. Este trabajo pretende ser una puesta al día de las recientes novedades en relación con la titulación de la oxigenoterapia

Oxygen therapy, like all technology-based treatments, is continuously evolving. There are no doubts as to its effectiveness in the treatment of acute and respiratory failure in different clinical scenarios. However, the dosing guidelines for oxygen therapy are not as strict as for other treatments. The use of higher than necessary flows over excessively long periods, derived from the clinician's perception of it as a ‘life-saving treatment with few side effects’, has led to a rather liberal use of this intervention, despite evidence that overuse and suboptimal adjustment can be harmful. The titration of oxygen therapy, which is traditionally performed manually, has been shown to be beneficial. Recently, new devices have been developed that automatically adjust oxygen flow rates to the needs of each patient, in order to maintain stable oxygen saturation levels. These closed-loop oxygen supply systems can potentially reduce medical error, improve morbidity and mortality, and reduce care costs. Familiarizing the medical community with these technological advances will improve awareness of the risks of the inappropriate use of oxygen therapy. The aim of this paper is to provide an update of recent developments in oxygen therapy titration

A telephone-based survey of current trends, habits and beliefs in patients receiving portable oxygen therapy in Madrid, Spain.

Portable oxygen therapy is a major challenge for patients and clinicians. Additionally, the available evidence on this subject is poor considering that only a few studies have been published and the results have not been encouraging. We explored the current trends, habits and beliefs among patients receiving portable oxygen therapy in a geographical area of Madrid, Spain (4 051 862 inhabitants). A telephone-based survey was conducted among patients selected from a database who were undergoing portable oxygen therapy. The number of patients on home respiratory therapies on December 31, 2017 was 81 559 (prevalence 2013.30 per 100 000 inhabitants). A total of 19 492 patients were on home oxygen therapy (HOT) (prevalence 481.16 per 100 000 inhabitants). Of these, 4015 patients (20% of the total of patients on HOT) received ambulatory oxygen therapy. In the analysed period, 1942 patients were selected (57.31% male and 42.69% female). The mean±sd age was 73.89±11.67 years. Most of patients had portable oxygen concentrators (99.59%). The survey was completed by 1777 patients. Most of patients thought they had been prescribed HOT for respiratory failure. 55% of the participants surveyed reported having carried out a walking test with oxygen to know the amount of oxygen they needed. 71% of the participants reported leaving the home for between 1 and 3 h a day. Most of them were carrying portable devices in a wheeled cart (51.94%). Our study data obtained from a large sample of oxygen-dependent individuals provide valuable information regarding domiciliary and portable oxygen usage in Madrid.

Patient Experience in Home Respiratory Therapies: Where We Are and Where to Go.

The increasing number of patients receiving home respiratory therapy (HRT) is imposing a major impact on routine clinical care and healthcare system sustainability. The current challenge is to continue to guarantee access to HRT while maintaining the quality of care. The patient experience is a cornerstone of high-quality healthcare and an emergent area of clinical research. This review approaches the assessment of the patient experience in the context of HRT while highlighting the European contribution to this body of knowledge. This review demonstrates that research in this area is still limited, with no example of a prescription model that incorporates the patient experience as an outcome and no specific patient-reported experience measures (PREMs) available. This work also shows that Europe is leading the research on HRT provision. The development of a specific PREM and the integration of PREMs into the assessment of prescription models should be clinical research priorities in the next several years.

Virulence and resistance determinants of Klebsiella pneumoniae isolated from a Portuguese tertiary university hospital centre over a 31-year period.

INTRODUCTION: The rapid and complex evolution of bacterial resistance mechanisms in Klebsiella pneumoniae producing extended-spectrum ß-lactamases and carbapenemases in Klebsiella pneumoniae is one of the most significant threats to public health. However, questions and controversies regarding the interactions between resistance and virulence in multidrug-resistant K. pneumoniae isolates remain unclear. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed with 100 K. pneumoniae isolates recovered from a tertiary care university hospital centre in Lisbon over a 31-year period. Resistance and virulence determinants were screened using molecular methods (PCR, M13-PCR and MLST). RESULTS: The predominant virulence profile (fimH, mrkDv1, khe) was shared by all isolates, indicative of an important role of type 1 and 3 fimbrial adhesins and haemolysin, regardless of the type of ß-lactamase produced. However, accumulation of virulence factors was identified in KPC-3-producers, with a higher frequency (p<0.05) of capsular serotype K2 and iucC aerobactin when compared with non-KPC-3 ß-lactamases or carbapenemases. Additionally, 9 different virulence profiles were found, indicating that the KPC-3 carbapenemase producers seem to adapt successfully to the host environment and maintain virulence via several pathways. CONCLUSION: This study describes an overlapping of multidrug-resistance and virulence determinants in ST-14K2 KPC-3 K. pneumoniae clinical isolates that may impose an additional challenge in the treatment of infections caused by this pathogen.

New Perspectives in Oxygen Therapy Titration: Is Automatic Titration the Future? / Nuevas perspectivas en la titulación de la oxigenoterapia: ¿es la titulación automática el futuro?

Oxygen therapy, like all technology-based treatments, is continuously evolving. There are no doubts as to its effectiveness in the treatment of acute and respiratory failure in different clinical scenarios. However, the dosing guidelines for oxygen therapy are not as strict as for other treatments. The use of higher than necessary flows over excessively long periods, derived from the clinician's perception of it as a 'life-saving treatment with few side effects', has led to a rather liberal use of this intervention, despite evidence that overuse and suboptimal adjustment can be harmful. The titration of oxygen therapy, which is traditionally performed manually, has been shown to be beneficial. Recently, new devices have been developed that automatically adjust oxygen flow rates to the needs of each patient, in order to maintain stable oxygen saturation levels. These closed-loop oxygen supply systems can potentially reduce medical error, improve morbidity and mortality, and reduce care costs. Familiarizing the medical community with these technological advances will improve awareness of the risks of the inappropriate use of oxygen therapy. The aim of this paper is to provide an update of recent developments in oxygen therapy titration.

Mucus hypersecretion in asthma is associated with rhinosinusitis, polyps and exacerbations.

BACKGROUND: Bronchial hypersecretion is a poorly studied symptom in asthma. The aim of the study was to determine the specific characteristics of asthmatics with bronchial hypersecretion. METHODS: A total of 142 asthmatics (21.8% men; mean age 49.8 years) were prospectively followed for one year. Mucus hypersecretion was clinically classified into two severity categories: daily sputum production and frequent expectoration but not every day. Clinical and pulmonary function variables associated with mucus hypersecretion were assessed by multiple logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Daily cough was recorded in 28.9% of patients and sputum production daily or most of the days in 52.1%. Patients with mucus hypersecretion had more dyspnoea, poorer asthma control and quality of life, had suffered from more exacerbations and showed anosmia associated with chronic rhinosinusitis and nasal polyposis more frequently. Factors associated to mucus hypersecretion were anosmia, one exacerbation or more in the previous year and FEV1/FVC <70% (AUC 0.75, 95% CI 0.66-0.85) for the first definition of hypersecretion, and anosmia, poor asthma control and age (AUC 0.75, 95% CI 0.67-0.83) for the second definition. CONCLUSIONS: Mucus hypersecretion is frequent in patients with asthma, and is associated with chronic upper airways disease, airway obstruction, poor asthma control and more exacerbations.

Nuevos aires en el tratamiento de la insuficiencia respiratoria: el alto flujo nasal / New approaches to the treatment of respiratory failure: High flow therapy

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A budget impact analysis of Spiromax(®) compared with Turbuhaler(®) for the treatment of moderate to severe asthma: a potential improvement in the inhalation technique to strengthen medication adherence could represent savings for the Spanish Healthcare System and five Spanish regions.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the economic impact of the introduction of DuoResp(®) Spiromax(®) by focusing on a potential improvement in the inhalation technique to strengthen medication adherence for the treatment of moderate to severe asthmatics in Spain and five Spanish regions including Andalusia, Catalonia, Galicia, Madrid, and Valencia. METHODS: A 4-year budget impact model was developed for the period 2015-2018 from the Spanish Healthcare System perspective. Budesonide-formoterol fixed-dose combination delivered by Turbuhaler(®) was considered to be the most appropriate comparator for assessing the budget impact with the introduction of DuoResp(®) Spiromax(®). National and regional data on asthma prevalence were obtained from the literature. Input parameters on health care resources were obtained by consulting experts from different Spanish hospitals. Resources used included medical visits, emergency room visits, and hospitalizations. The average numbers of primary care and specialist visits per year were also gathered. Based on health care resource use per patient, the total treatment cost per patient was estimated. RESULTS: The population with moderate to severe asthma treated with budesonide-formoterol fixed-dose combinations delivered by Turbuhaler(®) in 2015 was estimated to be 166,985 in Spain. Region-specific prevalence data resulted in 25,081, 12,392, 16,097, 17,829, and 15,148 patients in Andalusia, Catalonia, Galicia, Madrid, and Valencia, respectively. Based on the forecast uptake of DuoResp(®) Spiromax(®), the total budget savings in Spain were expected to be €1.509 million over the next 4 years. Region-specific rates imply that the total savings were expected to be €229,706 in Andalusia, €90,145 in Catalonia, €188,327 in Galicia, €122,669 in Madrid, and €165,796 in Valencia over 2015-2018. CONCLUSION: The introduction of DuoResp(®) Spiromax(®), which represents a potential improvement in the inhalation technique to strengthen medication adherence for the treatment of moderate to severe asthma, could represent savings for the Spanish National Health Society and five Spanish regions.

Ventilación no invasiva: una realidad olvidada en los grupos relacionados de diagnóstico / Non-invasive ventilation: Has it been forgotten in the diagnosis-related groups?

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Factors Associated with Depression in COPD: A Multicenter Study.

INTRODUCTION: Depression is a prevalent comorbidity in COPD and has an impact on the prognosis of these patients, thereby making it important to study the factors associated with depression in patients with COPD. METHOD: A multicenter, observational and cross-sectional study was conducted to study the factors associated with depression in patients with COPD measured by the hospital anxiety and depression (HAD) questionnaire. We analyzed anthropometric variables and the number of exacerbations in the previous year and calculated the 6-min walking test and the body mass index, airflow obstruction, dyspnea, and exercise (BODE) index. All the patients completed the quality of life EQ-5D and the LCADL physical activity questionnaires. The relationship of these variables with depression was evaluated with two multiple logistic regression models. RESULTS: One hundred fifteen patients were evaluated (93 % male) with a mean age of 66.9 years (SD 8.8) and a mean FEV1 % of 44.4 % (SD 15.7 %). 24.3 % presented symptoms of depression (HAD-D > 8). These latter patients had worse lung function, greater dyspnea, reduced exercise capacity, a higher score in the BODE index, poorer quality of life, reduced physical activity, and more exacerbations. In the first logistic regression model, quality of life and the BODE index were associated with depression (AUC: 0.84; 0.74-0.94). In the second model including the variables in the BODE index, quality of life and dyspnea measured with the MRC scale (AUC: 0.87; 0.79-0.95) were associated with depression. CONCLUSIONS: Nearly one-quarter of the patients with COPD in this study presented clinically significant depression associated with worse quality of life, reduced exercise capacity, greater dyspnea, and a higher score in the BODE index.

The CAT (COPD Assessment Test) questionnaire as a predictor of the evolution of severe COPD exacerbations.

INTRODUCTION: Since exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) cause both a great impact on the progression of the disease and generate high health expenditures, there is a need to develop tools to evaluate their prognosis. METHOD: Multicenter, observational, prospective study that evaluated the prognostic utility of the COPD Assessment Test (CAT) in severe exacerbations of COPD. Anthropometric and clinical variables were analyzed: smoking, history of exacerbations during the previous year, drug treatment, degree of baseline dyspnea, comorbidities; laboratory variables at admission (complete blood count, arterial blood gas and biochemistry) and CAT scores in the first 24 h of admission, on the third day, at discharge and at 3 months. RESULTS: We evaluated 106 patients (91 males) with a mean age of 71.1 (SD 9.8 years), mean FEV1 45.2% (14.7%) and average CAT score at admission of 24.7 points (7.1). At three months after discharge, treatment failure was observed in 39 (36.8%) patients: 14 (13.2%) presented an exacerbation without the need for hospital admission, 22 were readmitted (20.8%) and 3 (2.8%) died during follow-up. The three factors associated with increased risk of failure were a reduction less than 4 units in the CAT at discharge compared to admission, lower hemoglobin levels and treatment with domiciliary oxygen. CONCLUSIONS: A change of ≤4 points in the CAT score at discharge compared to that obtained at admission due to a severe exacerbation of COPD, helps to predict therapeutic failure such as a new exacerbation, readmission or death in the subsequent three months.