Circulating markers of arterial thrombosis and late-stage age-related macular degeneration: a case-control study.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to examine the relation of late-stage age-related macular degeneration (AMD) with markers of systemic atherothrombosis. METHODS: A hospital-based case-control study of AMD was undertaken in London, UK. Cases of AMD (n=81) and controls (n=77) were group matched for age and sex. Standard protocols were used for colour fundus photography and to classify AMD; physical examination included height, weight, history of or treatment for vascular-related diseases and smoking status. Blood samples were taken for measurement of fibrinogen, factor VIIc (FVIIc), factor VIIIc, prothrombin fragment F1.2 (F1.2), tissue plasminogen activator, and von Willebrand factor. Odds ratios from logistic regression analyses of each atherothrombotic marker with AMD were adjusted for age, sex, and established cardiovascular disease risk factors, including smoking, blood pressure, body mass index, and total cholesterol. RESULTS: After adjustment FVIIc and possibly F1.2 were inversely associated with the risk of AMD; per 1 standard deviation increase in these markers the odds ratio were, respectively, 0.62 (95% confidence interval 0.40, 0.95) and 0.71 (0.46, 1.09). None of the other atherothrombotic risk factors appeared to be related to AMD status. There was weak evidence that aspirin is associated with a lower risk of AMD. CONCLUSIONS: This study does not provide strong evidence of associations between AMD and systematic markers of arterial thrombosis, but the potential effects of FVIIc, and F1.2 are worthy of further investigation.

Assessing the contribution of fibrinogen in predicting risk of death in men with peripheral arterial disease.

BACKGROUND: Although fibrinogen is known to be an independent population-level risk factor for cardiovascular disease in healthy individuals, less is known about its value for individual-level risk prediction. OBJECTIVES: To assess the independent contribution of plasma fibrinogen to risk prediction in men with peripheral arterial disease. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We used data from the 785 men randomized to placebo in the Lower Extremity Arterial Disease Event Reduction (LEADER) trial. Men were followed at 6-monthly intervals up to 3 years, during which 116 patients died. Multivariable standard and pooled logistic regression were used to model odds of death in the next 3 years or in a 6-month interval. The c-statistic and predictiveness curves were used to assess improvement in predictive ability. RESULTS: Fibrinogen measured at baseline was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality risk (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.44, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.94, for a 1 g L(-1) increase). Adding baseline fibrinogen to a set of other risk factors did not, however, substantially improve predictive ability. Similarly, fibrinogen measured at the start of a 6-month interval was independently associated with odds of death in the next 6 months (adjusted OR 1.65; 95% CI 0.96-2.73). Again, predictiveness curves with and without fibrinogen did not substantially differ, although the c-statistic increased by 0.011. CONCLUSIONS: Although fibrinogen was independently associated with both 6-month and 3-year mortality risk, individual-level risk prediction was not substantially improved by including fibrinogen in risk models.

Long-term effects of hemostatic variables on fatal coronary heart disease: 30-year results from the first prospective Northwick Park Heart Study (NPHS-I).

BACKGROUND: The long-term associations of established risk factors for coronary heart disease (CHD), for example cholesterol, are well known, but not for the less familiar hemostatic variables. OBJECTIVES: To establish whether associations between hemostatic variables and CHD first identified nearly three decades ago have persisted long-term. METHODS: The first Northwick Park Heart Study (NPHS-I) recruited 2167 white men and 941 white women, average age at entry 48 years, on whom measures of factor (F) VII activity (VIIc) and plasma fibrinogen were carried out, both at entry and at follow-up approximately 6 years later. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 29 years, 231 male and 36 female CHD deaths were recorded from notifications by the Office for National Statistics. VIIc at recruitment was significantly related to CHD mortality, corrected rate ratio, RR, per 1 SD increase 1.56 (95% CI 1.29, 1.88) in men and RR 1.78 (95% CI 1.17, 2.72) in women. Recruitment fibrinogen was also strongly related to CHD mortality in men, RR 1.63 (95% CI 1.33, 1.99) but not in women, RR 0.75 (95% CI 0.40, 1.43). The associations persisted after controlling for confounders and were confirmed using 6-year follow-up measurements and in analyses omitting deaths within 10 years of recruitment. CONCLUSIONS: The hemostatic system contributes to CHD mortality, and its effect is stable over time. For VIIc, the effect was similar in men and women, while for fibrinogen it appeared to be present only in men.

Associations of plasma fibrinogen and factor VII clotting activity with coronary heart disease and stroke: prospective cohort study from the screening phase of the Thrombosis Prevention Trial.

BACKGROUND: As with 'conventional' risk factors such as cholesterol and smoking, there is a need for large, long-term prospective studies on hemostatic factors. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the prospective relationship of fibrinogen and factor VII clotting activity (FVIIc) with risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke in a study with a large number of outcomes over a period of 15 years. PATIENTS/METHODS: A cohort of 22 715 men aged 45-69 years was screened for participation in the Thrombosis Prevention Trial. Men were followed up for fatal and non-fatal CHD and stroke events. There were 1515 CHD events (933 CHD deaths) and 391 strokes (180 stroke deaths). Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals are expressed per standardized increase in log fibrinogen and log FVIIc, adjusting for age, trial treatment group, conventional CHD risk factors and regression dilution bias. RESULTS: Hazard ratios for fibrinogen were 1.52 (1.37-1.70) for all CHD events, and 1.36 (1.09-1.69) for all strokes. Exclusion of events within the first 10 years showed a persistent association between CHD and fibrinogen, with an adjusted HR of 1.93 (1.42-2.64). The HRs for FVIIc, adjusting for age and trial treatment, were 1.07 (1.01-1.12) for all CHD events and 1.07 (0.97-1.20) for all strokes, and the fully adjusted HRs were, respectively, 0.97 (0.84-1.05) and 1.07 (0.85-1.33). CONCLUSIONS: The persisting association between fibrinogen and CHD beyond 10 years may imply a causal effect. There is a small effect of FVIIc on CHD, after adjustment for age and trial treatment, but no association independent of other risk factors.

Genetic determinants of the response to bezafibrate treatment in the lower extremity arterial disease event reduction (LEADER) trial.

Genetic determinants of baseline levels and the fall in plasma triglyceride and fibrinogen levels in response to bezafibrate treatment were examined in 853 men taking part in the lower extremity arterial disease event reduction (LEADER) trial. Three polymorphisms in the peroxisome proliferator activated receptor alpha (PPARalpha) gene were investigated (L162V, G>A in intron 2 and G>C in intron 7), two in the apolipoprotein CIII (APOC3) gene (-482C>T and -455T>C) and one in the beta-fibrinogen (FIBB) gene (-455G>A). The presence of diabetes (n=158) was associated with 15% higher triglyceride levels at baseline compared to non-diabetics (n=654) (P<0.05). Among the diabetic group, carriers of the PPARalpha intron 7 C allele had 20% lower triglyceride levels compared to homozygotes for the common G allele (P<0.05), with a similar (non-significant) trend for the L162V polymorphism, which is in linkage disequilibrium with the intron 7 polymorphism. For the APOC3 gene, carriers of the -482T allele had 13% lower baseline triglyceride levels compared to -482C homozygotes (P<0.02), but no effect was observed with the -455T>C substitution. In the non-diabetic patients, the PPARalpha V162 allele was significantly associated with 9% higher baseline triglyceride levels (P<0.03) and a similar, but non-significant trend was seen for the intron 7 polymorphism. Overall, triglyceride levels fell by 26% with 3 months of bezafibrate treatment, and current smokers showed a poorer response compared to ex/non-smokers (23% fall compared to 28% P=0.03), but none of the genotypes examined had a significant influence on the magnitude of response. Carriers of the -455A polymorphism of the FIBB gene had, as expected, marginally higher baseline fibrinogen levels, 3.43 versus 3.36 g/l (P=0.055), but this polymorphism did not affect response to treatment. Overall, fibrinogen levels fell by 12%, with patients with the highest baseline fibrinogen levels showing the greatest decrease in response to bezafibrate. For both the intron 2 and the L162V polymorphisms of the PPARalpha gene there was a significant interaction (both P<0.01) between genotype and baseline levels of fibrinogen on the response of fibrinogen levels to bezafibrate, such that individuals carrying the rare alleles in the lowest tertile showed essentially no overall decrease compared to a 0.18 g/l fall in homozygotes for the common allele. Thus while these genotypes are a minor determinant of baseline triglyceride and fibrinogen levels, there is little evidence from this study that the magnitude of response to bezafibrate treatment in men with peripheral vascular disease is determined by variation at these loci.

Thrombosis prevention trial: follow-up study of practical implications.

The impact of randomised controlled trials on subsequent practice has only occasionally been assessed. Doing so is particularly necessary when unusual and possibly controversial treatments are being used. The aim of this study was to assess the practical implications of the results of the placebo-controlled primary prevention thrombosis prevention trial, in which the active treatment regimens were combined warfarin and aspirin, warfarin alone, and aspirin alone. Both active agents were given in low doses. Decisions on post-trial management were sought about men who continued with randomly-allocated treatment until the trial ended. The results of the trial appeared to have influenced decisions about future management. While aspirin was clearly the most frequent choice, a regimen involving warfarin was also used for a substantial proportion of men. Prior experience of acceptability, effectiveness, and safety probably played a significant part in decisions to continue with or switch to a warfarin-containing regimen. The findings may provide a measure of reassurance about the value of oral anticoagulation in other settings, particularly atrial fibrillation where, despite the results of trials showing major reductions in stroke, anticoagulation is underused.

Cardiovascular disease--linking pathology and epidemiology.

BACKGROUND: Coronary heart disease (CHD) in the form of myocardial infarction first came to attention early in the 20th century. Mortality from CHD increased dramatically after the First World War and had assumed epidemic proportions, particularly in the USA, by 1945. The ensuing research stemmed almost exclusively from the lipid infiltration hypothesis for atheroma. METHODS: Using epidemiological methods, pathological evidence for the thrombotic component of CHD was demonstrated by Morris as early as 1951. Morris's main work was based, first, on routine autopsy records at the London (now Royal London) Hospital and, second, on the National Necropsy Survey relating physical activity at work to pathological findings. RESULTS: The indications from Morris's work that thrombosis contributes as much to clinical CHD as atheroma were in due course strengthened by the findings of clinical trials of aspirin, prospective studies incorporating measures of haemostatic function and further studies of pathology. CONCLUSIONS: Recognition of the thrombotic contribution to CHD does not materially alter approaches to prevention through lifestyle modifications but does have major implications for pharmacological measures. Thus, aspirin and thrombolytic therapy are mandatory in the acute stage of suspected myocardial infarction while aspirin is also part of accepted practice in the longer term in secondary prevention. The value of warfarin is being rediscovered, often at a lower and therefore safer intensity of anticoagulation than previously considered necessary. The effect that warfarin may have on the vessel wall as well as on occlusion of the lumen is helping to reconcile the two major hypotheses for the pathology of CHD. Much of our current knowledge about the origins, management and prevention of CHD stems from Morris's early studies linking pathology and epidemiology.

Respiratory viruses, symptoms, and inflammatory markers in acute exacerbations and stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

The effects of respiratory viral infection on the time course of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbation were examined by monitoring changes in systemic inflammatory markers in stable COPD and at exacerbation. Eighty-three patients with COPD (mean [SD] age, 66.6 [7.1] yr, FEV(1), 1.06 [0.61] L) recorded daily peak expiratory flow rate and any increases in respiratory symptoms. Nasal samples and blood were taken for respiratory virus detection by culture, polymerase chain reaction, and serology, and plasma fibrinogen and serum interleukin-6 (IL-6) were determined at stable baseline and exacerbation. Sixty-four percent of exacerbations were associated with a cold occurring up to 18 d before exacerbation. Seventy-seven viruses (39 [58.2%] rhinoviruses) were detected in 66 (39.2%) of 168 COPD exacerbations in 53 (64%) patients. Viral exacerbations were associated with frequent exacerbators, colds with increased dyspnea, a higher total symptom count at presentation, a longer median symptom recovery period of 13 d, and a tendency toward higher plasma fibrinogen and serum IL-6 levels. Non-respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) respiratory viruses were detected in 11 (16%), and RSV in 16 (23.5%), of 68 stable COPD patients, with RSV detection associated with higher inflammatory marker levels. Respiratory virus infections are associated with more severe and frequent exacerbations, and may cause chronic infection in COPD. Prevention and early treatment of viral infections may lead to a decreased exacerbation frequency and morbidity associated with COPD.

Psychological characteristics and fatal ischaemic heart disease.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the relation between psychological characteristics and subsequent fatal ischaemic heart disease (IHD) events. DESIGN: Prospective study of participants in the Northwick Park heart study (NPHS) recruited between 1972 and 1978 and followed up for fatal events until 1997. SETTING: Three occupational groups in north west London. SUBJECTS: 1408 white men without a history of myocardial infarction aged 40-64 years at entry who completed a Crown-Crisp experiential index form (CCEI). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Fatal IHD during follow up. RESULTS: A one point increase in the score on the obsessionality/obsessional neurosis subscale was associated with a relative risk of fatal IHD of 1.08 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02 to 1.15). For the functional somatic complaint subscale the relative risk was also 1.08 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.15). In the case of the total score the relative risk of fatal IHD was 1.28 (95% CI 1.09 to 1.50) for a 10 point increase. The associations were independent of age, social class, and known cardiovascular risk factors. In the case of phobic anxiety, which had previously been found to be associated with fatal IHD in NPHS, the association was evident in the first 10 years of follow up but overall the relative risk was only 1.07 (95% CI 0.99 to 1.15) for a one point increase in the score. CONCLUSION: Scores on two of the subscales of the CCEI and the total score are significantly associated with fatal IHD on long term follow up independently of other known risk factors.

A prospective study of faecal bile acids and colorectal cancer.

A prospective study of 7079 people aged 45-74 recruited through general practices in South Wales, Herefordshire and Edinburgh, Scotland was undertaken to test the hypothesis that faecal bile acids are implicated in the causation of large bowel cancer. The population was recruited between 1974 and 1980 and the response rate for stool collection was 67%. Bile acid analyses were performed on those cases that presented by 1990. It was decided in advance to examine the hypothesis separately for left- and right-sided bowel cancer because of known epidemiological differences between the two sites and to exclude the cases presenting within 2 years of the stool sample from the analyses because the cancer could have been present at recruitment and might have possibly affected faecal bile acid concentrations. Each case (n = 51 left-sided and 8 right-sided) was matched with three controls by age (within 5 years), sex, place of residence and time of providing the stool sample (within 3 months). Statistical analyses using conditional logistic regression showed no significant differences between the left-sided cases and controls for any of the concentrations of individual bile acids, total bile acid concentrations, faecal neutral steroids, percentage bacterial conversion and the ratio of lithocholic acid to deoxycholic acid concentrations. There was a statistically significant (P = 0.021) association of the presence of chenodeoxycholic acid (5/8 samples) in the right-sided cases compared with the controls (3/23), odds ratio 6.26 (95% confidence interval 1.19, 32.84). A high proportion of primary bile acids has also been found in other studies of patients with a genetic predisposition to proximal bowel cancer, however this pattern may also occur in low risk groups, such as Indian vegetarians, suggesting that they may predispose to right-sided bowel cancer only in the presence of other, as yet unknown factors. If bile acids are involved in the causation of large bowel cancer, they may be part of a complex set of interacting factors.

Minimum effective intensity of oral anticoagulant therapy in primary prevention of coronary heart disease.

BACKGROUND: There is mounting evidence that low-intensity oral anticoagulation is effective, particularly in primary prevention of thrombosis, with important implications for safety and the practicalities of using warfarin. Because it is desirable to know possible benefits for different indications so that optimal therapy can be administered in as wide a range of conditions as possible, we analyzed data from the Thrombosis Prevention Trial, a factorial trial that compared treatment with low-intensity, dose-adjusted warfarin and low-dose aspirin separately and together, to determine the minimum effective intensity of oral anticoagulation in the primary prevention of coronary heart disease. METHODS: The international normalized ratio (INR) most recent to an event and overall time at each INR were used to calculate the INR-related event rate for coronary events, strokes, and major and minor bleeding episodes in 2545 men receiving warfarin with or without aspirin (75 mg/d) and followed up for a total of 9952 person-years. RESULTS: Compared with placebo, warfarin alone at a dose that maintained the INR at 1.4 or more significantly reduced the risk of a coronary event by 47% (95% confidence interval, 4%-70%; P =.03), whereas the risk of a coronary event was not reduced at INRs below 1. 4. Coronary events, strokes, and major bleeding episodes combined were significantly reduced by 45% (95% confidence interval, 9%-67%; P =.02) in the warfarin group compared with the placebo group when the INR was 1.4 or more. Minor bleeding episodes increased as the INR rose above about 2.0. No significant association of INR with coronary events was observed with combined warfarin and aspirin, possibly reflecting the small number of such events that occurred in this group, therefore limiting the power to detect an association with INR. CONCLUSIONS: Warfarin alone is effective in the primary prevention of coronary heart disease when the dose is adjusted to maintain an INR of 1.4 or more. The results add to the evidence that low-intensity, dose-adjusted oral anticoagulation is effective for a range of conditions.

Acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease are accompanied by elevations of plasma fibrinogen and serum IL-6 levels.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory tract infections may acutely increase risk from coronary heart disease (CHD), though the mechanisms have not been defined. Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are prone to repeated exacerbations that are often associated with respiratory infections. These patients also have increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We hypothesized that transient acute increases in plasma fibrinogen, an independent risk factor for CHD, could occur at COPD exacerbation (mediated through a rise in IL6) and thereby provide a mechanism linking respiratory infection to risk of coronary heart disease. METHODS: 93 COPD patients [mean (SD) age 66.8 (8.1) years] were followed regularly over one year, with daily diary card monitoring of respiratory symptoms and peak expiratory flow rate (PEFR); 67 patients [mean FEV1 1.06 (0.44) l, FVC 2.43 (0.79) l] were seen during 120 exacerbations. At each visit spirometry was measured and blood samples taken for plasma fibrinogen and Interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels. RESULT: At baseline, the mean (SD) plasma fibrinogen was elevated at 3.9 (0.67) g/l in the 67 patients with exacerbations during the study and the median (IQR) IL-6 at 4.3 (2.4 to 6.8) pg/ml. Plasma fibrinogen increased by 0.36 (0.74) g/l at exacerbation (p <0.001). with IL-6 levels rising by 1.10 (-2.73 to 6.95) pg/ml (p = 0.008). There was a relation between the changes in fibrinogen at exacerbation and IL-6 levels (r = 0.348, p <0.001). Multiple regression revealed significantly greater rises in fibrinogen when exacerbations were associated with purulent sputum (b = 0.34 g/l; p = 0.03), increased cough (b = 0.31 g/l, p = 0.019) and symptomatic colds (b = 0.228; p = 0.024). CONCLUSIONS: Plasma fibrinogen levels were elevated in stable patients with COPD and may contribute to the increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in these patients. COPD exacerbations increased serum IL-6 levels, leading to a rise in plasma fibrinogen. Thus acute rather than chronic infection may have a role in predisposing to coronary heart disease or stroke.

Determination of who may derive most benefit from aspirin in primary prevention: subgroup results from a randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: To determine which groups of patients may derive particular benefit or experience harm from the use of low dose aspirin for the primary prevention of coronary heart disease. DESIGN: Randomised controlled trial. SETTING: 108 group practices in the Medical Research Council's general practice research framework who were taking part in the thrombosis prevention trial. PARTICIPANTS: 5499 men aged between 45 and 69 years at entry who were at increased risk of coronary heart disease. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Myocardial infarction, coronary death, and stroke. RESULTS: Aspirin reduced coronary events by 20%. This benefit, mainly for non-fatal events, was significantly greater the lower the systolic blood pressure at entry (interaction P=0.0015), the relative risk at pressures 130 mm Hg being 0.55 compared with 0.94 at pressures >145 mm Hg. Aspirin also reduced strokes at low but not high pressures, the relative risks being 0.41 and 1.42 (P=0.006) respectively. The relative risk of all major cardiovascular events-that is, the sum of coronary heart disease and stroke-was 0.59 at pressures <130 mm Hg compared with 1.08 at pressures >145 mm Hg (P=0.0001). CONCLUSION: Even with the limitations of subgroup analyses the evidence suggests that the benefit of low dose aspirin in primary prevention may occur mainly in those with lower systolic blood pressures, although it is not clear even in these men that the benefit outweighs the potential hazards. Men with higher pressures may be exposed to the risks of bleeding while deriving no benefit through reductions in coronary heart disease and stroke.

Haemostatic and lipid determinants of prothrombin fragment F1.2 and D-dimer in plasma.

The determinants of plasma levels of prothrombin fragment F1.2 (F1.2) and D-dimer in different populations are unclear and this may complicate their interpretation as predictors of thrombotic risk, particularly in the case of D-dimer. We therefore measured F1.2 and D-dimer levels together with a number of other haemostatic and lipid variables in a cross-sectional community-based study of 150 healthy adults (73 male, 77 female), age range 23-80 years, identified from the list of a general practice by stratified random sampling within sex and decade of age. Plasma F1.2 was significantly higher in females than males and was independently and positively associated with age, factor VII activity (FVIIc) and C1 inhibitor, and inversely associated with high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol. Plasma D-dimer showed a quadratic association with age (p <0.0001). In those < or =55 years D-dimer was inversely associated with dilute clot lysis time (DCLT) and activated protein C (APC) ratio. In those >55 years it was significantly higher in females than males and associated positively with age, fibrinogen and, in males, activated factor XII (FXIIa). In a multiple-linear model which combined both age groups, F1.2 and D-dimer were independently associated with each other (r = 0.22, p = 0.03). Thus, thrombin generation and fibrin turnover/fibrinolysis are associated in healthy subjects. HDL cholesterol (inversely) and FVIIc are associated with basal thrombin generation (i.e. F1.2). Determinants of D-dimer differ according to age and interpretation of the biological significance of D-dimer levels in epidemiological studies may therefore not be straightforward.

Comparison of novel hemostatic factors and conventional risk factors for prediction of coronary heart disease.

BACKGROUND: This study sought to assess whether novel markers of hemostatic activity are predictive of coronary heart disease (CHD) and improve risk assessment. METHODS AND RESULTS: Conventional CHD risk factors, the activation peptides of factor IX and factor X, factor VII activity and antigen, activated factor XII, prothrombin fragment 1+2, fibrinopeptide A, and fibrinogen were measured in 1153 men aged 50 to 61 years who were free of myocardial infarction at recruitment. Activated factor VII (VIIa) was measured in 829 men. During 7.8 years of follow-up, 104 had a CHD event. Baseline status was related to outcome by logistic regression by using a modified nested case-control design. Screening performance was judged from receiver operating characteristic curves. A high activated factor XII was associated with increased CHD risk, but low levels were not protective. Plasma VIIa and factor X activation peptide were independently and inversely related to risk. Plasma factor IX activation peptide and fibrinogen were positively associated with risk, but the relations were no longer statistically significant after adjustment for other factors, including VIIa and apoA-I. Other hemostatic markers were not associated with CHD risk. CONCLUSIONS: Hemostatic status did not add significant predictive power to that provided by conventional CHD risk factors yet was able to substitute effectively for these factors.