ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Contraction of interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy (IFTA) may cause %IFTA to under-represent the severity of nephron loss. Higher density of IFTA foci is an important predictor of progressive chronic kidney disease in native kidneys independent of %IFTA. METHODS: We studied kidney transplant recipients transplanted between 2000-2013 who had a 5-year surveillance kidney biopsy and subsequent follow-up. Banff ci score (interstitial fibrosis) was obtained from the pathology reports. After digitizing the biopsies, we traced cortex area and each distinct IFTA focus on a single trichrome-stained section. Percent IFTA area and IFTA foci density (count of IFTA foci/cortex area) were calculated. Cox models assessed the risk of death-censored graft failure after the 5-year biopsy with Banff ci score, morphometric %IFTA, and IFTA foci density. RESULTS: There were 58 death-censored allograft failures among 835 kidney recipients during the 5 years of follow-up. Biopsies from grafts that failed had higher mean Banff ci score (1.5 vs 0.7, p<0.0001), %IFTA (22.2% vs 7.0%, p<0.0001), and IFTA foci density (1.3 vs. 0.4 per mm2, p<0.001). After adjusting for other Banff scores or clinical variables, Banff ci did not correlate with allograft failure, but both higher %IFTA (HR=1.56, p<0.0001) and higher IFTA foci density (HR=2.34, p<0.001) did. All but 4 allograft failures by 10 years had biopsies in the top quartile of either %IFTA or IFTA foci density at 5 years. A model using just these two morphometric measures without clinical characteristics resulted in a c-statistic of 0.891 with respect to allograft failure. CONCLUSIONS: Morphometric characterization of IFTA foci density is a strong predictor of death censored allograft failure not captured in current Banff classification for grading of kidney fibrosis.
