Impact of COVID-19 lockdowns on hospital presentations and admissions in the context of low community transmission: evidence from time series analysis in Melbourne, Australia.

BACKGROUND: Melbourne, Australia, successfully halted exponential transmission of COVID-19 via two strict lockdowns during 2020. The impact of such restrictions on healthcare-seeking behaviour is not comprehensively understood, but is of global importance. We explore the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on acute, subacute and emergency department (ED) presentations/admissions within a tertiary, metropolitan health service in Melbourne, Australia, over two waves of community transmission (1 March to 20 September 2020). METHODS: We used 4 years of historical data and novel forecasting methods to predict counterfactual hospital activity for 2020, assuming absence of COVID-19. Observed activity was compared with forecasts overall, by age, triage category and for myocardial infarction and stroke. Data were analysed for all patients residing in the health service catchment area presenting between 4 January 2016 and 20 September 2020. RESULTS: ED presentations (n=401 805), acute admissions (n=371 723) and subacute admissions (n=15 676) were analysed. Substantial departures from forecasted presentation levels were observed during both waves in the ED and acute settings, and during the second wave in subacute. Reductions were most marked among those aged >80 and <18 years. Presentations persisted at expected levels for urgent conditions, and ED triage categories 1 and 5, with clear reductions in categories 2-4. CONCLUSIONS: Our analyses suggest citizens were willing and able to present with life-threatening conditions during Melbourne's lockdowns, and that switching to telemedicine did not cause widespread spill-over from primary care into ED. During a pandemic, lockdowns may not inhibit appropriate hospital attendance where rates of infectious disease are low.

The Role of Spinal Orthoses in Osteoporotic Vertebral Fractures of the Elderly Population (Age 60 Years or Older): Systematic Review.

STUDY DESIGN: Systematic review. OBJECTIVE: Spinal orthoses have been generally used in the management of osteoporotic vertebral fractures in the elderly population with purported positive biomechanical and functional effects. To our knowledge, this is the first systematic review of the literature examining the role of spinal orthoses in osteoporotic elderly patients who sustain low energy trauma vertebral fractures. METHODS: A systematic literature review adherent to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines was conducted. Methodical searches utilizing MEDLINE, EMBASE, Google Scholar, and Cochrane Databases was performed. RESULTS: Of the 2019 articles initially retrieved, 7 published articles (4 randomized controlled trials and 3 prospective cohort studies) satisfied the inclusion criteria. Five studies reported improvement in quantitative measurements of spinal column stability when either a rigid or semirigid orthosis was used, while 1 study was equivocal. The studies also showed the translation of biomechanical benefit into significant functional improvement as manifested by improved postural stability and reduced body sway. Subjective improvement in pain scores and quality of life was also noted with bracing. CONCLUSION: The use of spinal orthoses in neurologically intact elderly patients aged 60 years and older with osteoporotic compression vertebral fractures results in improved biomechanical vertebral stability, reduced kyphotic deformity, enhanced postural stability, greater muscular strength and superior functional outcomes.

In-hospital 'CODE STEMI' improves door-to-balloon time in patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention.

OBJECTIVE: Reducing time to reperfusion for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is essential in improving outcomes. Consequently, numerous strategies have been employed to reduce median door-to-balloon time (DTBT). METHODS: CODE STEMI is an ED physician-activated STEMI notification system. On activation, an announcement is made over the hospital's public announcement (PA) system. We prospectively analysed all in-hours STEMI patients who had primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) Pre-CODE STEMI (2014) and after CODE STEMI was implemented (2015). The primary end-points were median DTBT and the proportion of STEMI patients achieving a DTBT ≤90 min. The secondary end-points were in-hospital outcomes, and a composite of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and hospital readmission rates at 30 days and 12 months. RESULTS: There were 41 and 42 patients in Pre-CODE STEMI and CODE STEMI groups respectively. Baseline characteristics were similar. DTBT was significantly reduced by 22.1 min from 67.1 ± 34.9 min Pre-CODE STEMI to 45.0 ± 22.7 min (P = 0.001) in the CODE STEMI group. Door-to-door time (DTDT) was also reduced from 46.3 ± 30.9 min to 29.4 ± 23.3 min (P = 0.006). A greater proportion of CODE STEMI patients achieved the target DTBT ≤90 min (95.2% vs 73.2%, P = 0.007). CODE STEMI patients had less systolic dysfunction measured by a left ventricle ejection fraction of ≤40% (10.0% vs 27.8%, P = 0.07). There were trends to lower in-hospital mortality rates (4.8% vs 9.8%, P = 0.43), MACE at 30 days and 12 months (4.8% vs 9.8%, P = 0.43; 11.9% vs 22.0%, P = 0.25). CONCLUSION: The novel in-hospital in-hours CODE STEMI notification system significantly reduced DTBT in patients undergoing PPCI.

How accurate is weight estimation in the emergency department?

OBJECTIVE: To determine the accuracy of medical staff, nursing staff and patients for estimating weight in an ED population. METHODS: This is a prospective, observational study. Medical staff, nursing staff and patients were asked to estimate patient weight that was then measured. The main outcome was average per cent error in weight estimation for each group. RESULTS: Average per cent error in estimates was 3.9% for patients (95% CI 3.6-4.1%), 7.7% (95% CI 7.2-8.2%) for nurses and 11% (95% CI 10.2-11.7%) for physicians. Ninety-one per cent of patients (95% CI 90-93%), 78% of nurses (95% CI 75-80%) and 59% of physicians (95% CI 56-63%) made weight estimates accurate to within 10% of actual weight. CONCLUSION: Patients are generally accurate in estimating their true weight and health care workers showed only moderate accuracy. Where possible, drug dose calculations should be based on measured weight and if this is not possible, patient estimate of weight should be sought. Health care worker estimation should be used only when this is not possible.