Risk scoring for time to end-stage knee osteoarthritis: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

OBJECTIVE: This study constructs a risk score for patients' progression to end-stage knee osteoarthritis (OA) within 4 years. DESIGN: The Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) was a longitudinal study of the onset and progression of knee OA. Using a recent definition of end-stage knee OA, we implement interval-censored survival forests to select predictors of this endpoint. We fit an interval-censored Cox model for time to end-stage knee OA, using the selected predictors. The risk score is the Cox model's fitted linear combination of the nine selected baseline structural and symptomatic knee OA variables. RESULTS: We fit our models on a training set of 2,701 patients, and we evaluate on an independent test set of 1,436 patients. On the test sample, we observe a concordance index of 0.86 between risk score and time to end-stage, AUC of 0.87 for predicting end-stage within 24, 36, and 48 months, and positive predictive values that increase with the risk score. This risk stratification algorithm could enrich clinical trial patient enrollment. By enrolling test sample patients with scores above a threshold, a trial could have included 91% of test set patients who reach end-stage within 4 years while only enrolling 45% of the test sample. CONCLUSION: Using statistical methods, we construct and validate an interpretable risk score for time to end-stage knee OA. This score can help disease-modifying OA treatment developers to select candidates with the highest risk of fast-progressing knee OA.

Reduction in the risk of clinical fractures after a single dose of zoledronic Acid 5 milligrams.

CONTEXT: Annual infusions of zoledronic acid 5 mg over 3 years have been shown to reduce fracture incidence. There is now evidence that the effects of a single dose of zoledronic acid on bone mineral density and bone turnover last for much more than a year. Whether this is associated with sustained fracture prevention is not known. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to assess fracture incidence after only 1 infusion of zoledronic acid. DESIGN: The design of the study included post hoc analysis of subgroups of subjects from 2 trials, who received only 1 study infusion. SETTING: The study included multicenter, randomized controlled trials. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1367 subjects from HORIZON-PFT and HORIZON-RFT studies who received only 1 of the planned annual infusions participated in the study. INTERVENTION: The intervention of the study consisted of 1 infusion of zoledronic acid or placebo. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Clinical fracture was the main outcome measure of the study. RESULTS: Mean follow-up period was 1.5 years. In patients who received only a single infusion, there was a 32% reduction in clinical fracture comparing zoledronic acid with placebo over 3 years of follow-up (95% confidence interval 2-53%, P = .04), comparable with the fracture reduction seen in those who had 3 or more annual infusions (34%; 95% confidence interval, 23-43%, P < .0001). New morphometric vertebral fractures were reduced by 68% in the single-infusion group (P = .004). The between-group differences in total hip bone mineral density at 3 years were 3.8% in those receiving 1 infusion and 6.2% in those receiving 3 infusions. CONCLUSIONS: In this post hoc analysis based on postrandomization subgroups, fracture risk appears to be reduced for more than 1 year after a single infusion of zoledronic acid. Prospective studies designed to assess this possibility are now warranted.

Treatment with acetaminophen/paracetamol or ibuprofen alleviates post-dose symptoms related to intravenous infusion with zoledronic acid 5 mg.

SUMMARY: Patients treated with intravenous zoledronic acid 5 mg for osteoporosis may experience post-dose influenza-like symptoms. Oral acetaminophen/paracetamol or ibuprofen administered 4 h post-infusion reduced the proportion of patients with increased oral temperature and worsening post-infusion symptom scores vs. placebo, thus providing an effective strategy for the treatment of such symptoms. INTRODUCTION: Once-yearly intravenous zoledronic acid 5 mg is a safe and effective treatment for postmenopausal osteoporosis. This study assessed whether transient influenza-like post-dose symptoms associated with intravenous infusion of zoledronic acid can be reduced by post-dose administration of acetaminophen/paracetamol or ibuprofen. METHODS: In an international, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, double-dummy parallel-group study, bisphosphonate-naïve postmenopausal women with osteopenia (n = 481) were randomized to receive zoledronic acid 5 mg + acetaminophen/paracetamol (n = 135), ibuprofen (n = 137) or placebo (n = 137), or placebo + placebo (n = 72). Acetaminophen/paracetamol and ibuprofen were administered every 6 h for 3 days beginning 4 h post-infusion. RESULTS: The proportion of patients with increased oral temperature (≥1°C above 37.5°C) and with worsening post-infusion symptom scores over 3 days was significantly lower in patients receiving ibuprofen (36.8% and 48.5%) or acetaminophen/paracetamol (37.3% and 46.3%) vs. those receiving placebo (63.5% and 75.9%, respectively; all p < 0.0001) compared with background rates of 11.1% and 16.7%, respectively, in the absence of any active treatment. Overall incidence of adverse events was comparable for patients receiving acetaminophen/paracetamol or ibuprofen. CONCLUSION: Oral acetaminophen/paracetamol or ibuprofen effectively managed the transient influenza-like symptoms associated with zoledronic acid 5 mg.

Association between timing of zoledronic acid infusion and hip fracture healing.

UNLABELLED: Patients in the Health Outcomes and Reduced Incidence with Zoledronic Acid Once Yearly (HORIZON) Recurrent Fracture Trial were assessed for evidence of delayed hip fracture healing. No association was observed between zoledronic acid (ZOL) and delayed healing. We conclude that ZOL has no clinically evident effect on fracture healing, even when the drug is infused in the immediate postoperative period. INTRODUCTION: Intravenous zoledronic acid 5 mg (ZOL) given after a hip fracture reduces secondary fracture rates and mortality. It has been postulated that bisphosphonates may affect healing if given soon after a fracture. We sought to determine whether the timing of ZOL infusion affected the risk of delayed hip fracture healing. METHODS: In the HORIZON Recurrent Fracture Trial, patients were randomized within 90 days of a low-trauma hip fracture to receive either once-yearly ZOL (n = 1,065) or placebo (n = 1,062). Clinical symptoms of delayed hip fracture healing were sought at randomization, 6 months and 12 months after fracture; if present, a central adjudication committee blinded to treatment assignment reviewed radiographs and clinical records. Median follow-up was 1.9 years. RESULTS: The overall incidence of delayed healing was 3.2% (ZOL) and 2.7% (placebo; odds ratio [OR], 1.17; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.72-1.90; p = 0.61). Logistic regression models revealed no association between ZOL and delayed healing even after adjusting for other risk factors (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.74-1.99; p = 0.44). There was no interaction by timing of infusion, and nonunion rates were similar even when ZOL was given within 2 weeks of hip fracture repair. NSAID use was significantly associated with delayed fracture healing (OR, 2.55; 95% CI, 1.49-4.39; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: ZOL has no clinically evident effect on fracture healing, even when the drug is infused in the immediate postoperative period.

Characterization of and risk factors for the acute-phase response after zoledronic acid.

CONTEXT: Intravenous aminobisphosphonates often cause an acute-phase response (APR), but the precise components of this, its frequency, and the risk factors for its development have not been systematically studied. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to characterize the APR and determine its frequency and the risk factors for its development. DESIGN: The study was an analysis of adverse events from a large randomized trial. SETTING: This was a multicenter international trial. PATIENTS: Patients included 7765 postmenopausal women with osteoporosis. INTERVENTION: Zoledronic acid 5 mg annually or placebo was the intervention. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Adverse events occurring within 3 d of zoledronic acid infusion were measured. RESULTS: More than 30 adverse events were significantly more common in the zoledronic acid group and were regarded collectively as constituting an APR. These were clustered into five groups: fever; musculoskeletal (pain and joint swelling); gastrointestinal (abdominal pain, vomiting, diarrhea); eye inflammation; and general (including fatigue, nasopharyngitis, edema). A total of 42.4% of the zoledronic acid group had an APR after the first infusion, compared with 11.7% of the placebo group. All APR components had their peak onset within 1 d, the median duration of the APR was 3 d, and severity was rated as mild or moderate in 90%. Stepwise regression showed that APR was more common in non-Japanese Asians, younger subjects, and nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drug users and was less common in smokers, patients with diabetes, previous users of oral bisphosphonates, and Latin Americans (P < 0.05 for all). CONCLUSION: This analysis identifies new components of the APR and provides the first assessment of risk factors for it. Despite its frequency, APR rarely resulted in treatment discontinuation in this study.

Effect of once-yearly zoledronic acid on the spine and hip as measured by quantitative computed tomography: results of the HORIZON Pivotal Fracture Trial.

UNLABELLED: Changes in bone mineral density and bone strength following treatment with zoledronic acid (ZOL) were measured by quantitative computed analysis (QCT) or dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA). ZOL treatment increased spine and hip BMD vs placebo, assessed by QCT and DXA. Changes in trabecular bone resulted in increased bone strength. INTRODUCTION: To investigate bone mineral density (BMD) changes in trabecular and cortical bone, estimated by quantitative computed analysis (QCT) or dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), and whether zoledronic acid 5 mg (ZOL) affects bone strength. METHODS: In 233 women from a randomized, controlled trial of once-yearly ZOL, lumbar spine, total hip, femoral neck, and trochanter were assessed by DXA and QCT (baseline, Month 36). Mean percentage changes from baseline and between-treatment differences (ZOL vs placebo, t-test) were evaluated. RESULTS: Mean between-treatment differences for lumbar spine BMD were significant by DXA (7.0%, p < 0.01) and QCT (5.7%, p < 0.0001). Between-treatment differences were significant for trabecular spine (p = 0.0017) [non-parametric test], trabecular trochanter (10.7%, p < 0.0001), total hip (10.8%, p < 0.0001), and compressive strength indices at femoral neck (8.6%, p = 0.0001), and trochanter (14.1%, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Once-yearly ZOL increased hip and spine BMD vs placebo, assessed by QCT vs DXA. Changes in trabecular bone resulted in increased indices of compressive strength.

Behavioral symptoms in mild cognitive impairment.

The authors investigated neuropsychiatric symptoms in mild cognitive impairment (MCI) from baseline data of the Investigation in the Delay to Diagnosis of AD with Exelon (InDDEx) study (n = 1,010). Neuropsychiatric symptoms were reported in 59% of subjects (Neuropsychiatric Inventory [NPI]). NPI+ subjects had significantly greater impairment on global, cognitive, and functional scores than NPI- subjects. The presence of neuropsychiatric symptoms appears to be a marker of MCI severity.

Oxcarbazepine (Trileptal) as monotherapy in patients with partial seizures.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of oxcarbazepine (OXC) as monotherapy for patients with uncontrolled partial seizures. METHODS: A multicenter, double-blind, randomized, parallel-group, dose-controlled monotherapy trial compared OXC at 2400 mg/day with OXC at 300 mg/day in patients with uncontrolled partial-onset seizures previously receiving carbamazepine (CBZ) monotherapy. During a 28-day open-label conversion phase, patients were tapered off CBZ and titrated to OXC 2400 mg/day. After a 56-day open-label baseline phase on OXC 2400 mg/day, patients entered a 126-day double-blind treatment phase in which they were randomized to continue OXC at 2400 mg/day or were down titrated over 6 weeks to OXC at 300 mg/day. Patients met the efficacy endpoint by completing the double-blind treatment phase or by meeting one of four predefined exit criteria. The primary efficacy variable was time to meeting one of the exit criteria. The secondary efficacy variable was the percentage of patients meeting one of the exit criteria in each of the two treatment groups. RESULTS: Of the 143 patients enrolled, 96 were randomized in the double-blind treatment phase. Time to meeting an exit criterion was significantly in favor of the OXC 2400 mg/day group (p = 0.0001). The median time to meeting an exit criterion was 68 days for the OXC 2400 mg/day Group and 28 days for the OXC 300 mg/day Group. In addition, the percentage of patients meeting one of the exit criteria was significantly lower for the OXC 2400 mg/day Group (p = 0.0001). Overall, OXC was well tolerated with the most common adverse events consisting of fatigue, nausea, ataxia, and headache. CONCLUSION: This trial demonstrated that OXC at 2400 mg/day is well tolerated and efficacious when administered as monotherapy in patients with uncontrolled partial onset seizures.

Adjunctive therapy with oxcarbazepine in children with partial seizures. The Oxcarbazepine Pediatric Study Group.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the safety and efficacy of oxcarbazepine (OXC) as adjunctive therapy in children with inadequately controlled partial seizures on one or two concomitant antiepileptic drugs (AEDs). BACKGROUND: OXC has shown antiepileptic activity in several comparative monotherapy trials in newly diagnosed patients with epilepsy, and in a placebo-controlled monotherapy trial in hospitalized patients evaluated for epilepsy surgery. DESIGN: A total of 267 patients were evaluated in a multicenter, randomized, placebo-controlled trial consisting of three phases: 1) a 56-day baseline phase (patients maintained on their current AEDs); 2) a 112-day double-blind treatment phase (patients received either OXC 30-46 mg/kg/day orally or placebo); and 3) an open-label extension phase. Data are reported only from the double-blind treatment phase; the open-label extension phase is ongoing. METHODS: Children (3 to 17 years old) with inadequately controlled partial seizures (simple, complex, and partial seizures evolving to secondarily generalized seizures) were enrolled. RESULTS: Patients treated with OXC experienced a significantly greater median percent reduction from baseline in partial seizure frequency than patients treated with placebo (p = 0.0001; 35% versus 9%, respectively). Forty-one percent of patients treated with OXC experienced a > or =50% reduction from baseline in partial seizure frequency per 28 days compared with 22% of patients treated with placebo (p = 0.0005). Ninety-one percent of the group treated with OXC and 82% of the group treated with placebo reported > or =1 adverse event; vomiting, somnolence, dizziness, and nausea occurred more frequently (twofold or greater) in the group treated with OXC. CONCLUSION: OXC adjunctive therapy administered in a dose range of 6 to 51 mg/kg/day (median 31.4 mg/kg/day) is safe, effective, and well tolerated in children with partial seizures.

Oxcarbazepine monotherapy for partial-onset seizures: a multicenter, double-blind, clinical trial.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the safety and efficacy of oxcarbazepine (OXC) 2,400 mg/day versus OXC 300 mg/day monotherapy in patients with medically refractory partial epilepsy. BACKGROUND: OXC is primarily metabolized by reductase enzymes and, consequently, has a low propensity to inhibit or induce oxidative enzymes and a minimal potential for drug-drug interactions. The efficacy of OXC as monotherapy was shown in several comparative trials in patients with newly diagnosed epilepsy and in hospitalized patients undergoing evaluation for epilepsy surgery. METHODS: A multicenter, double-blind, randomized, parallel-group trial design was chosen to assess the antiepileptic efficacy of OXC as monotherapy in a refractory epilepsy patient population. Outpatients aged 12 years or older with inadequately controlled partial seizures, with or without secondarily generalized seizures, were enrolled. Patients finished the trial by completing the double-blind phase or by meeting one of four predefined exit criteria: a twofold increase in partial seizure frequency in any 28-day period relative to baseline; a twofold increase in the highest consecutive 2-day partial seizure frequency relative to baseline; occurrence of a single generalized seizure if none occurred during the 6 months prior to randomization; or prolongation or worsening of generalized seizure duration or frequency requiring intervention. Adverse events (AEs), vital signs, and clinical laboratory tests were evaluated. RESULTS: The percentage of patients meeting one of the exit criteria was significantly lower (p < 0.0001) for the OXC 2400 mg/day group (14/34; 41%) than the OXC 300 mg/day group (42/45; 93%). In addition, there was a significant difference in time to exit in favor of the OXC 2400 mg/day group (p = 0.0001). In the intent-to-treat analysis, 12% of patients in the OXC 2400 mg/day group were seizure-free compared with none in the 300 mg/day group. OXC was well-tolerated, with dizziness, fatigue, somnolence, and nausea being the most frequent AEs. Most of these AEs were transient and rated as mild to moderate in intensity. CONCLUSION: OXC is safe and effective in the treatment of patients with partial epilepsy previously receiving treatment with other antiepileptic drugs. The results of this trial are consistent with previous monotherapy trials with OXC.

Oxcarbazepine: double-blind, randomized, placebo-control, monotherapy trial for partial seizures.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of oxcarbazepine in a placebo-control trial. METHODS: A multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-control, two-arm parallel group, monotherapy design was used to compare oxcarbazepine administered 1,200 mg twice daily to placebo in hospitalized patients with refractory partial seizures, including simple and complex partial seizures and partial seizures evolving to secondarily generalized seizures. Patients exited the trial after completing the 10-day double-blind treatment phase or after experiencing four partial seizures, two new-onset secondarily generalized seizures, serial seizures, or status epilepticus, whichever came first. RESULTS: Analysis of the primary efficacy variable--time to meeting one of the exit criteria--showed a statistically significant effect in favor of oxcarbazepine (p = 0.0001). The secondary efficacy variables--percentage of patients who met one of the exit criteria (p = 0.0001) and total partial seizure frequency per 9 days during the double-blind treatment (p = 0.0001)--were also statistically significant in favor of oxcarbazepine. CONCLUSION: These results demonstrate that oxcarbazepine given as monotherapy is effective and safe for the treatment of partial seizures in this paradigm.