ABSTRACT
Background: Nigeria is among the top five countries that have the highest gap between people reported as diagnosed and estimated to have developed tuberculosis (TB). To bridge this gap, there is a need for innovative approaches to identify geographical areas at high risk of TB transmission and targeted active case finding (ACF) interventions. Leveraging community-level data together with granular sociodemographic contextual information can unmask local hotspots that could be otherwise missed. This work evaluated whether this approach helps to reach communities with higher numbers of undiagnosed TB. Methodology: A retrospective analysis of the data generated from an ACF intervention program in four southwestern states in Nigeria was conducted. Wards (the smallest administrative level in Nigeria) were further subdivided into smaller population clusters. ACF sites and their respective TB screening outputs were mapped to these population clusters. This data were then combined with open-source high-resolution contextual data to train a Bayesian inference model. The model predicted TB positivity rates on the community level (population cluster level), and these were visualised on a customised geoportal for use by the local teams to identify communities at high risk of TB transmission and plan ACF interventions. The TB positivity yield (proportion) observed at model-predicted hotspots was compared with the yield obtained at other sites identified based on aggregated notification data. Results: The yield in population clusters that were predicted to have high TB positivity rates by the model was at least 1.75 times higher (p-value < 0.001) than the yield in other locations in all four states. Conclusions: The community-level Bayesian predictive model has the potential to guide ACF implementers to high-TB-positivity areas for finding undiagnosed TB in the communities, thus improving the efficiency of interventions.
ABSTRACT
Between September 2020 and March 2021, Mercy Corps piloted hybrid digital (CAPI) and paper-based (PAPI) data collection as part of its tuberculosis (TB) active case finding strategy. Data were collected using CAPI and PAPI at 140 TB chest camps in low Internet access areas of Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa provinces in Pakistan. PAPI data collection was performed primarily during the camp and entered using a tailor-performed CAPI tool after camps. To assess the feasibility of this hybrid approach, quality of digital records were measured against the paper "gold standard", and user acceptance was evaluated through focus group discussions. Completeness of digital data varied by indicator, van screening team, and month of implementation: chest camp attendees and pulmonary TB cases showed the highest CAPI/PAPI completeness ratios (1.01 and 0.96 respectively), and among them, all forms of TB diagnosis and treatment initiation were lowest (0.63 and 0.64 respectively). Vans entering CAPI data with high levels of completeness generally did so for all indicators, and significant differences in mean indicator completeness rates between PAPI and CAPI were observed between vans. User feedback suggested that although the CAPI tool required practice to gain proficiency, the technology was appreciated and will be better perceived once double entry in CAPI and PAPI can transition to CAPI only. CAPI data collection enables data to be entered in a more timely fashion in low-Internet-access settings, which will enable more rapid, evidence-based program steering. The current system in which double data entry is conducted to ensure data quality is an added burden for staff with many activities. Transitioning to a fully digital data collection system for TB case finding in low-Internet-access settings requires substantial investments in M&E support, shifts in data reporting accountability, and technology to link records of patients who pass through separate data collection stages during chest camp events.
