Inequalities in access to knee joint replacements for people in need.

OBJECTIVES: To quantify the effects of socioeconomic deprivation and rurality on evidence of need for total knee joint replacement and the use of health services, after adjusting for age and sex. METHODS: A random stratified sample of 15 000 people aged > or =65 years taken from central age/sex registers for the geographical areas covered by the previous Sheffield and Wiltshire Health Authorities. A self completion validated questionnaire was then mailed directly to subjects to assess need for knee joint replacement surgery and whether general practice and hospital services were being used. Subjects were followed up for 18 months to evaluate access to surgery. RESULTS: The response rate was 78% after three mailings. In those aged 65 years and over (with and without comorbidity), the proportion with no comorbid factors and in need of knee replacement was 5.1%; the rate of need among subjects without comorbidity was 7.9%. There were inequalities in health and access to health related to age, sex, geography, and deprivation but not rurality. People who were more deprived had greater need. Older and deprived people were less likely to access health services. Only 6.4% of eligible people received knee replacement surgery after 18 months of follow up. CONCLUSIONS: There is an important unmet need in older people, with significant age, sex, geographical, and deprivation inequalities in levels of need and access to services. The use of waiting list numbers as a performance indicator is perverse for this procedure. There is urgent need to expand orthopaedic services and training.

Inequalities in accessing hip joint replacement for people in need.

OBJECTIVES: To quantify the effects of rurality and socio-economic disadvantage on prior evidence of need for total hip joint replacement and use of health services after adjusting for age and gender. DESIGN: Self-completion validated questionnaire mailed directly to subjects. SETTINGS: Geographical areas covered by Wiltshire and Sheffield Health Authorities in England. PARTICIPANTS: Random stratified sample of 15,000 aged 65 years and over taken from the central age-sex registers. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Prior need for hip joint replacement surgery and whether general practice and hospital services were being used as assessed by the questionnaire. RESULTS: The response rate was 78% after three mailings. Prevalence of need for total hip replacement in the over 64s was 3.4% (95% confidence interval is 3.0% to 3.8%) and in those without co-morbidity 5.4% (95% confidence interval is 4.8% to 6.0%). There were inequalities demonstrated due to age, geography, and deprivation, but not rurality in accessing general practice and hospital services. People who were poor had more need. Older people in need were less likely to be accessing health services. CONCLUSIONS: There is an important unmet need for hip joint replacement in older people with marked inequalities in levels of need and use of services. The use of numbers of people waiting as a performance indicator is perverse for this procedure. We have urgently to expand orthopaedic services and the training of orthopaedic surgeons in England.

Ten-year follow-up of ARIMA forecasts of attendances at accident and emergency departments in the Trent region.

Forecasting models for first, return and total attendances at accident and emergency (A&E) departments and yearly forecasts were developed ten years ago for all the health districts in the Trent region in England. The one-yearly forecasts had been checked against the 1986 actual figures and found accurate for first attendances but less accurate for return attendances. The forecasts for 1993 and 1994 were much further from the actual figures than the 1986 forecasts, with an increasing bias towards overestimation, particularly for reattendances. Whether a first attender is reviewed at a further visit may depend on local medical policy, which itself may vary with personnel changes. The one-off original ARIMA forecasts for new attendances for 1994 were no better than the district projections made in 1984, but they were better than the Trent Regional Health Authority guidelines. The ten-year strategic plan for Trent Regional Health Authority overestimated the increase in the number of first attendances at A&E departments in the Trent region. The forecasting methodology on which it was based could be improved by incorporating the ARIMA method into planning at the health district level. New forecasts or updated ones need to be calculated yearly.

The impact of heart health promotion on coronary heart disease lifestyle risk factors in schoolchildren: lessons learnt from a community-based project.

A community health promotion project called Action Heart was undertaken in two electoral wards in Rotherham to try to change lifestyles of people. Schools were included within the project. Coronary heart disease lifestyle risk factors were measured at baseline and after a three year period in the intervention area and a similar control area. Lifestyle factors in schoolchildren were measured separately from adults using a different instrument. The post intervention survey of adults and economic evaluation demonstrated that Action Heart had achieved cost-effective estimated health gains. In the schoolchildren however, a mixture of positive and negative risk factor changes in both areas was demonstrated. Significant changes in lifestyle risk factors in schoolchildren were not elicited using this approach. The possible reasons for the lack of impact on lifestyle risk factors in schoolchildren are examined and the implications for further work explored.

Community immunization programme in response to an outbreak of invasive Neisseria meningitidis serogroup C infection in the Trent region of England 1995-1996.

Between 8 December 1995 and 16 January 1996 seven laboratory confirmed cases of septicaemia owing to infection with Neisseria meningitidis serogroup C strains and one highly probable case of meningococcal septicaemia occurred in three electoral wards in south Rotherham and the Retford area of north Nottinghamshire. All cases occurred among children aged 1-17 years. One patient died. The public health response to this outbreak was the largest community prophylactic antibiotic and immunization programme against meningococcal infection, to date, in the United Kingdom. The target group for each Health Authority was 8900 for Rotherham Health Authorities and 8000 for North Nottinghamshire Health. Local logistical factors led to differences in the implementation of the programme by each Health Authority. At the completion of each programme, 8320 doses of vaccine had been administered (92.5 per cent coverage) during the Rotherham Health Authorities programme and 7660 (95.7 per cent coverage) during the North Nottinghamshire Health programme. The additional financial cost of the exercise amounted to approximately Pounds 125000 for each Health Authority. This paper describes the evolution of the outbreak, the decision-making process resulting in the immunization programme in each Health Authority, the implementation of each programme, problems identified and lessons learned.

Cost effectiveness of adjuvant bile salt treatment in extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy for the treatment of gall bladder stones.

The relative cost effectiveness of adjuvant urso and chenodeoxycholic acid treatment in extracorporeal shockwave lithotripsy (ESWL) has been assessed as part of a pragmatic randomised controlled trial of ESWL as a treatment of gall bladder stones. Of the first patients with gall stone volume < 4 cm3 randomised to ESWL in the main trial, 24 were randomised to have ESWL alone and 26 to have adjuvant bile acid treatment, one of whom died before the end of the 12 month follow up period. At 12 months after treatment, differences in gall stone clearance between ESWL alone (3/24 (13%) clear, 5 (21%) referred for surgery) and ESWL and bile acids (6/25 (24%) clear, 2 (8%) referred for surgery) were not significant (p = 0.36, log rank test). Patients in both groups had substantial and significant health gains (according to biliary pain frequency and severity, Nottingham Health Profile scores, visual analogue scale symptom scores, and complications) but there were no significant differences between the groups. Improvements in both groups usually occurred within a few weeks of treatment and were unrelated to gall stone clearance. Costs were greater in the bile salt group (95% confidence intervals for estimated cost difference: 90 pounds to 630 pounds). If the purpose of treatment is symptom relief rather than gall stone clearance then adjuvant bile salt treatment seems to be unnecessary.

Is use of hospital services a proxy for morbidity? A small area comparison of the prevalence of arthritis, depression, dyspepsia, obesity, and respiratory disease with inpatient admission rates for these disorders in England.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the relationship between specific types of morbidity, measured by validated survey questions, and hospital service use and mortality to see if the latter two could act as a proxy in health needs assessment, health service planning, and resource allocation in a typical health district. DESIGN: A postal questionnaire was used to provide information about depression, digestive disorders, musculo-skeletal disorders, obesity, respiratory disease, and hip and knee pain. The questions were from survey instruments that have been widely used to derive information about these conditions. The relationships between the prevalence of these specific types of morbidity and appropriate admission and mortality rates were explored using linear regression and Pearson correlation analysis. SETTING: The population of Rotherham health district, England. SUBJECTS: A simple random sample of the residents of each of the 22 electoral wards in Rotherham health district. RESULTS: Responses were obtained from 78% of the 5000 sampled (82% after excluding people who had moved house or died). Significant, positive correlations were found between the prevalence of respiratory disease and the hospital admission and mortality rates for respiratory problems (r = 0.68, p < 0.01 and r = 0.54, p < 0.01) and the prevalence of depression and the admission rate for depression (r = 0.52, p < 0.05). No such relations were found for digestive disease, musculo-skeletal disease, and obesity. For the conditions examined here, hospital service use was a more useful measure than mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Only two diseases (respiratory disease and depression) out of the seven diseases or procedures investigated showed a positive correlation between hospital admission and disease prevalence. But even for these two, the correlations explained less than 50% of the variance. Caution must be exercised when hospital service use is being considered as a proxy for morbidity.

Audit of deaths from cervical cancer: proposal for an essential component of the National Screening Programme.

AIMS: To ascertain the type and relative frequency of major factors associated with deaths from cervical cancer. METHODS: Deaths from cervical cancer in Rotherham district for the period 1989-1991 were subjected to multifactorial audit by reviewing laboratory, hospital, and general practitioner records; together with, when appropriate, re-screening of cytology smears. This period represented the three to five years after a computerised National Screening Programme (NSP) had been implemented with a five year recall interval. RESULTS: Thirty six deaths were identified. The average age of death was 59 years with 39% occurring in those over 65. Only 6% of cases presented as a result of a cervical smear, comprising 3% derived from the NSP and 3% by chance. Forty seven per cent of cases in which the patient had died had no record of a previous smear invitation; 22% of patients were under 65 years and 25% 65 or over. Those under 65 had presented before the appropriate age band had been called. A non-response to a cervical smear invitation was identified in 22%. In 25% of cases a true negative smear had been reported one to eight years previously (average 4.8 years). An inappropriate laboratory diagnosis was identified in 17% of cases. Fourteen per cent represented false negative smears and 8% comprised inadequate smears that had been reported as negative. Inappropriate clinical diagnosis or management was identified in 19% of cases. In 22% two or more contributory factors were identified in the same patient. CONCLUSIONS: Areas highlighted by the audit warranting further attention included the targeting of women over 65 with no cytology record; those not responding to smear invitations; laboratory performance; clinical acumen; and the reasons for true negative cervical smears. Multifactorial audit of all deaths from cervical cancer should be advocated nationally to assess and improve the effectiveness of the NSP.

Local confidential inquiry into avoidable factors in deaths from stroke and hypertensive disease.

OBJECTIVE: To audit avoidable deaths from stroke and hypertensive disease. DESIGN: Details of care before death were obtained from general practitioners and other doctors, anonymised, and assessed by two experts against agreed minimum standards of good practice for detecting and managing hypertension. SETTING: Health authority with population of 250,000. SUBJECTS: All patients under 75 years who died of stroke, hypertensive disease, or hypertension related causes during November 1990 to October 1991. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Presence of important avoidable factors and departures from minimum standards of good practice. RESULTS: Adequate information was obtained for 88% (123/139) of eligible cases. Agreement between the assessors was mostly satisfactory. 29% (36/123, 95% confidence interval 21% to 37%) of all cases and 44% (36/81, 34% to 55%) of those with definite hypertension had avoidable factors that may have contributed to death. These were most commonly failures of follow up and continuing smoking. Assessment against standards of minimum good practice showed that care was inadequate but not necessarily deemed to have contributed to death, in a large proportion of patients with definite hypertension. Common shortcomings were inadequate follow up, clinical investigation, and recording of smoking and other relevant risk behaviours. CONCLUSIONS: This method of audit can identify shortcomings in care of patients dying of hypertension related disease.

Are deprivation indicators a proxy for morbidity? A comparison of the prevalence of arthritis, depression, dyspepsia, obesity and respiratory symptoms with unemployment rates and Jarman scores.

The aim of the study was to examine the relationship between specific areas of morbidity measured using validated survey questions and deprivation indicators to see if the latter could act as a proxy in health needs assessment, health service planning and resource allocation in a typical health authority. A postal questionnaire was used to provide information about arthritis, depression, dyspepsia, obesity and respiratory symptoms in a simple random sample from the study population. The questions were from survey instruments that have been widely used to derive information about these conditions. The relationships between the prevalence of these specific areas of morbidity and both unemployment and the Jarman Underprivileged Areas Score were explored. Spearman's rank correlation coefficients were calculated and compared for each combination of measures. The study population was a random sample of the residents of each of the 22 electoral wards in Rotherham Health Authority. Responses were obtained from 82 per cent of the 5000 sampled. Although all morbidity measures showed positive correlations with both Jarman score and unemployment, some, notably those relating to respiratory disease and depression, were much more strongly correlated than others, such as obesity. There was no difference between unemployment and Jarman score in respect of the magnitude of the correlation coefficients. In conclusion, for some, but not all, conditions socio-economic measures are a good proxy for morbidity. Unemployment is just as useful a proxy as the Jarman score.

Randomised controlled trial of cost-effectiveness of lithotripsy and open cholecystectomy as treatments for gallbladder stones.

Inpatient extracorporeal shockwave lithotripsy for treatment of gallbladder stones has not previously been compared with open cholecystectomy in terms of cost-effectiveness. In a randomised controlled trial, 163 patients, stratified by gallstone bulk (over 4 cm3 or not), were randomised to lithotripsy or cholecystectomy (38 large-bulk and 27 small-bulk cholecystectomy; 37 large-bulk and 61 small-bulk lithotripsy) and followed up for 1 year. Both treatments gave significant health gains in terms of a reduction in episodes of biliary pain, improved perceived health status, and symptom relief, but few differences between treatments were found. There was some evidence that biliary-pain episodes were less severe after cholecystectomy. Cholecystectomy patients also had greater improvements in mean health gain for three related symptoms: vomiting, feeling sick, and fatty-food upset. However, there were no differences between groups in perceived health status. Among lithotripsy patients, health gain was not related to stone clearance. Lithotripsy was more expensive than cholecystectomy, principally because of the costs of the inpatient stay and adjuvant bile-salt therapy. Conventional lithotripsy appears at least as cost-effective as cholecystectomy for patients with small-bulk stones but less cost-effective for those with large-bulk stones. To some extent treatment choice can be guided by patient preference.

Cost effectiveness of minor surgery in general practice: a prospective comparison with hospital practice.

The cost effectiveness of general practitioners undertaking minor surgery in their practices was determined in a prospective comparison of patients having minor surgery undertaken in five general practices over a 12 week period in 1989, and in the departments of dermatology and general surgery in Rotherham District General Hospital over a contemporaneous eight week period. There were no differences between the settings in the reported rates of wound infection or other complications and only one general practice patient was subsequently referred to hospital for specialist treatment. General practitioners sent a smaller proportion of specimens to a histopathology laboratory than hospital doctors (61% versus 90%, P less than 0.001); incorrectly diagnosed a larger proportion of malignant conditions as benign (10% versus 1%, P less than 0.05) and inadequately excised 5% of lesions where this never happened in hospital (difference not significant). General practice patients had shorter waiting times between referral and treatment, spent less time and money attending for treatment and more of them were satisfied with their treatment. The cost of a procedure undertaken in general practice was less than in hospital--pounds 33.53 versus pounds 45.54 for the excision of a lesion and pounds 3.00 versus pounds 3.22 for cryotherapy of a wart (1989-90 prices). Performing minor surgery in general practice would seem cost effective compared with a hospital setting. However, the risk of general practitioners inadequately excising a malignancy and not sending it to a histopathology laboratory must be addressed and the conclusion regarding cost effectiveness only applies where general practice is a substitute for the hospital setting and not an additional activity.

Ownership, availability, and use of portable syringe drivers among hospices and home-care services.

We ascertained the ownership, availability and extent of use of portable syringe drivers among 236 hospice in-patient units and home-care services for the terminally ill in the United Kingdom by means of a postal questionnaire (97% response rate). Only 11 hospices and home-care services did not use them. The rest owned a median number of 4 but had only 1 in use. However, the combined hospice with home-care services owned relatively more than either hospices or home-care teams (median number 6 compared to 3.5 and 4 respectively) and used relatively more than the others (estimated median 2 [95% CI: 1-2] compared to 1 [95% CI: 0-1] and 1 [95% CI: 1-2] respectively). The major determinants of ownership and use among units with an in-patient facility were supply factors such as the numbers of trained nurses in palliative care and doctor half-day sessions, whereas for home-care units the number of patients cared for daily was the most important determinant. There does not seem to be any unmet demand for portable syringe drivers among hospices and home-care services.