Has mortality in the United States returned to pre-pandemic levels? An analysis of provisional 2023 data.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic, which started in 2020, resulted in greater all-cause mortality in 2020 and in subsequent years. Whether all-cause mortality remains elevated in 2023 compared to pre-pandemic numbers is unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: The United States (US) Center for Disease Control Wide-Ranging, Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database was used to compare mortality rates between 2019 and provisional data for 2022 and 2023. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) for all-cause as well as top causes of mortality were collected. Mortality based on subgroups by sex, age, and ethnicity was also collected. All-cause AAMRs between 2018 and 2023 per 100,000 individuals were 723.6, 715.2, 835.4, 879.7, (provisionally) 798.8, and (provisionally) 738.3, respectively, with AAMRs in 2023 remaining above 2019 pre-pandemic levels. Similar trends were noted in subgroups based on sex, ethnicity, and most age groups. Mortality attributed directly to COVID-19 peaked in 2021 as the 3rd leading cause of death and dropped to the 10th leading cause in 2023. Provisional mortality rate trends for 2023 suggest that rates for diseases of the heart increased during the pandemic but appear to have returned to or dipped below pre-pandemic levels. CONCLUSION: Provisional 2023 all-cause mortality rates in the US have decreased from the 2021 peak associated with the COVID-19 pandemic but remain above the pre-pandemic baseline. Mortality from some conditions, including diseases of the heart, appears to have recovered from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Highlights of Cardiovascular Disease Prevention Studies Presented at the 2024 American College of Cardiology Conference.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To summarize selected late-breaking science on cardiovascular (CV) disease prevention presented at the 2024 Scientific Session of the American College of Cardiology (ACC) conference. RECENT FINDINGS: The LIBerate-HR trial showed the efficacy and safety of lerodalcibep, a subcutaneous injection that prevents binding of Pro-Protein Convertase Subtilisin/Kexin (PCSK) 9 to low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-receptors resulting in LDL-cholesterol (LDL-C) lowering in patients at very high risk or high risk of atherosclerotic CV disease (ASCVD). The AEGIS-II randomized patients with type 1 myocardial infarction (MI) with multivessel coronary artery disease and additional CV risk factors and found no benefit in major adverse CV events (MACE) with CSL112, an apolipoprotein A1 infusion shown to increase cholesterol efflux capacity. The Bridge-TIMI 73a trial showed a significant reduction in triglyceride (TG) levels with olezarsen, an antisense mRNA, in patients with moderate hyperTG with elevated CV risk. The BE ACTIVE trial showed significant improvement in step counts in patients given behavioral and financial incentives. The DRIVE study showed a significant increase in the prescription of either sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors or glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) at elevated CV or renal risk with a remote team-based, non-licensed navigator and clinical pharmacist approach. The TACTiC trial showed increased and sustained use of statin therapy by patient-driven use of a web-based portal that calculated the ASCVD risk score and gave prompts. The VICTORIAN-INITIATE trial showed efficacy and safety in early use of inclisiran in patients with ASCVD who did not reach target LDL-C < 70 mg/dL despite maximally tolerated statin therapy. The ARISE-HF trial showed no difference in change of peak oxygen consumption with the use of an oral aldose reductase inhibitor, AT-001, in patients with well-controlled T2DM and diabetic cardiomyopathy with high-risk features compared to placebo. The PREVENT trial showed a significant reduction in target vessel failure at 2 years in patients with non-flow limiting vulnerable plaques with percutaneous coronary intervention and optimal medical therapy (OMT) compared to OMT alone. The late-breaking clinical science presented at the 2024 Scientific Session of the ACC paves the way for an evidence-based alternative to statin therapy and provides data on several common clinical scenarios encountered in daily practice.

Brief report: Effect of cardiac multi-morbidity on COVID hospitalization outcomes.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has stretched healthcare resources thin and led to significant morbidity and mortality. There have been no studies utilizing national data to investigate the role of cardiac risk factors on outcomes of COVID hospitalizations. The aim of this study was to examine the effect of cardiac multimorbidity on healthcare utilization and outcomes among COVID hospitalizations during the first year of the pandemic. METHODS: Using the national inpatient sample (NIS), we identified all adult hospital admissions with a primary diagnosis of COVID in 2020, using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification codes (ICD010-CM). Coronary artery disease, diabetes mellitus, heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, previous stroke, and atrial fibrillation were then identified as cardiac comorbidities using ICD-10-CM codes. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the effect of cardiac multimorbidity on mortality and mechanical ventilation. RESULTS: We identified 1,005,040 primary COVID admissions in 2020. Of these admissions, 216,545 (20.6%) had CAD, 413,195 (39.4%) had DM, 176,780 (16.8%) had HF, 159,700 (15.2%) had AF, 30735 (2.9%) had PVD, and 25,155 (2.4%) had a previous stroke. When stratified by number of comorbidities, 428390 (40.8%) had 0 comorbidities, 354960 (33.8%) had 1, 161225 (15.4%) had 2, and 105465 (10.0%) had 3+ comorbidities. COVID hospitalizations with higher cardiac multimorbidity had higher mortality rates (p<0.001) higher MV rates (p<0.001). In our multivariable regression, these associations remained with increasing odds for mortality with each stepwise increase in cardiac multimorbidity (1: OR 1.48 (1.45-1.50); 2: OR 2.13 (2.09-2.17); 3+: OR 2.43 (2.38-2.48), p<0.001, all). CONCLUSIONS: Our study is the first national examination of the impact of cardiac comorbidities on COVID outcomes. A higher number of cardiac comorbidities was associated with significantly higher rates of MV and in-hospital mortality, independent of age. Future, more granular, and longitudinal studies are needed to further examine these associations.

Global burden of cardiovascular disease attributable to smoking, 1990-2019: an analysis of the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study.

AIMS: This study aims to investigate the trends in the global cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden attributable to smoking from 1990 to 2019. METHODS AND RESULTS: Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 was used to analyse the burden of CVD attributable to smoking (i.e. ischaemic heart disease, peripheral artery disease, stroke, atrial fibrillation and flutter, and aortic aneurysm). Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) per 100 000 and age-standardized disability-adjusted life year rates (ASDRs) per 100 000, as well as an estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in ASMR and ASDR, were determined by age, sex, year, socio-demographic index (SDI), regions, and countries or territories. The global ASMR of smoking-attributed CVD decreased from 57.16/100 000 [95% uncertainty interval (UI) 54.46-59.97] in 1990 to 33.03/100 000 (95% UI 30.43-35.51) in 2019 [EAPC -0.42 (95% UI -0.47 to -0.38)]. Similarly, the ASDR of smoking-attributed CVD decreased between 1990 and 2019. All CVD subcategories showed a decline in death burden between 1990 and 2019. The burden of smoking-attributed CVD was higher in men than in women. Significant geographic and regional variations existed such that Eastern Europe had the highest ASMR and Andean Latin America had the lowest ASMR in 2019. In 2019, the ASMR of smoking-attributed CVD was lowest in high SDI regions. CONCLUSION: Smoking-attributed CVD morbidity and mortality are declining globally, but significant variation persists, indicating a need for targeted interventions to reduce smoking-related CVD burden.

The burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) attributed to smoking declined worldwide between 1990 and 2019. The burden of smoking-attributed CVD was higher in men than in women in 2019. There were significant variations between different countries and regions such that Eastern Europe had the highest death rate and Andean Latin America had the lowest death rate in 2019. Also, countries with high socio-economic status had lower death rates from smoking-attributed CVD. This highlights the need for targeted interventions to reduce the burden of smoking-attributed CVD. The overall age-adjusted deaths from CVD attributed to smoking declined from 57.16/100 000 in 1990 to 33.03/100 000 in 2019.In 2019, ischaemic heart disease was the leading cause of smoking-attributed CVD deaths.

Disparities in heart failure between White, Black, and Hispanic young adults: insights from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of heart failure (HF) is increasing among young adults in the United States with pervasive racial and ethnic differences in this population. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate contemporary associations between race and ethnicity, clinical comorbidities, and outcomes among young to middle-aged adults with HF. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. All participants with a self-report of HF aged 20-64 years from 2005 to 2018 were included and stratified by race and ethnicity [non-Hispanic (NH) Whites, NH Blacks, and Hispanics]. Data on baseline characteristics including age, sex, marital status, citizenship, education level, body mass index, insurance, waist circumference, cigarette smoking, marijuana use, and relevant clinical comorbidities were included. Weighted logistic regression was performed to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aOR) to determine the association of race and ethnicity with HF. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to assess the association of race and ethnicity with all-cause and cardiac mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1,940,447 young to middle-aged adults had self-reported HF between 2005 and 2018, of whom 61% were NH White, 40% were NH Black, and 22% were Hispanic. When compared with NH White adults, NH Black adults had higher odds of HF adjusted for age, sex, insurance status, marital status, education level, citizenship status, and clinical comorbidities (adjusted aOR 2.63, 95% CI: 1.71-4.05, p < 0.001). There was no significant difference in the odds of HF between Hispanic and NH White adults (aOR 1.18, 95% CI: 0.64-2.18, p = 0.585). NH Black adults had higher mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure, and a comparable or lower burden of cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular clinical comorbidities compared with NH White and Hispanic adults. No statistical significance was noted by race and ethnicity for all-cause and cardiac mortality during a follow-up of 5 years. CONCLUSION: NH Black young to middle-aged adults were more likely to have HF which may be related to higher blood pressure given the largely similar burden of clinically relevant comorbidities compared with other racial and ethnic groups.

Sex differences in heart transplantation - analysis of the national inpatient sample 2012-2019.

INTRODUCTION: Advanced heart failure therapies and heart transplantation (HT) have been underutilized in women. Therefore, we aimed to explore the clinical characteristics and outcomes of HT by sex. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of adult discharges from the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) between 2012 and 2019. International Classification of Disease (ICD) procedure codes were used to identify those who underwent HT. RESULTS: A total of 20,180 HT hospitalizations were identified from 2012-2019. Among them, 28 % were female. Women undergoing HT were younger (mean age 51 vs. 54.5 years, p<0.001). HT hospitalizations among men were more likely to have atrial fibrillation, diabetes, hypertension, renal failure, dyslipidemia, smoking, and ischemic heart disease. HT hospitalizations among women were more likely to have hypothyroidism and valvular heart disease. HT hospitalizations in women were associated with no significant difference in risk of in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.82; 95 % confidence interval [CI] 0.58-1.16, p=0.271), no significant difference in length of stay or inflation-adjusted cost. Men were more likely to develop acute kidney injury during HT hospitalization (69.2 % vs. 59.7 %, adjusted OR 0.71, 95 % CI 0.61-0.83, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: HT utilization is lower in women. However, most major in-hospital outcomes for HT are similar between the sexes. Further studies are need to explore the causes of lower rates of HT in women.

Highlights of Cardiovascular Disease Prevention Studies Presented at the 2023 American Heart Association Scientific Sessions.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Focused review highlighting ten select studies presented at the 2023 American Heart Association (AHA) Scientific Sessions. RECENT FINDINGS: Included studies assessed semaglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in overweight or obese patients without diabetes (SELECT); dapagliflozin in patients with acute myocardial infarction without diabetes (DAPA-MI); effects of dietary sodium on systolic blood pressure in middle-aged individuals (CARDIA-SSBP); long-term blood pressure control after hypertensive pregnancy with physician guided self-management (POP-HT); effect and safety of zilebesiran, an RNA interference therapy, for sustained blood pressure reduction (KARDIA-1); recaticimab add-on therapy in patients with non-familial hypercholesterolemia and mixed hyperlipidemia (REMAIN-2); efficacy and safety of lepodisiran an extended duration short-interfering RNA targeting lipoprotein(a); safety and pharmacodynamic effects of an investigational DNA base editing medicine that inactivates the PCSK9 gene and lowers LDL cholesterol (VERVE-101); automated referral to centralized pharmacy services for evidence-based statin initiation in high-risk patients; and effects of intensive blood pressure lowering in reducing risk of cardiovascular events (ESPRIT). Research presented at the 2023 AHA Scientific Sessions emphasized innovative strategies in cardiovascular disease prevention and management.

Association between neighborhood household income and inpatient atrial fibrillation outcomes.

BACKGROUND: The impact of socioeconomic status on the clinical outcomes of patients admitted to the hospital for atrial fibrillation (AF) is not well described. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine the association between median neighborhood household income (mNHI) and clinical outcomes among patients admitted to the hospital for AF. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed primary AF hospitalizations from the United States National Inpatient Sample between 2016 and 2020. The analyzed sample was divided into quartiles based on the mNHI in the zip code of the patient's residence. The lowest quartile was used as the reference category. Study outcomes included inpatient procedure utilization (ablation, cardioversion, percutaneous left atrial appendage closure), length of stay, cost, mortality, and disposition. Weighted multivariable logistic and linear regression, adjusting for multiple patient and hospital-level characteristics, was performed. RESULTS: Patients in the highest mNHI quartile had lower comorbidity burden, lower in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR] 0.78; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.7-0.87; P <.001), lower discharges to care facility (OR 0.86; 95% CI 0.83-0.9; P <.001), shorter length of stay (adjusted mean difference -0.26; 95% CI -0.30 to -0.22; P <.001), higher procedure utilization, and higher health care costs ($12,124 vs $10,018) compared to the lowest mNHI quartile patients. CONCLUSION: We identified significantly higher in-hospital mortality and lower procedural/resource utilization in patients living in lower-income neighborhoods compared to higher-income neighborhoods. Further research is needed to better understand the drivers of these disparities and the strategies to improve health care disparities between socioeconomic groups.

Racial and ethnic disparities in cardiovascular disease - analysis across major US national databases.

BACKGROUND: There are several studies that have analyzed disparities in cardiovascular disease (CVD) health using a variety of different administrative databases; however, a unified analysis of major databases does not exist. In this analysis of multiple publicly available datasets, we sought to examine racial and ethnic disparities in different aspects of CVD, CVD-related risk factors, CVD-related morbidity and mortality, and CVD trainee representation in the US. METHODS: We used National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, National Inpatient Sample, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging OnLine Data for Epidemiologic Research, United Network for Organ Sharing, and American Commission for Graduate Medical Education data to evaluate CVD-related disparities among Non-Hispanic (NH) White, NH Black and Hispanic populations. RESULTS: The prevalence of most CVDs and associated risk factors was higher in NH Black adults compared to NH White adults, except for dyslipidemia and ischemic heart disease (IHD). Statins were underutilized in IHD in NH Black and Hispanic patients. Hospitalizations for HF and stroke were higher among Black patients compared to White patients. All-cause, CVD, heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, IHD, diabetes mellitus, hypertension and cerebrovascular disease related mortality was highest in NH Black or African American individuals. The number of NH Black and Hispanic trainees in adult general CVD fellowship programs was disproportionately lower than NH White trainees. CONCLUSION: Racial disparities are pervasive across the spectrum of CVDs with NH Black adults at a significant disadvantage compared to NH White adults for most CVDs.

A review of top cardiology and cardiovascular medicine journal guidelines regarding the use of generative artificial intelligence tools in scientific writing.

BACKGROUND: Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools have experienced rapid development over the last decade and are gaining increasing popularity as assistive models in academic writing. However, the ability of AI to generate reliable and accurate research articles is a topic of debate. Major scientific journals have issued policies regarding the contribution of AI tools in scientific writing. METHODS: We conducted a review of the author and peer reviewer guidelines of the top 25 Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine journals as per the 2023 SCImago rankings. Data were obtained though reviewing journal websites and directly emailing the editorial office. Descriptive data regarding journal characteristics were coded on SPSS. Subgroup analyses of the journal guidelines were conducted based on the publishing company policies. RESULTS: Our analysis revealed that all scientific journals in our study permitted the documented use of AI in scientific writing with certain limitations as per ICMJE recommendations. We found that AI tools cannot be included in the authorship or be used for image generation, and that all authors are required to assume full responsibility of their submitted and published work. The use of generative AI tools in the peer review process is strictly prohibited. CONCLUSION: Guidelines regarding the use of generative AI in scientific writing are standardized, detailed, and unanimously followed by all journals in our study according to the recommendations set forth by international forums. It is imperative to ensure that these policies are carefully followed and updated to maintain scientific integrity.

Temporal Trends in Substance Use and Cardiovascular Disease-Related Mortality in the United States.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data on substance use (SU) and cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality trends in the United States. We aimed to evaluate SU+CVD-related deaths in the United States using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging, Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Multiple Cause-of-Death Public Use record death certificates were used to identify deaths related to both SU and CVD. Crude, age-adjusted mortality rates, annual percent change, and average annual percent changes with a 95% CI were analyzed. Between 1999 and 2019, there were 636 572 SU+CVD-related deaths (75.6% men, 70.6% non-Hispanic White individuals, 65% related to alcohol). Age-adjusted mortality rates per 100 000 population were pronounced in men (22.5 [95% CI, 22.6-22.6]), American Indian or Alaska Native individuals (37.7 [95% CI, 37.0-38.4]), nonmetropolitan/rural areas (15.2 [95% CI, 15.1-15.3]), and alcohol-related death (9.09 [95% CI, 9.07 to 9.12]). The overall SU+CVD-related age-adjusted mortality rates increased from 9.9 (95% CI, 9.8-10.1) in 1999 to 21.4 (95% CI, 21.2-21.6) in 2019 with an average annual percent change of 4.0 (95% CI, 3.7-4.3). Increases in SU+CVD-related average annual percent change were noted across all subgroups and were pronounced among women (4.8% [95% CI, 4.5-5.1]), American Indian or Alaska Native individuals, younger individuals, nonmetropolitan areas, and cannabis and psychostimulant users. CONCLUSIONS: There was a prominent increase in SU+CVD-related mortality in the United States between 1999 and 2019. Women, non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native individuals, younger individuals, nonmetropolitan area residents, and users of cannabis and psychostimulants had pronounced increases in SU+CVD mortality.

Social Vulnerability and Cardiovascular-Related Mortality Among Older Adults in the United States.

PURPOSE: The association of social vulnerability and cardiovascular disease-related mortality in older adults has not been well characterized. METHODS: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention database was evaluated to examine the relationship between county-level Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) and age-adjusted cardiovascular disease-related mortality rates (AAMRs) in adults aged 65 and above in the United States between 2016 and 2020. RESULTS: A total of 3139 counties in the United States were analyzed. Cardiovascular disease-related AAMRs increased in a stepwise manner from first (least vulnerable) to fourth SVI quartiles; (AAMR of 2423, 95% CI [confidence interval] 2417-2428; 2433, 95% CI 2429-2437; 2516, 95% CI 2513-2520; 2660, 95% CI 2657-2664). Similar trends among AAMRs were noted based on sex, all race and ethnicity categories, and among urban and rural regions. Higher AAMR ratios between the highest and lowest SVI quartiles, implying greater relative associations of SVI on mortality rates, were seen among Hispanic individuals (1.52, 95% CI 1.49-1.55), Non-Hispanic-Asian and Pacific Islander individuals (1.32, 95% CI 1.29-1.52), Non-Hispanic- American Indian or Alaskan Native individuals (1.43, 95% CI 1.37-1.50), and rural counties (1.21, 95% CI 1.20-1.21). CONCLUSION: Social vulnerability as measures by the SVI was associated with cardiovascular disease-related mortality in older adults, with the association being particularly prominent in ethnic minority patients and rural counties.

Trends in sleep apnea and heart failure related mortality in the United States from 1999 to 2019.

National estimates of deaths related to both heart failure (HF) and sleep apnea (SA) are not known. We evaluated the trends in HF and SA related mortality using the CDC-WONDER database in adults aged ≥25 years in the US. All deaths related to HF and SA as contributing or underlying causes of death were queried. Between 1999 and 2019, there were a total of 6,484,486 deaths related to HF, 204,824 deaths related to SA, and 53,957 deaths related to both. There was a statistically significant increase in the age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) for both SA-related (average annual percent change [AAPC] 8.2%) and combined HF and SA- related (AAPC 10.1 %) deaths. Men had consistently higher AAMRs compared with women, and both groups had a similar increasing trend in AAMR. Non-Hispanic (NH) Black individuals had the highest HF and SA-related AAMR, followed by NH White and Hispanic/Latino individuals. Adults aged >75 years consistently had the highest AAMR with the steepest increase (AAPC 11.1%). In conclusion, HF and SA-related mortality has significantly risen over the past two decades with the elderly, men, and NH Black at disproportionately higher risk.