Artificial Intelligence Predicts Hospitalization for Acute Heart Failure Exacerbation in Patients Undergoing Myocardial Perfusion Imaging.

Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States and worldwide, with a high associated economic burden. This study aimed to assess whether artificial intelligence models incorporating clinical, stress test, and imaging parameters could predict hospitalization for acute HF exacerbation in patients undergoing SPECT/CT myocardial perfusion imaging. Methods: The HF risk prediction model was developed using data from 4,766 patients who underwent SPECT/CT at a single center (internal cohort). The algorithm used clinical risk factors, stress variables, SPECT imaging parameters, and fully automated deep learning-generated calcium scores from attenuation CT scans. The model was trained and validated using repeated hold-out (10-fold cross-validation). External validation was conducted on a separate cohort of 2,912 patients. During a median follow-up of 1.9 y, 297 patients (6%) in the internal cohort were admitted for HF exacerbation. Results: The final model demonstrated a higher area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (0.87 ± 0.03) for predicting HF admissions than did stress left ventricular ejection fraction (0.73 ± 0.05, P < 0.0001) or a model developed using only clinical parameters (0.81 ± 0.04, P < 0.0001). These findings were confirmed in the external validation cohort (area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve: 0.80 ± 0.04 for final model, 0.70 ± 0.06 for stress left ventricular ejection fraction, 0.72 ± 0.05 for clinical model; P < 0.001 for all). Conclusion: Integrating SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging into an artificial intelligence-based risk assessment algorithm improves the prediction of HF hospitalization. The proposed method could enable early interventions to prevent HF hospitalizations, leading to improved patient care and better outcomes.

Comparison of the prognostic value between quantification and visual estimation of coronary calcification from attenuation CT in patients undergoing SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging.

We investigated the prognostic utility of visually estimated coronary artery calcification (VECAC) from low dose computed tomography attenuation correction (CTAC) scans obtained during SPECT/CT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI), and assessed how it compares to coronary artery calcifications (CAC) quantified by calcium score on CTACs (QCAC). From the REFINE SPECT Registry 4,236 patients without prior coronary stenting with SPECT/CT performed at a single center were included (age: 64 ± 12 years, 47% female). VECAC in each coronary artery (left main, left anterior descending, circumflex, and right) were scored separately as 0 (absent), 1 (mild), 2 (moderate), or 3 (severe), yielding a possible score of 0-12 for each patient (overall VECAC grade zero:0, mild:1-2, moderate: 3-5, severe: >5). CAC scoring of CTACs was performed at the REFINE SPECT core lab with dedicated software. VECAC was correlated with categorized QCAC (zero: 0, mild: 1-99, moderate: 100-399, severe: ≥400). A high degree of correlation was observed between VECAC and QCAC, with 73% of VECACs in the same category as QCAC and 98% within one category. There was substantial agreement between VECAC and QCAC (weighted kappa: 0.78 with 95% confidence interval: 0.76-0.79, p < 0.001). During a median follow-up of 25 months, 372 patients (9%) experienced major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). In survival analysis, both VECAC and QCAC were associated with MACE. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for 2-year-MACE was similar for VECAC when compared to QCAC (0.694 versus 0.691, p = 0.70). In conclusion, visual assessment of CAC on low-dose CTAC scans provides good estimation of QCAC in patients undergoing SPECT/CT MPI. Visually assessed CAC has similar prognostic value for MACE in comparison to QCAC.

CT attenuation correction improves quantitative risk prediction by cardiac SPECT in obese patients.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to compare the predictive value of CT attenuation-corrected stress total perfusion deficit (AC-sTPD) and non-corrected stress TPD (NC-sTPD) for major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in obese patients undergoing cadmium zinc telluride (CZT) SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). METHODS: The study included 4,585 patients who underwent CZT SPECT/CT MPI for clinical indications (chest pain: 56%, shortness of breath: 13%, other: 32%) at Yale New Haven Hospital (age: 64 ± 12 years, 45% female, body mass index [BMI]: 30.0 ± 6.3 kg/m2, prior coronary artery disease: 18%). The association between AC-sTPD or NC-sTPD and MACE defined as the composite end point of mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction or late coronary revascularization (> 90 days after SPECT) was evaluated with survival analysis. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 25 months, 453 patients (10%) experienced MACE. In patients with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 (n = 931), those with AC-sTPD ≥ 3% had worse MACE-free survival than those with AC-sTPD < 3% (HR: 2.23, 95% CI: 1.40 - 3.55, p = 0.002) with no difference in MACE-free survival between patients with NC-sTPD ≥ 3% and NC-sTPD < 3% (HR:1.06, 95% CI:0.67 - 1.68, p = 0.78). AC-sTPD had higher AUC than NC-sTPD for the detection of 2-year MACE in patients with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 (0.631 versus 0.541, p = 0.01). In the overall cohort AC-sTPD had a higher ROC area under the curve (AUC, 0.641) than NC-sTPD (0.608; P = 0.01) for detection of 2-year MACE. In patients with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 AC sTPD provided significant incremental prognostic value beyond NC sTPD (net reclassification index: 0.14 [95% CI: 0.20 - 0.28]). CONCLUSIONS: AC sTPD outperformed NC sTPD in predicting MACE in patients undergoing SPECT MPI with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2. These findings highlight the superior prognostic value of AC-sTPD in this patient population and underscore the importance of CT attenuation correction.

Integration of coronary artery calcium scoring from CT attenuation scans by machine learning improves prediction of adverse cardiovascular events in patients undergoing SPECT/CT myocardial perfusion imaging.

BACKGROUND: Machine learning (ML) has been previously applied for prognostication in patients undergoing SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). We evaluated whether including attenuation CT coronary artery calcification (CAC) scoring improves ML prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients undergoing SPECT/CT MPI. METHODS: From the REFINE SPECT Registry 4770 patients with SPECT/CT performed at a single center were included (age: 64 ± 12 years, 45% female). ML algorithm (XGBoost) inputs were clinical risk factors, stress variables, SPECT imaging parameters, and expert-observer CAC scoring using CT attenuation correction scans performed to obtain CT attenuation maps. The ML model was trained and validated using tenfold hold-out validation. Receiver Operator Characteristics (ROC) curves were analyzed for prediction of MACE. MACE-free survival was evaluated with standard survival analyses. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 24.1 months, 475 patients (10%) experienced MACE. Higher area under the ROC curve for MACE was observed with ML when CAC scoring was included (CAC-ML score, 0.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.75-0.79) compared to ML without CAC (ML score, 0.75, 95% CI 0.73-0.77, P = .005) and when compared to CAC score alone (0.71, 95% CI 0.68-0.73, P < .001). Among clinical, imaging, and stress parameters, CAC score had highest variable importance for ML. On survival analysis patients with high CAC-ML score (> 0.091) had higher event rate when compared to patients with low CAC-ML score (hazard ratio 5.3, 95% CI 4.3-6.5, P < .001). CONCLUSION: Integration of attenuation CT CAC scoring improves the predictive value of ML risk score for MACE prediction in patients undergoing SPECT MPI.