Maralixibat in progressive familial intrahepatic cholestasis (MARCH-PFIC): a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: Progressive familial intrahepatic cholestasis (PFIC) is a group of autosomal recessive disorders, the most prevalent being BSEP deficiency, resulting in disrupted bile formation, cholestasis, and pruritus. Building on a previous phase 2 study, we aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of maralixibat-an ileal bile acid transporter inhibitor-in participants with all types of PFIC. METHODS: MARCH-PFIC was a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 study conducted in 29 community and hospital centres across 16 countries in Europe, the Americas, and Asia. We recruited participants aged 1-17 years with PFIC with persistent pruritus (>6 months; average of ≥1·5 on morning Itch-Reported Outcome [Observer; ItchRO(Obs)] during the last 4 weeks of screening) and biochemical abnormalities or pathological evidence of progressive liver disease, or both. We defined three analysis cohorts. The BSEP (or primary) cohort included only those with biallelic, non-truncated BSEP deficiency without low or fluctuating serum bile acids or previous biliary surgery. The all-PFIC cohort combined the BSEP cohort with participants with biallelic FIC1, MDR3, TJP2, or MYO5B deficiencies without previous surgery but regardless of bile acids. The full cohort had no exclusions. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive oral maralixibat (starting dose 142·5 µg/kg, then escalated to 570 µg/kg) or placebo twice daily for 26 weeks. The primary endpoint was the mean change in average morning ItchRO(Obs) severity score between baseline and weeks 15-26 in the BSEP cohort. The key secondary efficacy endpoint was the mean change in total serum bile acids between baseline and the average of weeks 18, 22, and 26 in the BSEP cohort. Efficacy analyses were done in the intention-to-treat population (all those randomly assigned) and safety analyses were done in all participants who received at least one dose of study drug. This completed trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03905330, and EudraCT, 2019-001211-22. FINDINGS: Between July 9, 2019, and March 4, 2022, 125 patients were screened, of whom 93 were randomly assigned to maralixibat (n=47; 14 in the BSEP cohort and 33 in the all-PFIC cohort) or placebo (n=46; 17 in the BSEP cohort and 31 in the all-PFIC cohort), received at least one dose of study drug, and were included in the intention-to-treat and safety populations. The median age was 3·0 years (IQR 2·0-7·0) and 51 (55%) of 93 participants were female and 42 (45%) were male. In the BSEP cohort, least-squares mean change from baseline in morning ItchRO(Obs) was -1·7 (95% CI -2·3 to -1·2) with maralixibat versus -0·6 (-1·1 to -0·1) with placebo, with a significant between-group difference of -1·1 (95% CI -1·8 to -0·3; p=0·0063). Least-squares mean change from baseline in total serum bile acids was -176 µmol/L (95% CI -257 to -94) for maralixibat versus 11 µmol/L (-58 to 80) for placebo, also representing a significant difference of -187 µmol/L (95% CI -293 to -80; p=0·0013). The most common adverse event was diarrhoea (27 [57%] of 47 patients on maralixibat vs nine [20%] of 46 patients on placebo; all mild or moderate and mostly transient). There were five (11%) participants with serious treatment-emergent adverse events in the maralixibat group versus three (7%) in the placebo group. No treatment-related deaths occurred. INTERPRETATION: Maralixibat improved pruritus and predictors of native liver survival in PFIC (eg, serum bile acids). Maralixibat represents a non-surgical, pharmacological option to interrupt the enterohepatic circulation and improve the standard of care in patients with PFIC. FUNDING: Mirum Pharmaceuticals.

Anti-spike antibody durability after SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in adolescent solid organ transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Adolescent solid organ transplant recipients (aSOTRs) who received three doses of the COVID-19 mRNA vaccine experience high seroconversion rates and antibody persistence for up to 3 months. Long-term antibody durability beyond this timeframe following three doses of the SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine remains unknown. We describe antibody responses 6 months following the third vaccine dose (D3) of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccination among aSOTRs. METHODS: Participants in a multi-center, observational cohort who received the third dose of the vaccine were analyzed for antibodies to the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein receptor-binding domain (Roche Elecsys anti-SARS-CoV-2-S positive: ≥0.8, maximum: >2500 U/mL). Samples were collected at 1-, 3-, and 6-months post-D3. Participants were surveyed at each timepoint and at 12-months post-D3. RESULTS: All 34 participants had positive anti-RBD antibody titers 6 months post-D3. Variations in titers occurred between 3 and 6 months post-D3, with 8/28 (29%) having decreased antibody levels at 6 months compared to 3 months and 2/28 (7%) reporting increased titers at 6 months. The remaining 18/28 (64%) had unchanged antibody titers compared to 3-month post-D3 levels. A total of 4/34 (12%) reported breakthrough infection within 6 months and 3/32 (9%) reported infection after 6-12 months following the third dose of the SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that antibody durability persists up to 6 months following three doses of the SARS-CoV-2 mRNA in aSOTRs. Demography and transplant characteristics did not differ for those who experienced antibody weaning. Breakthrough infections did occur, reflecting immune-evasive nature of novel variants such as Omicron.

Omicron Infections in Vaccinated Pediatric Solid Organ Transplant Recipients.

SARS-CoV-2 infection during the Omicron period was frequent amongst a cohort of vaccinated pediatric solid organ transplant recipients (pSOTRs) despite robust anti-receptor-binding domain (anti-RBD) antibody response, suggesting poor neutralizing capacity against Omicron subvariants. Breakthrough infections among pSOTRs were overall limited in severity.

Event-free survival of maralixibat-treated patients with Alagille syndrome compared to a real-world cohort from GALA.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Alagille syndrome (ALGS) is characterized by chronic cholestasis with associated pruritus and extrahepatic anomalies. Maralixibat, an ileal bile acid transporter inhibitor, is an approved pharmacologic therapy for cholestatic pruritus in ALGS. Since long-term placebo-controlled studies are not feasible or ethical in children with rare diseases, a novel approach was taken comparing 6-year outcomes from maralixibat trials with an aligned and harmonized natural history cohort from the G lobal AL agille A lliance (GALA) study. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Maralixibat trials comprise 84 patients with ALGS with up to 6 years of treatment. GALA contains retrospective data from 1438 participants. GALA was filtered to align with key maralixibat eligibility criteria, yielding 469 participants. Serum bile acids could not be included in the GALA filtering criteria as these are not routinely performed in clinical practice. Index time was determined through maximum likelihood estimation in an effort to align the disease severity between the two cohorts with the initiation of maralixibat. Event-free survival, defined as the time to first event of manifestations of portal hypertension (variceal bleeding, ascites requiring therapy), surgical biliary diversion, liver transplant, or death, was analyzed by Cox proportional hazards methods. Sensitivity analyses and adjustments for covariates were applied. Age, total bilirubin, gamma-glutamyl transferase, and alanine aminotransferase were balanced between groups with no statistical differences. Event-free survival in the maralixibat cohort was significantly better than the GALA cohort (HR, 0.305; 95% CI, 0.189-0.491; p <0.0001). Multiple sensitivity and subgroup analyses (including serum bile acid availability) showed similar findings. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates a novel application of a robust statistical method to evaluate outcomes in long-term intervention studies where placebo comparisons are not feasible, providing wide application for rare diseases. This comparison with real-world natural history data suggests that maralixibat improves event-free survival in patients with ALGS.

Predictors of 6-year event-free survival in Alagille syndrome patients treated with maralixibat, an ileal bile acid transporter inhibitor.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Refractory pruritus and other complications of cholestasis are indications for liver transplantation (LT) in patients with Alagille syndrome (ALGS). We evaluated predictors of event-free survival and transplant-free survival in patients with ALGS treated with maralixibat (MRX), an ileal bile acid transporter inhibitor. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We assessed patients with ALGS from 3 clinical trials of MRX with up to 6 years of follow-up. Event-free survival was defined as the absence of LT, surgical biliary diversion, hepatic decompensation, or death; transplant-free survival was the absence of LT or death. Forty-three potential predictors were evaluated, including age, pruritus (ItchRO[Obs] 0-4 scale), biochemistries, platelets, and serum bile acids. Harrell's concordance statistic assessed goodness-of-fit, and then, Cox proportional hazard models confirmed the statistical significance of the predictors identified. A further analysis was performed to identify cutoffs using a grid search. Seventy-six individuals met the criteria of receiving MRX for ≥48 weeks with laboratory values available at week 48 (W48). The median duration of MRX was 4.7 years (IQR: 1.6-5.8); 16 had events (10 LT, 3 decompensation, 2 death, and 1 surgical biliary diversion). The 6-year event-free survival improved with a clinically meaningful >1-point ItchRO(Obs) reduction from baseline to W48 (88% vs. 57%; p = 0.005), W48 bilirubin < 6.5 mg/dL (90% vs. 43%; p < 0.0001), and W48 serum bile acid < 200 µmol/L (85% vs. 49%; p = 0.001). These parameters were also predictive of 6-year transplant-free survival. CONCLUSIONS: Improvement in pruritus by 48 weeks, and lower W48 bilirubin and serum bile acid levels were associated with fewer events. These data may help identify potential markers of disease progression for ALGS patients treated with MRX.

Costs of pediatric liver transplantation among commercially insured and Medicaid-insured patients with cholestasis in the US.

Children with rare cholestatic liver diseases, such as Alagille syndrome, progressive familial intrahepatic cholestasis, and biliary atresia typically require liver transplantation (LT). The objective of this analysis was to assess the economic burden of LT on these patients. Health care resource utilization and costs associated with pediatric LT were retrospectively assessed using insurance claims data from the US IBM MarketScan Commercial and Medicaid databases collected between October 2015 and December 2019. Inclusion criteria were as follows: ≥1 procedure code for LT, <18 years old at transplant, and ≥6 months of insurance eligibility at baseline. A cholestatic liver disease population who received LT was selected in the absence of specific diagnosis codes by excluding other severe liver conditions (ie, acute liver failure, malignancy) and by excluding severely decompensated individuals requiring ICU admission before LT. Annualized rates were reported. Over a mean study duration of 1.8 years, 53 commercially insured and 100 Medicaid-insured children received LT, with mean (SD) ages at baseline of 6.9 (6.0) and 5.7 (5.4) years, respectively. During this period, commercially insured and Medicaid-insured patients had annualized means of 65.3 and 52.8 medical visits, respectively. Most were outpatient visits, although the burden of inpatient visits was also high, with mean inpatient stays (inclusive of LT stay) of 37.2 and 31.6 days per year, respectively. Commercially insured and Medicaid-insured patients averaged US$512,124 and $211,863 in medical costs and $26,998 and $15,704 in pharmacy costs, respectively. These costs remained substantial throughout the first year after transplant. Overall, pediatric LT resulted in substantial health care resource utilization and cost burden in both commercially- and Medicaid-insured patients. Novel targeted medications that negate the need for pediatric LT could decrease the associated morbidity and costs.

Health Care Resource Utilization by Patients with Alagille Syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: To assess and characterize health care resource utilization (HRU) in children with the rare, genetic, multisystem disorder, Alagille syndrome. STUDY DESIGN: This retrospective analysis reviewed commercially insured and Medicaid-insured claims from October 1, 2015 to December 31, 2019 to assess HRU in patients with Alagille syndrome. As there is no specific International Classification ofDiseases-10 code for Alagille syndrome, patients were identified using the following algorithm: ≥1 claim with diagnosis code Q44.7 (other congenital malformations of the liver); <18 years of age, with no history of biliary atresia (International Classification ofDiseases-10 code: Q44.2); and ≥6 months of insurance eligibility prior to diagnosis. HRU was summarized per patient per year over all available claims postdiagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 171 commercially insured and 215 Medicaid-insured patients with Alagille syndrome were available for analysis. Annually, commercially insured and Medicaid-insured patients averaged 31 medical visits (range, 1.5-237) and 48 medical visits (range, 0.7-690), respectively. The most common visits were outpatient with the majority encompassing lab/imaging and primary care visits (commercially insured: 21 [range, 0.0-183]; Medicaid-insured: 26 [range, 0.0-609]). Inpatient visits were the highest driver of costs in both the commercial and Medicaid populations. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with Alagille syndrome have a substantial HRU burden driven largely by numerous outpatient visits and costly inpatient stays. Given the complexity and variability of Alagille syndrome presentation, patients may benefit from multidisciplinary and subspecialized care.

Hepatorenal dysfunction assessment with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Excluding INR score predicts worse survival after heart transplant in pediatric Fontan patients.

BACKGROUND: Fontan physiology results in multiorgan dysfunction, most notably affecting the liver and kidney. We evaluated the utility of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Excluding INR (MELD-XI) score, a score evaluating the function of both liver and kidney to identify Fontan patients at increased risk for morbidity and mortality post-heart transplant. METHODS: The Pediatric Heart Transplant Society database was queried to identify Fontan patients listed for heart transplant between January 2005 and December 2018. MELD-XI scores were calculated at listing and heart transplant. A multivariable analysis was conducted to identify risk factors for post-heart transplant mortality. Demographic, clinical characteristics, and survival differences were evaluated and compared between the high and low MELD-XI score cohorts. The impact of changing MELD-XI scores during the waitlist period on post-heart transplant outcomes was also evaluated. RESULTS: Of 565 Fontan patients who underwent transplantation, 524 (93%) had calculable MELD-XI scores at the time of heart transplant: 421 calculable at listing and 392 calculable at listing and at heart transplant. On multivariable analysis, only MELD-XI score (squared) (hazard ratio, 1.007), history of protein-losing enteropathy (hazard ratio, 2.1), and ventricular assist device use at transplant (hazard ratio, 3.4) were risk factors for early phase post-heart transplant mortality. Patients with high MELD-XI scores at heart transplant had inferior survival post-heart transplant (P = .02); those in the high MELD-XI score cohort at wait listing and heart transplant tend to have the worst post-heart transplant survival; however, this was not significant (P = .42). CONCLUSIONS: The MELD-XI, an easily calculated score, serves as a valuable aid in identifying pediatric Fontan patients at increased risk for post-heart transplant mortality.

Survival Benefit of Split-Liver Transplantation for Pediatric and Adult Candidates.

Patient and graft survival are similar following whole-liver transplantations (WLTs) versus split-liver transplantations (SLTs) among pediatric and adult recipients, yet SLTs are rarely used. We sought to determine the survival benefit associated with accepting a splittable graft offer for SLT versus declining and waiting for a subsequent offer using 2010 to 2018 Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) data on 928 pediatric and 1814 adult liver transplantation candidates who were ever offered a splittable graft. We compared eventual mortality, regardless of subsequent transplants, between those patients who accepted versus declined a split liver offer with adjustments for Pediatric End-Stage Liver Disease/Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores, diagnosis, and weight among pediatric candidates and matching for MELD score, height, and offer among adult candidates. Among pediatric candidates ≤7 kg, split liver offer acceptance versus decline was associated with a 63% reduction in mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.17 0.370.80 [P = 0.01]; 93.1% versus 84.0% 1-year survival after decision). Within 1 year of decline for those ≤7 kg, 6.4% died and 31.1% received a WLT. Among pediatric candidates >7 kg, there was no significant difference associated with acceptance of a split liver offer (aHR, 0.63 1.071.82 [P = 0.81]; 91.7% versus 94.4% 1-year survival after decision). Within 1 year of decline for those >7 kg, 1.8% died and 45.8% received a WLT. Among adult candidates, split liver offer acceptance was associated with a 43% reduction in mortality (aHR, 0.39 0.570.83 [P = 0.005]; 92.2% versus 84.4% 1-year survival after decision). Within 1 year of decline for adult candidates, 7.9% died and 39.3% received a WLT. Accepting split liver offers for SLT could significantly improve survival for small children and adults on the waiting list.

Hepatitis B e antigen loss in adults and children with chronic hepatitis B living in North America: A prospective cohort study.

Hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) is a soluble viral protein in plasma of patients with hepatitis B virus infection. HBeAg loss is an important first stage of viral antigen clearance. We determined the rate and predictors of HBeAg loss in a North American cohort with chronic hepatitis B viral infection (CHB). Among children and adults with CHB and without HIV, HCV or HDV co-infection enrolled in the Hepatitis B Research Network prospective cohort studies, 819 were HBeAg positive at their first assessment (treatment naïve or >24 weeks since treatment). Of these, 577 (200 children, 377 adults) were followed every 24-48 weeks. HBeAg loss was defined as first HBeAg-negative value; sustained HBeAg loss was defined as ≥2 consecutive HBeAg-negative values ≥24 weeks apart. During a median follow-up of 1.8 years, 164 participants experienced HBeAg loss, a rate of 11.4 (95% CI, 9.8-13.3) per 100 person-years. After adjustment for confounders, HBeAg loss rate was significantly higher in males than females, in older than younger individuals, in Whites or Blacks than Asians, in those with genotype A2 or B versus C, and in those with basal core promoter/pre-core mutations versus wild type. Additionally, during follow-up, an ALT flare and a lower quantitative HBsAg, quantitative HBeAg or HBV DNA level predicted higher rates of HBeAg loss. The majority (88%) with HBeAg loss had sustained HBeAg loss. In conclusion, a number of specific demographic, clinical and viral characteristics impacted rate of HBeAg loss and may prove useful in design and interpretation of future therapeutic studies.

Clinical significance of quantitative e antigen in a cohort of hepatitis B virus-infected children and adults in North America.

BACKGROUND: In chronic hepatitis B (CHB) viral infection, e antigen positivity (HBeAg+) is associated with high levels of viral replication and infectivity. Furthermore, HBeAg-positive CHB is associated with a liver disease spectrum ranging from none to severe. AIM: To assess whether the level of circulating HBeAg is associated with different clinical presentations of HBeAg-positive CHB. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis was conducted among HBV mono-infected participants enrolled in Hepatitis B Research Network (HBRN) cohorts to explore clinical and virological associations with quantitative HBeAg (qHBeAg). RESULTS: Among 763 HBeAg+ participants (56% female; 85% Asian; median age 26 years), multivariable median regression modelling significantly associated qHBeAg with liver injury (inverse qHBeAg association with ALT p<.001 and APRI p<.001), and with both race and age (p=0.01). Among Asians, qHBeAg was inversely related to age; a relationship less clear among Blacks and Whites. Among Asians also, median qHBeAg levels were higher among those infected with HBV genotype C versus B (p<0.001), suggesting causal virologic differences. Across all races, median qHBeAg was higher in women (p=.01). Independent of sex, age, race and HBV genotype, qHBeAg was higher in participants with predominant wild-type versus basal core promoter and/or precore 'stop' viral variants (p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Lower qHBeAg was observed among HBRN participants with the greatest degree of liver injury independent of demographics and HBV genotype. These data support longitudinal studies to examine the role of qHBeAg in modulating the host immune response and predicting the outcomes of chronic HBV infection.

Liver simulated allocation model does not effectively predict organ offer decisions for pediatric liver transplant candidates.

The SRTR maintains the liver-simulated allocation model (LSAM), a tool for estimating the impact of changes to liver allocation policy. Integral to LSAM is a model that predicts the decision to accept or decline a liver for transplant. LSAM implicitly assumes these decisions are made identically for adult and pediatric liver transplant (LT) candidates, which has not been previously validated. We applied LSAM's decision-making models to SRTR offer data from 2013 to 2016 to determine its efficacy for adult (≥18) and pediatric (<18) LT candidates, and pediatric subpopulations-teenagers (≥12 to <18), children (≥2 to <12), and infants (<2)-using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). For nonstatus 1A candidates, all pediatric subgroups had higher rates of offer acceptance than adults. For non-1A candidates, LSAM's model performed substantially worse for pediatric candidates than adults (AUC 0.815 vs. 0.922); model performance decreased with age (AUC 0.898, 0.806, 0.783 for teenagers, children, and infants, respectively). For status 1A candidates, LSAM also performed worse for pediatric than adult candidates (AUC 0.711 vs. 0.779), especially for infants (AUC 0.618). To ensure pediatric candidates are not unpredictably or negatively impacted by allocation policy changes, we must explicitly account for pediatric-specific decision making in LSAM.

Cost-Effectiveness of Primary Liver Transplantation Versus Hepatoportoenterostomy in the Management of Biliary Atresia in the United States.

Biliary atresia (BA) is the leading indication to perform a pediatric liver transplantation (LT). Timely hepatoportoenterostomy (HPE) attempts to interrupt the natural history and allow for enteric bile flow; however, most patients who are treated with HPE require LT by the age of 10 years. We determined the cost-effectiveness of foregoing HPE to perform primary LT (pLT) in children with BA compared with standard-of-care HPE management. A Markov model was developed to simulate BA treatment over 10 years. Costs were measured in 2018 US dollars and effectiveness in life-years (LYs). The primary outcome was incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between treatments. Model parameters were derived from the literature. In the base model, we assumed similar LT outcomes after HPE and pLT. Sensitivity analyses on all model parameters were performed, including a scenario in which pLT led to 100% patient and graft survival after LT. Children undergoing HPE accumulated $316,692 in costs and 8.17 LYs per patient. Children undergoing pLT accumulated $458,059 in costs and 8.24 LYs per patient, costing $1,869,164 per LY gained compared with HPE. With parameter variation over plausible ranges, only post-HPE and post-LT costs reduced the ICER below a typical threshold of $100,000 per LY gained. On probabilistic sensitivity analysis, 93% of iterations favored HPE at that threshold. With 100% patient and graft survival after pLT, pLT cost $283,478 per LY gained. HPE is more economically favorable than pLT for BA. pLT is unfavorable even with no graft or patient loss. The ability to predict those patients who may experience high costs after HPE or low costs after LT may help identify those patients for whom pLT could be considered.

Role for Social Media in Pediatric Liver Disease: Caregiver and Provider Perspectives.

PURPOSE: To better understand the benefits and harms of engagement with online pediatric liver disease communities within social media. METHODS: We conducted a survey of caregivers of children with liver disease participating in online pediatric liver disease communities within social media, as well as a survey of healthcare providers (e.g., physicians, surgeons, nurse coordinators) from this field to better understand the perceived benefits and harms of participation. RESULTS: Among 138 caregivers of children with liver disease that completed the survey, 97.8% agreed social media was a good place to learn about patient experiences and 88% agreed it was a good source of general information. Among caregivers, 84.8% agreed social media helps them to better advocate for their child. While 18% agreed that the information over social media was equal to the information from their healthcare team and 19% neither agreed/disagreed, only 3% indicated they would use this information to change care without telling their provider; in contrast, among 217 healthcare providers, 55% believed social media may lead caregivers to change management without telling their team. CONCLUSION: Engagement with online disease-specific communities in social media yields several benefits for caregivers and, in contrast to healthcare providers' concerns, participation is unlikely to lead to problems including caregivers changing the treatment plan without first discussing these plans with their team. Openness between caregivers and medical teams about the role for social media can help to improve trust and maximize the potential benefits of engagement with these groups.

Impact of Acuity Circles on Outcomes for Pediatric Liver Transplant Candidates.

BACKGROUND: In December 2018, United Network for Organ Sharing approved an allocation scheme based on recipients' geographic distance from a deceased donor (acuity circles [ACs]). Previous analyses suggested that ACs would reduce waitlist mortality overall, but their impact on pediatric subgroups was not considered. METHODS: We applied Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data from 2011 to 2016 toward the Liver Simulated Allocation Model to compare outcomes by age and illness severity for the United Network for Organ Sharing-approved AC and the existing donor service area-/region-based allocation schemes. Means from each allocation scheme were compared using matched-pairs t tests. RESULTS: During a 3-year period, AC allocation is projected to decrease waitlist deaths in infants (39 versus 55; P < 0.001), children (32 versus 50; P < 0.001), and teenagers (15 versus 25; P < 0.001). AC allocation would increase the number of transplants in infants (707 versus 560; P < 0.001), children (677 versus 547; P < 0.001), and teenagers (404 versus 248; P < 0.001). AC allocation led to decreased median pediatric end-stage liver disease/model for end-stage liver disease at transplant for infants (29 versus 30; P = 0.01), children (26 versus 29; P < 0.001), and teenagers (26 versus 31; P < 0.001). Additionally, AC allocation would lead to fewer transplants in status 1B in children (97 versus 103; P = 0.006) but not infants or teenagers. With AC allocation, 77% of pediatric donor organs would be allocated to pediatric candidates, compared to only 46% in donor service area-/region-based allocation (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: AC allocation will likely address disparities for pediatric liver transplant candidates and recipients by increasing transplants and decreasing waitlist mortality. It is more consistent with federally mandated requirements for organ allocation.

Determinants of length of stay after pediatric liver transplantation.

BACKGROUND: We sought to identify factors that are associated with LOS following pediatric (<18 years) liver transplantation in order to provide personalized counseling and discharge planning for recipients and their families. METHODS: We identified 2726 infants (≤24 months) and 3210 children (>24 months) who underwent pediatric liver-only transplantation from 2002-2017 using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients. We used multilevel multivariable negative binomial regression to analyze associations between LOS and recipient and donor characteristics and calculated the MLOSR to quantify heterogeneity in LOS across centers. RESULTS: In infants, the median LOS (IQR) was 19 (13-32) days. Hospitalization prior to transplant (ICU ratio:1.46 1.591.70 ; non-ICU ratio:1.08 1.161.23 ), public insurance (ratio:1.03 1.091.15 ), and a segmental graft (ratio:1.08 1.151.22 ) were associated with a longer LOS; thus, we would expect a 1.59-fold longer LOS in an infant admitted to the ICU compared to a non-hospitalized infant with similar characteristics. In children, the median LOS (IQR) was 13 (9-21) days. Hospitalization prior to transplant (ICU ratio:1.49 1.621.77 ; non-ICU ratio:1.34 1.441.56 ), public insurance (ratio:1.02 1.071.13 ), a segmental graft (ratio:1.20 1.271.35 ), a living donor graft (ratio:1.27 1.381.51 ), and obesity (ratio:1.03 1.101.17 ) were associated with a longer LOS. The MLOSR was 1.25 in infants and 1.26 in children, meaning if an infant received a transplant at another center with a longer LOS, we would expect a 1.25-fold difference in LOS driven by center practices alone. CONCLUSIONS: While center-level practices account for substantial variation in LOS, consideration of donor and recipient factors can help clinicians provide more personalized counseling for families of pediatric liver transplant candidates.

Projected 20- and 30-Year Outcomes for Pediatric Liver Transplant Recipients in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Observed long-term outcomes no longer reflect the survival trajectory facing pediatric liver transplant (LT) recipients today. We aimed to use national registry data and parametric models to project 20- and 30-year post-transplant outcomes for recently transplanted pediatric LT recipients. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 13,442 first-time pediatric (age <18) LT recipients using 1987 to 2018 Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data. We validated the proposed method (ie, to project long-term patient and graft survival using parametric survival models and short-term data) in 2 historic cohorts (1987-1996 and 1997-2006) and estimated long-term projections among patients transplanted between 2007 and 2018. Projections were stratified by raft type, recipient age, and indication for transplant. RESULTS: Parsimonious parametric models with Weibull distribution can be applied to post-transplant data and used to project long-term outcomes for pediatric LT recipients beyond observed data. Projected 20-year patient survival for pediatric LT recipients transplanted in 2007 to 2018 was 84.0% (95% confidence interval 81.5-85.8), compared to observed 20-year survival of 72.8% and 63.6% among those transplanted in 1997 to 2006 and 1987 to 1996, respectively. Projected 30-year survival for pediatric LT recipients in 2007 to 2018 was 80.1% (75.2-82.7), compared to projected 30-year survival of 68.6% (66.1-70.9) in the 1997 to 2006 cohort and observed 30-year survival of 57.5% in the 1987 to 1996 cohort. Twenty- and 30-year patient and graft survival varied slightly by recipient age, graft type, and indication for transplant. CONCLUSIONS: Projected long-term outcomes for recently transplanted pediatric LT recipients are excellent, reflective of substantial improvements in medical care, and informative for physician-patient education and decision making in the current era.