Machine learning based readmission and mortality prediction in heart failure patients.

This study intends to predict in-hospital and 6-month mortality, as well as 30-day and 90-day hospital readmission, using Machine Learning (ML) approach via conventional features. A total of 737 patients remained after applying the exclusion criteria to 1101 heart failure patients. Thirty-four conventional features were collected for each patient. First, the data were divided into train and test cohorts with a 70-30% ratio. Then train data were normalized using the Z-score method, and its mean and standard deviation were applied to the test data. Subsequently, Boruta, RFE, and MRMR feature selection methods were utilized to select more important features in the training set. In the next step, eight ML approaches were used for modeling. Next, hyperparameters were optimized using tenfold cross-validation and grid search in the train dataset. All model development steps (normalization, feature selection, and hyperparameter optimization) were performed on a train set without touching the hold-out test set. Then, bootstrapping was done 1000 times on the hold-out test data. Finally, the obtained results were evaluated using four metrics: area under the ROC curve (AUC), accuracy (ACC), specificity (SPE), and sensitivity (SEN). The RFE-LR (AUC: 0.91, ACC: 0.84, SPE: 0.84, SEN: 0.83) and Boruta-LR (AUC: 0.90, ACC: 0.85, SPE: 0.85, SEN: 0.83) models generated the best results in terms of in-hospital mortality. In terms of 30-day rehospitalization, Boruta-SVM (AUC: 0.73, ACC: 0.81, SPE: 0.85, SEN: 0.50) and MRMR-LR (AUC: 0.71, ACC: 0.68, SPE: 0.69, SEN: 0.63) models performed the best. The best model for 3-month rehospitalization was MRMR-KNN (AUC: 0.60, ACC: 0.63, SPE: 0.66, SEN: 0.53) and regarding 6-month mortality, the MRMR-LR (AUC: 0.61, ACC: 0.63, SPE: 0.44, SEN: 0.66) and MRMR-NB (AUC: 0.59, ACC: 0.61, SPE: 0.48, SEN: 0.63) models outperformed the others. Reliable models were developed in 30-day rehospitalization and in-hospital mortality using conventional features and ML techniques. Such models can effectively personalize treatment, decision-making, and wiser budget allocation. Obtained results in 3-month rehospitalization and 6-month mortality endpoints were not astonishing and further experiments with additional information are needed to fetch promising results in these endpoints.

Post-revascularization Ejection Fraction Prediction for Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Based on Myocardial Perfusion SPECT Imaging Radiomics: a Preliminary Machine Learning Study.

In this study, the ability of radiomics features extracted from myocardial perfusion imaging with SPECT (MPI-SPECT) was investigated for the prediction of ejection fraction (EF) post-percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) treatment. A total of 52 patients who had undergone pre-PCI MPI-SPECT were enrolled in this study. After normalization of the images, features were extracted from the left ventricle, initially automatically segmented by k-means and active contour methods, and finally edited and approved by an expert radiologist. More than 1700 2D and 3D radiomics features were extracted from each patient's scan. A cross-combination of three feature selections and seven classifier methods was implemented. Three classes of no or dis-improvement (class 1), improved EF from 0 to 5% (class 2), and improved EF over 5% (class 3) were predicted by using tenfold cross-validation. Lastly, the models were evaluated based on accuracy, AUC, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F-score. Neighborhood component analysis (NCA) selected the most predictive feature signatures, including Gabor, first-order, and NGTDM features. Among the classifiers, the best performance was achieved by the fine KNN classifier, which yielded mean accuracy, AUC, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F-score of 0.84, 0.83, 0.75, 0.87, 0.78, and 0.76, respectively, in 100 iterations of classification, within the 52 patients with 10-fold cross-validation. The MPI-SPECT-based radiomic features are well suited for predicting post-revascularization EF and therefore provide a helpful approach for deciding on the most appropriate treatment.

Myocardial Perfusion SPECT Imaging Radiomic Features and Machine Learning Algorithms for Cardiac Contractile Pattern Recognition.

A U-shaped contraction pattern was shown to be associated with a better Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) response. The main goal of this study is to automatically recognize left ventricular contractile patterns using machine learning algorithms trained on conventional quantitative features (ConQuaFea) and radiomic features extracted from Gated single-photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging (GSPECT MPI). Among 98 patients with standard resting GSPECT MPI included in this study, 29 received CRT therapy and 69 did not (also had CRT inclusion criteria but did not receive treatment yet at the time of data collection, or refused treatment). A total of 69 non-CRT patients were employed for training, and the 29 were employed for testing. The models were built utilizing features from three distinct feature sets (ConQuaFea, radiomics, and ConQuaFea + radiomics (combined)), which were chosen using Recursive feature elimination (RFE) feature selection (FS), and then trained using seven different machine learning (ML) classifiers. In addition, CRT outcome prediction was assessed by different treatment inclusion criteria as the study's final phase. The MLP classifier had the highest performance among ConQuaFea models (AUC, SEN, SPE = 0.80, 0.85, 0.76). RF achieved the best performance in terms of AUC, SEN, and SPE with values of 0.65, 0.62, and 0.68, respectively, among radiomic models. GB and RF approaches achieved the best AUC, SEN, and SPE values of 0.78, 0.92, and 0.63 and 0.74, 0.93, and 0.56, respectively, among the combined models. A promising outcome was obtained when using radiomic and ConQuaFea from GSPECT MPI to detect left ventricular contractile patterns by machine learning.