Prospective Multicenter Study Validate a Prediction Model for Surgery Uptake Among Women with Atypical Breast Lesions.

BACKGROUND: Diagnosis of atypical breast lesions (ABLs) leads to unnecessary surgery in 75-90% of women. We have previously developed a model including age, complete radiological target excision after biopsy, and focus size that predicts the probability of cancer at surgery. The present study aimed to validate this model in a prospective multicenter setting. - METHODS: Women with a recently diagnosed ABL on image-guided biopsy were recruited in 18 centers, before wire-guided localized excisional lumpectomy. Primary outcome was the negative predictive value (NPV) of the model. RESULTS: The NOMAT model could be used in 287 of the 300 patients included (195 with ADH). At surgery, 12 invasive (all grade 1), and 43 in situ carcinomas were identified (all ABL: 55/287, 19%; ADH only: 49/195, 25%). The area under the receiving operating characteristics curve of the model was 0.64 (95% CI 0.58-0.69) for all ABL, and 0.63 for ADH only (95% CI 0.56-0.70). For the pre-specified threshold of 20% predicted probability of cancer, NPV was 82% (77-87%) for all ABL, and 77% (95% CI 71-83%) for patients with ADH. At a 10% threshold, NPV was 89% (84-94%) for all ABL, and 85% (95% CI 78--92%) for the ADH. At this threshold, 58% of the whole ABL population (and 54% of ADH patients) could have avoided surgery with only 2 missed invasive cancers. CONCLUSION: The NOMAT model could be useful to avoid unnecessary surgery among women with ABL, including for patients with ADH. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02523612.

Assessment of Ki67 and uPA/PAI-1 expression in intermediate-risk early stage breast cancers.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to compare the efficacy of biomarkers in assessing the risk of breast cancer recurrence in patients with node-negative or micrometastatic grade II breast cancer. Specifically, we compared risk assessments based on the St. Gallen clinicopathological criteria, Ki67 expression and urokinase plasminogen activator (uPA)/plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) expression. METHODS: This retrospective study included 347 patients with breast cancer followed at Limoges University Hospital. The optimal cut-off for high Ki67 expression (Ki67hi) was established as 20%. The threshold for uPA and PAI-1 positivity was 3 ng/mg and 14 ng/mg, respectively. RESULTS: Ki67 expression was lower in uPA/PAI-1-negative than in uPA/PAI-1-positive tumours (227 tumours; P = 0.04). The addition of Ki67 status to the St. Gallen criteria resulted in a 28% increase in the rate of identification of high-risk tumours with a potential indication for chemotherapy (P < 0.001). When considering uPA/PAI-1 levels together with the St Gallen criteria (including Ki67 expression), the number of cases identified as having a high recurrence risk with a potential indication for adjuvant chemotherapy increased by 20% (P < 0.001). Adjuvant chemotherapy was 9% less likely to be recommended by a multidisciplinary board when using the current criteria compared with using a combination of the St. Gallen criteria and Ki67 and uPA/PAI-1 status (P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Taken together, our data show discordance among markers in identifying the risk of recurrence, even though each marker may prove to be independently valid.

The Role of Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy and Factors Associated with Invasion in Extensive DCIS of the Breast Treated by Mastectomy: The Cinnamome Prospective Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND: When invasive components are discovered at mastectomy for vacuum-assisted biopsy (VAB)-diagnosed ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS), the only option available is axillary lymph node dissection (ALND). The primary aim of this prospective multicenter trial was to determine the benefit of performing upfront sentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy for these patients. The secondary aim was to determine DCIS factors associated with microinvasion or invasion. METHODS: The SLN procedure was performed during mastectomy, and for positive SLN an ALND was performed during the same intervention. A tissue microarray containing DCIS lesions from the mastectomy specimens was subsequently performed. RESULTS: From May 2008 to December 2010, 228 patients were enrolled from 14 French cancer centers, including 192 eligible patients with pure DCIS on VAB and successful SLN procedures. ALND was avoided for 51 [67 %; 95 % confidence interval (CI), 56-77 %] of all the patients who had microinvasive DCIS or DCIS associated with invasive carcinoma at mastectomy and a negative SLN. Of the 192 patients, 76 (39 %) with VAB-diagnosed DCIS were upgraded after mastectomy to micro (n = 20) or invasive disease (n = 56). The rate of positive SLN for patients with DCIS on VAB was 14 %. High nuclear grade of DCIS was associated with greater risk of microinvasion and invasion, and HER2-amplified DCIS was associated with greater risk of invasion. CONCLUSIONS: Underestimation of invasive components is high when DCIS is diagnosed by VAB in patients undergoing mastectomy. Upfront SLN for patients with VAB-diagnosed extensive DCIS avoids unnecessary ALND for two-thirds of patients with micro or invasive disease on mastectomy.

Adjuvant chemotherapy in node-negative breast cancer: UPA/PAI-1 determinations for 163 cases.

BACKGROUND: The urokinase-type plasminogen activator (UPA) and its main inhibitor plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) are involved in tumor interactions with the microenvironment. The UPA/PAI-1 content in tumor tissue can be used to identify populations at low-or high-risk of recurrence of breast cancer, even without other standard prognostic markers. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The purpose of the present study was to compare adjuvant chemotherapy decisions made by a multi-disciplinary board for 163 node-negative breast cancer cases, based on clinicopathological (CP) and UPA/PAI-1 risk assessment. RESULTS: The UPA/PAI-1 levels identified 37% of the population as being at low risk. Adjuvant chemotherapy indication was spared in high-CP risk in 17%, but maintained in low-CP risk in 33%. CONCLUSION: The use of UPA/PAI-1 data did not consistently result in a decrease of adjuvant chemotherapy. This study highlighted the difficulties encountered in a local multi-disciplinary board in determining appropriate roles and weights of new prognostic markers (UPA/PAI-1 was not routinely employed in France) when no data are available for assessing their prognostic and predictive power compared to other prognostic factors.