Moderate-Severe TBI as a Progressive Disorder: Patterns and Predictors of Cognitive Declines in the Chronic Stages of Injury.

BACKGROUND: Moderate-severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) has been associated with progressive cognitive decline in the chronic injury stages in a small number of studies. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to (i) replicate our previous findings of decline from 1 to 3+ years post-injury in a larger, non-overlapping sample and (ii) extend these findings by examining the proportion of decliners in 2 earlier time windows, and by investigating novel predictors of decline. METHODS: N = 48 patients with moderate-severe TBI underwent neuropsychological assessment at 2, 5, 12 months, and 30+ months post-injury. We employed the Reliable Change Index (RCI) to evaluate decline, stability and improvement across time and logistic regression to identify predictors of decline (demographic/cognitive reserve; injury-related). RESULTS: The proportions of patients showing decline were: 12.5% (2-5 months post-injury), 17% (5-12 months post-injury), and 27% (12-30+ months post-injury). Measures of verbal retrieval were most sensitive to decline. Of the predictors, only left progressive hippocampal volume loss from 5 to 12 months post-injury significantly predicted cognitive decline from 12 to 30+ months post-injury. CONCLUSIONS: Identical to our previous study, 27% of patients declined from 12 to 30+ months post-injury. Additionally, we found that the further from injury, the greater the proportion of patients declining. Importantly, earlier progressive hippocampal volume loss predicted later cognitive decline. Taken together, the findings highlight the need for ongoing research and treatment that target these deleterious mechanisms affecting patients in the chronic stages of moderate-severe TBI.

Longitudinal Patterns of Functional Connectivity in Moderate-to-Severe Traumatic Brain Injury.

Longitudinal neuroimaging studies aid our understanding of recovery mechanisms in moderate-to-severe traumatic brain injury (TBI); however, there is a dearth of longitudinal functional connectivity research. Our aim was to characterize longitudinal functional connectivity patterns in two clinically important brain networks, the frontoparietal network (FPN) and the default mode network (DMN), in moderate-to-severe TBI. This inception cohort study of prospectively collected longitudinal data used resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) to characterize functional connectivity patterns in the FPN and DMN. Forty adults with moderate-to-severe TBI (mean ± standard deviation [SD]; age = 39.53 ± 16.49 years, education = 13.92 ± 3.20 years, lowest Glasgow Coma Scale score = 6.63 ± 3.24, sex = 70% male) were scanned at approximately 0.5, 1-1.5, and 3+ years post-injury. Seventeen healthy, uninjured participants (mean ± SD; age = 38.91 ± 15.57 years, education = 15.11 ± 2.71 years, sex = 29% male) were scanned at baseline and approximately 11 months afterwards. Group independent component analyses and linear mixed-effects modeling with linear splines that contained a knot at 1.5 years post-injury were employed to investigate longitudinal network changes, and associations with covariates, including age, sex, and injury severity. In patients with TBI, functional connectivity in the right FPN increased from approximately 0.5 to 1.5 years post-injury (unstandardized estimate = 0.19, standard error [SE] = 0.07, p = 0.009), contained a slope change in the opposite direction, from positive to negative at 1.5 years post-injury (estimate = -0.21, SE = 0.11, p = 0.009), and marginally declined afterwards (estimate = -0.10, SE = 0.06, p = 0.079). Functional connectivity in the DMN increased from approximately 0.5 to 1.5 years (estimate = 0.15, SE = 0.05, p = 0.006), contained a slope change in the opposite direction, from positive to negative at 1.5 years post-injury (estimate = -0.19, SE = 0.08, p = 0.021), and was estimated to decline from 1.5 to 3+ years (estimate = -0.04, SE = 0.04, p = 0.303). Similarly, the left FPN increased in functional connectivity from approximately 0.5 to 1.5 years post-injury (estimate = 0.15, SE = 0.05, p = 0.002), contained a slope change in the opposite direction, from positive to negative at 1.5 years post-injury (estimate = -0.18, SE = 0.07, p = 0.008), and was estimated to decline thereafter (estimate = -0.04, SE = 0.03, p = 0.254). At approximately 0.5 years post-injury, patients showed hypoconnectivity compared with healthy, uninjured participants at baseline. Covariates were not significantly associated in any of the models. Findings of early improvement but a tapering and possible decline in connectivity thereafter suggest that compensatory effects are time-limited. These later reductions in connectivity mirror growing evidence of behavioral and structural decline in chronic moderate-to-severe TBI. Targeting such declines represents a novel avenue of research and offers potential for improving clinical outcomes.