Establishment and cryptic transmission of Zika virus in Brazil and the Americas.

Transmission of Zika virus (ZIKV) in the Americas was first confirmed in May 2015 in northeast Brazil. Brazil has had the highest number of reported ZIKV cases worldwide (more than 200,000 by 24 December 2016) and the most cases associated with microcephaly and other birth defects (2,366 confirmed by 31 December 2016). Since the initial detection of ZIKV in Brazil, more than 45 countries in the Americas have reported local ZIKV transmission, with 24 of these reporting severe ZIKV-associated disease. However, the origin and epidemic history of ZIKV in Brazil and the Americas remain poorly understood, despite the value of this information for interpreting observed trends in reported microcephaly. Here we address this issue by generating 54 complete or partial ZIKV genomes, mostly from Brazil, and reporting data generated by a mobile genomics laboratory that travelled across northeast Brazil in 2016. One sequence represents the earliest confirmed ZIKV infection in Brazil. Analyses of viral genomes with ecological and epidemiological data yield an estimate that ZIKV was present in northeast Brazil by February 2014 and is likely to have disseminated from there, nationally and internationally, before the first detection of ZIKV in the Americas. Estimated dates for the international spread of ZIKV from Brazil indicate the duration of pre-detection cryptic transmission in recipient regions. The role of northeast Brazil in the establishment of ZIKV in the Americas is further supported by geographic analysis of ZIKV transmission potential and by estimates of the basic reproduction number of the virus.

Epidemic of jungle yellow fever in Brazil, 2000: implications of climatic alterations in disease spread.

Seventy-seven human cases of sylvatic yellow fever were reported in Brazil during the period January-June 2000. The first cases were reported 1 week after New Year's day and originated at Chapada dos Veadeiros, a tourist canyon site in Goiás state, near Brasília, the Brazilian capital. The laboratory procedures used for diagnoses included serology with an IgM capture assay and plaque reduction neutralization test, virus isolation in suckling mice and C6/36 cells, and immunohistochemistry. All cases were diagnosed by at least two different laboratory procedures, with the exception of the first three fatal cases, which were diagnosed on the basis of clinical and epidemiological information. The cases were reported in eight Brazilian states as follows: Goiás with 64.9% (50 cases); Amazonas (1); Bahia (10); Distrito Federal (1); Mato Grosso (4); Minas Gerais (2); Pará (1); São Paulo (2); and Tocantins (6). Patient ages were within the following ranges: 13-74 years old (mean 34.3), 64 (84.4%) were male, especially agricultural workers (n = 30), but tourists (n = 11), carpenters (n = 4), fishermen (n = 4), students (n = 3), truck drivers (n = 3), and other people (n = 22) were also sickened. The case fatality rate was 50.6% (39/77). In Bahia state, a serologic survey that was carried out has suggested a symptomatic/asymptomatic coefficient of 1:4. Field studies developed in Distrito Federal, Goiás, and São Paulo states showed that Haemagogus janthinomys was the mosquito species associated with the transmission. A single strain was also obtained from Aedes scapularis in Bahia. Epizootic occurrence (monkey mortality) was observed in 49 municipalities mainly in Goiás state, where 40 municipalities made reports, 21 of which also diagnosed human cases. Data obtained by the National Institute of Meteorology in Brazil showed an increase in temperature and rain in December 1999 and the first 3 months of 2000 in Goiás and surrounding states, which perhaps has contributed to the intense and widespread transmission of the yellow fever virus. The relatively small number of cases probably reflects the extensive use of yellow fever 17D-vaccine during the last 3 years, in which about 45 million doses were used. During the last months of 1999, 16 and 11 yellow fever cases were reported in Tocantins and Goiás states, respectively. It is noteworthy that the last reported autochthonous cases of sylvatic yellow fever in São Paulo and Bahia, both states outside the endemic/enzootic area, had occurred in 1953 and 1948, respectively.

Yellow fever in Pará State, Amazon region of Brazil, 1998-1999: entomologic and epidemiologic findings.

Yellow fever (YF) is frequently associated with high severity and death rates in the Amazon region of Brazil. During the rainy seasons of 1998 and 1999, 23 (eight deaths) and 34 (eight deaths) human cases of YF were reported, respectively, in different geographic areas of Pará State; most cases were on Marajó Island. Patients were 1 to 46 years of age. Epidemiologic and ecological studies were conducted in Afuá and Breves on Marajó Island; captured insects yielded isolates of 4 and 11 YF strains, respectively, from Haemagogus janthinomys pooled mosquitoes. The cases on Marajó Island in 1999 resulted from lack of vaccination near the focus of the disease and intense migration, which brought many nonimmune people to areas where infected vectors were present. We hypothesize that YF virus remains in an area after an outbreak by vertical transmission among Haemagogus mosquitoes.

Release-recapture experiments with canopy mosquitoes in the genera Haemagogus and Sabethes (Diptera: Culicidae) in Brazilian Amazonia.

In 2 forested areas near Belém (Para State, Brazil), 2 Haemagogus and 6 Sabethes species were marked released and recaptured in May 1989 and in April 1993. The recapture rates were high, 4.9 and 13.1% for Haemagogus and Sabethes spp., respectively. For Haemagogus janthinomys Dyar, females were recaptured until 27 d after release. The duration of the gonotrophic cycle was between 5.0 and 9.5 d and the survival rate was 0.90-0.92. Haemagogus leucocelaenus (Dyar & Shannon) was recaptured once, 21 d after release. Twelve Sabethes chloropterus (Von Humboldt) were recaptured, with a peak at 15-18 d; 1 female was recaptured at 44 d, indicating extended survival. Seven Sabethes amazonicus Gordon & Evans and 7 Sabethes cyaneus (F.) were recaptured, mostly at 14-39 d. These results indicate that Haemagogus and Sabethes spp. have a gonotrophic cycle in nature longer than inferred from laboratory studies, and that cycle length varies seasonally. The capacity of these species to sustain epizootics or epidemics of arboviruses may depend on local weather, with risk greatest at the end of the rainy season.

Ultrasonographic fetal cardiac measurement in isoimmunized pregnancies.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the predictive value of the ultrasonographically measured fetal biventricular outer dimension (BVOD) in diastole in detecting neonatal anemia in pregnancies complicated by isoimmunization. STUDY DESIGN: The records of all patients evaluated for isoimmunization in pregnancy from January 1992 to December 1994 were reviewed retrospectively. The fetal BVOD had been measured with real-time-directed M-mode fetal echocardiography. The BVOD measurement was plotted on a nomogram (with reference to biparietal diameter) and a percentile value determined graphically from the nomogram. Neonatal outcome was obtained prospectively and by chart review. RESULTS: Sixty-three singleton fetuses from the study period who met entry criteria were identified. Anti-D sensitization represented 66% of cases of isoimmunization. Twenty (32%) fetuses required subsequent neonatal transfusion, and 43 (68%) did not. Seventeen fetuses (27%) had BVOD measurements greater than the 95th percentile, and 10 (59%) required subsequent transfusion. Infants in this group also had significantly lower hematocrits at birth (37.7 +/- 13.0% vs. 46.6 +/- 9.0%) and prolonged neonatal intensive care unit stay (10.7 +/- 10.0 vs. 4.7 +/- 3.6 days), respectively, when compared to patients with a BVOD measurement less than the 95th percentile. A BVOD 95th percentile threshold had a sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value of 50%, 84% and 59%, respectively, in predicting the need for neonatal transfusion. CONCLUSION: In patients with isoimmunization, a BVOD measurement in the 95th percentile or greater was associated with a relatively high likelihood of neonatal anemia and transfusion. Although the measurement is not sufficiently sensitive to be used as a single parameter in predicting neonatal compromise in these patients, it can be a useful, noninvasive adjunct to the management of isoimmunized pregnancies.

The nonreactive nonstress test: predictive value for neonatal anemia in the isoimmunized pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the value of the fetal nonstress test (NST) in predicting neonatal transfusion in pregnancies complicated by red cell isoimmunization. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the records of all patients evaluated for isoimmunization in pregnancy for the period January 1992 to December 1994. In addition to prenatal care, serial ultrasonography, and invasive testing when indicated, patients had NSTs two times per week. Nonstress tests were interpreted as either reactive or nonreactive using standard criteria. Results of the last NST before delivery were analyzed. Neonatal outcome data were obtained prospectively and by chart review. RESULTS: Sixty patients with isoimmunization were identified during the study period. Fifty-one patients (85%) had reactive NSTs until delivery, and nine (15%) had nonreactive NSTs that prompted delivery. Twelve of 51 (23.5%) patients with reactive NSTs and seven of nine (77.8%) patients with nonreactive NSTs required neonatal transfusion (P = .003, odds ratio 11.4 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.7-120.2]). The mean (standard error of the mean; range) hematocrit (%) at birth was 38.9 (3.0; 21.3-52.0) in patients with reactive NSTs and 28.3 (3.8; 14.5-45.0) in those with nonreactive NSTs (P < .05). A nonreactive NST had a 77.8% positive predictive value (95% CI 49.0-100) in identifying the need for neonatal transfusion. CONCLUSION: These findings indicate that a nonreactive NST is predictive of subsequent neonatal transfusion in patients with isoimmunization. The antepartum fetal NST is a useful adjunct in the management of isoimmunized pregnancies.