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1.
PLoS One ; 15(12): e0243113, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33275605

ABSTRACT

The objective of this study is to describe how screen-preventable loss of life (screen-PLL) can be used to analyze the distribution of life savings with mammographic screening. The determination of screen-PLL with mammography is possible using a natural history model of breast cancer that simulates clinical and pathologic events of this disease. This investigation uses a Monte Carlo Markov model with data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program; American Cancer Society; and National Vital Statistics System. Populations of one million women per screening strategy are simulated over a lifetime with mammographic screening based on current guidelines of the American Cancer Society (ACS), United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF), triennial screening from age 50-70, and no screening. Screen-PLL curves are generated and show guideline performance over a lifetime. The screen-PLL curve with no screening is determined by tumor discovery through clinical awareness and has the highest values of screen-PLL. The ACS and USPSTF strategies demonstrate screen-PLL curves favoring the elderly. The curve for triennial screening is more uniform than the ACS or USPSTF curves but could be improved by adding screen(s) at either end of the 50-70 age range. This study introduces the use of screen-PLL as a tool to improve the understanding of screening guidelines and allowing a more balanced allocation of life savings across an aging population. The method presented shows how screen-PLL can be used to analyze and potentially improve breast cancer screening guidelines.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/diagnosis , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , Mammography/methods , Aged , Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Early Detection of Cancer/statistics & numerical data , Female , Humans , Life Expectancy , Mammography/statistics & numerical data , Markov Chains , Middle Aged , Monte Carlo Method , Practice Guidelines as Topic , SEER Program
2.
J Am Board Fam Med ; 32(5): 732-738, 2019.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31506369

ABSTRACT

PURPOSES: To evaluate 2 commonly overlooked sources of error in measuring blood pressure (BP) in the office, improper patient positioning and frequency of terminal digit bias (TDB) using manual and automated (BP) devices. METHODS: BPs recorded by 3 nurses using manual and automated devices were analyzed for TDB. In the next part of the study, 294 patients were recruited and tested with each patient's BP measured twice in the table position and compared with BP measured in the chair position. To eliminate concern for position sequence, a randomized controlled trial was initially conducted. RESULTS: Significant TDB for the digit zero was identified in BPs measured by all nurses using a manual device. No such bias was identified for any nurse when measuring BP with an automated device. For the positional study, the randomized controlled study showed no significant sequencing effect therefore the sequence of table then chair BP measurements was adopted. Significant BP lowering was observed in 128 patients (42.7%) in the chair compared with the table position. Misclassification of prehypertension and hypertension would have occurred in 15.3% and 16% of patients, respectively, when BP was recorded in the table instead of the chair position. CONCLUSIONS: Significant TDB was identified for all nurses when using a manual but not an automated device. Patient positioning on the examination table resulted in elevations of systolic and diastolic BPs.


Subject(s)
Blood Pressure Determination/standards , Diagnostic Errors/statistics & numerical data , Hypertension/diagnosis , Patient Positioning , Humans
4.
J Fam Pract ; 67(4): 199;201;206;207, 2018 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29614142

ABSTRACT

Taking blood pressure with the patient seated on the edge of an exam table led to misclassification of prehypertension or hypertension in 13.2% of patients.


Subject(s)
Antihypertensive Agents/therapeutic use , Blood Pressure Determination/methods , Diagnostic Errors/statistics & numerical data , Hypertension/diagnosis , Patient Positioning/methods , Sitting Position , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Factors
5.
AJR Am J Roentgenol ; 210(3): 564-571, 2018 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29323554

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The debate over the value of screening mammography is rekindled with each new published study or guideline. Central to the discussion are the uncertainties about screening benefits and harms and the criteria used to assess them. Today, the magnitude of benefits for a population is less certain, and the evolving concept of harm has come to encompass false-positives (FPs), unnecessary biopsies, overdiagnosis, and overtreatment. This study uses a Monte Carlo computer simulation to study the balance of benefits and harms of mammographic breast cancer screening for average-risk women. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This investigation compares the American Cancer Society's 2015 mixed annual-biennial guideline with the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force's 2016 fixed biennial guideline. Screening strategies are compared using cost-effectiveness acceptability curves, an economic analysis describing uncertainty in evaluating costs and health outcomes. Strategy preference is examined under changing assumptions of willingness to pay for a quality-adjusted life-year. Additionally, comparative effectiveness analysis is performed using FP screens and unnecessary biopsies per life-year gained. Alternative scenarios are compared assuming a reduced mortality benefit of screening. RESULTS: In general, results using both cost-effectiveness and clinical measures indicate that American Cancer Society's 2015 mixed annual-biennial guideline is preferred. Assuming decreases in the mortality benefit of mammography, no screening may be reasonable. CONCLUSION: The use of a mixed annual-biennial strategy for population screening takes advantage of the nonuniformity of occurrence of mammography benefits and harms over the duration of screening. This approach represents a step toward improving guidelines by exploiting age dependencies at which benefits and harms accrue.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Computer Simulation , Mammography/statistics & numerical data , Mass Screening/methods , Practice Guidelines as Topic , American Cancer Society , Biopsy/economics , Biopsy/statistics & numerical data , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Early Detection of Cancer/economics , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , False Positive Reactions , Female , Humans , Mammography/economics , Medical Overuse/economics , Monte Carlo Method , Unnecessary Procedures/economics
6.
J Fam Pract ; 65(11): 756, 2016 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28087876

ABSTRACT

Despite the lack of evidence, some providers are still prescribing native vitamin D for their patients with chronic kidney disease for reasons unrelated to parathyroid hormone suppression.


Subject(s)
Kidney Failure, Chronic/drug therapy , Vitamin D Deficiency/drug therapy , Vitamin D/therapeutic use , Humans
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