ABSTRACT
Objetivos: descrever os aspectos epidemiológicos, espaciais e temporais da leishmaniose visceral humana, no município de Sobral, no período de 2007 a 2019. Métodos: foi realizado um estudo epidemiológico descritivo e ecológico de análise espacial e temporal, com uso dos programas Quantum-Gis e Joinpoint. Resultados: foram confirmados 316 casos novos, predominantemente, no sexo masculino, nas faixas etárias de 1 a 4 anos (26,3%) e de 20 a 39 anos (24,0%), na zona urbana. Febre (95,9%), fraqueza (85,1%), emagrecimento (80,1%), palidez (73,7%), esplenomegalia (75,6%) e hepatomegalia (69,3%) foram os sinais clínicos mais frequentes. A doença se concentrou em quatro bairros: Terrenos Novos, Centro, Expectativa e Sinhá Saboia, expressando áreas mais densas (quentes). A incidência e a letalidade foram crescentes no início do período e decrescentes no final, com uma inversão destes indicadores no ano de 2014. Conclusão: em Sobral, a leishmaniose visceral humana é um agravo considerado relevante para o serviço de vigilância em saúde com necessidade de intensificação das ações de controle entomológico, zoonótico e de manejo ambiental, principalmente nas áreas mais densas.
Objectives: the objective was to describe the epidemiological, spatial, and temporal aspects of human visceral leishmaniasis, in the municipality of Sobral, from 2007 to 2019. Methods: A descriptive, spatial and temporal ecological study was carried out using Quantum-Gis and Joinpoint programs. Results: 316 new cases were confirmed, predominantly in males, in the age groups of 1 to 4 years (26.3%) and 20 to 39 years (24.0%), mainly in the urban area. Fever (95.9%), weakness (85.1%), weight loss (80.1%), pallor (73.7%), splenomegaly (75.6%), and hepatomegaly (69.3%) were the most frequent clinical signs. The disease was concentrated in four neighborhoods (Terrenos Novos, Centro, Expectativa, and Sinhá Saboia), hot spots. The incidence and case-fatality increased at the beginning of the period but decreased at the end, with an inversion in these in the year 2014. Conclusion: In Sobral, human visceral leishmaniasis is a disease considered relevant to the health surveillance service, with the need to intensify entomological, zoonotic, and environmental management actions, especially in denser areas.
Subject(s)
Leishmaniasis, Visceral , Signs and Symptoms , Health Surveillance , Epidemiology , Mortality , Indicators and Reagents , Age GroupsABSTRACT
Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is considered as an important tropical disease because it rapidly spreads across a wide geographical area. This study aimed to analyse the temporal and spatial patterns of incidence, mortality and case fatality rates due to human VL in Ceará, Brazil, from 2007 to 2018. This is an ecological study involving time series and spatial analyses, and data were obtained from human VL notifications. Temporal trend analysis was carried out using the Joinpoint Regression Program. SaTScan 9.6 was used for conducting spatial analyses, and ArcMap 9.2 was used for building maps. There were 6,066 incident cases and 516 deaths due to human VL. There was an increasing trend in the incidence rate from 2007 to 2014 (annual per cent change [APC] = 3.8; 95% confidence interval [CI]:0.5 to 7.3; p = .031). Mortality (APC = -0.3; 95%CI: -2.5 to 1.9; p = .765) and VL case fatality rates (APC = -3.0; 95%CI: -4.3 to -1,7; p = .188) showed non-significant decline. The incidence rates were higher in the northwest and south regions of the state, with 11 high incidence rate clusters from 2007 to 2010, seven clusters in 44 municipalities from 2011 to 2014, and six clusters in 49 municipalities from 2015 to 2018. During 2007-2010, only one significant mortality rate cluster was identified in the southern region (relative risk [RR] = 7.6); during 2011-2014, two clusters in the northwest region were identified (RR=3.9 and RR=4.6). In the last period, a cluster of 11 municipalities in the southern region was identified (RR = 4.2). Mortality rate clusters were identified in the centre-south (2007-2010), northwest and south (both from 2011 to 2018). VL has a heterogeneous distribution, with maintenance of clusters with high incidence and mortality rates, as well as case fatality rates in municipalities in the northwest and south regions. These clusters present areas with the greatest risk of transmission of human VL.
Subject(s)
Leishmaniasis, Visceral , Animals , Brazil/epidemiology , Cities , Humans , Incidence , Leishmaniasis, Visceral/epidemiology , Leishmaniasis, Visceral/veterinary , Spatial AnalysisABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: This study analyzed the magnitude and temporal trends of leprosy relapse in Ceará in 2001-2018. METHODS: Descriptive cross-sectional and ecological-time trend studies were performed. RESULTS: We diagnosed 1,777 leprosy relapse cases. Higher prevalence of relapse was observed in men, illiterates, mixed race, multibacillary leprosy, lepromatous leprosy, and persons with visible disabilities. The proportion of relapse increased throughout the study period. CONCLUSIONS: Leprosy relapse is prevalent in certain groups.
Subject(s)
Leprosy, Multibacillary , Leprosy , Brazil/epidemiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Humans , Leprosy/epidemiology , Male , RecurrenceABSTRACT
Abstract INTRODUCTION: This study analyzed the magnitude and temporal trends of leprosy relapse in Ceará in 2001-2018. METHODS: Descriptive cross-sectional and ecological-time trend studies were performed. RESULTS: We diagnosed 1,777 leprosy relapse cases. Higher prevalence of relapse was observed in men, illiterates, mixed race, multibacillary leprosy, lepromatous leprosy, and persons with visible disabilities. The proportion of relapse increased throughout the study period. CONCLUSIONS: Leprosy relapse is prevalent in certain groups.
Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Leprosy, Multibacillary , Leprosy/epidemiology , Recurrence , Brazil/epidemiology , Cross-Sectional StudiesABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To analyze the temporal trend and describe the spatial distribution of Visceral Leishmaniasis (VL) in Fortaleza from 2007 to 2017. METHODS: This was an ecological study using segmented temporal regression and thematic mapping. RESULTS: Between 2007-2017, 1,660 new cases and 97 deaths were confirmed. The overall incidence rate showed a rising trend (Annual Percent Change - APC=8.7% - 95%CI -3.3;34.1), while the mortality rate (APC=-25.9 - 95%CI -48.5;-10.6) and lethality (APC=-33.0 - 95%CI -53.7;-17.6) showed a falling trend. From 2010-2015 the incidence rate fell (APC=-15.8 - 95%CI -25.1;-4.0), but mortality (APC=18.7 - 95%CI 9.4;50.6) and lethality (APC=40.1 - 95%CI 22.5;72.0) had an upward trend. In 2015-2017, incidence (APC=-24.6 - 95%CI -36.2;-10.3), and mortality (APC=-44.6 - 95%CI -58.8;-17,6) fell, while lethality remained stable (APC=-13.5 - 95%CI -38.7;3.8). High incidence neighborhoods were clustered in the western region of the city, however, mortality and lethality did not present defined spatial patterns. CONCLUSION: VL is endemic in Fortaleza, although there was a reduction in the last three years studied.
Subject(s)
Leishmaniasis, Visceral , Brazil/epidemiology , Humans , Incidence , Leishmaniasis, Visceral/epidemiology , Spatio-Temporal AnalysisABSTRACT
Objective. To analyze the temporal trend and describe the spatial distribution of Visceral Leishmaniasis (VL) in Fortaleza from 2007 to 2017. Methods. Ecological study using segmented temporal regression and spatial distribution. Results. Between 2007-2017, 1,660 new cases and 97 deaths were confirmed. The incidence was ascending (Annual Percent Change (APC)=8.7% 95%CI -3.3;34.1), but descending mortality and lethality: APC=-25.9 (95%CI -48.5;-10.6) and APC=-33.0 (95%CI -53.7;-17.6), respectively. From 2010-2015 the incidence decreased (APC=-15.8 95%CI -25.1;-4.0), but mortality (APC=18.7 95%CI 9.4;50.6) and lethality (APC=40.1 95%CI 22.5;72.0) had an upward trend. In 2015-2017, decreased incidence (APC=-24.6 95%CI -36.2;-10.3), and mortality (APC=-44.6 95%CI -58.8;-17,6) lethality remained stable (APC=-13.5 95%CI -38.7;3.8). High incidence neighborhoods were clustered in the western region, however, mortality and lethality did not present defined spatial patterns. Conclusion. VL is endemic in Fortaleza, although there has been a decline in the last three years studied.
Objetivo. Analisar a tendência temporal e descrever a distribuição espacial da leishmaniose visceral (LV) em Fortaleza, 2007-2017. Métodos. Estudo ecológico, mediante regressão temporal segmentada e mapeamento temático. Resultados. No período 2007-2017, foram confirmados 1.660 casos novos e 97 óbitos. No período 2007-2010, a incidência foi ascendente (variação percentual anual [Annual Percent Change], APC=8,7% IC95% -3,3;34,1), enquanto a mortalidade (APC=-25,9 IC95% -48,5;-10,6) e a letalidade (APC=-33,0 IC95% -53,7;-17,6), descendentes. No período 2010-2015, a incidência reduziu-se (APC=-15,8 IC95% -25,1;-4,0) mas a mortalidade (APC=18,7 IC95% 9,4;50,6) e a letalidade (APC=40,1 IC95% 22,5;72,0) apresentaram tendência de crescimento. Em 2015-2017, decresceram a incidência (APC=-24,6 IC95% -36,2;-10,3), e a mortalidade (APC=-44,6 IC95% -58,8;-17,6), a letalidade se manteve estável (APC=-13,5 IC95% -38,7;3,8). Houve concentração de bairros com incidência elevada na região oeste da cidade; porém, a mortalidade e a letalidade não apresentaram padrões espaciais definidos. Conclusão. A LV é endêmica em Fortaleza, embora tenha havido declínio no último triênio estudado.
ABSTRACT
Visceral leishmaniasis is a highly lethal zoonosis transmitted by a sandfly. It is caused by a Leishmania protozoan parasite and dogs are the main reservoir. Ceara State is endemic to visceral leishmaniasis and it is considered a high risk transmission area. Temporal and spatial epidemiological studies have been used as tools to analyze the distribution and frequency of human visceral leishmaniasis (HVL). This study aimed to characterize HVL in its epidemiological andtemporal aspects in Ceara State, from 2003 to 2017, as this is a neglected disease and a public health problem. This is an ecological study carried out with HVL confirmed cases in Ceara, using three blocks of years (2003 to 2007, 2008 to 2012 and 2013 to 2017). The disease presented an endemic behavior, affecting mainly male residents in the urban area, especially children under five and young adults between 30 and 49 years old. HVL is recorded in all the municipalities, for more than 10 years, with a growing trend and territorial expansion to the Central and Eastern regions of the State. The results of this study indicated the increase in the incidence and lethality, as well as the expansion of leishmaniasis in Ceara State.
Subject(s)
Endemic Diseases , Leishmaniasis, Visceral/epidemiology , Adult , Animals , Brazil/epidemiology , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Spatio-Temporal AnalysisABSTRACT
Abstract INTRODUCTION: This study investigated the spatial distribution of inappropriate post-exposure human rabies procedures in Ceará, Brazil, between 2007 and 2015. METHODS: The ecological study population was based on the records of post-exposure human rabies procedures from the Notification Disease Information System. We analyzed the data using the Moran Index (I) and the Moran Local Index. RESULTS: There were 222,036 (95.8%) records with inappropriate post-exposure human rabies procedures. There was heterogeneity in their spatial distribution, with two significant clusters in the northeast and northwest regions. CONCLUSIONS: These findings help elaborate differentiated strategies to reduce unnecessary post-exposure human rabies procedures.
Subject(s)
Humans , Rabies/prevention & control , Rabies Vaccines/administration & dosage , Post-Exposure Prophylaxis/statistics & numerical data , Disease Notification , Post-Exposure Prophylaxis/methods , Spatial AnalysisABSTRACT
Objetivo: Analisar a tendência temporal e descrever a distribuição espacial da leishmaniose visceral (LV) em Fortaleza, 2007-2017. Métodos: Estudo ecológico, mediante regressão temporal segmentada e mapeamento temático. Resultados: No período 2007-2017, foram confirmados 1.660 casos novos e 97 óbitos. No período 2007-2010, a incidência foi ascendente (variação percentual anual [Annual Percent Change], APC=8,7% - IC95% -3,3;34,1), enquanto a mortalidade (APC=-25,9 - IC95% -48,5; -10,6) e a letalidade (APC=-33,0 - IC95% -53,7;-17,6), descendentes. No período 2010-2015, a incidência reduziu (APC=-15,8 - IC95% -25,1;-4,0), mas a mortalidade (APC=18,7 - IC95% 9,4;50,6) e a letalidade (APC=40,1 - IC95% 22,5;72,0) apresentaram tendência de crescimento. Em 2015-2017, decresceram a incidência (APC=-24,6 - IC95% -36,2;-10,3) e a mortalidade (APC= -44,6 - IC95% -58,8;-17,6); a letalidade se manteve estável (APC=-13,5 - IC95% -38,7;3,8). Houve concentração de bairros com incidência elevada na região oeste da cidade; porém, a mortalidade e a letalidade não apresentaram padrões espaciais definidos. Conclusão: A LV é endêmica em Fortaleza, embora tenha havido declínio no último triênio estudado.
Objetivo: Analizar la tendencia temporal y describir la distribución espacial de la leishmaniasis visceral (LV) en Fortaleza de 2007 a 2017. Métodos: Estudio ecológico utilizando regresión temporal segmentada y mapas temáticos. Resultados: Entre 2007-2017, se confirmaron 1,660 casos nuevos y 97 muertes. La incidencia fue ascendente (cambio porcentual anual [Annual Percent Change], APC=8,7% - IC95% -3,3;34,1), y mortalidad y letalidad descendentes: APC=-25,9 (IC95% -48,5;-10,6) y APC=-33,0 (IC95% -53,7;-17,6), respectivamente. Desde 2010-2015, la incidencia disminuyó (APC=-15,8 - IC95% -25,1;-4,0), pero la mortalidad (APC=18,7 - IC95% 9,4; 50,6) y la letalidad (APC=40,1 - IC95% 22,5; 72,0) tuvieron una tendencia al alza. En 2015-2017, disminuyeron incidencia (APC=-24,6 - IC95% -36,2;-10,3), y mortalidad (APC=-44,6 - IC95% -58,8;-17,6) la letalidad se mantuvo estable (APC=-13,5 - IC95% -38,7; 3,8). Los barrios con alta incidencia se agruparon en la región oeste de la ciudad, pero, la mortalidad y la letalidad no fueron definidos espacialmente. Conclusión: La LV es endémica en Fortaleza, aunque ha habido una disminución en el último trienio estudiado.
Objective: To analyze the temporal trend and describe the spatial distribution of Visceral Leishmaniasis (VL) in Fortaleza from 2007 to 2017. Methods: This was an ecological study using segmented temporal regression and thematic mapping. Results: Between 2007-2017, 1,660 new cases and 97 deaths were confirmed. The overall incidence rate showed a rising trend (Annual Percent Change - APC=8.7% - 95%CI -3.3;34.1), while the mortality rate (APC=-25.9 - 95%CI -48.5;-10.6) and lethality (APC=-33.0 - 95%CI -53.7;-17.6) showed a falling trend. From 2010-2015 the incidence rate fell (APC=-15.8 - 95%CI -25.1;-4.0), but mortality (APC=18.7 - 95%CI 9.4;50.6) and lethality (APC=40.1 - 95%CI 22.5;72.0) had an upward trend. In 2015-2017, incidence (APC=-24.6 - 95%CI -36.2;-10.3), and mortality (APC=-44.6 - 95%CI -58.8;-17,6) fell, while lethality remained stable (APC=-13.5 - 95%CI -38.7;3.8). High incidence neighborhoods were clustered in the western region of the city, however, mortality and lethality did not present defined spatial patterns. Conclusion: VL is endemic in Fortaleza, although there was a reduction in the last three years studied.
Subject(s)
Humans , Neglected Diseases , Spatio-Temporal Analysis , Leishmaniasis, Visceral/epidemiology , Socioeconomic Factors , Brazil/epidemiology , Incidence , Ecological StudiesABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: This study investigated the spatial distribution of inappropriate post-exposure human rabies procedures in Ceará, Brazil, between 2007 and 2015. METHODS: The ecological study population was based on the records of post-exposure human rabies procedures from the Notification Disease Information System. We analyzed the data using the Moran Index (I) and the Moran Local Index. RESULTS: There were 222,036 (95.8%) records with inappropriate post-exposure human rabies procedures. There was heterogeneity in their spatial distribution, with two significant clusters in the northeast and northwest regions. CONCLUSIONS: These findings help elaborate differentiated strategies to reduce unnecessary post-exposure human rabies procedures.
