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1.
Trends Ecol Evol ; 34(1): 83-94, 2019 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30554808

ABSTRACT

We present the results of our tenth annual horizon scan. We identified 15 emerging priority topics that may have major positive or negative effects on the future conservation of global biodiversity, but currently have low awareness within the conservation community. We hope to increase research and policy attention on these areas, improving the capacity of the community to mitigate impacts of potentially negative issues, and maximise the benefits of issues that provide opportunities. Topics include advances in crop breeding, which may affect insects and land use; manipulations of natural water flows and weather systems on the Tibetan Plateau; release of carbon and mercury from melting polar ice and thawing permafrost; new funding schemes and regulations; and land-use changes across Indo-Malaysia.


Subject(s)
Conservation of Natural Resources , Forecasting , Biodiversity , Conservation of Natural Resources/trends
2.
Trends Ecol Evol ; 33(1): 47-58, 2018 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29217396

ABSTRACT

This is our ninth annual horizon scan to identify emerging issues that we believe could affect global biological diversity, natural capital and ecosystem services, and conservation efforts. Our diverse and international team, with expertise in horizon scanning, science communication, as well as conservation science, practice, and policy, reviewed 117 potential issues. We identified the 15 that may have the greatest positive or negative effects but are not yet well recognised by the global conservation community. Themes among these topics include new mechanisms driving the emergence and geographic expansion of diseases, innovative biotechnologies, reassessments of global change, and the development of strategic infrastructure to facilitate global economic priorities.


Subject(s)
Biodiversity , Conservation of Natural Resources , Ecosystem
3.
Trends Ecol Evol ; 31(1): 44-53, 2016 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26688445

ABSTRACT

This paper presents the results of our seventh annual horizon scan, in which we aimed to identify issues that could have substantial effects on global biological diversity in the future, but are not currently widely well known or understood within the conservation community. Fifteen issues were identified by a team that included researchers, practitioners, professional horizon scanners, and journalists. The topics include use of managed bees as transporters of biological control agents, artificial superintelligence, electric pulse trawling, testosterone in the aquatic environment, building artificial oceanic islands, and the incorporation of ecological civilization principles into government policies in China.


Subject(s)
Biodiversity , Conservation of Natural Resources/trends , Animals , Bees , China , Environmental Policy
4.
Trends Ecol Evol ; 29(1): 15-22, 2014 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24332318

ABSTRACT

This paper presents the output of our fifth annual horizon-scanning exercise, which aims to identify topics that increasingly may affect conservation of biological diversity, but have yet to be widely considered. A team of professional horizon scanners, researchers, practitioners, and a journalist identified 15 topics which were identified via an iterative, Delphi-like process. The 15 topics include a carbon market induced financial crash, rapid geographic expansion of macroalgal cultivation, genetic control of invasive species, probiotic therapy for amphibians, and an emerging snake fungal disease.


Subject(s)
Climate Change , Communicable Diseases/transmission , Conservation of Natural Resources , Introduced Species , Biodiversity , Conservation of Natural Resources/trends
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