Prevalence of optic disc drusen: A systematic review, meta-analysis and forecasting study.

Optic disc drusen (ODD) are calcium-containing deposits in the optic nerve head, capable of causing visual field defects and sudden visual loss. The underlying pathophysiology remains inadequately understood and treatment options are missing. In this paper, we systematically reviewed prevalence studies of ODD in non-selected populations to provide an overview of its prevalence, conducted meta-analyses to determine modality-specific prevalence estimates and performed a forecasting study to estimate current and future global population number of individuals with ODD. We searched 11 literature databases on 25 October 2022 for prevalence studies of ODD in non-selected populations. Eight eligible studies provided data from a total of 27 463 individuals. Prevalence estimates were stratified according to diagnostic modalities: ophthalmoscopy 0.37% (95% CI: 0.10-0.95%), fundus photography 0.12% (95% CI: 0.03-0.24%), spectral domain optical coherence tomography with enhanced depth imaging 2.21% (95% CI: 1.25-3.42%) and histopathology 1.82% (95% CI: 1.32-2.38%). Using histopathology-based summary prevalence estimate, we forecast 145 million individuals with ODD currently, a number expected to increase further due to world population growth. These numbers underscore the importance of including ODD in health education and highlight the necessity of continuing research in ODD.

Knee replacement outcome predicted by physiotherapists: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Knee arthroplasty (KA) is commonly used for osteoarthritis of the knee joint and it is a highly successful procedure. Still, KA leaves 20% of patients dissatisfied with their outcome. The purpose of this study was to determine if a prognosis made by physiotherapists at the orthopaedic wards during the first post-operative days could predict the 6- and 12-months outcome of KA. METHODS: Physiotherapists at two orthopaedic wards in Denmark were asked to predict the 6- and 12-months outcome of the KA patients they have treated post-operatively on a 0-10 scale (10 representing the best prognosis). At 6 and 12 months post-operatively the patients answered the Oxford Knee Score (OKS), EuroQol 5D-3L and Patient Acceptable Symptom State (PASS). Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the prediction of PASS and treatment success. We assessed predictive performance by examining measures of calibration and discrimination. RESULTS: A total of 361 patients were included. The models for PASS and Treatment Success showed poor to acceptable discriminative values (OR between 1.47 and 1.92 and areas under the curves of 0.62-0.73), however the calibration plots indicated significant uncertainties in the prediction. CONCLUSION: Physiotherapists prognoses of recovery after KA are associated with 6- and 12-months patient reported outcomes and satisfaction but have weak predictive value. This study suggests that physiotherapists' prognoses may be useful as an additional source of information when identifying patients in need of additional post-operative care.