Outcomes of COVID-19 in people with rheumatic and musculoskeletal disease in Ireland over the first 2 years of the pandemic.

BACKGROUND: Poor COVID-19 outcomes occur with higher frequency in people with rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases (RMD). Better understanding of the factors involved is crucial to informing patients and clinicians regarding risk mitigation. AIM: To describe COVID-19 outcomes for people with RMD in Ireland over the first 2 years of the pandemic. METHODS: Data entered into the C19-GRA provider registry from Ireland between 24th March 2020 and 31st March 2022 were analysed. Differences in the likelihood of hospitalisation and mortality according to demographic and clinical variables were investigated. RESULTS: Of 237 cases included, 59.9% were female, 95 (41.3%) were hospitalised, and 22 (9.3%) died. Hospitalisation was more common with increasing age, gout, smoking, long-term glucocorticoid use, comorbidities, and specific comorbidities of cardiovascular and pulmonary disease, and cancer. Hospitalisation was less frequent in people with inflammatory arthritis and conventional synthetic or biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug use. Hospitalisation had a U-shaped relationship with disease activity, being more common in both high disease activity and remission. Mortality was more common with increasing age, gout, smoking, long-term glucocorticoid use, comorbidities, and specific comorbidities of cardiovascular disease, pulmonary disease, and obesity. Inflammatory arthritis was less frequent in those who died. CONCLUSION: Hospitalisation or death were more frequently experienced by RMD patients with increasing age, certain comorbidities including potentially modifiable ones, and certain medications and diagnoses amongst other factors. These are important 'indicators' that can help risk-stratify and inform the management of RMD patients.

"My role as a parent, to me, it has narrowed" the impact of early inflammatory arthritis on parenting roles: a qualitative study.

PURPOSE: To explore the impact of early inflammatory arthritis on participation in parenting roles. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty-four individuals (20 female) aged between 32 and 62 years with early inflammatory arthritis (<2 years duration) and who were parents of dependent children (≤21 years) were interviewed. A qualitative description study design was used, and thematic analysis methodologies were employed in the data analysis. RESULTS: Parenting roles were significantly impacted in early disease and extensive parenting restrictions were identified regardless of age and gender. Physical symptoms hampered "everyday mammy activities." Parent-child interactions were altered by the emotional impact of early arthritis including low mood and irritability. Participants emphasised remorse at the negative impact of their arthritis on their children's childhood. Parent-role identity and parents' perception of how they were viewed by their children were negatively impacted by early disease with considerable self-imposed pressure to shield children from the consequences of arthritis. A forced "role switch" requiring relinquishing of some parenting tasks was identified as an unwanted burden associated with inflammatory arthritis. CONCLUSION: Inflammatory arthritis has a negative impact on parenting which is present from disease onset. Understanding factors which influence parenting with arthritis is important to identify appropriate healthcare interventions.Implications for rehabilitationAn early diagnosis of inflammatory arthritis is synonymous with considerable challenges in performing parenting tasks and activities which are present despite early medical management and drug therapy.Physical and psychosocial sequelae of early inflammatory arthritis result in restrictions in the execution of parenting activities and are accompanied by a forced "role switch".The disease impact on parenting differs in early and established inflammatory arthritis and requires distinct healthcare approaches and interventions to adequately address the needs.Parent role identity and perceived lack of control are intrinsically linked to the degree of perceived negative impact on parenting and these factors should be considered in the design and evaluation of appropriate healthcare interventions for this population.

A multidisciplinary-led early arthritis service to manage client-identified participation restrictions in early inflammatory arthritis: A qualitative study of service user and staff perspectives.

BACKGROUND: The impact of inflammatory arthritis (IA) on occupational performance and on participation in meaningful life roles is recognised. However, limited research has explored how clinical services support broader life impact and participation restrictions associated with early disease as part of routine healthcare. This exploratory study was undertaken to describe how a novel multidisciplinary-led early arthritis service approach addresses client-identified participation restrictions in early IA. METHODS: Qualitative Description (QD) approaches were used to explore perspectives of staff and clients of these multidisciplinary-led early arthritis services in Ireland. Data were gathered using focus groups with staff, and individual semi-structured interviews with clients. Transcripts were analysed using thematic analysis. RESULTS: Fifteen staff working in these services participated in the focus groups and 43 clients with IA participated in interviews (female n = 31); diagnosis duration ranged from 5 to 24 months. Participants described how the multidisciplinary-led service had a clear remit to address participation alongside traditional symptom management and provided automatic, immediate access to interventions focussed on identification and management of participation restrictions experienced in early disease. The service model utilised a delivery approach that allowed for ease of early access to a full multidisciplinary team and prolonged support. The most significant feature of the service approach was 'the centrality of the client' which influenced a person-centred approach to identification of needs and priorities for interventions. CONCLUSION: Findings indicate the role and value of this innovative multidisciplinary approach in addressing client-identified participation restrictions in routine clinical practice that is positively regarded by clients and staff.

'You don't want to be seen as a burden' experiences of working with early inflammatory arthritis: a qualitative study.

PURPOSE: To describe the impact of early inflammatory arthritis on work participation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Thirty individuals (24 women) of working age (age 18-69 years) with inflammatory arthritis (<2 years duration) who were in paid employment or fulltime education were interviewed using qualitative description methodology. Data was analysed using thematic analysis. RESULTS: Half of participants (n = 15) reported work disability within the first two-years of diagnosis. Five descriptive themes were identified that explained the early impact of IA on participation in paid employment. These themes were: (i) altered capacity for work; (ii) work comes first; (iii) the invisible burden; (iv) the disclosure effect; and (v) a reconstructed work future. CONCLUSION: The scale of early work disability appears to be higher than previously understood. Although early medical intervention has improved disease management, significant work-based restrictions requiring intervention remain. Internalised and invisible work-related anxieties present early in the disease and need to be acknowledged and addressed by healthcare providers.IMPLICATIONS FOR REHABILITATIONEarly inflammatory arthritis causes significant challenges in work ability, and early work-based participation restrictions are present despite early use of drug therapy.Assessment of the client's subjective experience, including understanding the invisible burden, is an important aspect in determining the types of work interventions required.Disclosure of diagnosis in the work environment is associated with anxiety and fear, however, disclosure is influential in supporting capacity to retain work participation and should be included in work interventions.Routine healthcare should include early interventions to address work-based restrictions and supporting work retention to avoid work disability.

Distinct stromal and immune cell interactions shape the pathogenesis of rheumatoid and psoriatic arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: Immune and stromal cell communication is central in the pathogenesis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and psoriatic arthritis (PsA), however, the nature of these interactions in the synovial pathology of the two pathotypes can differ. Identifying immune-stromal cell crosstalk at the site of inflammation in RA and PsA is challenging. This study creates the first global transcriptomic analysis of the RA and PsA inflamed joint and investigates immune-stromal cell interactions in the pathogenesis of synovial inflammation. METHODS: Single cell transcriptomic profiling of 178 000 synovial tissue cells from five patients with PsA and four patients with RA, importantly, without prior sorting of immune and stromal cells. This approach enabled the transcriptomic analysis of the intact synovial tissue and identification of immune and stromal cell interactions. State of the art data integration and annotation techniques identified and characterised 18 stromal and 14 immune cell clusters. RESULTS: Global transcriptomic analysis of synovial cell subsets identifies actively proliferating synovial T cells and indicates that due to differential λ and κ immunoglobulin light chain usage, synovial plasma cells are potentially not derived from the local memory B cell pool. Importantly, we report distinct fibroblast and endothelial cell transcriptomes indicating abundant subpopulations in RA and PsA characterised by differential transcription factor usage. Using receptor-ligand interactions and downstream target characterisation, we identify RA-specific synovial T cell-derived transforming growth factor (TGF)-ß and macrophage interleukin (IL)-1ß synergy in driving the transcriptional profile of FAPα+THY1+ invasive synovial fibroblasts, expanded in RA compared with PsA. In vitro characterisation of patient with RA synovial fibroblasts showed metabolic switch to glycolysis, increased adhesion intercellular adhesion molecules 1 expression and IL-6 secretion in response to combined TGF-ß and IL-1ß treatment. Disrupting specific immune and stromal cell interactions offers novel opportunities for targeted therapeutic intervention in RA and PsA.

Temporal trends in COVID-19 outcomes in people with rheumatic diseases in Ireland: data from the COVID-19 Global Rheumatology Alliance registry.

OBJECTIVES: Although evidence is accumulating globally, data on outcomes in rheumatic disease and COVID-19 in Ireland are limited. We used data from the COVID-19 Global Rheumatology Alliance (C19-GRA) to describe time-varying COVID-19 outcomes for people with rheumatic disease in Ireland. METHODS: Data entered into the C19-GRA provider registry from Ireland between 24 March 2020 and 9 July 2021 were analysed. Differences in the likelihood of hospitalization and mortality according to demographic and clinical variables were investigated using Chi-squared test or Fisher's exact test, as appropriate. Trends in odds of hospitalization and mortality over time were investigated using logistic regression with the time period as a categorical variable. RESULTS: Of 212 cases included, 59.4% were female and median age was 58.0 years (range 13-96). Of the 212 cases, 92 (43%) were hospitalized and 22 (10.4%) died. Increasing age, a diagnosis of gout, ever smoking, glucocorticoid use, having comorbidities and specific comorbidities of cancer, cardiovascular and pulmonary disease were more common in those hospitalized. A diagnosis of inflammatory arthritis, csDMARD and/or b/tsDMARD use were less frequent in those hospitalized. Increasing age, a diagnosis of gout, ever smoking, having comorbidities and specific comorbidities of obesity, cardiovascular and pulmonary disease were more common in those who died. Odds of hospitalization or mortality did not change over time. CONCLUSION: No temporal trend was observed in either COVID-19-related hospitalization or mortality outcomes for people with rheumatic disease in Ireland.

Loss of balance between protective and pro-inflammatory synovial tissue T-cell polyfunctionality predates clinical onset of rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: This study investigates pathogenic and protective polyfunctional T-cell responses in patient with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), individuals at risk (IAR) and healthy control (HC) synovial-tissue biopsies and identifies the presence of a novel population of pathogenic polyfunctional T-cells that are enriched in the RA joint prior to the development of clinical inflammation. METHODS: Pathway enrichment analysis of previously obtained RNAseq data of synovial biopsies from RA (n=118), IAR (n=20) and HC (n=44) was performed. Single-cell synovial tissue suspensions from RA (n=10), IAR (n=7) and HC (n=7) and paired peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) were stimulated in vitro and polyfunctional synovial T-cell subsets examined by flow cytometric analysis, simplified presentation of incredibly complex evaluations (SPICE) and FlowSom clustering. Flow-imaging was utilised to confirm specific T-cell cluster identification. Fluorescent lifetime imaging microscopy (FLIM) was used to visualise metabolic status of sorted T-cell populations. RESULTS: Increased plasticity of Tfh cells and CD4 T-cell polyfunctionality with enriched memory Treg cell responses was demonstrated in RA patient synovial tissue. Synovial-tissue RNAseq analysis reveals that enrichment in T-cell activation and differentiation pathways pre-dates the onset of RA. Switch from potentially protective IL-4 and granulocyte macrophage colony stimulating factor (GMCSF) dominated polyfunctional CD4 T-cell responses towards pathogenic polyfunctionality is evident in patient with IAR and RA synovial tissue. Cluster analysis reveals the accumulation of highly polyfunctional CD4+ CD8dim T-cells in IAR and RA but not HC synovial tissue. CD4+ CD8dim T-cells show increased utilisation of oxidative phosphorylation, a characteristic of metabolically primed memory T-cells. Frequency of synovial CD4+ CD8dim T-cells correlates with RA disease activity. CONCLUSION: Switch from potentially protective to pathogenic T-cell polyfunctionality pre-dates the onset of clinical inflammation and constitutes an opportunity for therapeutic intervention in RA.

Predictors of hospitalization in patients with rheumatic disease and COVID-19 in Ireland: data from the COVID-19 global rheumatology alliance registry.

OBJECTIVES: Given the limited data regarding the risk of hospitalization in patients with rheumatic disease and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Ireland, we used the COVID-19 Global Rheumatology Alliance (GRA) registry data to study outcomes and their predictors. The primary objective was to explore potential predictors of hospitalization. METHODS: We examined data on patients and their disease-related characteristics entered in the COVID-19 GRA provider registry from Ireland (from 24 March 2020 to 31 August 2020). Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the association of demographic and clinical characteristics with hospitalization. RESULTS: Of 105 patients, 47 (45.6%) were hospitalized and 10 (9.5%) died. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that age [odds ratio (OR) = 1.06, 95% CI 1.01, 1.10], number of co-morbidities (OR = 1.93, 95% CI 1.11, 3.35) and glucocorticoid use (OR = 15.01, 95% CI 1.77, 127.16) were significantly associated with hospitalization. A diagnosis of inflammatory arthritis was associated with lower odds of hospitalization (OR = 0.09, 95% CI 0.02, 0.32). CONCLUSION: Increasing age, co-morbidity burden and glucocorticoid use were associated with hospitalization, whereas a diagnosis of inflammatory arthritis was associated with lower odds of hospitalization.

Pathogenic, glycolytic PD-1+ B cells accumulate in the hypoxic RA joint.

While autoantibodies are used in the diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), the function of B cells in the inflamed joint remains elusive. Extensive flow cytometric characterization and SPICE algorithm analyses of single-cell synovial tissue from patients with RA revealed the accumulation of switched and double-negative memory programmed death-1 receptor-expressing (PD-1-expressing) B cells at the site of inflammation. Accumulation of memory B cells was mediated by CXCR3, evident by the observed increase in CXCR3-expressing synovial B cells compared with the periphery, differential regulation by key synovial cytokines, and restricted B cell invasion demonstrated in response to CXCR3 blockade. Notably, under 3% O2 hypoxic conditions that mimic the joint microenvironment, RA B cells maintained marked expression of MMP-9, TNF, and IL-6, with PD-1+ B cells demonstrating higher expression of CXCR3, CD80, CD86, IL-1ß, and GM-CSF than their PD-1- counterparts. Finally, following functional analysis and flow cell sorting of RA PD-1+ versus PD-1- B cells, we demonstrate, using RNA-Seq and emerging fluorescence lifetime imaging microscopy of cellular NAD, a significant shift in metabolism of RA PD-1+ B cells toward glycolysis, associated with an increased transcriptional signature of key cytokines and chemokines that are strongly implicated in RA pathogenesis. Our data support the targeting of pathogenic PD-1+ B cells in RA as a focused, novel therapeutic option.

Insulin-Resistant Pathways Are Associated With Disease Activity in Rheumatoid Arthritis and Are Subject to Disease Modification Through Metabolic Reprogramming: A Potential Novel Therapeutic Approach.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate a role for insulin-resistant pathways in inflammation and therapeutic targeting for disease modification in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: RA disease activity and cardiovascular risk factors, including insulin resistance and body mass index (BMI), were assessed in an Irish RA cohort. Glucose transporter 1 (GLUT-1) and GLUT-4 activity in RA and osteoarthritis (OA) synovial tissue was examined using immunohistochemistry. Spontaneous release of proinflammatory mediators from ex vivo RA synovial explants and primary synovial fibroblast (SF) cell culture supernatants was quantified by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Phosphorylated AMP-activated protein kinase (p-AMPK) and GLUT-1 protein expression was analyzed by Western blotting. Cellular glycolytic and oxidative phosphorylation was assessed using extracellular flux analysis. RESULTS: Insulin resistance was independently associated with both BMI (unstandardized coefficient B 0.113 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.059-0.167]; P < 0.001) (n = 61) and swollen joint count in 28 joints (SJC28) (B 0.114 [95% CI 0.032-0.197]; P = 0.008) (n = 61). Increased GLUT-1 expression in RA synovium (n = 26) versus OA synovium (n = 16) was demonstrated (P = 0.0003), with increased expression in the lining, sublining, and vascular regions. In contrast, decreased GLUT-4 expression in the RA lining layer (n = 21) versus the OA lining layer (n = 8) was observed (P = 0.0358). Decreased GLUT-1 protein expression was observed in parallel with increased p-AMPK protein expression in SFs in the presence of metformin (n = 4). Metformin increased glycolytic activity and decreased oxidative phosphorylation in RASFs (n = 7) (P < 0.05 for both). Metformin or aminoimidazole carboxamide ribonucleotide presence decreased spontaneous production of interleukin-6 (IL-6), IL-8, and monocyte chemotactic protein 1 in RA synovial explants and SFs (n = 5-7). CONCLUSION: Insulin resistance is significantly associated with BMI and synovitis in RA, suggesting distinct interplay between glucose availability and inflammation in RA. Furthermore, the effect of metformin on proinflammatory mechanisms suggests a role for AMPK-modifying compounds in the treatment of RA.

Association of synovial tissue polyfunctional T-cells with DAPSA in psoriatic arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: This study examines polyfunctional T-cells in psoriatic arthritis (PsA) synovial tissue and their associations with clinical disease and implications for therapy. METHODS: PsA synovial tissue was enzymatically/mechanically digested to generate synovial tissue single cell suspensions. Frequencies of polyfunctional CD4, CD8, T-helper 1 (Th1), Th17 and exTh17 cells, using CD161 as a marker of Th17 plasticity, were determined by flow cytometry in matched PsA synovial tissue and peripheral blood. Synovial T-cell polyfunctionality was assessed in relation to Disease Activity in PSoriatic Arthritis (DAPSA) and in synovial cell suspensions cultured with a current mode of treatment, phosphodiesterase 4 (PDE4) inhibitor. RESULTS: PsA synovial tissue infiltrating CD4+ T-cells expressed higher levels of interleukin (IL)-17A, interferon gamma (IFN-γ), GM-CSF and CD161, with parallel enrichment of Th1, Th17 and exTh17 T-helper subsets (all p<0.05). Interestingly, a significant proportion of synovial T-cell subsets were triple-positive for GM-CSF, tumour necrosis factor (-TNF), -IL-17 or IFN-γ compared with matched blood (all p<0.05). Importantly, frequencies of polyfunctional T-cells correlated with DAPSA: Th1-GM-CSF+/TNF+/IFN-γ+ (r=0.7, p<0.01), Th17-GM-CSF+/TNF+/IL-17+ (r=0.6, p<0.057) and exTh17-GM-CSF+/TNF+/IFN-γ+ (r=0.7, p=0.0096), with no associations observed for single cytokine-producing T-cells. Following ex vivo culture of PsA synovial tissue cell suspensions, polyfunctional GM-CSF+TNFα+IL-17A+ or/IFN-γ+-producing T-cells (p<0.05), but not single cytokine-producing T-cells, were inhibited with a PDE4 inhibitor. CONCLUSION: These data demonstrate enrichment of polyfunctional T-cells in PsA synovial tissue which were strongly associated with DAPSA and ex vivo therapeutic response.

Observational Study of a Wearable Sensor and Smartphone Application Supporting Unsupervised Exercises to Assess Pain and Stiffness.

BACKGROUND: Evaluation of pain and stiffness in patients with arthritis is largely based on participants retrospectively reporting their self-perceived pain/stiffness. This is subjective and may not accurately reflect the true impact of therapeutic interventions. We now have access to sensor-based systems to continuously capture objective information regarding movement and activity. OBJECTIVES: We present an observational study aimed to collect sensor data from participants monitored while performing an unsupervised version of a standard motor task, known as the Five Times Sit to Stand (5×STS) test. The first objective was to explore whether the participants would perform the test regularly in their home environment, and do so in a correct and consistent manner. The second objective was to demonstrate that the measurements collected would enable us to derive an objective signal related to morning pain and stiffness. METHODS: We recruited a total of 45 participants, of whom 30 participants fulfilled pre-defined criteria for osteoarthritis, rheumatoid arthritis, or psoriatic arthritis and 15 participants were healthy volunteers. All participants wore accelerometers on their wrists, day and night for about 4 weeks. The participants were asked to perform the 5×STS test in their own home environment at the same time in the morning 3 times per week. We investigated the relationship between pain/stiffness and measurements collected during the 5×STS test by comparing the 5×STS test duration with the patient-reported outcome (PRO) questionnaires, filled in via a smartphone. RESULTS: During the study, we successfully captured accelerometer data from each participant for a period of 4 weeks. The participants performed 56% of the prescribed 5×STS tests. We observed that different tests made by the same participants were performed with subject-specific characteristics that remained consistent throughout the study. We showed that 5×STS test duration (the time taken to complete the 5×STS test) was significantly and robustly associated with the pain and stiffness intensity reported via the PROs, particularly the questions asked in the morning. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the feasibility and usefulness of regular, sensor-based, monitored, unsupervised physical tests to objectively assess the impact of disease on function in the home environment. This approach may permit remote disease monitoring in clinical trials and support the development of novel endpoints from passively collected actigraphy data.

Acute-phase serum amyloid A regulates tumor necrosis factor α and matrix turnover and predicts disease progression in patients with inflammatory arthritis before and after biologic therapy.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between acute-phase serum amyloid A (A-SAA) and joint destruction in inflammatory arthritis. METHODS: Serum A-SAA and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, the erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), and levels of matrix metalloproteinase 1 (MMP-1), MMP-2, MMP-3, MMP-9, MMP-13, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases 1 (TIMP-1), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), and type I and type II collagen-generated biomarkers C2C and C1,2C were measured at 0-3 months in patients with inflammatory arthritis commencing anti-tumor necrosis factor α (anti-TNFα) therapy and were correlated with 1-year radiographic progression. The effects of A-SAA on MMP/TIMP expression on RA fibroblast-like synoviocytes (FLS), primary human chondrocytes, and RA/psoriatic arthritis synovial explant cultures were assessed using real-time polymerase chain reaction, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, antibody protein arrays, and gelatin zymography. RESULTS: Serum A-SAA levels were significantly (P < 0.05) correlated with MMP-3, the MMP-3:TIMP-1 ratio, C1,2C, C2C, and VEGF. The baseline A-SAA level but not the ESR or the CRP level correlated with the 28-joint swollen joint count and was independently associated with 1-year radiographic progression (P = 0.038). A-SAA increased MMP-1, MMP-3, MMP-13, and MMP/TIMP expression in RA FLS and synovial explants (P < 0.05). In chondrocytes, A-SAA induced MMP-1, MMP-3, and MMP-13 messenger RNA and protein expression (all P < 0.01), resulting in a significant shift in MMP:TIMP ratios (P < 0.05). Gelatin zymography revealed that A-SAA induced MMP-2 and MMP-9 activity. Blockade of the A-SAA receptor SR-B1 (A-SAA receptor scavenger receptor-class B type 1) inhibited MMP-3, MMP-2, and MMP-9 expression in synovial explant cultures ex vivo. Importantly, we demonstrated that A-SAA has the ability to induce TNFα expression in RA synovial explant cultures (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: A-SAA may be involved in joint destruction though MMP induction and collagen cleavage in vivo. The ability of A-SAA to regulate TNFα suggests that A-SAA signaling pathways may provide new therapeutic strategies for the treatment of inflammatory arthritis.

Early changes in serum type II collagen biomarkers predict radiographic progression at one year in inflammatory arthritis patients after biologic therapy.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether short-term changes in serum biomarkers of type II collagen degradation (C2C) and types I and II collagen degradation (C1,2C), as well as the biomarker for the synthesis of type II procollagen (CPII) can predict radiographic progression at 1 year following initiation of biologic therapy in patients with inflammatory arthritis. METHODS: Serum levels of biomarkers were measured at baseline and at 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12 months after initiation of biologic therapy. A composite score reflecting changes from baseline in all 3 biomarkers (DeltaCOL) was calculated. Associations with clinical responses according to the 28-joint count Disease Activity Score and with radiographic progression according to the modified Sharp/van der Heijde score (SHS) were assessed. RESULTS: The 1-year increase in the SHS correlated with the 1-month change in C2C results (r = 0.311, P = 0.028) and the DeltaCOL score (r = 0.342, P = 0.015). Radiographic progression was predicted by increases in serum C2C at 1 month (P = 0.031). The DeltaCOL score was significantly associated with 1-year radiographic progression after 1 (P = 0.022), 3 (P = 0.015), 6 (P = 0.048), and 9 (P = 0.019) months of therapy. Clinical remission was predicted by 1-month decreases in serum levels of C2C (P = 0.008) and C1,2C (P = 0.036). By regression analysis, 1-month changes in C2C, C1,2C, and CPII levels were independently associated with, and correctly predicted radiographic outcome in, 88% of the patients. CONCLUSION: Short-term changes in serum levels of collagen biomarkers following initiation of biologic therapy may better predict long-term clinical and radiographic outcomes. These collagen biomarkers may therefore be valuable new early indicators of short-term biologic treatment efficacy in clinical trials and in individual patients with inflammatory erosive arthritis.