Estimating the burden of rubella virus infection and congenital rubella syndrome through a rubella immunity assessment among pregnant women in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: Potential impact on vaccination policy.

BACKGROUND: Rubella-containing vaccines (RCV) are not yet part of the Democratic Republic of the Congo's (DRC) vaccination program; however RCV introduction is planned before 2020. Because documentation of DRC's historical burden of rubella virus infection and congenital rubella syndrome (CRS) has been minimal, estimates of the burden of rubella virus infection and of CRS would help inform the country's strategy for RCV introduction. METHODS: A rubella antibody seroprevalence assessment was conducted using serum collected during 2008-2009 from 1605 pregnant women aged 15-46years attending 7 antenatal care sites in 3 of DRC's provinces. Estimates of age- and site-specific rubella antibody seroprevalence, population, and fertility rates were used in catalytic models to estimate the incidence of CRS per 100,000 live births and the number of CRS cases born in 2013 in DRC. RESULTS: Overall 84% (95% CI 82, 86) of the women tested were estimated to be rubella antibody seropositive. The association between age and estimated antibody seroprevalence, adjusting for study site, was not significant (p=0.10). Differences in overall estimated seroprevalence by study site were observed indicating variation by geographical area (p⩽0.03 for all). Estimated seroprevalence was similar for women declaring residence in urban (84%) versus rural (83%) settings (p=0.67). In 2013 for DRC nationally, the estimated incidence of CRS was 69/100,000 live births (95% CI 0, 186), corresponding to 2886 infants (95% CI 342, 6395) born with CRS. CONCLUSIONS: In the 3 provinces, rubella virus transmission is endemic, and most viral exposure and seroconversion occurs before age 15years. However, approximately 10-20% of the women were susceptible to rubella virus infection and thus at risk for having an infant with CRS. This analysis can guide plans for introduction of RCV in DRC. Per World Health Organization recommendations, introduction of RCV should be accompanied by a campaign targeting all children 9months to 14years of age as well as vaccination of women of child bearing age through routine services.

The effect of immunization on measles incidence in the Democratic Republic of Congo: Results from a model of surveillance data.

BACKGROUND: Measles continues to be a leading cause of vaccine-preventable disease mortality among children under five despite a safe and efficacious vaccine being readily available. While global vaccination coverage has improved tremendously, measles outbreaks persist throughout sub-Saharan Africa. Since 2010, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has seen a resurgence of measles outbreaks affecting all 11 provinces. These outbreaks are mainly attributed to gaps in routine immunization (RI) coverage compounded with missed supplementary immunization activities (SIAs). We utilized national passive surveillance data from DRC's Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) system to estimate the effect of immunization on measles incidence in DRC. METHODS: We investigated the decline in measles incidence post-immunization with one dose of measles containing vaccine (MCV1) with and without the addition of supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) and outbreak response immunization (ORI) campaigns. Measles case counts by health zone were obtained from the IDSR system between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2013. The impact of measles immunization was modeled using a random effects multi-level model for count data with RI coverage levels and mass campaign activities from one year prior. RESULTS: The presence of an SIA (aIRR [95% CI] 0.86 [0.60-1.25]) and ORI (0.28 [0.20-0.39]) in the year prior were both associated with a decrease in measles incidence. When interaction terms were included, our results suggested that the high levels of MCV1 reported in the year prior and the presence of either mass campaign was associated with a decrease in measles incidence. CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight the importance of a two-dose measles vaccine schedule and the need for a strong routine immunization program coupled with frequent SIAs. Repeated occurrences of large-scale outbreaks in DRC suggest that vaccination coverage rates are grossly overestimated and signify the importance of the evaluation and modification of measles prevention and control strategies.

Antecedent causes of a measles resurgence in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

INTRODUCTION: Despite accelerated measles control efforts, a massive measles resurgence occurred in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) starting in mid-2010, prompting an investigation into likely causes. METHODS: We conducted a descriptive epidemiological analysis using measles immunization and surveillance data to understand the causes of the measles resurgence and to develop recommendations for elimination efforts in DRC. RESULTS: During 2004-2012, performance indicator targets for case-based surveillance and routine measles vaccination were not met. Estimated coverage with the routine first dose of measles-containing vaccine (MCV1) increased from 57% to 73%. Phased supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) were conducted starting in 2002, in some cases with sub-optimal coverage (≤95%). In 2010, SIAs in five of 11 provinces were not implemented as planned, resulting in a prolonged interval between SIAs, and a missed birth cohort in one province. During July 1, 2010-December 30, 2012, high measles attack rates (>100 cases per 100,000 population) occurred in provinces that had estimated MCV1 coverage lower than the national estimate and did not implement planned 2010 SIAs. The majority of confirmed case-patients were aged <10 years (87%) and unvaccinated or with unknown vaccination status (75%). Surveillance detected two genotype B3 and one genotype B2 measles virus strains that were previously identified in the region. CONCLUSION: The resurgence was likely caused by an accumulation of unvaccinated, measles-susceptible children due to low MCV1 coverage and suboptimal SIA implementation. To achieve the regional goal of measles elimination by 2020, efforts are needed in DRC to improve case-based surveillance and increase two-dose measles vaccination coverage through routine services and SIAs.

Field evaluation of measles vaccine effectiveness among children in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

BACKGROUND: Large-scale measles outbreaks in areas with high administrative vaccine coverage rates suggest the need to re-evaluate measles prevention and control in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Monitoring of measles Vaccine Effectiveness (VE) is a useful measure of quality control in immunization programs. We estimated measles VE among children aged 12-59 months in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) using laboratory surveillance data from 2010-2012. METHODS: We used the case-based surveillance system with laboratory confirmation to conduct a case-control study using the test negative design. Cases and controls were selected based on presence (n=1044) or absence (n=1335) of measles specific antibody IgM or epidemiologic linkage. Risk factors for measles were assessed using unconditional logistic regression, stratified by age. RESULTS: Among children 12-59 months, measles vaccination was protective against measles [aOR (95%C)], 0.20 (0.15-0.26) and estimated VE was 80% (95% CI 74-85%). Year of diagnosis, 2011: 6.02 (4.16-8.72) and 2012; 8.31 (5.57-12.40) was a risk factor for measles when compared to 2010. Compared to Kinshasa, children in Bas-Congo, Kasai-Oriental, Maniema and South Kivu provinces all had higher odds of developing measles. Measles VE was similar for children 12-23 months and 24-59 months (80% and 81% respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Repeated occurrences of measles outbreaks and lower than expected VE estimates suggest the need to further evaluate measles vaccine efficacy and improve vaccine delivery strategies in DRC.

Improved acute flaccid paralysis surveillance performance in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2010-2012.

BACKGROUND: The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) began polio eradication activities in 1996. By 2001, DRC was no longer polio endemic. However, wild poliovirus (WPV) transmission was reestablished in 2006 continuing through 2011 (last WPV case onset 20 December 2011), and vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 (VDPV2) outbreaks occurred during 2004-2012 (last VDPV2 case onset 4 April 2012). Gaps in acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) surveillance have been consistently documented. METHODS: AFP surveillance indicators were assessed at the national, provincial, and zone de santé (ZS) levels for 2010-2012. A spatiotemporal analysis of compatible, WPV type 1 (WPV1), and VDPV2 cases was performed. RESULTS: During 2010-2012, AFP cases were reported from all provinces but not every ZS, particularly in Equateur province and Province Orientale. A spatiotemporal relationship between compatible, WPV1, and VDPV2 cases was noted. Nonpolio AFP rates met objectives at national and provincial levels but were sub-optimal in certain ZS. National and provincial trends in timely stool collection, stool condition, adequate stool, and 60-day follow-up exams improved. CONCLUSIONS: DRC's AFP surveillance system is functional and improved during 2010-2012. Maintaining improvements and strengthening AFP case detection at the ZS level will provide further support for the apparent interruption of WPV and VDPV2 transmission.

Factors contributing to outbreaks of wild poliovirus type 1 infection involving persons aged ≥15 years in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2010-2011, informed by a pre-outbreak poliovirus immunity assessment.

BACKGROUND: The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) experienced atypical outbreaks of wild poliovirus type 1 (WPV1) infection during 2010-2011 in that they affected persons aged ≥15 years in 4 (Bandundu, Bas Congo, Kasaï Occidental, and Kinshasa provinces) of the 6 provinces with outbreaks. METHODS: Analyses of cases of WPV1 infection with onset during 2010-2011 by province, age, polio vaccination status, and sex were conducted. The prevalence of antibodies to poliovirus (PV) types 1, 2, and 3 was assessed in sera collected before the outbreaks from women attending antenatal clinics in 3 of the 4 above-mentioned provinces. RESULTS: Of 193 cases of WPV1 infection during 2010-2011, 32 (17%) occurred in individuals aged ≥15 years. Of these 32 cases, 31 (97%) occurred in individuals aged 16-29 years; 9 (28%) were notified in Bandundu, 17 (53%) were notified in Kinshasa, and 22 (69%) had an unknown polio vaccination status. In the seroprevalence assessment, PV type 1 and 3 seroprevalence was lower among women aged 15-29 years in Bandundu and Kinshasa, compared with those in Kasaï Occidental. Seropositivity to PVs was associated with increasing age, more pregnancies, and a younger age at first pregnancy. CONCLUSIONS: This spatiotemporal analysis strongly suggests that the 2010-2011 outbreaks of WPV1 infection affecting young adults were caused by a PV type 1 immunity gap in Kinshasa and Bandundu due to insufficient exposure to PV type 1 through natural infection or vaccination. Poliovirus immunity gaps in this age group likely persist in DRC.