Spatial patterns of Fasciola hepatica and Calicophoron daubneyi infections in ruminants in Ireland and modelling of C. daubneyi infection.

BACKGROUND: Fasciola hepatica has always represented a threat to Irish livestock because the Irish climate is highly suitable for the main local intermediate host of the parasite, the snail Galba truncatula. The recent clinical emergence of infections due to Calicophoron daubneyi has raised the question of whether the two parasites, which share a niche during part of their life-cycles, interact in some way. Here, we used geographical information systems (GIS) to analyse the distribution of both parasites in cattle and sheep. We also developed the first predictive model of paramphistomosis in Ireland. RESULTS: Our results indicated that, in cattle, liver fluke infection is less common than rumen fluke infection and does not exhibit the same seasonal fluctuations. Overall, we found that cattle had a higher likelihood of being infected with rumen fluke than sheep (OR = 3.134, P < 0.01). In addition, infection with one parasite increased the odds of infection with the other in both host species. Rumen fluke in cattle showed the highest spatial density of infection. Environmental variables such as soil drainage, land cover and habitat appeared to be the most important risk factors for C. daubneyi infection, followed by rainfall and vegetation. Overall the risk of infection with this parasite was predicted to be higher in the west of the country. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows differences between the infection rates and spatial patterns of bovine and ovine infections with F. hepatica and C. daubneyi in Ireland. Whether the reasons for this are due to susceptibility, exposure and/or management factors is yet to be determined. Furthermore, the rumen fluke model indicates distinct risk factors and predicted distribution to those of F. hepatica, suggesting potential biological differences between both parasite species.

Validation of a spatial liver fluke model under field conditions in Ireland.

Fasciola hepatica is the causative agent of fasciolosis, a global disease of a wide range of mammals, particularly sheep and cattle. Liver fluke infection causes annual losses estimated at around €2.5 billion to livestock and food industries worldwide. Various models have been developed to define risk factors and predict exposure to this liver fluke in ruminants in European countries, most of them based exclusively on data from dairy herds. The aim of this study was to validate a published theoretical baseline risk map of liver fluke exposure and cluster maps in Ireland, by including further explanatory variables and additional herd types that are spatially more widespread. Three approaches were employed: i) comparison of predicted and actual exposure; ii) comparison of cluster distribution of hotspots and coldspots; and iii) development of a new model to compare predicted spatial distribution and risk factors. Based on new survey data, the published baseline predictive map was found to have a sensitivity of 94.7%, a specificity of 5%, a positive predictive value of 60% and a negative predictive value of 38.2%. In agreement with the original model, our validation highlighted temperature and rainfall among the main risk factors. In addition, we identified vegetation indices as important risk factors. Both the previously published and our new model predict that exposure to Fasciola is higher in the western parts of Ireland. However, foci of high probability do not match completely, nor do the location of clusters of hotspots and coldspots.