The procurement and supply chain strengthening project: improving public health supply chains for better access to HIV medicines, Uganda 2011-2016.

BACKGROUND: With countries moving towards reaching the UNAIDS 90-90-90 goal to achieve HIV epidemic control, there are going to be an unprecedented number of persons who will need to be tested, treated, and regularly monitored for viral suppression. However, most of the countries with the greatest burden of HIV/AIDS experience regular stock outages which could be detrimental to reaching these targets. ART and other commodities such as HIV test kits and laboratory supplies need to be readily and consistently available to achieve these targets. The main objective was to improve access to HIV/AIDS related commodities and strengthening institutional capacity for the management of HIV/AIDS logistics services through the MAUL procurement and supply chain strengthening project (PSSP) that rolled out four interventions on mentorship and support supervision, stock level monitoring, spatial visualization of stock indicators using GIS, and using WhatsApp to submit order reports as photo images. METHODS: Medical Access Uganda Limited, a private-not-for-profit supply chain management company in Uganda, implemented these interventions as part of a procurement and supply chain strengthening project (PSSP). These interventions were evaluated using performance monitoring indicators from 2011-2016. We tested for the significance in the change in scores of performance monitoring indicators using the test for difference in proportions. Health facilities were scored on 6 categories and accredited as bronze, silver or gold based on their total scores. Kaplan-Meier estimates were computed for time to silver, and gold ranking and univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were computed for time to gold ranking. RESULTS: We observed a significant reduction in reported stock-outs from 46 to 4% (p < 0.001) in the analysis period. Accurate stock card inventory rose from 79 to 91% (p < 0.001); adequate stock levels rose from 54 to 71% (p = 0.002) and stock reporting rates from 91 to 100% (p < 0.001). The stock order fill rate improved from a high of 93% to 97% (p = 0.375). Patient load (medium vs low adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 2.19, p = 0.026; high vs low aHR: 2.97, p = 0.034) and number of support supervision visits (6-10 aHR: 3.33, p = 0.024; > 10 aHR: 5.78, p = 0.003) were associated with better stock management ranking scores. CONCLUSIONS: Improvements in supply chain management in countries committed to achieving the 90-90-90 goals are crucial to achieving HIV epidemic control. Health system strengthening and mentorship investments in Uganda were feasible and are essential for sustainable disease control efforts.

HIV prevention costs and program scale: data from the PANCEA project in five low and middle-income countries.

BACKGROUND: Economic theory and limited empirical data suggest that costs per unit of HIV prevention program output (unit costs) will initially decrease as small programs expand. Unit costs may then reach a nadir and start to increase if expansion continues beyond the economically optimal size. Information on the relationship between scale and unit costs is critical to project the cost of global HIV prevention efforts and to allocate prevention resources efficiently. METHODS: The "Prevent AIDS: Network for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis" (PANCEA) project collected 2003 and 2004 cost and output data from 206 HIV prevention programs of six types in five countries. The association between scale and efficiency for each intervention type was examined for each country. Our team characterized the direction, shape, and strength of this association by fitting bivariate regression lines to scatter plots of output levels and unit costs. We chose the regression forms with the highest explanatory power (R2). RESULTS: Efficiency increased with scale, across all countries and interventions. This association varied within intervention and within country, in terms of the range in scale and efficiency, the best fitting regression form, and the slope of the regression. The fraction of variation in efficiency explained by scale ranged from 26-96%. Doubling in scale resulted in reductions in unit costs averaging 34.2% (ranging from 2.4% to 58.0%). Two regression trends, in India, suggested an inflection point beyond which unit costs increased. CONCLUSION: Unit costs decrease with scale across a wide range of service types and volumes. These country and intervention-specific findings can inform projections of the global cost of scaling up HIV prevention efforts.

The costs and benefits of private sector provision of treatment to HIV-infected employees in Kampala, Uganda.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to determine the financial incentives that companies have to treat HIV-infected employees, in a health care services company in Kampala, Uganda. DESIGN: Cost-benefit analysis from the company's perspective of three interventions to treat HIV-infected employees. METHODS: The costs and benefits of each intervention were compared with no intervention and with each other: cotrimoxazole prophylaxis (CTX) starting at WHO stage 2; highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) plus CTX starting at WHO stage 2; and a 'hybrid' strategy that begins with CTX at WHO stage 2 and later includes HAART. The 5-year health and economic outcomes were calculated using a Markov model. Inputs for disease progression rates and effects of HIV on company costs were derived from published and unpublished data and a survey administered to company officers. RESULTS: The analysis showed that the 'hybrid' intervention is the most cost-effective. For 100 skilled employees it would save the company 38,939 US dollars and 73 disability adjusted life-years (DALYs). For unskilled workers 'CTX' is the most cost effective and would save 16,417 US dollars and 60 DALYs. 'Hybrid' has an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of 45 US dollars per DALY for unskilled workers whereas HAART is far less economical at an incremental cost per DALY of 4118 US dollars. For 'CTX', net savings are preserved across the full range of input values. CONCLUSION: A 'hybrid' intervention combining CTX prophylaxis followed by HAART would generate savings to a Ugandan company. Governments and other donors may find opportunities to share costs with the private sector as part of their phase-in strategy for antiretroviral therapy.