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1.
Health Serv Res ; 53(2): 649-670, 2018 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28105639

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To analyze variation in medical care use attributable to Medicare's decentralized claims adjudication process as exemplified in home hemodialysis (HHD) therapy. DATA SOURCES/STUDY SETTING: Secondary data analysis using 2009-2012 paid Medicare claims for HHD and in-center hemodialysis (IHD). STUDY DESIGN: We compared variation across Medicare administrative contractors (MACs) in predicted paid treatments per standardized patient-month for HHD and IHD patients. We used ordinary least-squares regression to determine whether higher paid HHD treatment counts expanded HHD programs' presence among dialysis facilities. DATA COLLECTION: We identified HHD and IHD treatments using procedure, revenue center, and claim condition codes on type 72x claims. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: MACs varied persistently in predicted HHD treatments per patient-month, ranging from 14.3 to 21.9 treatments versus 10.9 to 12.4 IHD treatments. The presence of facilities' HHD programs was uncorrelated with average HHD payment counts. CONCLUSIONS: Medicare's claims adjudication process promotes variation in medical care use, as we observe among HHD patients. MACs' discretionary decision making, while potentially facilitating innovation, may admit inefficiency in care practice as well as inequitable access to health care services. Regulators should weigh the benefits of flexibility in local coverage decisions against those of national standards for medical necessity.


Subject(s)
Hemodialysis Units, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Hemodialysis, Home/statistics & numerical data , Insurance, Health, Reimbursement/statistics & numerical data , Medicare/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Aged , Female , Health Expenditures , Hemodialysis Units, Hospital/economics , Hemodialysis, Home/economics , Humans , Insurance, Health, Reimbursement/economics , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Male , Medicare/economics , Middle Aged , Regression Analysis , United States
2.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 34(4): 645-52, 2015 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25847648

ABSTRACT

As policy makers and others seek to reduce health care cost growth while improving health care quality, one approach gaining momentum is fee-for-value reimbursement. This payment strategy maintains the traditional fee-for-service arrangement but includes quality and spending incentives. We examined Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan's Physician Group Incentive Program, which uses a fee-for-value approach focused on primary care physicians. We analyzed the program's impact on quality and spending from 2008 to 2011 for over three million beneficiaries in over 11,000 physician practices. Participation in the incentive program was associated with approximately 1.1 percent lower total spending for adults (5.1 percent lower for children) and the same or improved performance on eleven of fourteen quality measures over time. Our findings contribute to the growing body of evidence about the potential effectiveness of models that align payment with cost and quality performance, and they demonstrate that it is possible to transform reimbursement within a fee-for-service framework to encourage and incentivize physicians to provide high-quality care, while also reducing costs.


Subject(s)
Fee-for-Service Plans/economics , Physicians, Primary Care , Primary Health Care/economics , Quality of Health Care , Reimbursement, Incentive/economics , Adult , Blue Cross Blue Shield Insurance Plans/economics , Child , Humans , Michigan , Physicians, Primary Care/economics , Physicians, Primary Care/standards , Primary Health Care/organization & administration
3.
Am J Kidney Dis ; 64(4): 616-21, 2014 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24560166

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In 2011, Medicare implemented a prospective payment system (PPS) covering an expanded bundle of services that excluded blood transfusions. This led to concern about inappropriate substitution of transfusions for other anemia management methods. STUDY DESIGN: Medicare claims were used to calculate transfusion rates among dialysis patients pre- and post-PPS. Linear probability regressions adjusted transfusion trends for patient characteristics. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Dialysis patients for whom Medicare was the primary payer between 2008 and 2012. PREDICTOR: Pre-PPS (2008-2010) versus post-PPS (2011-2012). OUTCOMES & MEASUREMENTS: Monthly and annual probability of receiving one or more blood transfusions. RESULTS: Monthly rates of one or more transfusions varied from 3.8%-4.8% and tended to be lowest in 2010. Annual rates of transfusion events per patient were -10% higher in relative terms post-PPS, but the absolute magnitude of the increase was modest (-0.05 events/patient). A larger proportion received 4 or more transfusions (3.3% in 2011 and 2012 vs 2.7%-2.8% in prior years). Controlling for patient characteristics, the monthly probability of receiving a transfusion was significantly higher post-PPS (ß = 0.0034; P < 0.001), representing an -7% relative increase. Transfusions were more likely for females and patients with more comorbid conditions and less likely for blacks both pre- and post-PPS. LIMITATIONS: Possible underidentification of transfusions in the Medicare claims, particularly in the inpatient setting. Also, we do not observe which patients might be appropriate candidates for kidney transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: Transfusion rates increased post-PPS, but these increases were modest in both absolute and relative terms. The largest increase occurred for patients already receiving several transfusions. Although these findings may reduce concerns regarding the impact of Medicare's PPS on inappropriate transfusions that impair access to kidney transplantation or stress blood bank resources, transfusions should continue to be monitored.


Subject(s)
Anemia/therapy , Blood Transfusion/economics , Prospective Payment System/statistics & numerical data , Renal Dialysis , Anemia/etiology , Comorbidity , Eligibility Determination , Female , Humans , Insurance Claim Review , Kidney Failure, Chronic/complications , Kidney Failure, Chronic/economics , Kidney Failure, Chronic/epidemiology , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Male , Medicare/economics , Middle Aged , Patient Care Management/economics , Probability , Renal Dialysis/economics , Renal Dialysis/statistics & numerical data , United States
4.
Am J Kidney Dis ; 62(4): 662-9, 2013 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23769138

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Medicare implemented a new prospective payment system (PPS) on January 1, 2011. This PPS covers an expanded bundle of services, including services previously paid on a fee-for-service basis. The objectives of the new PPS include more efficient decisions about treatment service combinations and modality choice. METHODS: Primary data for this study are Medicare claims files for all dialysis patients for whom Medicare is the primary payer. We compare use of key injectable medications under the bundled PPS to use when those drugs were separately billable and examine variability across providers. We also compare each patient's dialysis modality before and after the PPS. RESULTS: Use of relatively expensive drugs, including erythropoiesis-stimulating agents, declined substantially after institution of the new PPS, whereas use of iron products, often therapeutic substitutes for erythropoiesis-stimulating agents, increased. Less expensive vitamin D products were substituted for more expensive types. Drug spending overall decreased by ∼$25 per session, or about 5 times the mandated reduction in the base payment rate of ∼$5. Use of peritoneal dialysis increased in 2011 after being nearly flat in the years prior to the PPS, with the increase concentrated in patients in their first or second year of dialysis. Home hemodialysis continued to increase as a percentage of total dialysis services, but at a rate similar to the pre-PPS trend. CONCLUSION: The expanded bundle dialysis PPS provided incentives for the use of lower cost therapies. These incentives seem to have motivated dialysis providers to move toward lower cost methods of care in both their use of drugs and choice of modalities.


Subject(s)
Medicare , Prospective Payment System , Renal Dialysis/economics , Costs and Cost Analysis , Humans , United States
5.
J Subst Abuse Treat ; 36(4): 355-65, 2009 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19339142

ABSTRACT

Marked changes in ownership and control in substance abuse treatment delivery have garnered the attention of providers and policymakers alike. The proliferation of private for-profit providers and the shift to a delivery system that may be more explicitly influenced by financial incentives are of particular concern for this vulnerable population. This work empirically addresses how treatment unit ownership affected access and retention between 1995 and 2005 in the United States. Regressions show statistically significant associations between unit ownership and both restricted treatment access and shortening of treatment duration for financial reasons. In comparison to private nonprofit and public units, private for-profit units were less likely to provide initial treatment access and reported shortened treatment for a greater percentage of clients unable to pay. Other organization characteristics, such as methadone-maintenance programs and managed care participation, also were associated with limiting treatment accessibility. While this work does not determine the underlying motivation behind access limitations, continued shifts in ownership structure should heighten the attention of policymakers.


Subject(s)
Health Services Accessibility/organization & administration , Ownership/organization & administration , Substance Abuse Treatment Centers/economics , Substance-Related Disorders/rehabilitation , Ambulatory Care/economics , Ambulatory Care/organization & administration , Health Facilities, Proprietary/economics , Health Facilities, Proprietary/organization & administration , Health Services Accessibility/economics , Humans , Ownership/economics , Private Sector , Public Sector , Substance Abuse Treatment Centers/organization & administration , Substance Abuse Treatment Centers/statistics & numerical data , United States
6.
J Subst Abuse Treat ; 34(3): 282-92, 2008 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17600653

ABSTRACT

Interest in improving the quality of addiction treatment has led to the development of clinical paradigms that emphasize the principle of tailored care-matching treatments to the specific needs of each client or client subgroup. This work analyzes how trends in the provision of tailored treatment practices (TTPs) have changed between 1995 and 2005 across outpatient substance abuse treatment (OSAT) programs in the United States. Categories of interest include measures to capture needs assessment and treatment planning activities, treatment offerings for special populations, and case management activities. Results show that TTPs have diffused in an uneven fashion in the population of OSAT programs between 1995 and 2005. Specifically, needs assessment/treatment planning and case management remain a relatively common practice among OSAT programs, while treatment for special populations (especially same-race therapy) is less widely practiced and, indeed, experienced some decline over the study period. This trend is troublesome given that minority clients constitute a large proportion of those utilizing OSAT programs.


Subject(s)
Ambulatory Care/statistics & numerical data , Methadone/therapeutic use , Narcotics/therapeutic use , Patient-Centered Care/statistics & numerical data , Psychotherapy/statistics & numerical data , Substance-Related Disorders/epidemiology , Substance-Related Disorders/rehabilitation , Adult , Case Management , Female , Health Planning , Humans , Incidence , Male , Needs Assessment , Prevalence , Private Sector
7.
Med Care ; 45(8): 775-80, 2007 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17667312

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Tailoring substance abuse treatment to women often leads to better outcomes. Previous evidence, however, suggests limited availability of such options. OBJECTIVES: This investigation sought to depict recent changes in outpatient substance abuse treatment (OSAT) tailoring to women and to identify unit and contextual factors associated with these practices. RESEARCH DESIGN: Data were from 2 waves of a national OSAT unit survey (N = 618 in 1995, N = 566 in 2005). Comparisons of weighted means between waves indicate which practices changed over time. Multiple logistic regressions with generalized estimating equations test associations between unit and contextual attributes and tailoring to women. MEASURES: Tailoring to women was measured as availability of prenatal care, child care, single sex therapy, and same sex therapists, and the percentage of staff trained to meet female clients' needs. RESULTS: Two measures of tailoring to women declined significantly between 1995 and 2005: availability of single sex therapy (from 66% to 44% of units) and percent of staff trained to work with women (from 42% to 32% of units). No aspect of tailoring to women became more common. Proportion of female clients, total number of clients, methadone status, and private and government managed care were associated with higher odds of tailoring to women. For-profit facilities, which became more prevalent during the study period, had lower odds than other units of tailoring treatment to women. CONCLUSIONS: Some key aspects of OSAT tailoring to women decreased significantly in the last decade. Managed care contracts may offer 1 mechanism for counteracting these trends.


Subject(s)
Outpatients/statistics & numerical data , Substance-Related Disorders/therapy , Women's Health , Behavior Therapy/trends , Child , Child Care/trends , Demography , Female , Humans , Prenatal Care/trends , Sex Factors , Substance Abuse Treatment Centers
8.
J Subst Abuse Treat ; 33(1): 43-50, 2007 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17588488

ABSTRACT

Licensing and accreditation are widely used to improve and convey organizational quality. The objective of this study was to provide substance abuse treatment stakeholders with better evidence about how well licensing and accreditation actually correlate with staffing and treatment practices. Regressions using data from national surveys of outpatient substance abuse treatment facilities indicated that no form of licensing or accreditation was associated with better staff-to-client ratios or with one important aspect of comprehensive treatment -- the percentage of clients receiving routine medical care. There were several positive associations between licensing/accreditation and other aspects of treatment comprehensiveness. Three categories of licensure/accreditation were also positively associated with use of after-treatment plans. Post hoc analyses revealed that accreditation was associated with units' organizational contexts and referral sources as well as the nature of the competitive environment. Licensing/accreditation may reveal as much about units' institutional environments as about the quality of treatment provided.


Subject(s)
Accreditation , Ambulatory Care/standards , Licensure , Quality Assurance, Health Care/standards , Substance Abuse Treatment Centers/standards , Substance-Related Disorders/rehabilitation , Humans , Joint Commission on Accreditation of Healthcare Organizations , Organizational Affiliation , Ownership , United States , United States Food and Drug Administration
9.
Manag Care Interface ; 20(3): 28-32, 2007 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17458479

ABSTRACT

Despite high levels of unmet need for outpatient substance abuse treatment, a significant percentage of outpatient units have closed over the past several years. This study drew on 1999-2000 and 2005 national surveys to determine if managed care was associated with outpatient substance abuse treatment units' likelihood of surviving. Each substance abuse unit director was asked about the presence of any managed care contracts, percentage revenues from managed care, percentage of clients for whom prior authorization was required, and percentage of clients for whom concurrent review was required. A multiple logistic regression revealed that none of these factors was associated with substance abuse treatment unit survival. At this point, neither the presence nor the structure of managed care appears to affect the survival of outpatient substance abuse treatment units. Given the need for these facilities, however, and their vulnerability to closure, continued attention to managed care's potential influence is warranted.


Subject(s)
Health Care Surveys/methods , Health Facility Closure/statistics & numerical data , Managed Care Programs/statistics & numerical data , Substance Abuse Treatment Centers/supply & distribution , Concurrent Review , Health Facility Closure/trends , Health Services Needs and Demand , Humans , Insurance Claim Review , Managed Care Programs/economics , Managed Care Programs/trends , Probability , Substance Abuse Treatment Centers/statistics & numerical data , United States
10.
J Health Care Finance ; 33(4): 17-30, 2007.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19172960

ABSTRACT

One of the major reasons providers give for not implementing promising quality-enhancing interventions (QEI) is that no "business case" for quality has been made. This article clarifies the concepts of the business case for quality and the related economic case for quality and identifies the perspectives of the various actors in health care financing, production, and consumption decisions. A methodology to evaluate the business case for quality from the perspective of payers and providers is presented. The article then uses implemented QEIs to show how a pay-for-performance (P4P) program can alter the business cases for payers and providers. Specifically, the P4P programs described in this article allow a provider to implement a QEI with the financial alignment of the payer in order to achieve financial and non-financial benefits. In some cases, providers and payers may be able to establish P4P programs providing net benefits for both parties.


Subject(s)
Commerce , Persuasive Communication , Quality Assurance, Health Care/economics , Reimbursement, Incentive/organization & administration , Delivery of Health Care/economics , Quality Assurance, Health Care/organization & administration , United States
11.
Acad Med ; 81(9): 847-52, 2006 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16936499

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To assess the accuracy of the AMA Masterfile. METHOD: In 2002, the authors compared the listing in the Masterfile for pediatric cardiologists with a roster of all such physicians documented by the American Board of Pediatrics (ABP) to have completed pediatric cardiology training. Physicians listed on the Masterfile but without ABP records of training completion received a mail survey. For main outcome measures, the differences in state-level distribution of pediatric cardiologists were used, depending on whether data were from the ABP or the AMA Masterfile. Survey items included nature and duration of medical training, the amount of time caring for pediatric or adult cardiology patients, and whether the respondent conducted echocardiograms and/or cardiac catheterizations on children and/or adults. RESULTS: Of the 2,675 unique, individual physicians obtained from the queries of both lists, 58% (1,558) were listed by both the Masterfile and the ABP. Another 28% (738) were listed by the AMA Masterfile only, and 4% (108) were listed by the ABP only.Of those listed by the Masterfile only, 40% reported they provide no pediatric cardiology care. The amount of pediatric cardiology training was highly variable among the remainder of the respondents. CONCLUSIONS: There are large differences in the number and distribution of physicians identified as pediatric cardiologists between these two datasets. Also, many are potentially providing care for which they have little or no training. Use of such data has the potential to lead to policy options at odds with the actual needs of our nation as a whole or of specific geographic areas.


Subject(s)
Cardiology , Databases, Factual/standards , Education, Medical, Graduate/statistics & numerical data , Health Workforce/statistics & numerical data , Pediatrics , American Medical Association , Cardiology/education , Health Care Surveys , Humans , Pediatrics/education , Specialty Boards , Surveys and Questionnaires , United States
12.
Med Care Res Rev ; 63(1 Suppl): 49S-72S, 2006 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16688924

ABSTRACT

One increasingly popular mechanism for stimulating quality improvements is pay-for-performance, or incentive, programs. This article examines the cost-effectiveness of a hospital incentive system for heart-related care, using a principal-agent model, where the insurer is the principal and hospitals are the agents. Four-year incentive system costsfor the payer were dollar 22,059,383, composed primarily of payments to the participating hospitals, with approximately 5 percent in administrative costs. Effectiveness is measured in stages, beginning with improvements in the processes of heart care. Care process improvements are converted into quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained, with reference to literatures on clinical effectiveness and survival. An estimated 24,418 patients received improved care, resulting in a range of QALYs from 733 to 1,701, depending on assumptions about clinical effectiveness. Cost per QALY was found to be between dollar 12,967 and dollar 30,081, a level well under consensus measures of the value of a QALY.


Subject(s)
Blue Cross Blue Shield Insurance Plans/economics , Cardiology Service, Hospital/standards , Heart Diseases/therapy , Quality Assurance, Health Care/economics , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Reimbursement, Incentive , Cardiology Service, Hospital/economics , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Employee Incentive Plans , Health Services Research , Heart Diseases/drug therapy , Heart Diseases/economics , Heart Diseases/mortality , Hospital Costs , Humans , Michigan/epidemiology , Organizational Case Studies , Patient Discharge/standards , Process Assessment, Health Care , Program Evaluation , Quality Assurance, Health Care/methods , Survival Rate
13.
Health Serv Manage Res ; 19(2): 123-34, 2006 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16643710

ABSTRACT

Not-for-profit hospitals are complex organizations and, therefore, may face unique challenges in responding to financial incentives for quality. In this research, we explore the types of behavioural changes made by not-for-profit Michigan hospitals in response to a pay-for-performance system for quality. We also identify factors that motivate or facilitate changes in effort. We apply a conceptual framework based on agency theory to motivate our research questions. Using data derived from structured interviews and surveys administered to 86 hospitals participating in a pay-for-performance system, we compare hospitals reporting and not reporting behavioural changes. Separate analyses are performed for hospitals reporting structure-related changes and hospitals reporting process-related changes. Our findings confirm that hospitals respond to incentive payments; however, our findings also reveal that hospital responses are not universal. Rather, involvement by boards of trustees, willingness to exert leverage with physicians, and financial and competitive motivations are all associated with hospitals' behavioural responses to incentives. Results of this research will help inform payers and hospital managers considering the use of incentives about the nature of hospitals' responses.


Subject(s)
Attitude , Hospitals, Voluntary , Physician Incentive Plans , Quality Assurance, Health Care , Data Collection , Hospital Administrators , Interviews as Topic , Michigan
14.
Acad Med ; 80(9): 858-64, 2005 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16123468

ABSTRACT

Purpose To determine how practicing physicians who graduated from internal medicine-pediatrics residency programs allocate their practice time and professional activities between adult and child patients, and to investigate whether there are predictors of the extent to which a particular physician's practice is more or less focused on one or the other of these patient groups. Method In 2003, the authors mailed a questionnaire to the 1,300 generalists and 472 subspecialists who, as of 2003, had completed internal medicine-pediatrics training since the inception of the program in 1980. Results The response rate was 73% for the generalists and 65% for the subspecialists. The vast majority of the generalist physicians stated that they provide care to all ages of patients. However, the proportion of care they provided to different age groups was not uniformly distributed, with more care provided to adults than children. Both generalist and subspecialist respondents were more likely to feel better prepared by their residency training to care for adults than for children. Those who felt less well-prepared to care for children were less likely to do so in their practices (odds ratio, 0.68; 95% confidence interval, 0.48-0.96). Fifty-four percent of the subspecialists pursued subspecialty training in internal medicine only, while 38% completed a combined internal medicine-pediatrics subspecialty program. These respondents, like the generalist respondents, also were more likely to focus clinical efforts on adults than children. Fewer than half (43%) provided any care to children zero to one year of age, while 54% provided at least some care to children aged two to 11 years. Conclusions Internal medicine-pediatrics physicians are more likely to spend a majority of their clinical care focused on adults and to perceive that they stay more current in the care of adults than of children. Potential reasons for this disparity may include training issues, greater reimbursement for the care of adults, perceptions of the impact on the medical market of the demographic shifts to older adults, and employment opportunities following training. These results also demonstrate the need for a more detailed and comprehensive assessment of the adequacy of pediatrics training in these programs.


Subject(s)
Clinical Competence , Internal Medicine/statistics & numerical data , Internship and Residency/standards , Pediatrics/statistics & numerical data , Professional Practice/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adolescent Health Services/standards , Adolescent Health Services/supply & distribution , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Child , Child Health Services/standards , Child Health Services/supply & distribution , Child, Preschool , Databases, Factual , Female , Humans , Infant , Internal Medicine/education , Internal Medicine/standards , Male , Middle Aged , Pediatrics/education , Pediatrics/standards , Regression Analysis , Surveys and Questionnaires , Time , United States
15.
J Pediatr ; 146(1): 14-9, 2005 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15644815

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether primary care physicians, via referrals or other mechanisms, are now providing proportionally less care for children with specific common diagnoses, thus driving greater demand for specialist services. STUDY DESIGN: Secondary data analysis (1993-2001) from one of the largest commercial healthcare organizations in the United States. Evaluation and management (E/M) common procedural terminology (CPT) visit codes and International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes pertaining to asthma, constipation, headache, and heart murmurs were selected. Visits were then assigned to the specialty of physician providing care. Significant differences between and among categories of physicians were tested using logistic regression. RESULTS: Overall, pediatrician generalists and specialists provided a greater proportion of E/M visits to children in 2001 than in 1993, compared with nonpediatrician providers. However, although the absolute increase in the proportion of all E/M visits by children <18 years of age to pediatrician generalists was greater than that of pediatrician subspecialists (4.77% vs 0.69%; P <.0001), the relative increase was much smaller for the generalists (8.9% vs 19.7%; P <.0001). Findings were consistent for most of the specific diagnoses examined. CONCLUSIONS: The increases in both the proportion and number of visits made to specialists has not been accompanied by a decrease in visits to generalists.


Subject(s)
Child Health Services/statistics & numerical data , Child Health Services/trends , Family Practice/trends , Pediatrics/trends , Referral and Consultation/trends , Asthma/therapy , Child , Constipation/therapy , Headache/therapy , Heart Murmurs/therapy , Humans , United States
16.
J Pediatr ; 144(6): 723-8, 2004 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15192616

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To describe the number and distribution of pediatricians per child nationally and on a state-by-state basis relative to the economic conditions within each state. STUDY DESIGN: Real inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) per capita (1996 dollars) was plotted against the number of all active physicians and pediatricians in the United States for all years data were available. GDP was then compared with the active number of pediatric medical physicians per child 0 to 14 years of age. RESULTS: The number of pediatricians per 100000 children has more than doubled, from 49.8 to 106.2. Since 1929, the growth in the total number of physicians per capita in the United States has followed a linear relation (r(2)=0.977) with per capita national GDP. This relation is consistent with that specifically for all pediatricians as well (r(2)=0.980) for the years in which data are available (1963 to 2000). There is an extremely uneven distribution of pediatricians. Income differences only partially explain this maldistribution. CONCLUSIONS: There has been a marked increase in the number of pediatricians relative to the number of children in the United States, correlating strongly with the rise in per capita GDP. However, there has been a furthering of their uneven distribution across the United States.


Subject(s)
Pediatrics , Professional Practice Location/economics , Child , Humans , Income , Linear Models , Physicians/supply & distribution , Population Density , United States , Workforce
17.
Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med ; 158(1): 22-6, 2004 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14706953

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although pediatricians and family physicians are trained in the care of children, previous studies have revealed significant differences in the medical care and specialty referral patterns each provides. During the 1990s, several developments in the population and the health care system (eg, aging of the population and increases in Medicaid managed care) may have resulted in changes to the proportion of children seeking care from one or the other specialty. OBJECTIVE: To determine any changes in the proportion of office visits for children from birth through the age of 17 years provided by pediatricians or family physicians from 1980 to 2000. DESIGN: Analysis of the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey data sets from 1980 to 2000. During our years of interest, the total number of visits sampled ranged from 2524 to 9151. Visits were analyzed for physician type and patient age. RESULTS: There have been marked changes in the proportion of office visits to general pediatricians vs family physicians during the 1990s. Overall, the percentage of all nonsurgical physician office visits for children from birth through the age of 17 years made to general pediatricians increased significantly, from 56.2% in 1990 to 64.2% in 2000 (P<.001). During the same period, the percentage of all nonsurgical physician office visits for children from birth through the age of 17 years made to family physicians declined significantly, from 33.7% in 1990 to 23.9% in 2000 (P<.001). Visits to pediatric specialists, as a proportion of all visits, increased significantly, from 1.6% in 1980 to 4.5% in 2000 (P<.001). CONCLUSIONS: Pediatricians are providing more primary care visits for children in the United States, and this trend has accelerated during the past 5 years. These findings have implications for the cost of care, the physician workforce, and the training of future physicians. It is unknown if these changes have had a positive or negative impact on the health of our nation's children.


Subject(s)
Child Health Services/organization & administration , Office Visits/statistics & numerical data , Pediatrics/trends , Physicians, Family/trends , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/trends , Adolescent , Child , Child, Preschool , Data Collection , Demography , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Pediatrics/organization & administration , Physicians, Family/organization & administration , Physicians, Family/statistics & numerical data , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/statistics & numerical data , Primary Health Care , Random Allocation , Specialization/statistics & numerical data , Specialization/trends , United States , Workforce
18.
J Pediatr ; 143(5): 570-5, 2003 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14615724

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To develop a predictive model for projecting the pediatric workforce and retrospectively test its accuracy at different points in time over the past several decades. METHODS: We applied a modified version of the physician workforce trend model developed by Cooper et al. We first analyzed and tested the relationship between economic activity and the number of active pediatric medical physicians for several periods from 1963 to 2000. To project economic activity and population changes in the United States, we conducted linear trend analyses by using the available historical data through the year before the forecast period of interest. RESULTS: There has been significant growth of the absolute numbers of the pediatrician workforce over the past several decades. There was a strong correlation (R2=.98) of gross domestic product per capita (using 1996 dollars) with the number of active pediatricians (generalists and specialists) per 100,000 children in the United States by year over a 37-year period from 1963 to 2000. Predictions of pediatrician supply using historical census and economic data to inform the trend analysis were also very highly correlated with actual supply. CONCLUSIONS: The methods used in this study to predict the pediatric workforce were very accurate and consistent over a 37-year period.


Subject(s)
Health Planning , Pediatrics , Forecasting , Health Workforce/economics , Health Workforce/statistics & numerical data , Health Workforce/trends , Models, Theoretical , Pediatrics/economics , Pediatrics/trends , Surveys and Questionnaires , United States
19.
J Behav Health Serv Res ; 30(2): 161-75, 2003.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12710370

ABSTRACT

Using nationally representative data from 1995 and 2000, this study examined how managed care penetration and other organizational characteristics were related to accessibility to outpatient substance abuse treatment. At an organizational level, access was measured as the percentage of clients unable to pay for services; the percentage of clients receiving a reduced fee; and the percentage of clients with shortened treatment because of their inability to pay. Treatment units with both relatively low and relatively high managed care penetration were more likely to support access to care; these units provided care to higher percentages of clients unable to pay and were less likely to shorten treatment because of client inability to pay. Treatment units with midrange managed care penetration were least likely to support access to care. The complexity of managing in an environment of conflicting incentives may reduce the organization's ability to serve those with limited financial means.


Subject(s)
Health Services Accessibility , Managed Care Programs/organization & administration , Substance Abuse Treatment Centers/economics , Substance-Related Disorders/rehabilitation , Ambulatory Care/organization & administration , Health Services Research , Humans , Managed Care Programs/economics , Substance Abuse Treatment Centers/statistics & numerical data , United States
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