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Asia Pac J Public Health ; 23(4): 581-7, 2011 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19861318

ABSTRACT

Because suicide is increasingly becoming a public health threat in Japan, it is necessary to identify high-risk groups to develop effective preventive measures. The suicide mortality trends from 1985 to 2006 for Japanese aged between 15 and 79 years were analyzed by a Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis to evaluate the independent effects of age, period, and birth cohort. Age-specific effect showed an overall increase with age in both genders, but a distinct increase was noted only among men aged between 50 and 64 years. The period effect exhibited a sudden rise in 1998; this effect was more apparent in men than in women. The cohort-specific effect increased in male birth cohorts born after 1926 and in female birth cohorts born after 1956. In conclusion, a gender difference was detected in the effects of age, period, and cohort on suicide risk among Japanese.


Subject(s)
Mortality/trends , Suicide/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Japan/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Models, Statistical , Sex Factors , Young Adult
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