Mortality after emergency unit fluid bolus in febrile Ugandan children.

OBJECTIVES: Pediatric fluid resuscitation in sub-Saharan Africa has traditionally occurred in inpatients. The landmark Fluid Expansion as Supportive Therapy (FEAST) trial showed fluid boluses for febrile children in this inpatient setting increased mortality. As emergency care expands in sub-Saharan Africa, fluid resuscitation increasingly occurs in the emergency unit. The objective of this study was to determine the mortality impact of emergency unit fluid resuscitation on febrile pediatric patients in Uganda. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used data from 2012-2019 from a single emergency unit in rural Western Uganda to compare three-day mortality for febrile patients that did and did not receive fluids in the emergency unit. Propensity score matching was used to create matched cohorts. Crude and multivariable logistic regression analysis (using both complete case analysis and multiple imputation) were performed on matched and unmatched cohorts. Sensitivity analysis was done separately for patients meeting FEAST inclusion and exclusion criteria. RESULTS: The analysis included 3087 febrile patients aged 2 months to 12 years with 1,526 patients receiving fluids and 1,561 not receiving fluids. The matched cohorts each had 1,180 patients. Overall mortality was 4.0%. No significant mortality benefit or harm was shown in the crude unmatched (Odds Ratio [95% Confidence Interval] = 0.88 [0.61-1.26] or crude matched (1.00 [0.66-1.50]) cohorts. Adjusted cohort analysis (including both complete case analysis and multiple imputation) and sensitivity analysis of patients meeting FEAST inclusion and exclusion criteria all also failed to show benefit or harm. Post-hoc power calculations showed the study was powered to detect the absolute harm seen in FEAST but not the relative risk increase. CONCLUSIONS: This study's primary finding is that fluid resuscitation in the emergency unit did not significantly increase or decrease three-day mortality for febrile children in Uganda. Universally aggressive or fluid-sparing emergency unit protocols are unlikely to be best practices, and choices about fluid resuscitation should be individualized.

Emergency medicine physician supervision and mortality among patients receiving care from non-physician clinicians in a task-sharing model of emergency care in rural Uganda: a retrospective analysis of a single-centre training programme.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the association between emergency medicine physician supervision and 3-day mortality for patients receiving care from non-physician clinicians in a task-sharing model of emergency care in rural Uganda. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort analysis with multivariable logistic regression. SETTING: Single rural Ugandan emergency unit. PARTICIPANTS: All patients presenting for care from 2009 to 2019. INTERVENTIONS: Three cohorts of patients receiving care from non-physician clinicians had three different levels of physician supervision: 'Direct Supervision' (2009-2010) emergency medicine physicians directly supervised all care; 'Indirect Supervision' (2010-2015) emergency medicine physicians were consulted as needed; 'Independent Care' (2015-2019) no emergency medicine physician supervision. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Three-day mortality. RESULTS: 38 033 ED visits met inclusion criteria. Overall mortality decreased significantly across supervision cohorts ('Direct' 3.8%, 'Indirect' 3.3%, 'Independent' 2.6%, p<0.001), but so too did the rates of patients who presented with ≥3 abnormal vitals ('Direct' 32%, 'Indirect' 19%, 'Independent' 13%, p<0.001). After controlling for vital sign abnormalities, 'Direct' and 'Indirect' supervision were both significantly associated with reduced OR for mortality ('Direct': 0.57 (0.37 to 0.90), 'Indirect': 0.71 (0.55 to 0.92)) when compared with 'Independent Care'. Sensitivity analysis showed that this mortality benefit was significant for the minority of patients (17.2%) with ≥3 abnormal vitals ('Direct': 0.44 (0.22 to 0.85), 'Indirect': 0.60 (0.41 to 0.88)), but not for the majority (82.8%) with two or fewer abnormal vitals ('Direct': 0.81 (0.44 to 1.49), 'Indirect': 0.82 (0.58 to 1.16)). CONCLUSIONS: Emergency medicine physician supervision of emergency care non-physician clinicians is independently associated with reduced overall mortality. This benefit appears restricted to the highest risk patients based on abnormal vitals. With over 80% of patients having equivalent mortality outcomes with independent non-physician clinician emergency care, a synergistic model providing variable levels of emergency medicine physician supervision or care based on patient acuity could safely address staffing shortages.