Addition of Social Determinants of Health to Coronary Heart Disease Risk Prediction: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Social determinants of health (SDoH) are associated with cardiovascular risk factors and outcomes; however, they are absent from risk prediction models. We aimed to assess if the addition of SDoH improves the predictive ability of the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) Risk Score. METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a community-based prospective population cohort study that enrolled 6286 men and women, ages 45-84 years, who were free of clinical coronary heart disease (CHD) at baseline. Data from 10-year follow-up were examined for CHD events, defined as myocardial infarction, fatal CHD, resuscitated cardiac arrest, and revascularization in cases of anginal symptoms. Participants included 53% women with average age of 62 years. When adjusting for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, SDoH, and coronary artery calcium, economic strain, specifically low family income, was associated with a greater risk of CHD events (hazard ratio [HR], 1.42 [95% CI, 1.17-1.71], P value<0.001). Area under the curve of risk prediction with SDoH was 0.822, compared with 0.816 without SDoH. The calibration slope was 0.860 with SDoH and 0.878 in the original model. CONCLUSIONS: Significant associations were found between economic/financial SDoH and CHD risk factors and outcomes. Incorporation of SDoH into the MESA Risk Score did not improve predictive ability of the model. Our findings do not support the incorporation of SDoH into current risk prediction algorithms.

Dog size and patterns of disease history across the canine age spectrum: Results from the Dog Aging Project.

Age in dogs is associated with the risk of many diseases, and canine size is a major factor in that risk. However, the size patterns are complex. While small size dogs tend to live longer, some diseases are more prevalent among small dogs. In this study we seek to quantify how the pattern of disease history varies across the spectrum of dog size, dog age, and their interaction. Utilizing owner-reported data on disease history from a substantial number of companion dogs enrolled in the Dog Aging Project, we investigate how body size, as measured by weight, associates with the lifetime prevalence of a reported condition and its pattern across age for various disease categories. We found significant positive associations between dog size and the lifetime prevalence of skin, bone/orthopedic, gastrointestinal, ear/nose/throat, cancer/tumor, brain/neurologic, endocrine, and infectious diseases. Similarly, dog size was negatively associated with lifetime prevalence of ocular, cardiac, liver/pancreas, and respiratory disease categories. Kidney/urinary disease prevalence did not vary by size. We also found that the association between age and lifetime disease prevalence varied by dog size for many conditions including ocular, cardiac, orthopedic, ear/nose/throat, and cancer. Controlling for sex, purebred vs. mixed-breed status, and geographic region made little difference in all disease categories we studied. Our results align with the reduced lifespan in larger dogs for most of the disease categories and suggest potential avenues for further examination.

Risk factor associations with individual myocardial infarction subtypes and acute non-ischemic myocardial injury in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA): Design and rationale.

BACKGROUND: Despite different prevalence, pathobiology, and prognosis between etiologically distinct myocardial infarction (MI) subtypes, prospective study of risk factor for MI in large NHLBI-sponsored cardiovascular cohorts is limited to acute MI as a singular entity. Therefore, we sought to utilize the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), a large prospective primary prevention cardiovascular study, to define the incidence and risk factor profile of individual myocardial injury subtypes. METHODS: We describe the rationale and design of re-adjudicating 4,080 events that occurred over the first 14 years of follow-up in MESA for the presence and subtype of myocardial injury as defined by the Fourth Universal Definition of MI: MI type 1 to 5, acute non-ischemic myocardial injury, and chronic myocardial injury. The project utilizes a 2-physician adjudication process via examination of medical records, abstracted data collection forms, cardiac biomarker results, and electrocardiograms of all relevant clinical events. Comparison of the magnitude and direction of associations between baseline traditional and novel cardiovascular risk factors with incident and recurrent acute MI subtypes and acute non-ischemic myocardial injury events will be made. CONCLUSIONS: This project will result in one of the first large prospective cardiovascular cohort with modern classification of acute MI subtypes, as well as a full accounting of non-ischemic myocardial injury events, with implications for numerous ongoing and future studies in MESA. By creating precise MI phenotypes, and defining their epidemiology, this project will allow for discovery of novel pathobiology-specific risk factors, allow for development of more accurate risk prediction, and suggest more targeted preventive strategies.