Population pharmacokinetics and Bayesian estimation of mycophenolate mofetil in patients with autoimmune hepatitis.

AIMS: Mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) is the most widely used second-line agent in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). Individual dose adjustment of MMF may avoid adverse outcomes while maximizing efficacy. The aim of the present study was to develop population pharmacokinetic (popPK) models and maximum a posteriori Bayesian estimators (MAP-BEs) to estimate mycophenolic acid interdose area under the curve in AIH patients administered MMF using nonlinear mixed effect modelling. METHODS: We analysed 50 mycophenolic acid PK profiles from 34 different patients, together with some demographic, clinical, and laboratory test data. The median number of plasma samples per profile, immediately preceding and following the morning MMF dose, was 7. PopPK modelling was performed using parametric, top-down, nonlinear mixed effect modelling with NONMEM 7.3. MAP-BEs were developed based on the best popPK model and the best limited sampling strategy selected among several. RESULTS: The pharmacokinetic data were best described by a 2-compartment model, Erlang distribution to describe the absorption phase, and a proportional error. The mean (relative standard error) of popPK parameter estimates of clearance, intercompartmental clearance, central volume and absorption rate with the final model were: 21.6 L h-1 (11%), 22.7 L h-1 (19%), 35.9 L (21%) and 8.7 h-1 (9%), respectively. The peripheral volume was fixed to 300 L. The best MAP-BE relied on the limited sampling strategy at 0.33, 1 and 3 hours after MMF dose administration and was very accurate (bias = 5.6%) and precise (root mean squared prediction error <20%). CONCLUSION: The precise and accurate Bayesian estimator developed in this study for AIH patients on MMF can be used to improve the therapeutic management of these patients.

Toward a robust tool for pharmacokinetic-based personalization of treatment with tacrolimus in solid organ transplantation: A model-based meta-analysis approach.

AIMS: The objective of this study is to develop a generic model for tacrolimus pharmacokinetics modelling using a meta-analysis approach, that could serve as a first step towards a prediction tool to inform pharmacokinetics-based optimal dosing of tacrolimus in different populations and indications. METHODS: A systematic literature review was performed and a meta-model developed with NONMEM software using a top-down approach. Historical (previously published) data were used for model development and qualification. In-house individual rich and sparse tacrolimus blood concentration profiles from adult and paediatric kidney, liver, lung and heart transplant patients were used for model validation. Model validation was based on successful numerical convergence, adequate precision in parameter estimation, acceptable goodness of fit with respect to measured blood concentrations with no indication of bias, and acceptable performance of visual predictive checks. External validation was performed by fitting the model to independent data from 3 external cohorts and remaining previously published studies. RESULTS: A total of 76 models were found relevant for meta-model building from the literature and the related parameters recorded. The meta-model developed using patient level data was structurally a 2-compartment model with first-order absorption, absorption lag time and first-time varying elimination. Population values for clearance, intercompartmental clearance, central and peripheral volume were 22.5 L/h, 24.2 L/h, 246.2 L and 109.9 L, respectively. The absorption first-order rate and the lag time were fixed to 3.37/h and 0.33 hours, respectively. Transplanted organ and time after transplantation were found to influence drug apparent clearance whereas body weight influenced both the apparent volume of distribution and the apparent clearance. The model displayed good results as regards the internal and external validation. CONCLUSION: A meta-model was successfully developed for tacrolimus in solid organ transplantation that can be used as a basis for the prediction of concentrations in different groups of patients, and eventually for effective dose individualization in different subgroups of the population.