Incidence of components of metabolic syndrome in the metabolically healthy obese over 9 years follow-up: the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities study.

BACKGROUND: Some obese adults are not afflicted by the metabolic abnormalities often associated with obesity (the 'metabolically healthy obese' (MHO)); however, they may be at increased risk of developing cardiometabolic abnormalities in the future. Little is known about the relative incidence of individual components of metabolic syndrome (MetSyn). METHODS: We used data from a multicenter, community-based cohort aged 45-64 years at recruitment (the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities study) to examine the first appearance of any MetSyn component, excluding waist circumference. Body mass index (BMI, kg m-2) and cardiometabolic data were collected at four triennial visits. Our analysis included 3969 adults who were not underweight and free of the components of MetSyn at the initial visit. Participants were classified as metabolically healthy normal weight (MHNW), overweight (MHOW) and MHO at each visit. Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals were estimated with proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: The relative rate of developing each risk factor was higher among MHO than MHNW, with the strongest association noted for elevated fasting glucose (MHO vs MHNW, HR: 2.33 (1.77, 3.06)). MHO was also positively associated with elevated triglycerides (HR: 1.63 (1.27, 2.09)), low high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HR: 1.68 (1.32, 2.13)) and elevated blood pressure (HR: 1.54 (1.26, 1.88)). A similar, but less pronounced pattern was noted among the MHOW vs MHNW. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that even among apparently healthy individuals, obesity and overweight are related to more rapid development of at least one cardiometabolic risk factor, and that elevations in blood glucose develop most rapidly.

Liver enzymes, race, gender and diabetes risk: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

AIMS: To examine the associations of the liver enzymes alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase(AST), and gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) with diabetes risk and to determine whether associations differ by race and/or gender. We hypothesized that all liver enzymes would be associated with diabetes risk and that associations would differ by race and gender. METHODS: Prospective cohort of 7495 white and 1842 black participants without diabetes in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Poisson and Cox models adjusted for demographic, socio-behavioural, and metabolic and health-related factors were used. RESULTS: During a median of 12 years of follow-up, 2182 incident cases of diabetes occurred. Higher liver enzyme levels were independently associated with diabetes risk: adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 1.68 (1.49-1.89), 1.16 (1.02-1.31) and 1.95 (1.70-2.24) comparing the highest with the lowest quartiles of ALT, AST, and GGT, respectively. Gamma-Glutamyl transferase was most strongly related to diabetes risk, even at levels considered within the normal range (≤ 60 U/l) in clinical practice. Adjusted incidence rates by quartiles of liver enzymes were similar by gender but higher in black versus white participants. Nonetheless, relative associations of ALT, AST, and GGT with diabetes were similar by race (P for interactions > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with ALT and AST, GGT was more strongly associated with diabetes risk. Our findings suggest that abnormalities in liver enzymes precede the diagnosis of diabetes by many years and that individuals with elevated liver enzymes, even within the normal range as defined in clinical practice, are at high risk for diabetes.