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2.
Prehosp Disaster Med ; : 1-11, 2024 May 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38757150

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to summarize the literature on the applications of machine learning (ML) and their performance in Emergency Medical Services (EMS). METHODS: Four relevant electronic databases were searched (from inception through January 2024) for all original studies that employed EMS-guided ML algorithms to enhance the clinical and operational performance of EMS. Two reviewers screened the retrieved studies and extracted relevant data from the included studies. The characteristics of included studies, employed ML algorithms, and their performance were quantitively described across primary domains and subdomains. RESULTS: This review included a total of 164 studies published from 2005 through 2024. Of those, 125 were clinical domain focused and 39 were operational. The characteristics of ML algorithms such as sample size, number and type of input features, and performance varied between and within domains and subdomains of applications. Clinical applications of ML algorithms involved triage or diagnosis classification (n = 62), treatment prediction (n = 12), or clinical outcome prediction (n = 50), mainly for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest/OHCA (n = 62), cardiovascular diseases/CVDs (n = 19), and trauma (n = 24). The performance of these ML algorithms varied, with a median area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 85.6%, accuracy of 88.1%, sensitivity of 86.05%, and specificity of 86.5%. Within the operational studies, the operational task of most ML algorithms was ambulance allocation (n = 21), followed by ambulance detection (n = 5), ambulance deployment (n = 5), route optimization (n = 5), and quality assurance (n = 3). The performance of all operational ML algorithms varied and had a median AUC of 96.1%, accuracy of 90.0%, sensitivity of 94.4%, and specificity of 87.7%. Generally, neural network and ensemble algorithms, to some degree, out-performed other ML algorithms. CONCLUSION: Triaging and managing different prehospital medical conditions and augmenting ambulance performance can be improved by ML algorithms. Future reports should focus on a specific clinical condition or operational task to improve the precision of the performance metrics of ML models.

3.
Emerg Med Australas ; 2024 Apr 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38561320

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The ambulance service in Victoria, Australia implemented a revised clinical response model (CRM) in 2016 which was designed to increase the diversion of low-acuity Triple Zero (000) calls to secondary telephone triage and reduce emergency ambulance dispatches. The present study evaluates the influence of the revised CRM on emergency ambulance response times and ED presentations. METHODS: A retrospective study of emergency calls for ambulance between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2018. Ambulance data were linked with ED presentations occurring up to 48 h after contact. Interrupted time series analyses were used to evaluate the impact of the revised CRM. RESULTS: A total of 2 365 529 calls were included. The proportion allocated a Code 1 (time-critical, lights/sirens) dispatch decreased from 56.6 to 41.0% after implementation of the revised CRM. The proportion of calls not receiving an emergency ambulance increased from 10.4 to 19.6%. Interrupted time series analyses demonstrated an improvement in Code 1 cases attended within 15 min (Key Performance Indicator). However, for patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest or requiring lights and sirens transport to hospital, there was no improvement in response time performance. By the end of the study period, there was also no difference in the proportion of callers presenting to ED when compared with the estimated proportion assuming the revised CRM had not been implemented. CONCLUSION: The revised CRM was associated with improved Code 1 response time performance. However, there was no improvement in response times for high acuity patients, and no change in the proportion of callers presenting to ED.

4.
BMJ Open ; 14(4): e078435, 2024 Apr 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38684259

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to assess the healthcare costs and impact on the economy at large arising from emergency medical services (EMS) treated non-traumatic shock. DESIGN: We conducted a population-based cohort study, where EMS-treated patients were individually linked to hospital-wide and state-wide administrative datasets. Direct healthcare costs (Australian dollars, AUD) were estimated for each element of care using a casemix funding method. The impact on productivity was assessed using a Markov state-transition model with a 3-year horizon. SETTING: Patients older than 18 years of age with shock not related to trauma who received care by EMS (1 January 2015-30 June 2019) in Victoria, Australia were included in the analysis. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome assessed was the total healthcare expenditure. Secondary outcomes included healthcare expenditure stratified by shock aetiology, years of life lived (YLL), productivity-adjusted life-years (PALYs) and productivity losses. RESULTS: A total of 21 334 patients (mean age 65.9 (±19.1) years, and 9641 (45.2%) females were treated by EMS with non-traumatic shock with an average healthcare-related cost of $A11 031 per episode of care and total cost of $A280 million. Annual costs remained stable throughout the study period, but average costs per episode of care increased (Ptrend=0.05). Among patients who survived to hospital, the average cost per episode of care was stratified by aetiology with cardiogenic shock costing $A24 382, $A21 254 for septic shock, $A19 915 for hypovolaemic shock and $A28 057 for obstructive shock. Modelling demonstrated that over a 3-year horizon the cohort lost 24 355 YLLs and 5059 PALYs. Lost human capital due to premature mortality led to productivity-related losses of $A374 million. When extrapolated to the entire Australian population, productivity losses approached $A1.5 billion ($A326 million annually). CONCLUSION: The direct healthcare costs and indirect loss of productivity among patients with non-traumatic shock are high. Targeted public health measures that seek to reduce the incidence of shock and improve systems of care are needed to reduce the financial burden of this syndrome.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , Health Care Costs , Humans , Female , Male , Victoria , Aged , Health Care Costs/statistics & numerical data , Middle Aged , Emergency Medical Services/economics , Cost of Illness , Aged, 80 and over , Shock/economics , Shock/therapy , Cohort Studies , Adult , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Health Expenditures/statistics & numerical data
5.
Heart Lung Circ ; 2024 Apr 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38570261

ABSTRACT

AIM: We aim to describe prevalence of Emergency Medical Service (EMS) use, investigate factors predictive of EMS use, and determine if EMS use predicts treatment delay and mortality in our ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) cohort. METHOD: We prospectively collected data on 5,602 patients presenting with STEMI for primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) transported to PCI-capable hospitals in Victoria, Australia, from 2013-2018 who were entered into the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry (VCOR). We linked this dataset to the Ambulance Victoria and National Death Index (NDI) datasets. We excluded late presentation, thrombolysed, and in-hospital STEMI, as well as patients presenting with cardiogenic shock and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. RESULTS: In total, 74% of patients undergoing primary PCI for STEMI used EMS. Older age, female gender, higher socioeconomic status, and a history of prior ischaemic heart disease were independent predictors of using EMS. EMS use was associated with shorter adjusted door-to-balloon (53 vs 72 minutes, p<0.001) and symptom-to-balloon (183 vs 212 minutes, p<0.001) times. Mode of transport was not predictive of 30-day or 12-month mortality. CONCLUSIONS: EMS use in Victoria is relatively high compared with internationally reported data. EMS use reduces treatment delay. Predictors of EMS use in our cohort are consistent with those prevalent in prior literature. Understanding the patients who are less likely to use EMS might inform more targeted education campaigns in the future.

6.
PLoS One ; 19(4): e0301176, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38652707

ABSTRACT

AIM: This study aims to explore regional variation and identify regions within Australia with high incidence of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) and low rates of bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). METHOD: Adult OHCAs of presumed medical aetiology occurring across Australia between 2017 and 2019 were mapped onto local government areas (LGA) using the location of arrest coordinates. Bayesian spatial models were applied to provide "smoothed" estimates of OHCA incidence and bystander CPR rates (for bystander-witnessed OHCAs) for each LGA. For each state and territory, high-risk LGAs were defined as those with an incidence rate greater than the state or territory's 75th percentile and a bystander CPR rate less than the state or territory's 25th percentile. RESULTS: A total of 62,579 OHCA cases attended by emergency medical services across 543 LGAs nationwide were included in the study. Nationally, the OHCA incidence rate across LGA ranged from 58.5 to 198.3 persons per 100,000, while bystander CPR rates ranged from 45% to 75%. We identified 60 high-risk LGAs, which were predominantly located in the state of New South Wales. Within each region, high-risk LGAs were typically located in regional and remote areas of the country, except for four metropolitan areas-two in Adelaide and two in Perth. CONCLUSIONS: We have identified high-risk LGAs, characterised by high incidence and low bystander CPR rates, which are predominantly in regional and remote areas of Australia. Strategies for reducing OHCA and improving bystander response may be best targeted at these regions.


Subject(s)
Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation , Emergency Medical Services , Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest , Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest/epidemiology , Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest/therapy , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Incidence , Australia/epidemiology , Male , Emergency Medical Services/statistics & numerical data , Female , Aged , Middle Aged , Adult
8.
Resusc Plus ; 18: 100597, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38495223

ABSTRACT

Aim: We aimed to describe trends in the incidence and outcomes of refractory ventricular fibrillation (RVF) compared to non-refractory ventricular fibrillation (non-RVF) in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Methods: Between 2010 and 2019, we included all OHCA cases involving adults ≥ 16 years old with an initial shockable rhythm and who received an attempted resuscitation by Emergency Medical Services (EMS) or a bystander shock prior to EMS arrival in Victoria, Australia. Trends in incidence and survival outcomes over the study period were examined. Adjusted logistic regression analyses were conducted to examine factors associated with RVF, as well as the association of RVF on survival to hospital discharge. RVF refers to patients receiving three or more consecutive shocks without a return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). Results: Of the 57,749 OHCA attended by EMS, 7,267 met the inclusion criteria. Of these, 4,168 (57.4%) were non-RVF and 3,099 (42.6%) were RVF. The incidence of RVF decreased significantly from 7.7 per 100,000 population in 2010 to 5.6 per 100,000 population in 2019 (p-trend = 0.01). Survival to hospital discharge increased significantly for both the RVF and non-RVF groups (26% vs 41% in 2010 to 31% vs 53% in 2019, p-trend = 0.004 for RVF; and p-trend = 0.01 for non-RVF). Compared to non-RVF, RVF was associated with reduced odds of survival to hospital discharge (Odds Ratio = 0.503 [95% confidence interval 0.448 - 0.565]). Factors associated with a lower likelihood of RVF and improved survival to hospital discharge included being witnessed to arrest by EMS, receiving bystander defibrillation and bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). Conclusion: The incidence of RVF is declining, and survival rates are improving. Early treatment of VF patients with bystander CPR and defibrillation is likely to reduce RVF incidence.

9.
J Adolesc Health ; 74(5): 908-915, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38340123

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: This study investigated changes in suicidal ideation, attempts, and nonsuicidal self-injury (NSSI)-related ambulance attendances among adolescents during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: An interrupted time series analysis using data from the National Ambulance Surveillance System, a globally unique mental health and suicide surveillance system. Patients aged 12-17 years from the state of Victoria, Australia who were attended by ambulance for suicide attempts, suicide ideation, and NSSI between January 2016 and October 2021 were included. Monthly ambulance attendances during the pre-COVID period (January 2016-March 2020) were compared to those in the peak period of COVID-19 (April 2020-October 2021). RESULTS: There were 20,125 ambulance attendances for suicide ideation, suicide attempt, and NSSI in adolescents over the study period. During the pre-COVID period, the number of suicide ideation, attempts, and NSSI attendances was increasing by 1.1% per month (incidence rate ratio [IRR]:1.011; 95% confidence interval [1.009-1.013], p < .001). There was no change in the rate of all suicide ideation, attempt, and NSSI for all adolescents during the period of COVID-19. However, when disaggregated by gender, there was a 0.7% increase in the monthly rate of attendances for females (IRR: 1.007 [1.001-1.013], p = .029), and a 3.0% decrease for males (IRR: 0.970 [0.964-0.975], p < .001). DISCUSSION: Adolescent female suicide ideation, attempt, and NSSI attendances increased during the COVID-19 period, compared with males in the same time period. These findings suggest tailored intervention strategies may be needed to address the increasing trends of self-harm among young people.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Self-Injurious Behavior , Male , Humans , Adolescent , Female , Suicidal Ideation , Ambulances , Pandemics , Risk Factors , COVID-19/epidemiology , Self-Injurious Behavior/epidemiology , Self-Injurious Behavior/psychology , Victoria/epidemiology
10.
Emerg Med Australas ; 2024 Feb 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38414361

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Preventable transmission of blood-borne viruses (BBV), including human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), hepatitis C virus (HCV) and hepatitis B virus (HBV), continue in at-risk populations, including people who use alcohol and drugs (AODs). To our knowledge, no studies have explored the use of ambulance data for surveillance of AOD harms in patients with BBV infections. METHODS: We used electronic patient care records from the National Ambulance Surveillance System for people who were attended by an ambulance in Victoria, Australia between July 2015 and July 2016 for AOD-related harms, and with identified history of a BBV infection. Descriptive and geospatial analyses explored the epidemiological and psychosocial characteristics of patients for these attendances. RESULTS: The present study included 1832 patients with a history of a BBV infection who required an ambulance for AOD-related harms. Amphetamines were reported in 24.7% of attendances where the patient identified HIV history, and heroin was reported more often for patients with viral hepatitis history (HCV: 19.2%; HBV: 12.7%). Higher proportions of attendances with a viral hepatitis history were observed in patients from the most socially disadvantaged areas. Geospatial analyses revealed higher concentrations of AOD attendances with a BBV history occurring in metropolitan Melbourne. CONCLUSIONS: Our study describes the utility of ambulance data to identify a sub-population of patients with a BBV history and complex medical and social characteristics. Repeat attendances of BBV history patients to paramedics could present an opportunity for ongoing surveillance using ambulance data and possible paramedic intervention, with potential linkage to appropriate BBV services.

11.
Resusc Plus ; 17: 100586, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38419830
12.
J Epidemiol Community Health ; 78(4): 255-262, 2024 03 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38228390

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Low socioeconomic status (SES) has been linked to poor outcomes in many conditions. It is unknown whether these disparities extend to individuals presenting with dyspnoea. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between SES and incidence, care quality and outcomes among patients attended by emergency medical services (EMS) for dyspnoea. METHODS: This population-based cohort study included consecutive patients attended by EMS for dyspnoea between 1 January 2015 and 30 June 2019 in Victoria, Australia. Data were obtained from individually linked ambulance, hospital and mortality datasets. Patients were stratified into SES quintiles using a composite census-derived index. RESULTS: A total of 262 412 patients were included. There was a stepwise increase in the age-adjusted incidence of EMS attendance for dyspnoea with increasing socioeconomic disadvantage (lowest SES quintile 2269 versus highest quintile 889 per 100 000 person years, ptrend<0.001). Patients of lower SES were younger and more comorbid, more likely to be from regional Victoria or of Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander heritage and had higher rates of respiratory distress. Despite this, lower SES groups were less frequently assigned a high acuity EMS transport or emergency department (ED) triage category and less frequently transported to tertiary centres or hospitals with intensive care unit facilities. In multivariable models, lower SES was independently associated with lower acuity EMS and ED triage, ED length of stay>4 hours and increased 30-day EMS reattendance and mortality. CONCLUSION: Lower SES was associated with a higher incidence of EMS attendances for dyspnoea and disparities in several metrics of care and clinical outcomes.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , Humans , Cohort Studies , Emergency Service, Hospital , Social Class , Victoria/epidemiology , Dyspnea/epidemiology , Dyspnea/therapy , Quality of Health Care , Retrospective Studies
14.
Resusc Plus ; 17: 100532, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38188595

ABSTRACT

Background: Previous studies have suggested that females experiencing out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) receive lower rates of both bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and defibrillation compared to males. Whether this disparity has improved over time is unknown. Methods: A state-wide OHCA registry in Victoria, Australia collected data over twenty years (2002-2021) regarding rates of bystander interventions in OHCA. Characteristics and outcomes of each OHCA were compared with logistic regression according to sex and time (defined in two-year periods). Results: 32,502 OHCAs were included (69.7% male). Both bystander CPR and defibrillation rates increased for females over time (p < 0.0001). There was no sex disparity in receipt of bystander CPR after adjustment for baseline differences. Females were less likely than males to receive bystander defibrillation, with sex disparity increasing from 2010 onwards (adjOR 0.26 (95%CI 0.09-0.80) in 2020-21 for females compared to males). Conclusion: Initiatives to increase bystander CPR and defibrillation have resulted in higher overall rates of bystander interventions in the last two decades and no significant sex differences in provision of bystander CPR. However, females receive less bystander defibrillation than males, and sex disparity is increasing. Strategies to promote bystander defibrillation in females experiencing OHCA with a shockable rhythm should be a priority.

15.
Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes ; 10(1): 89-98, 2024 Jan 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36808236

ABSTRACT

AIMS: The relationship between lower socioeconomic status (SES) and poor cardiovascular outcomes is well described; however, there exists a paucity of data exploring this association in cardiogenic shock (CS). This study aimed to investigate whether any disparities exist between SES and the incidence, quality of care or outcomes of CS patients attended by emergency medical services (EMS). METHODS AND RESULTS: This population-based cohort study included consecutive patients transported by EMS with CS between 1 January 2015 and 30 June 2019 in Victoria, Australia. Data were collected from individually linked ambulance, hospital, and mortality datasets. Patients were stratified into SES quintiles using national census data produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.A total of 2628 patients were attended by EMS for CS. The age-standardized incidence of CS amongst all patients was 11.8 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 11.4-12.3] per 100 000 person-years, with a stepwise increase from the highest to lowest SES quintile (lowest quintile 17.0 vs. highest quintile 9.7 per 100 000 person-years, P-trend < 0.001). Patients in lower SES quintiles were less likely to attend metropolitan hospitals and more likely to be received by inner regional and remote centres without revascularization capabilities. A greater proportion of the lower SES groups presented with CS due to non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) or unstable angina pectoris (UAP), and overall were less likely to undergo coronary angiography. Multivariable analysis demonstrated an increased 30-day all-cause mortality rate in the lowest three SES quintiles when compared with the highest quintile. CONCLUSION: This population-based study demonstrated discrepancies between SES status in the incidence, care metrics, and mortality rates of patients presenting to EMS with CS. These findings outline the challenges in equitable healthcare delivery within this cohort.


Subject(s)
Shock, Cardiogenic , Social Class , Humans , Shock, Cardiogenic/epidemiology , Shock, Cardiogenic/therapy , Shock, Cardiogenic/etiology , Cohort Studies , Incidence , Victoria , Hospitals
17.
Resuscitation ; 194: 110043, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37952575

ABSTRACT

AIM: Prior studies have reported increased out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA) incidence and lower survival during the COVID-19 pandemic. We evaluated how the COVID-19 pandemic affected OHCA incidence, bystander CPR rate and patients' outcomes, accounting for regional COVID-19 incidence and OHCA characteristics. METHODS: Individual patient data meta-analysis of studies which provided a comparison of OHCA incidence during the first pandemic wave (COVID-period) with a reference period of the previous year(s) (pre-COVID period). We computed COVID-19 incidence per 100,000 inhabitants in each of 97 regions per each week and divided it into its quartiles. RESULTS: We considered a total of 49,882 patients in 10 studies. OHCA incidence increased significantly compared to previous years in regions where weekly COVID-19 incidence was in the fourth quartile (>136/100,000/week), and patients in these regions had a lower odds of bystander CPR (OR 0.49, 95%CI 0.29-0.81, p = 0.005). Overall, the COVID-period was associated with an increase in medical etiology (89.2% vs 87.5%, p < 0.001) and OHCAs at home (74.7% vs 67.4%, p < 0.001), and a decrease in shockable initial rhythm (16.5% vs 20.3%, p < 0.001). The COVID-period was independently associated with pre-hospital death (OR 1.73, 95%CI 1.55-1.93, p < 0.001) and negatively associated with survival to hospital admission (OR 0.68, 95%CI 0.64-0.72, p < 0.001) and survival to discharge (OR 0.50, 95%CI 0.46-0.54, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: During the first COVID-19 pandemic wave, there was higher OHCA incidence and lower bystander CPR rate in regions with a high-burden of COVID-19. COVID-19 was also associated with a change in patient characteristics and lower survival independently of COVID-19 incidence in the region where OHCA occurred.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation , Emergency Medical Services , Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/complications , Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation/adverse effects , Pandemics , Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest/epidemiology , Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest/therapy , Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest/etiology
18.
Addiction ; 119(2): 348-355, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37816493

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Public health measures introduced to contain the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus likely affected opioid supply and demand, as well as the patterns and contexts of opioid use. We measured opioid-related harms during the first 2 years of COVID-19 restrictions in Victoria, Australia. DESIGN: We adopted an interrupted time series analysis design using interventional autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models. Opioid-related ambulance attendance data between January 2015 and March 2022 were extracted from the National Ambulance Surveillance System. SETTING: Victoria, Australia. PARTICIPANTS: Patients (≥15 years) attended to by an ambulance for opioid-related harms. MEASUREMENTS: Monthly opioid-related ambulance attendances for three drug types: heroin, prescription opioids and opioid agonist therapy (OAT) medications. FINDINGS: The monthly rate of heroin-related attendances fell by 26% immediately after the introduction of COVID-19 restrictions. A reduced rate of heroin-related attendances was observed during COVID-19 restrictions, resulting in 2578 averted heroin-related attendances. There was no change in the rate of attendances for extra-medical OAT medications or prescription opioids. CONCLUSIONS: Strict COVID-19 restrictions in Victoria, Australia appear to have resulted in a substantial reduction in heroin-related ambulance attendances, perhaps because of border closures and restrictions on movement affecting supply, changing patterns of drug consumption, and efforts to improve access to OAT. Despite policy changes allowing longer OAT prescriptions and an increased number of unsupervised doses, we found no evidence of increased harms related to the extra-medical use of these medications.


Subject(s)
Ambulances , COVID-19 , Humans , Victoria/epidemiology , Analgesics, Opioid/adverse effects , Heroin , Pandemics , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2
19.
J Cardiol ; 83(6): 390-393, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37734655

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patent foramen ovale (PFO) and atrial septal defects (ASD) have been described in up to 30 % of subjects in autopsy series but contemporary data are scarce. It is important to confirm the prevalence of ASD/PFO in the general population given the potential associated stroke risk and the increasing availability of intervention via PFO closure. METHODS: A state-wide prospective out-of-hospital cardiac arrest registry (OHCA) identified all patients aged 1 to 50 years who experienced OHCA in Victoria, Australia from April 2019 to April 2022 and subsequently underwent autopsy with a cardiac cause of death identified. Autopsy was performed including visual description of any ASD and identification of probe patency of foramen ovale. RESULTS: A total of 517 patients underwent autopsy in the setting of sudden cardiac death; 36 patients (6.9 %) had a probe-patent foramen ovale, 2 patients (0.4 %) had secundum ASD, and 2 patients (0.4 %) had both a PFO and ASD (1 of whom had undergone percutaneous repair of both lesions). Twelve patients (2.3 %) had a prior history of cerebrovascular accident either recorded on medical history or detected on neuropathological examination; however none of these patients had a PFO or ASD. CONCLUSIONS: The combined rate of PFO and ASD in a cohort of 517 patients undergoing autopsy was 7.9 %. None of these patients had experienced a cerebrovascular accident. This rate of PFOs appears lower than earlier reports and raises the possibility that the relative risk of an associated stroke could be higher than previously estimated.


Subject(s)
Foramen Ovale, Patent , Heart Septal Defects, Atrial , Stroke , Humans , Foramen Ovale, Patent/complications , Foramen Ovale, Patent/epidemiology , Prospective Studies , Prevalence , Cardiac Catheterization , Heart Septal Defects, Atrial/complications , Heart Septal Defects, Atrial/epidemiology , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/etiology , Autopsy , Treatment Outcome
20.
Emerg Med Australas ; 2023 Dec 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38081764

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Despite high in-hospital mortality, the epidemiology of prehospital suspected sepsis presentations is not well described. This retrospective cohort study aimed to quantify the burden of such presentations, and to determine whether such a diagnosis was independently associated with longer-term mortality. METHODS: Retrospective, observational population-based cohort study examining all adult prehospital presentations in Victoria, between January 2015 and June 2019, who required subsequent in-hospital assessment. Linked data were extracted from clinical and administrative datasets. Demographics, illness severity, prehospital treatment and mortality were compared between prehospital suspected sepsis and non-sepsis patients. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine the adjusted association between prehospital assessment (suspected sepsis vs non-sepsis) and 6-month mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1 218 047 patients were included. The age-adjusted incidence rate of prehospital suspected sepsis was 65 cases per 100 000 person-years. Those with prehospital suspected sepsis were older (74 vs 62 years), more frequently male (55% vs 47%), with greater physiological derangement. Intravenous cannulas were more often inserted prehospital (60% vs 29%). Crude in-hospital mortality was 6.5-fold higher in the prehospital suspected sepsis group (11.8% vs 1.8%), and by 6 months, 22.6% had died. After adjustment for demographics, illness severity, comorbidity, treatment and hospital location, a diagnosis of prehospital suspected sepsis was associated with a 35% higher likelihood of 6-month mortality (OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.29-1.41). CONCLUSIONS: The burden of prehospital suspected sepsis in the Australian setting is significant, with paramedics identifying patients at high-risk of poor longer-term outcomes. This implies the need to consider improved care pathways for this highly vulnerable group.

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