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1.
COPD ; 14(1): 105-112, 2017 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27732117

ABSTRACT

Inhaled, long-acting anticholinergic medication (LAA), commonly used for moderate-to-severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), has been shown to decrease COPD hospitalizations, emergency department visits, and acute exacerbations but has also been associated with urinary tract infection (UTI) in a prior meta-analysis. The objective of this study was to verify if there was an association between LAA and UTI in older individuals with COPD. A population-based, real-world cohort study using health administrative data from Ontario, Canada was conducted. Incidence of UTI was compared between older people with physician-diagnosed COPD, who were new users of inhaled long-acting anticholinergics and new users of inhaled corticosteroids-a reference medication used in similar clinical settings that has no known association with UTI. Propensity score matching was used to minimize the effects of confounding. An overall association between LAA and various measures of UTI in older individuals was not found. However, in a priori defined stratified analyses, men newly initiated on LAA were 75% more likely to develop a UTI than men newly started on an inhaled corticosteroid (hazard ratio 1.75; 95% confidence interval 1.05-2.92). No significant association was seen in women. In conclusion, older men with COPD newly started on LAA are at increased risk of UTI. Men considering an inhaled LAA should be informed of this risk and, if they decide to take it, be provided with appropriate monitoring.


Subject(s)
Cholinergic Antagonists/therapeutic use , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/drug therapy , Urinary Tract Infections/epidemiology , Administration, Inhalation , Adrenal Cortex Hormones/therapeutic use , Age Factors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cholinergic Antagonists/administration & dosage , Cohort Studies , Delayed-Action Preparations , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Ontario/epidemiology , Propensity Score , Risk Factors , Sex Factors
2.
J Clin Psychiatry ; 77(9): e1108-e1116, 2016 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27487160

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Little is known about the sociocultural determinants of mental illness at hospital presentation. Our objective was to examine ethnic differences in illness severity at hospital admission among Chinese, South Asian, and the general population living in Ontario, Canada. METHODS: We conducted a large, population-based, cross-sectional study of psychiatric inpatients aged from 19 to 105 years who were discharged between 2006 and 2014. A total of 133,588 patients were classified as Chinese (n = 2,582), South Asian (n = 2,452), or the reference group (n = 128,554) using a validated surnames algorithm (specificity: 99.7%). Diagnoses were based on DSM-IV criteria. We examined the association between ethnicity and 4 measures of disease severity: involuntary admissions, aggressive behaviors, and the number and frequency of positive symptoms (ie, hallucinations, command hallucinations, delusions, and abnormal thought process) (Positive Symptoms Scale, Resident Assessment Instrument-Mental Health [RAI-MH]). RESULTS: After adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, immigration status, and discharge diagnosis, Chinese patients had greater odds of involuntary admissions (odds ratio [OR] = 1.79; 95% CI, 1.64-1.95) and exhibiting severe aggressive behaviors (OR = 1.36; 95% CI, 1.23-1.51) and ≥ 3 positive symptoms (OR = 1.39; 95% CI, 1.24-1.56) compared to the general population. South Asian ethnicity was also an independent predictor of most illness severity measures. The association between Chinese ethnicity and illness severity was consistent across sex, diagnostic and immigrant categories, and first-episode hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Chinese and South Asian ethnicities are independent predictors of illness severity at hospital presentation. Understanding the role of patient, family, and health system factors in determining the threshold for hospitalization is an important future step in informing culturally specific care for these large and growing populations worldwide.


Subject(s)
Behavioral Symptoms/ethnology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Mental Disorders/ethnology , Severity of Illness Index , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Asia, Western/ethnology , China/ethnology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Ontario/ethnology , Young Adult
3.
JAMA Intern Med ; 175(8): 1331-9, 2015 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26121537

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: Antibiotics are frequently and often inappropriately prescribed to patients in nursing homes. These antibiotics pose direct risks to recipients and indirect risks to others residing in the home. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether living in a nursing home with high antibiotic use is associated with an increased risk of antibiotic-related adverse outcomes for individual residents. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this longitudinal open-cohort study performed from January 1, 2010, through December 31, 2011, we studied 110,656 older adults residing in 607 nursing homes in Ontario, Canada. EXPOSURES: Nursing home-level antibiotic use was defined as use-days per 1000 resident-days, and facilities were classified as high, medium, and low use according to tertile of use. Multivariable logistic regression modeling was performed to assess the effect of nursing home-level antibiotic use on the individual risk of antibiotic-related adverse outcomes. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Antibiotic-related harms included Clostridium difficile, diarrhea or gastroenteritis, antibiotic-resistant organisms (which can directly affect recipients and indirectly affect nonrecipients), allergic reactions, and general medication adverse events (which can affect only recipients). RESULTS: Antibiotics were provided on 2,783,000 of 50,953,000 resident-days in nursing homes (55 antibiotic-days per 1000 resident-days). Antibiotic use was highly variable across homes, ranging from 20.4 to 192.9 antibiotic-days per 1000 resident-days. Antibiotic-related adverse events were more common (13.3%) in residents of high-use homes than among residents of medium-use (12.4%) or low-use homes (11.4%) (P < .001); this trend persisted even among the residents who did not receive antibiotic treatments. The primary analysis indicated that residence in a high-use nursing home was associated with an increased risk of a resident experiencing an antibiotic-related adverse event (adjusted odds ratio, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.07-1.42; P = .003). A sensitivity analysis examining nursing home-level antibiotic use as a continuous variable confirmed an increased risk of resident-level antibiotic-related harms (adjusted odds ratio, 1.004 per additional day of nursing home antibiotic use; 95% CI, 1.001-1.006; P = .01). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Antibiotic use is highly variable across nursing homes; residents of high-use homes are exposed to an increased risk of antibiotic-related harms even if they have not directly received these agents. Antibiotic stewardship is needed to improve the safety of all nursing home residents.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Drug Hypersensitivity/epidemiology , Enterocolitis, Pseudomembranous/epidemiology , Homes for the Aged , Nursing Homes , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Diarrhea/chemically induced , Diarrhea/epidemiology , Drug Hypersensitivity/etiology , Drug Resistance, Bacterial , Enterocolitis, Pseudomembranous/chemically induced , Female , Gastroenteritis/chemically induced , Gastroenteritis/epidemiology , Humans , Logistic Models , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Multivariate Analysis , Ontario/epidemiology
4.
J Clin Psychopharmacol ; 32(3): 403-7, 2012 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22544015

ABSTRACT

Acute angle-closure glaucoma (AACG) is an ocular emergency that may be precipitated by certain types of medications. Antidepressant drugs can affect a number of neurotransmitters, which are involved in the regulation of the iris, which may precipitate AACG. We used a case-crossover study design to investigate the association between recent exposure to antidepressant drugs and AACG. We identified patients with AACG among adults aged 66 years or older between 1998 and 2010 in Ontario using linked population-based administrative databases. We identified intermittent users of antidepressant medications through prescription drug claims in the year preceding AACG. We determined antidepressant exposure in the period immediately before AACG and compared it with antidepressant exposure in 2 earlier control periods. We used conditional logistic regression to determine the odds ratio for antidepressant exposure in the hazard period compared with the control periods. A total of 6470 patients with AACG occurred during the study period. The mean age of the patients was 74.3 years, and 66% were female. Overall, 5.6% of individuals were intermittent users of antidepressant drugs in the year preceding AACG. The odds ratio for any antidepressant exposure in the period immediately preceding AACG was 1.62 (95% confidence interval, 1.16-2.26). An increased risk of AACG was also observed in several subgroups. We conclude that recent exposure to antidepressant drugs is associated with an increased risk of AACG. Clinicians should remain vigilant for the development of this uncommon but potentially serious adverse event after initiating antidepressant therapy.


Subject(s)
Antidepressive Agents/adverse effects , Glaucoma, Angle-Closure/chemically induced , Acute Disease , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Case-Control Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Databases, Factual , Drug Prescriptions , Female , Glaucoma, Angle-Closure/epidemiology , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , National Health Programs , Neurotransmitter Agents/adverse effects , Ontario/epidemiology , Risk , Time Factors
5.
Can J Cardiol ; 26(3): 129-34, 2010 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20352132

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is one of the most frequent reasons for hospitalization worldwide. Although substantial advances have been made in the prevention and treatment of coronary artery disease, their impact on the rates of ACS hospitalization is unclear. METHODS: Data from the Canadian Institute for Health Information Discharge Abstract Database were used to estimate secular trends in ACS hospitalization. A total of 1.3 million ACS hospitalizations in Canada from April 1, 1994, to March 31, 2006, were examined. Overall hospitalization rates were standardized for age and sex using 1991 Canadian census data, and hospitalization rates were also stratified by age group, sex and Canadian province to assess trends in each subgroup. RESULTS: The Canadian age- and sex-standardized ACS hospitalization rate was 508 per 100,000 persons in 1994, and 317 per 100,000 persons in 2005 - a relative reduction of 37.8% and an average annual relative reduction of 3.9% per year. Declines in ACS hospitalization rates were observed among men (annual relative reduction 3.9%, relative reduction 39.0%) and women (annual relative reduction 3.8%, relative reduction 35.8%). Declining trends were also observed among patients of different age groups and among patients hospitalized across all Canadian provinces. INTERPRETATION: Over the past decade, a substantial decline in ACS hospitalization rates occurred, which has not been previously observed. This finding is likely due to improvements in primary and secondary prevention of coronary artery disease. The present study's data should provide important insights and guidance for future health care planning in Canada.


Subject(s)
Acute Coronary Syndrome/therapy , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Hospitalization/trends , Canada , Female , Humans , Male
6.
Clin Biochem ; 43(4-5): 505-7, 2010 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19913003

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine if a cytokine panel could be informative regarding subsequent heart failure(HF)/death. DESIGN AND METHODS: In 216 subjects presenting with chest pain to an emergency department in 1996, EDTA plasma (-70 degrees C) was thawed for IL-6, MCP-1, IL-10, VEGF, EGF measurement. RESULTS: Subjects with any three cytokines elevated were at higher risk for HF/death compared to those with < or = two cytokines elevated. DISCUSSION: A cytokine panel might be useful for risk stratification for HF/death.


Subject(s)
Chest Pain/blood , Cytokines/blood , Death , Emergency Service, Hospital , Heart Failure/blood , Aged , Female , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Time Factors
7.
Am J Cardiol ; 102(1): 79-83, 2008 Jul 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18572040

ABSTRACT

Heart failure (HF) with preserved systolic function (ejection fraction [EF] >50%) is common, yet no proven therapies exist. Large registries could shed light on what medications may or may not be useful to reduce hospitalization and mortality. The EFFECT Registry, which prospectively enrolled 9,943 patients admitted to the hospital for HF from 1999 to 2001 in 103 hospitals in Ontario, Canada, was used. Patients discharged alive were divided into those with EF >50% and EF <50%. Discharge medications (angiotensin-converting enzyme [ACE] inhibitors, beta blockers [BBs], spironolactone, and digoxin) were examined for their association with HF rehospitalization or death during 1 year. In the HF group with EF >50% (n = 1,026), 199 patients died within 1 year and 349 patients died or were hospitalized for HF within 1 year. In the HF group with EF <50% (n = 1,898), 427 patients died and 720 patients died or were hospitalized for HF. In the HF group with EF >50%, 67% were administered an ACE inhibitor; 32%, a BB; 37%, digoxin; and 12%, spironolactone. No differences were seen in adjusted survival for any medications (ACE inhibitors, BBs, digoxin, or spironolactone) examined in the HF group with EF >50% despite an adjusted survival benefit with ACE inhibitors (hazard ratio [HR] 0.85, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77 to 0.94), BBs (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.89), and spironolactone (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.98) in patients with low EF. In conclusion, none of the medications proved to improve outcomes in patients with HF with low EF showed an association with outcomes in patients with HF and EF >50%, highlighting the need for randomized trial evidence to define therapies that will be beneficial in patients with HF and preserved systolic function.


Subject(s)
Heart Failure/drug therapy , Heart Failure/mortality , Stroke Volume , Adrenergic beta-Antagonists/therapeutic use , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Cardiotonic Agents/therapeutic use , Digoxin/therapeutic use , Diuretics/therapeutic use , Female , Heart Failure/diagnostic imaging , Heart Failure/physiopathology , Hospitalization , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Patient Readmission , Spironolactone/therapeutic use , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , Ultrasonography
8.
Clin Chem ; 54(4): 747-51, 2008 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18375487

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Guidelines for treatment of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) recommend observing a rise or fall in cardiac troponin (cTn) concentrations for assessing acute injury. It is unknown whether a rising pattern presages a more adverse long-term prognosis than elevations that do not change. The present study assessed whether a rising pattern of cardiac biomarkers was more prognostic than simple elevations. METHODS: We measured N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (Roche), cTnT (Roche) and cTnI (Beckman Coulter) in 212 ACS patients. These biomarkers were measured in coincident EDTA and heparin plasma samples available from at least 2 different time points, an early first specimen obtained a median of 2 hours after onset of symptoms, interquartile range (IQR) 2-4 hours, and a later second specimen obtained at 9 hours, IQR 9-9 hours. The cTn concentration in the second specimen was used to classify myocardial necrosis (cTnI >0.04 ug/L; cTnT >0.01 ug/L). Outcomes [death, myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure (HF)] were obtained >8 years after the initial presentation. For patients with myocardial necrosis and a cTn concentration ratio (second/first measured concentrations) > or =1.00, the concentration ratios and the absolute concentrations in the second specimen were used to assess prognosis after 4 years. RESULTS: In myocardial necrosis, the relative change (cTn2/cTn1) was greater for cTnI than for cTnT (P <0.01), whereas the relative change in NT-proBNP was the same regardless of which troponin was used to classify necrosis (P = 0.71). The concentration ratio for cTnI, cTnT, and NT-proBNP was not useful for risk stratification (i.e., death/MI/HF; P > or =0.15). CONCLUSIONS: A rise in cardiac troponin or NT-proBNP concentration in ACS patients presenting early after onset of pain is not helpful for long-term prognosis.


Subject(s)
Acute Coronary Syndrome/diagnosis , Natriuretic Peptide, Brain/blood , Peptide Fragments/blood , Protein Precursors/blood , Troponin I/blood , Troponin T/blood , Biomarkers/blood , Humans , Prognosis , Risk Assessment , Time Factors
9.
Clin Biochem ; 41(6): 436-9, 2008 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18194671

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To determine if elevations of adhesion molecules in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) are useful for risk stratification. DESIGN AND METHODS: A cell adhesion array (Randox Ltd.) and NT-proBNP were measured in 216 ACS patients. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier and Cox models indicate early elevations of NT-proBNP but not the adhesion molecules are predictive of future death/myocardial infarction. DISCUSSION: Elevations of adhesion molecules early after pain onset in ACS are not useful for long-term risk stratification.


Subject(s)
Acute Coronary Syndrome/physiopathology , Cell Adhesion Molecules/metabolism , Natriuretic Peptide, Brain/metabolism , Peptide Fragments/metabolism , Protein Precursors/metabolism , Biomarkers/metabolism , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Microarray Analysis/methods , Predictive Value of Tests , Proportional Hazards Models , Risk Factors , Troponin T/metabolism
10.
Clin Chim Acta ; 387(1-2): 133-8, 2008 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17964560

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: For patients presenting with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) to the emergency department, early identification of those that are at high risk for subsequent myocardial necrosis or adverse outcomes would allow earlier or more aggressive treatment. We determined if a panel of biomarkers can be used to identify high risk patients. METHODS: A cohort (84 females/132 males) from our 1996 ACS study population that had EDTA specimens stored (-70 degrees C) was selected and the earliest available specimen was analyzed for 11 biomarkers (IL-6, IL-8, MCP-1, VEGF, L-selectin, P-selectin, E-selectin, ICAM-1, VCAM-1, NT-proBNP, cTnT). These data were linked to the existing cTnI and health outcome databases for this population. ROC curve analysis for myocardial necrosis (i.e., peak cTnI >0.04 microg/l) identified 3 candidate biomarkers. These 3 biomarkers were applied together to generate a panel test (2 of the 3 biomarkers increased for a positive result) and assessed for its ability to identify patients at risk for myocardial necrosis and the combined endpoint of death, myocardial infarction (MI) and heart failure (HF). RESULTS: The panel test (IL-6, NT-proBNP, E-selectin) alone detected 60% (95% CI: 49-69; false positive rate: 26%) of subjects that would be classified with myocardial necrosis. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional analyses indicated that patients positive by the biomarker panel (including those with cTnI < or =0.04 microg/l) had significantly worse outcomes (death/MI/HF) as compared to those negative by both cTnI and the panel test. CONCLUSION: A biomarker panel analyzed early after pain onset can identify individuals at risk for both myocardial necrosis and the combined endpoint of death/MI/HF. Additional prospective studies are required to assess this panel for both early MI detection and to further refine which health outcomes (death, MI, HF) are associated with positive panel results.


Subject(s)
Biomarkers , Cardiomyopathies/genetics , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Aged , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Risk Factors
11.
Clin Chem ; 53(12): 2112-8, 2007 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17932131

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Inflammation in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) can identify those at greater long-term risks for heart failure (HF) and death. The present study assessed the performance of interleukin (IL)-6, IL-8, and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) (cytokines involved in the activation and recruitment of leukocytes) in addition to known biomarkers [e.g., N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)] for predicting HF and death in an ACS population. METHODS: In a cohort of 216 ACS patients, NT-proBNP (Elecsys; Roche) and IL-6, IL-8, and MCP-1 (evidence investigator; Randox) were measured in serial specimens collected early after symptom onset (n = 723). We collected at least 2 specimens from each participant: an early specimen (median 2 h; interquartile range 2-4 h) and a later specimen (9 h; 9-9 h), and used the later specimens' biomarker concentrations for risk stratification. RESULTS: An increase in both IL-6 and NT-proBNP was observed but not for IL-8 or MCP-1 early after pain onset. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that individuals with increased NT-proBNP (>183 ng/L) or cytokines (IL-6 > 6.4 ng/L; above upper limit of normal for IL-8 or MCP-1) had a greater probability of death or HF in the following 8 years (P <0.05). In a Cox proportional hazard model adjusted for both CRP and troponin I, increased IL-6, MCP-1, and NT-proBNP remained significant risk factors. Combining all 3 biomarkers resulted in a higher likelihood ratio for death or HF than models restricted to any 2 of these biomarkers. CONCLUSION: IL-6, MCP-1, and NT-proBNP are independent predictors of long-term risk of death or HF, highlighting the importance of identifying leukocyte activation and recruitment in ACS patients.


Subject(s)
Acute Coronary Syndrome/diagnosis , Chemokine CCL2/blood , Heart Failure/diagnosis , Interleukin-6/blood , Interleukin-8/blood , Natriuretic Peptide, Brain/blood , Peptide Fragments/blood , Acute Coronary Syndrome/immunology , Acute Coronary Syndrome/mortality , Aged , Female , Heart Failure/immunology , Heart Failure/mortality , Humans , Inflammation/metabolism , Leukocytes/immunology , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors
13.
Clin Chim Acta ; 380(1-2): 213-6, 2007 May 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17306781

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The 2003 American Heart Association (AHA) definition for myocardial infarction (MI) requires an "adequate set" (i.e. at least 6 h between measurements) of biomarkers and specifically troponin for the diagnosis of MI. The aim of the present study was to assess the performance of myoglobin, the CKMB isoforms, and cardiac troponin I (cTnI) in specimens earlier than the requisite 6 h after presentation, in a population originally characterized using World Health Organization (WHO) criteria. METHODS: In 1996, 228 acute coronary syndrome patients with an "adequate sample set" had their specimens assayed for CKMB isoforms and myoglobin. In 2003, the same specimens were analyzed with the AccuTnI troponin I assay and myoglobin (Beckman Coulter Access immunoassay). RESULTS: The clinical sensitivities for both myoglobin and the CKMB isoforms were >90% when the population was classified by WHO criteria. However the sensitivities were <70% when the ESC/ACC MI definition was used. Analyzing cTnI at earlier time points as long as there was at least 3 h between specimens or at least 1 specimen 6 h from pain onset did not misclassify subjects based on adverse outcomes in the year following their presentation. CONCLUSION: Contemporary assays for cTnI with increased analytical sensitivity reduce the utility of myoglobin and CKMB isoforms to rule-out an AMI.


Subject(s)
Biomarkers/blood , Creatine Kinase, MB Form/blood , Myocardial Infarction/diagnosis , Myoglobin/blood , Troponin I/blood , Acute Disease , Aged , Electrocardiography , Female , Humans , Immunoassay , Isoenzymes/blood , Male , Myocardial Infarction/blood , Retrospective Studies , Sensitivity and Specificity
14.
Clin Biochem ; 40(5-6): 326-9, 2007 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17292342

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To assess the ability of C-reactive protein (CRP) to predict long-term outcomes in a chest pain population. DESIGN AND METHODS: CRP was measured at presentation in 446 emergency department patients with acute coronary syndromes. All-cause mortality and hospital discharges for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and congestive heart failure (CHF) were obtained for up to 8 years following the event. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier analyses indicated that patients with CRP concentrations above the American Heart Association scientific statement cut-off had a higher rate for death and CHF admissions. After adjusting for troponin concentrations, in a Cox proportional hazard model, only CRP concentrations indicative of an acute phase response (i.e., >7.44 mg/L) were associated with a significant risk for death after 5 years and CHF readmission after 2 years. CONCLUSIONS: Patients presenting early with chest pain with elevated CRP concentrations have a greater long-term risk for death and heart failure.


Subject(s)
Biomarkers/blood , C-Reactive Protein/metabolism , Heart Failure/blood , Myocardial Infarction/blood , Aged , Female , Heart Failure/metabolism , Heart Failure/mortality , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Male , Middle Aged , Myocardial Infarction/metabolism , Myocardial Infarction/mortality , Proportional Hazards Models , Survival Rate
15.
Clin Chem ; 53(2): 220-7, 2007 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17204519

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recent data suggest that older men with detectable cardiac troponin I (cTnI) concentrations that remain below the 99th percentile concentration cutoff are at increased risk for subsequent cardiovascular events. We designed this study to extend this observation by examining risk prediction in both men and women presenting to an emergency department with chest discomfort. METHODS: We obtained data for all-cause mortality and hospital discharges associated with either acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or congestive heart failure (CHF) for up to 8 years after the initial presentation in 448 patients who originally presented in 1996 with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We performed retrospective analysis for cTnI (AccuTnI; Beckman Coulter) in frozen plasma samples based on the patients' reported time from onset of symptoms. Peak cTnI concentration was used for risk assessment. RESULTS: Patients with cTnI concentrations > or =0.02 microg/L (i.e., limit of detection), including those whose peak values remained below the 99th percentile (0.04 microg/L), were at greater risk for death and AMI/CHF readmissions at 2, 5, and 8 years of follow-up compared with those with peak cTnI <0.02 microg/L. All results were statistically significant (P <0.05) except for death within 2 years among patients with normal but detectable cTnI (0.02 to 0.03 microg/L), relative to the group with values <0.02 microg/L. Kaplan-Meier analyses indicated that both men and women with cTnI > or =0.02 microg/L had worse outcomes (P <0.001). CONCLUSION: Both men and women who present with possible ACS with detectable cTnI concentrations that remain below the 99th percentile are at a greater risk for future adverse events.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Troponin I/blood , Aged , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Chest Pain/diagnosis , Female , Heart Failure/diagnosis , Heart Failure/mortality , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Myocardial Infarction/diagnosis , Myocardial Infarction/mortality , Retrospective Studies , Risk , Survival Analysis
16.
Can J Cardiol ; 23(1): 51-6, 2007 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17245483

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) risk index for the prediction of 30-day mortality was developed and validated in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) who were being treated with thrombolytics in randomized clinical trials. When tested in clinical registries of patients with STEMI, the index performed poorly in an older (65 years and older) Medicare population, but it was a good predictor of early death among the more representative population on the National Registry of Myocardial Infarction-3 and -4 databases. It has not been tested in a population outside the United States or among non-STEMI patients. METHODS: The TIMI risk index was applied to the Enhanced Feedback for Effective Cardiac Treatment (EFFECT) study cohort of 11,510 acute MI patients from Ontario. The model's discriminatory capacity and calibration were tested in all patients and in subgroups determined by age, sex, diagnosis and reperfusion status. RESULTS: The TIMI risk index was strongly associated with 30-day mortality for both STEMI and non-STEMI patients. The C statistic was 0.82 for STEMI and 0.80 for non-STEMI patients, with overlapping 95% CI. The discriminatory capacity was somewhat lower for patients older than 65 years of age (0.74). The model was well calibrated. CONCLUSIONS: The TIMI risk index is a simple, valid and moderately accurate tool for the stratification of risk for early death in STEMI and non-STEMI patients in the community setting. Its routine clinical use is warranted.


Subject(s)
Hospital Mortality , Myocardial Infarction/drug therapy , Myocardial Infarction/mortality , Risk Assessment/methods , Thrombolytic Therapy , Acute Disease , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Electrocardiography , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Myocardial Infarction/diagnosis , Myocardial Reperfusion/statistics & numerical data , Ontario/epidemiology , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , Prospective Studies , Registries , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Risk Factors , Severity of Illness Index , Survival Analysis , Thrombolytic Therapy/statistics & numerical data , Time Factors
17.
Circulation ; 115(2): 196-203, 2007 Jan 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17190861

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous comparisons of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) treatment between the United States and Canada are limited because they compared selected patients from randomized trials, used administrative data that lacked clinical detail, or did not consider regional differences in AMI treatment. METHODS AND RESULTS: We compared medication use, invasive cardiac procedure use, and 30-day risk-standardized mortality rates of 38,886 fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized with AMI in the United States and 5634 similarly aged patients in Ontario, Canada, from 1998 and 2001. Baseline characteristics and illness severity across the US regions and Ontario were not substantially different. Cardiac catheterization use in AMI patients was significantly higher in the United States compared with Ontario (38.7% versus 16.8%, P<0.001), but significant regional variations existed, in which the northeastern United States had significantly lower utilization rates (25.6%) compared with other US regions. Beta-blocker use among ideal candidates was highest in the northeastern United States (77.6% versus 69.7% in the United States as a whole, P<0.001) and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor use was highest in Ontario (69.1% versus 58.2% in the United States, P<0.001). Risk-standardized mortality rates at 30 days were not substantially different across the regions. CONCLUSIONS: Previous studies have suggested a clear divergence in invasive cardiac therapy for AMI patients between the United States and Canada on the basis of health care financing and structural differences. Our findings of similar treatment patterns in the northeastern United States and Ontario suggest that regional practices may have a greater impact on treatment patterns than the respective health care delivery systems.


Subject(s)
Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Myocardial Infarction/therapy , Process Assessment, Health Care , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Canada/epidemiology , Cohort Studies , Female , Hospitalization , Humans , Male , Ontario/epidemiology , Process Assessment, Health Care/methods , Treatment Outcome , United States/epidemiology
18.
Clin Chem ; 52(11): 2028-35, 2006 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16990413

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In a population originally classified for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) by the World Health Organization (WHO) definition, we compared the health outcomes after retrospectively reclassifying with the European Society of Cardiology and the American College of Cardiology (ESC/ACC) AMI definition, using the peak cardiac troponin I (cTnI) concentrations. The health outcomes were based on the WHO definition and occurred in an era that preceded the use of cardiac troponin biomarkers. METHODS: For 448 patients who presented to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of cardiac ischemia in 1996, we obtained data for all-cause mortality and recurrent AMI for up to 1 year after the initial presentation. We performed retrospective analysis of the patients' frozen plasma samples to measure cTnI (AccuTnI, Beckman Coulter). RESULTS: At 30, 120, and 360 days, the risk for AMI/death in patients positive for AMI by only the ESC/ACC criteria was significantly lower than the risk in patients positive by both ESC/ACC and WHO criteria, and significantly higher than in patients negative according to both criteria. In a separate analysis, patients with a peak cTnI>0.10 microg/L were at greater risk for AMI/death than patients with cTnI concentrations of 0.04-0.10 microg/L. Patients negative by both definitions or with peak cTnI concentrations<0.04 microg/L had the highest event-free survival rates (92% and 94%, respectively) at 1 year. CONCLUSION: In a troponin-naïve population, patients classified as positive for AMI by only the ESC/ACC criteria have a prognosis that appears to be intermediate between those classified positive by both the WHO and ESC/ACC definitions and those who meet neither criteria.


Subject(s)
Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Myocardial Infarction/classification , Myocardial Infarction/diagnosis , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Troponin I/blood , Aged , American Heart Association , Biomarkers/blood , Cohort Studies , Disease-Free Survival , Europe , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Myocardial Infarction/blood , Ontario , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , World Health Organization
19.
Can J Cardiol ; 21(13): 1203-9, 2005 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16308597

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Lengthy waiting lists for coronary angiography have been described in many health care systems worldwide. The extent to which formal queue management systems may improve the prioritization and survival of patients in the angiography queue is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To prospectively evaluate the performance of a formal queue management system for patients awaiting coronary angiography in Ontario. METHODS: The coronary angiography urgency scale, a formal queue management system developed in 1993 using a modified Delphi panel, allocates recommended maximum waiting times (RMWTs) in accordance with clinical necessity. By using a provincial clinical registry, 35,617 consecutive patients referred into the coronary angiography queue between April 1, 2001, and March 31, 2002, were prospectively tracked. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examined mortality risk across urgency after adjusting for additional clinical and comorbid factors. RESULTS: Good agreement was determined in urgency ratings between scores from the coronary angiography urgency scale and implicit physician judgement, which was obtained independently at the time of the index referral (weighted kappa = 0.49). The overall mortality in the queue was 0.3% (0.47%, 0.26% and 0.13% for urgent, semiurgent and elective patients, respectively). Urgency, as specified by the coronary angiography urgency scale, was the strongest predictor of death in the queue (P<0.001). However, when patients were censored according to their RMWTs, mortality was similar across different levels of urgency. Consequently, up to 18.5 deaths per 10,000 patients could have potentially been averted had patients been triaged and undergone coronary angiography within the RMWT as specified by the coronary angiography urgency scale. CONCLUSIONS: The incorporation of the coronary angiography urgency scale as a formal queue management system may decrease mortality in the coronary angiography queue. The authors recommend its implementation in health care systems where patients experience excessive waiting time delays for coronary angiography.


Subject(s)
Coronary Angiography/statistics & numerical data , Triage/standards , Waiting Lists , Aged , Decision Making , Delphi Technique , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Ontario , Patient Selection , Prospective Studies , Triage/methods
20.
Arch Intern Med ; 165(21): 2486-92, 2005 Nov 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16314545

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Health care expenditure per person is significantly higher in the United States compared with Canada, but whether there are differences in quality of care of many conditions is unknown. We compared the process of care and outcomes of patients with heart failure, the most common cause of hospitalization for individuals 65 years and older in both countries. METHODS: We compared processes of care and 30-day and 1-year risk-standardized mortality rates among 28,521 US Medicare beneficiaries and 8180 similarly aged patients in Ontario, Canada, hospitalized with heart failure from 1998 to 2001. RESULTS: More US patients underwent left ventricular ejection fraction assessment during hospitalization compared with Canadian patients (61.2% vs 41.7%, P<.001). At discharge, patients in the United States were prescribed beta-blockers more frequently (28.7% vs 25.4%, P<.001) but angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors less frequently (54.3% vs 63.4%, P<.001). Among ideal candidates, prescription of beta-blockers (32.5% vs 29.7%, P = .08) or angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (78.3% vs 77.6%, P = .68) was not significantly different between the 2 countries. The US patients had lower risk characteristics on admission and lower crude mortality rates at 30 days and 1 year. Thirty-day risk-standardized mortality was significantly lower for the US patients (8.9% vs 10.7%, P<.001), but 1-year risk-standardized mortality was no longer significantly different (32.2% vs 32.3%, P = .98). CONCLUSION: Patients with heart failure who are hospitalized in the United States had lower short-term mortality at 30 days, but 1-year mortality rates were not significantly different between the United States and Canada.


Subject(s)
Heart Failure/therapy , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Inpatients , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Quality Assurance, Health Care , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Canada/epidemiology , Female , Heart Failure/mortality , Heart Failure/physiopathology , Humans , Male , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Severity of Illness Index , Stroke Volume/physiology , Survival Rate/trends , United States/epidemiology
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