Early Warning Scores to Predict Noncritical Events Overnight in Hospitalized Medical Patients: A Prospective Case Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Physicians are often called to evaluate patients overnight with varying levels of clinical deterioration. Early warning scores predict critical clinical deterioration in patients; however, it is unknown whether they are able to reliably predict which patients will need to be seen overnight and whether these patients will require further resource use. METHODS: A prospective case cohort study of 522 patient nights in a single tertiary care hospital in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, was conducted to assess the ability of Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) and National Early Warning Score (NEWS) to predict patients who will need to be seen overnight by physicians and will require other healthcare resources. Prediction ability was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and logistic regression models. RESULTS: The MEWS and NEWS both significantly predicted which patients needed to be seen overnight, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (95% confidence interval) for MEWS and NEWS were 0.72 (0.66-0.78) and 0.69 (0.63-0.76), respectively. Odds ratios (95% confidence interval) for MEWS and NEWS predicting need to be seen overnight were 1.52 (1.34-1.73) and 1.22 (1.14-1.31), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Both MEWS and NEWS have fair ability to predict patients who will need to be seen overnight. This may be useful for improving handover and resource allocation for overnight care.

Structured patient handoff on an internal medicine ward: A cluster randomized control trial.

BACKGROUND: The effect of a multi-faceted handoff strategy in a high volume internal medicine inpatient setting on process and patient outcomes has not been clearly established. We set out to determine if a multi-faceted handoff intervention consisting of education, standardized handoff procedures, including fixed time and location for face-to-face handoff would result in improved rates of handoff compared with usual practice. We also evaluated resident satisfaction, health resource utilization and clinical outcomes. METHODS: This was a cluster randomized controlled trial in a large academic tertiary care center with 18 inpatient internal medicine ward teams from January-April 2013. We randomized nine inpatient teams to an intervention where they received an education session standardizing who and how to handoff patients, with practice and feedback from facilitators. The control group of 9 teams continued usual non-standardized handoffs. The primary process outcome was the rate of patients handed over per 1000 patient nights. Other process outcomes included perceptions of inadequate handoff by overnight physicians, resource utilization overnight and hospital length of stay. Clinical outcomes included medical errors, frequency of patients requiring higher level of care overnight, and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: The intervention group demonstrated a significant increase in the rate of patients handed over to the overnight physician (62.90/1000 person-nights vs. 46.86/1000 person-nights, p = 0.002). There was no significant difference in other process outcomes except resource utilization was increased in the intervention group (26.35/1000 person-days vs. 17.57/1000 person-days, p-value = 0.01). There was no significant difference between groups in medical errors (4.8% vs. 4.1%), need for higher level of care or in hospital mortality. Limitations include a dependence of accurate record keeping by the overnight physician, the possibility of cross-contamination in the handoff process, analysis at the cluster level and an overall low number of clinical events. CONCLUSIONS: Implementation of a multi-faceted resident handoff intervention did not result in a significant improvement in patient safety although did improve number of patients handed off. Novel methods to improve handoff need to be explored. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Registered at ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01796756.

Barriers to goals of care discussions with seriously ill hospitalized patients and their families: a multicenter survey of clinicians.

IMPORTANCE: Seriously ill hospitalized patients have identified communication and decision making about goals of care as high priorities for quality improvement in end-of-life care. Interventions to improve care are more likely to succeed if tailored to existing barriers. OBJECTIVE: To determine, from the perspective of hospital-based clinicians, (1) barriers impeding communication and decision making about goals of care with seriously ill hospitalized patients and their families and (2) their own willingness and the acceptability for other clinicians to engage in this process. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Multicenter survey of medical teaching units of nurses, internal medicine residents, and staff physicians from participating units at 13 university-based hospitals from 5 Canadian provinces. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Importance of 21 barriers to goals of care discussions rated on a 7-point scale (1 = extremely unimportant; 7 = extremely important). RESULTS: Between September 2012 and March 2013, questionnaires were returned by 1256 of 1617 eligible clinicians, for an overall response rate of 77.7% (512 of 646 nurses [79.3%], 484 of 634 residents [76.3%], 260 of 337 staff physicians [77.2%]). The following family member-related and patient-related factors were consistently identified by all 3 clinician groups as the most important barriers to goals of care discussions: family members' or patients' difficulty accepting a poor prognosis (mean [SD] score, 5.8 [1.2] and 5.6 [1.3], respectively), family members' or patients' difficulty understanding the limitations and complications of life-sustaining treatments (5.8 [1.2] for both groups), disagreement among family members about goals of care (5.8 [1.2]), and patients' incapacity to make goals of care decisions (5.6 [1.2]). Clinicians perceived their own skills and system factors as less important barriers. Participants viewed it as acceptable for all clinician groups to engage in goals of care discussions-including a role for advance practice nurses, nurses, and social workers to initiate goals of care discussions and be a decision coach. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Hospital-based clinicians perceive family member-related and patient-related factors as the most important barriers to goals of care discussions. All health care professionals were viewed as playing important roles in addressing goals of care. These findings can inform the design of future interventions to improve communication and decision making about goals of care.

Antihyperglycemic therapy and cardiovascular outcomes after acute myocardial infarction in elderly patients with diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: Type 2 diabetes mellitus is a clear prognostic marker for increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We compared diabetes patients based on therapy used (no pharmacotherapy, those prescribed oral antihyperglycemic agents and those prescribed insulin) on the composite risk of recurrent AMI, congestive heart failure and mortality among elderly patients with AMI. METHODS: Using administrative data, we identified patients, aged 65 years and older, with an incident AMI hospitalization in British Columbia and the Calgary Health Region between April 1, 1995, and March 31, 2002, for a retrospective cohort study. Cox proportional hazard models were constructed to compare time to reach the composite outcome in the treatment groups. RESULTS: Among 22 499 patients with AMI, 5158 patients had diabetes. Women comprised 43.2% of the diabetes cohort. For the composite outcome, there was a stepwise increase in the occurrence based on medication use: no diabetes (23.55 events per 100 person-years); diabetes but no treatment (31.70 per 100 person-years); oral agents only (36.34 per 100 person-years) and insulin therapy (49.43 per 100 person-years). After adjustment, relative to patients without diabetes, no treatment (hazard ratio 1.37, 95% confidence interval, 1.22 to 1.53), oral agents only (hazard ratio 1.43, 95% confidence interval, 1.31 to 1.56) and insulin therapy (hazard ratio 1.65, 95% confidence interval, 1.48 to 1.84) were all associated with an increased risk of the outcome developing. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes conferred a significant risk increase in a combination of cardiovascular events after AMI. The risk existed even for diabetes patients not prescribed therapy and showed a progressive trend as the intensity of treatment advanced toward insulin.

Outcomes in young South Asian Canadians after acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: South Asians have a high prevalence of ischemic heart disease and experience high incident acute myocardial infarction (AMI) rates at younger ages than their white counterparts. The aim of this study was to compare outcomes after AMI in a Canadian population of South Asian and white patients, aged 20 to 55 years. METHODS: Using hospital discharge abstract administrative data, we included patients with incident AMI, residing in British Columbia and the Calgary Health Region, between April 1, 1995 and March 31, 2002. The cohort was followed for up to 8 years (mean 4.2 years) to determine outcomes of mortality, recurrent AMI, and congestive heart failure (CHF) requiring hospitalization. South Asian ethnicity was determined using validated surname analysis. Baseline demographic characteristics and comorbidities were adjusted using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Of 7135 young patients with AMI, 487 were of South Asian ancestry. Compared with white patients, South Asian patients were more likely to have diabetes (25% vs. 12%) and hypertension (24% vs. 20%). After adjustment for sociodemographic and comorbidity variables, there were no significant differences in rates of 30-day mortality (risk adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.38-2.10), long-term mortality (aHR 0.81; 95% CI, 0.53-1.26), recurrent AMI (aHR 1.07; 95% CI, 0.89-1.29), or CHF (aHR 0.90; 95% CI, 0.51-1.59) between the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the recognition of increased cardiovascular mortality among young South Asian patients, our Canadian sample demonstrated similar rates of fatal and nonfatal outcomes among young South Asian and white patients with AMI.

Ethnic and sex differences in the incidence of hospitalized acute myocardial infarction: British Columbia, Canada 1995-2002.

BACKGROUND: As populations in Western countries continue to change in their ethnic composition, there is a need for regular surveillance of diseases that have previously shown some health disparities. Earlier data have already demonstrated high rates of cardiovascular mortality among South Asians and relatively lower rates among people of Chinese descent. The aim of this study was to describe the differences in the incidence of hospitalized acute myocardial infarction (AMI) among the three largest ethnic groups in British Columbia (BC), Canada. METHODS: Using hospital administrative data, we identified all patients with incident AMI in BC between April 1, 1995, and March 31, 2002. Census data from 2001 provided the denominator for the entire BC population. Ethnicity was determined using validated surname analysis and applied to the census and hospital administrative datasets. Direct age standardization was used to compare incidence rates. RESULTS: A total of 34,848 AMI cases were identified. Among men, South Asians had the highest age standardized rate of AMI hospitalization at 4.97/1000 population/year, followed by Whites at 3.29, and then Chinese at 0.98. Young South Asian men, in particular, showed incidence rates that were double that of young Whites and ten times that of young Chinese men. South Asian women also had the highest age-standardized rate of AMI hospitalization at 2.35/1000 population/year, followed by White women (1.53) and Chinese women (0.49). CONCLUSIONS: South Asians continue to have a higher incidence of hospitalized AMI while incidence rates among Chinese remain low. Ethnic differences are most notable among younger men.

Outcomes in a diabetic population of South Asians and whites following hospitalization for acute myocardial infarction: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to determine whether South Asian patients with diabetes have a worse prognosis following hospitalization for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) compared with their White counterparts. We measured the risk of developing a composite cardiovascular outcome of recurrent AMI, congestive heart failure (CHF) requiring hospitalization, or death, in these two groups. METHODS: Using hospital administrative data, we performed a retrospective cohort study of 41,615 patients with an incident AMI in British Columbia and the Calgary Health Region between April 1, 1995, and March 31, 2002. South Asian ethnicity was determined using validated surname analysis. Baseline demographic characteristics and co-morbidities were included in Cox proportional hazard models to compare time to reaching the composite outcome and its individual components. RESULTS: Among the AMI cohort, 29.7% of South Asian patients and 17.6% of White patients were identified as having diabetes (n = 7416). There was no significant difference in risk of developing the composite cardiovascular outcome (Hazard Ratio = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.80-1.01). However, South Asian patients had significantly lower mortality at long term follow-up (HR = 0.62, 95% CI = 0.51-0.74) compared to their White counterparts. CONCLUSIONS: Following hospitalization for AMI, South Asian patients with diabetes do not have a significantly different long term risk of a composite cardiovascular outcome compared to White patients with diabetes. While previous research has suggested worse cardiovascular outcomes in the South Asian population, we found lower long-term mortality among South Asians with diabetes following AMI.