Prospective cohort analyzing risk factors for chronic kidney disease progression in children / Coorte prospectiva que analisa os fatores de risco para progressão de doença renal crônica (DRC) em crianças

Abstract Objective: To identify risk factors for chronic kidney disease progression in Brazilian children and to evaluate the interactions between factors. Methods: This was a multicenter prospective cohort in São Paulo, involving 209 children with CKD stages 3-4. The study outcome included: (a) death, (b) start of kidney replacement therapy, (c) eGFR decrease >50% during the followup. Thirteen risk factors were tested using univariate regression models, followed by multivariable Cox regression models. The terms of interaction between the variables showing significant association with the outcome were then introduced to the model. Results: After a median follow-up of 2.5 years (IQR = 1.4-3.0), the outcome occurred in 44 cases (21%): 22 started dialysis, 12 had >50% eGFR decrease, seven underwent transplantation, and three died. Advanced CKD stage at onset (HR = 2.16, CI = 1.14-4.09), nephrotic proteinuria (HR = 2.89, CI = 1.49-5.62), age (HR = 1.10, CI = 1.01-1.17), systolic blood pressure Z score (HR = 1.36, CI = 1.08-1.70), and anemia (HR = 2.60, CI = 1.41-4.77) were associated with the outcome. An interaction between anemia and nephrotic proteinuria at V1 (HR = 0.25, CI = 0.06-1.00) was detected. Conclusions: As the first CKD cohort in the southern hemisphere, this study supports the main factors reported in developed countries with regards to CKD progression, affirming the potential role of treatments to slow CKD evolution. The detected interaction suggests that anemia may be more deleterious for CKD progression in patients without proteinuria and should be further studied.

Resumo Objetivo: Identificar os fatores de risco para progressão da DRC em crianças do Brasil e avaliar as interações entre os fatores. Métodos: Coorte prospectiva multicêntrica em São Paulo, envolvendo 209 crianças com DRC em estágios 3-4. O desfecho do estudo incluiu: a) óbito, b) início da terapia de substituição renal, c) redução de > 50% na taxa estimada de filtração glomerular (eGFR) durante o acompanhamento. Foram testados 13 fatores de risco com o modelo de regressão univariada seguido do modelo de regressão multivariado de Cox. Os termos de interação entre as variáveis mostraram associação significativa e foram introduzidos ao modelo. Resultados: Após média de acompanhamento de 2,5 anos (IIQ = 1,4 a 3,0), 44 casos (21%) apresentaram desfecho: 22 iniciaram diálise, 12 apresentaram redução de > 50% na eGFR, sete foram submetidos a transplante e três morreram. Estágio avançado de DRC no acometimento (RR = 2,16, IC = 1,14-4,09), proteinúria nefrótica (RR = 2,89, IC = 1,49-5,62), idade (RR - 1,10, IC = 1,01-1,17), escore Z da pressão arterial sistólica (RR = 1,36, IC = 1,08-1,70) e anemia (RR = 2,60, IC - 1,41-4,77) foram associados ao resultado. Foi detectada interação entre anemia e proteinúria nefrótica na primeira visita (V1) (RR = 0,25, IC = 0,06-1,00). Conclusões: Como a primeira coorte de DRC no hemisfério sul, este estudo é concordante com os principais fatores relatados em países desenvolvidos com relação à progressão da DRC, afirmando o possível papel dos tratamentos para mostrar a evolução da DRC. A interação detectada sugere que a anemia pode ser mais nociva na progressão da DRC em pacientes sem proteinúria e deve ser ainda mais estudada.

Prospective cohort analyzing risk factors for chronic kidney disease progression in children.

OBJECTIVE: To identify risk factors for chronic kidney disease progression in Brazilian children and to evaluate the interactions between factors. METHODS: This was a multicenter prospective cohort in São Paulo, involving 209 children with CKD stages 3-4. The study outcome included: (a) death, (b) start of kidney replacement therapy, (c) eGFR decrease >50% during the followup. Thirteen risk factors were tested using univariate regression models, followed by multivariable Cox regression models. The terms of interaction between the variables showing significant association with the outcome were then introduced to the model. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 2.5 years (IQR=1.4-3.0), the outcome occurred in 44 cases (21%): 22 started dialysis, 12 had >50% eGFR decrease, seven underwent transplantation, and three died. Advanced CKD stage at onset (HR=2.16, CI=1.14-4.09), nephrotic proteinuria (HR=2.89, CI=1.49-5.62), age (HR=1.10, CI=1.01-1.17), systolic blood pressure Z score (HR=1.36, CI=1.08-1.70), and anemia (HR=2.60, CI=1.41-4.77) were associated with the outcome. An interaction between anemia and nephrotic proteinuria at V1 (HR=0.25, CI=0.06-1.00) was detected. CONCLUSIONS: As the first CKD cohort in the southern hemisphere, this study supports the main factors reported in developed countries with regards to CKD progression, affirming the potential role of treatments to slow CKD evolution. The detected interaction suggests that anemia may be more deleterious for CKD progression in patients without proteinuria and should be further studied.

Abdominal circumference measurement by ultrasound does not enhance estimating the association of visceral fat with cardiovascular risk.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the association between visceral fat and cardiovascular risk factors and to compare the ultrasonographic measurements of abdominal visceral fat with abdominal circumference (AC). METHODS: This observational cross-sectional study categorized pubertal and postpubertal adolescents into a control group (n = 49) and an obese group (n = 46). Weight, height, AC, blood pressure, biochemical tests (lipid profile, triacylglycerols, fasting glucose for insulinemia, and serum uric acid), and ultrasound to measure visceral fat were assessed. RESULTS: We found significant differences in the vascular risk variables between the groups, except for total cholesterol and fasting blood glucose level. We also observed that 31 subjects in the control group presented abnormalities in cardiovascular risk factors. The correlations between abdominal visceral fat (measured by ultrasound or the AC) and cardiovascular risk factors were significant. In the entire sample, AC presented better sensitivity and specificity than the ultrasound-measured abdominal visceral fat for identifying the presence of a cluster of at least three cardiovascular risk factors (areas under the receiver operating characteristics curve 0.87 and 0.73, respectively). CONCLUSION: Ultrasonographic measurements of visceral fat were correlated with cardiovascular risk factors, but this association was also demonstrable with AC measurements. Our results suggest that the measurement of visceral fat by ultrasound is unnecessary for the diagnosis of cardiovascular risk in well-nourished or obese adolescents.

Risk factors for hypertension 3 years after renal transplantation in children.

We performed a case-control study in renal transplant patients between 1998 and 2003 to identify risk factors for arterial hypertension over the medium term in pediatric patients undergoing renal transplantation. Three years after transplant, patients were classified into hypertensive or control groups. The following risk factors were analyzed: hypertension before transplant, glomerular filtration rate at sixth posttransplant month, acute rejection episodes, renal artery stenosis, accumulated prednisone and calcineurin inhibitor doses, presence of native kidneys, donor type (living or cadaver), body mass index at 1 year posttransplant, and glomerular disease as renal insufficiency etiology. Of 161 transplants, 124 fulfilled the inclusion criteria; 63 were hypertensive, and 61 were controls. Univariate analysis showed hypertension before transplant (52/63 vs. 27/61, p < 0.001), glomerulopathies (23/63 vs. 12/61, p = 0.001), glomerular filtration rate at 6 months (71 +/- 18 vs, 80 +/- 18 ml/min per 1.73 m(2), p = 0.003) as risk factors. A tendency to statistical significance was observed with regard to body mass index (SDS) in the first year (0.40 +/- 1.10 vs, 0.04 +/- 1.10, p = 0.072). Multivariate analysis showed statistical significance concerning previous hypertension and glomerular filtration rate at 6 months. Hypertension before transplant and early graft function are the major risk factors for hypertension in the medium term following renal transplant.