Percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion and risk of stroke, hospitalized bleeding and death in Medicare beneficiaries.

PURPOSE: Among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), a nonpharmacologic option (e.g., percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion [LAAO]) is needed for patients with oral anticoagulant (OAC) contraindications. Among beneficiaries in the Medicare fee-for-service coverage 20% sample databases (2015-18) who had AF and an elevated CHA2DS2-VASc score, we assessed the association between percutaneous LAAO versus OAC use and risk of stroke, hospitalized bleeding, and death. METHODS: Patients undergoing percutaneous LAAO were matched to up to five OAC users by sex, age, date of enrollment, index date, CHA2DS2-VASc score, and HAS-BLED score. Overall, 17 156 patients with AF (2905 with percutaneous LAAO) were matched (average ± SD 78 ± 6 years, 44% female). Cox proportional hazards model were used. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 10.3 months. After multivariable adjustments, no significant difference for risk of stroke or death was noted when patients with percutaneous LAAO were compared with OAC users (HRs [95% CIs]: 1.14 [0.86-1.52], 0.98 [0.86-1.10]). There was a 2.94-fold (95% CI: 2.50-3.45) increased risk for hospitalized bleeding for percutaneous LAAO compared with OAC use. Among patients 65 to <78 years old, those undergoing percutaneous LAAO had higher risk of stroke compared with OAC users. No association was present in those ≥78 years. CONCLUSION: In this analysis of real-world AF patients, percutaneous LAAO versus OAC use was associated with similar risk of death, nonsignificantly elevated risk of stroke, and an elevated risk of bleeding in the post-procedural period. Overall, these results support results of randomized trials that percutaneous LAAO may be an alternative to OAC use for patients with contraindications.

A polygenic risk score of atrial fibrillation improves prediction of lifetime risk for heart failure.

AIMS: Heart failure (HF) has shared genetic architecture with its risk factors: atrial fibrillation (AF), body mass index (BMI), coronary heart disease (CHD), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and type 2 diabetes (T2D). We aim to assess the association and risk prediction performance of risk-factor polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for incident HF and its subtypes in bi-racial populations. METHODS AND RESULTS: Five PRSs were constructed for AF, BMI, CHD, SBP, and T2D in White participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. The associations between PRSs and incident HF and its subtypes were assessed using Cox models, and the risk prediction performance of PRSs was assessed using C statistics. Replication was performed in the ARIC study Black and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) White participants. In 8624 ARIC study Whites, 1922 (31% cumulative incidence) HF cases developed over 30 years of follow-up. PRSs of AF, BMI, and CHD were associated with incident HF (P < 0.001), where PRSAF showed the strongest association [hazard ratio (HR): 1.47, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.41-1.53]. Only the addition of PRSAF to the ARIC study HF risk equation improved C statistics for 10 year risk prediction from 0.812 to 0.829 (∆C: 0.017, 95% CI: 0.009-0.026). The PRSAF was associated with both incident HF with reduced ejection fraction (HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.27-1.60) and incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.33-1.62). The associations between PRSAF and incident HF and its subtypes, as well as the improved risk prediction, were replicated in the ARIC study Blacks and the CHS Whites (P < 0.050). Protein analyses revealed that N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and other 98 proteins were associated with PRSAF. CONCLUSIONS: The PRSAF was associated with incident HF and its subtypes and had significant incremental value over an established HF risk prediction equation.

Association of Atrial Fibrillation With Stroke and Dementia Accounting for Left Atrial Function and Size.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with higher risks of ischemic stroke (IS) and dementia. Whether alterations in left atrial (LA) function or size-atrial myopathy-confound these associations remains unknown. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to examine the association of prevalent and incident AF with ischemic stroke and dementia in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study, adjusting for LA function and size. METHODS: Participants at visit 5 (2011-2013) with echocardiographic LA function (reservoir, conduit, contractile strain, and emptying fraction) and size (maximal, minimal volume index) data, and without prevalent stroke or dementia were followed through 2019. For analysis, we used time-varying Cox regression. RESULTS: Among 5,458 participants (1,193 with AF, mean age of 76 years) in the stroke analysis and 5,461 participants (1,205 with AF, mean age of 75 years) in the dementia analysis, 209 participants developed ischemic stroke, and 773 developed dementia over 7.1 years (median). In a demographic and risk factor-adjusted model, AF was significantly associated with ischemic stroke (HR, 1.63; 95% CI: 1.11-2.37) and dementia (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.13-1.70). After additionally adjusting for LA reservoir strain, these associations were attenuated and no longer statistically significant (stroke [HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 0.88-2.00], dementia [HR: 1.15, 95% CI: 0.92-1.43]). Associations with ischemic stroke and dementia were also attenuated and not statistically significant after adjustment for LA contractile strain, emptying fraction, and minimal volume index. CONCLUSIONS: AF-ischemic stroke and AF-dementia associations were not statistically significant after adjusting for measures of atrial myopathy. This proof-of-concept analysis does not support AF as an independent risk factor for ischemic stroke and dementia.

Risk Factors for Sudden Cardiac Arrest Among Hispanic or Latino Adults in Southern California: Ventura PRESTO and HCHS/SOL.

Background Out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is a leading cause of mortality, making prevention of SCA a public health priority. No studies have evaluated predictors of SCA risk among Hispanic or Latino individuals in the United States. Methods and Results In this case-control study, adult SCA cases ages 18-85 (n=1,468) were ascertained in the ongoing Ventura Prediction of Sudden Death in Multi-Ethnic Communities (PRESTO) study (2015-2021) in Ventura County, California. Control subjects were selected from 3033 Hispanic or Latino participants who completed Visit 2 examinations (2014-2017) at the San Diego site of the HCHS/SOL (Hispanic Community Health Survey/Study of Latinos). We used logistic regression to evaluate the association of clinical factors with SCA. Among Hispanic or Latino SCA cases (n=295) and frequency-matched HCHS/SOL controls (n=590) (70.2% men with mean age 63.4 and 61.2 years, respectively), the following clinical variables were associated with SCA in models adjusted for age, sex, and other clinical variables: chronic kidney disease (odds ratio [OR], 7.3 [95% CI, 3.8-14.3]), heavy drinking (OR, 4.5 [95% CI, 2.3-9.0]), stroke (OR, 3.1 [95% CI, 1.2-8.0]), atrial fibrillation (OR, 3.7 [95% CI, 1.7-7.9]), coronary artery disease (OR, 2.9 [95% CI, 1.5-5.9]), heart failure (OR, 2.5 [95% CI, 1.2-5.1]), and diabetes (OR, 1.5 [95% CI, 1.0-2.3]). Conclusions In this first population-based study, to our knowledge, of SCA risk predictors among Hispanic or Latino adults, chronic kidney disease was the strongest risk factor for SCA, and established cardiovascular disease was also important. Early identification and management of chronic kidney disease may reduce SCA risk among Hispanic or Latino individuals, in addition to prevention and treatment of cardiovascular disease.

Warning symptoms associated with imminent sudden cardiac arrest: a population-based case-control study with external validation.

BACKGROUND: Sudden cardiac arrest is a global public health problem with a mortality rate of more than 90%. Prearrest warning symptoms could be harnessed using digital technology to potentially improve survival outcomes. We aimed to estimate the strength of association between symptoms and imminent sudden cardiac arrest. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study of individuals with sudden cardiac arrest and participants without sudden cardiac arrest who had similar symptoms identified from two US community-based studies of patients with sudden cardiac arrest in California state, USA (discovery population; the Ventura Prediction of Sudden Death in Multi-Ethnic Communities [PRESTO] study), and Oregon state, USA (replication population; the Oregon Sudden Unexpected Death Study [SUDS]). Participant data were obtained from emergency medical services reports for people aged 18-85 years with witnessed sudden cardiac arrest (between Feb 1, 2015, and Jan 31, 2021) and an inclusion symptom. Data were also obtained from corresponding control populations without sudden cardiac arrest who were attended by emergency medical services for similar symptoms (between Jan 1 and Dec 31, 2019). We evaluated the association of symptoms with sudden cardiac arrest in the discovery population and validated our results in the replication population by use of logistic regression models. FINDINGS: We identified 1672 individuals with sudden cardiac arrest from the PRESTO study, of whom 411 patients (mean age 65·7 [SD 12·4] years; 125 women and 286 men) were included in the analysis for the discovery population. From a total of 76 734 calls to emergency medical services, 1171 patients (mean age 61·8 [SD 17·3] years; 643 women, 514 men, and 14 participants without data for sex) were included in the control group. Patients with sudden cardiac arrest were more likely to have dyspnoea (168 [41%] of 411 vs 262 [22%] of 1171; p<0·0001), chest pain (136 [33%] vs 296 [25%]; p=0·0022), diaphoresis (50 [12%] vs 90 [8%]; p=0·0059), and seizure-like activity (43 [11%] vs 77 [7%], p=0·011). Symptom frequencies and patterns differed significantly by sex. Among men, chest pain (odds ratio [OR] 2·2, 95% CI 1·6-3·0), dyspnoea (2·2, 1·6-3·0), and diaphoresis (1·7, 1·1-2·7) were significantly associated with sudden cardiac arrest, whereas among women, only dyspnoea was significantly associated with sudden cardiac arrest (2·9, 1·9-4·3). 427 patients with sudden cardiac arrest (mean age 62·2 [SD 13·5]; 122 women and 305 men) were included in the analysis for the replication population and 1238 patients (mean age 59·3 [16·5] years; 689 women, 548 men, and one participant missing data for sex) were included in the control group. Findings were mostly consistent in the replication population; however, notable differences included that, among men, diaphoresis was not associated with sudden cardiac arrest and chest pain was associated with sudden cardiac arrest only in the sex-stratified multivariable analysis. INTERPRETATION: The prevalence of warning symptoms was sex-specific and differed significantly between patients with sudden cardiac arrest and controls. Warning symptoms hold promise for prediction of imminent sudden cardiac arrest but might need to be augmented with additional features to maximise predictive power. FUNDING: US National Heart Lung and Blood Institute.

SGLT2 Inhibitors Are Associated With Reduced Cardiovascular Disease in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: An Analysis of Real-World Data.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and other second-line diabetes therapies with risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), as well as conduct head-to-head comparisons between SGLT2 inhibitors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Using data from the MarketScan databases (January 1, 2013, through December 31, 2019), SGLT2 inhibitor users were matched with up to five other second-line therapy users by age, sex, date of enrollment, and date of second-line therapy initiation. The primary composite outcome included stroke, atrial fibrillation, myocardial infarction, and heart failure. Hazard ratios were estimated, adjusting for demographics and a propensity score reflecting comorbidities and medications. RESULTS: In this study population of 313,396 patients (mean age 53±10 years; 47% female), 9787 incident CVD events occurred over a median follow-up of 1.36 years. After multivariable adjustments, SGLT2 inhibitor users had a lower risk of CVD than other second-line therapy users (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.62 to 0.71). Significant associations were also observed when each CVD outcome was assessed separately. No differences were noted when comparing individual SGLT2 inhibitors. CONCLUSION: SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a clinically meaningfully lower CVD risk in the real-world setting. In head-to-head comparisons, the different SGLT2 inhibitors were consistent in their protective associations with CVD. This suggests that as a class, SGLT2 inhibitors may have widespread benefit in preventing CVD among patients with type 2 diabetes.

Diagnosed Gonorrhea Among Privately Insured Women: Analysis of United States Claims Data.

Background: Gonorrhea incidence in the United States has risen by nearly 50% in the last decade, while screening rates have increased. Gonorrhea sequelae rates could indicate whether increased gonorrhea incidence is due to better screening. We estimated the association of gonorrhea diagnosis with pelvic inflammatory disease (PID), ectopic pregnancy (EP), and tubal factor infertility (TFI) in women and detected changes in associations over time. Materials and Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 5,553,506 women aged 18-49 tested for gonorrhea in the IBM MarketScan claims administrative database from 2013-2018 in the United States. We estimated incidence rates and hazard ratios (HRs) of gonorrhea diagnosis for each outcome, adjusting for potential confounders using Cox proportional hazards models. We tested the interaction between gonorrhea diagnosis and the initial gonorrhea test year to identify changes in associations over time. Results: We identified 32,729 women with a gonorrhea diagnosis (mean follow-up time in years: PID = 1.73, EP = 1.75, TFI = 1.76). A total of 131,500 women were diagnosed with PID, 64,225 had EP, and 41,507 had TFI. Women with gonorrhea diagnoses had greater incidence per 1000 person-years for all outcomes (PID = 33.5, EP = 9.4, TFI = 5.3) compared to women without gonorrhea diagnoses (PID = 13.9, EP = 6.7, TFI = 4.3). After adjustment, HRs were higher in women with a gonorrhea diagnosis vs. those without [PID = 2.29 (95% confidence interval, CI: 2.15-2.44), EP = 1.57, (95% CI: 1.41-1.76), TFI = 1.70 (95% CI: 1.47-1.97)]. The interaction of gonorrhea diagnosis and test year was not significant, indicating no change in relationship by initial test year. Conclusion: The relationship between gonorrhea and reproductive outcomes has persisted, suggesting a higher disease burden.

Cardiovascular Autonomic Function and Incident Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Hospitalizations in Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities.

Rationale: The autonomic nervous system extensively innervates the lungs, but its role in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) outcomes has not been well studied. Objective: We assessed relationships between cardiovascular autonomic nervous system measures (heart rate variability [HRV] and orthostatic hypotension [OH]) and incident COPD hospitalization in the multicenter ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study. Methods: We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals between baseline (1987-1989) autonomic function measures (HRV measures from 2-minute electrocardiograms and OH variables) and incident COPD hospitalizations through 2019. Adjusted analyses included demographic data, smoking status, lung function, comorbidities, and physical activity. We also performed analyses stratified by baseline airflow obstruction. Results: Of the 11,625 participants, (mean age, 53.8 yr), 56.5% were female and 26.3% identified as Black. Baseline mean percentage predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second was 94 ± 17% (standard deviation), and 2,599 participants (22.4%) had airflow obstruction. During a median follow-up time of 26.9 years, there were 2,406 incident COPD hospitalizations. Higher HRV (i.e., better autonomic function) was associated with a lower risk of incident COPD hospitalization. Markers of worse autonomic function (OH and greater orthostatic changes in systolic and diastolic blood pressure) were associated with a higher risk of incident COPD hospitalization (hazard ratio for the presence of OH, 1.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-1.92). In stratified analyses, results were more robust in participants without airflow obstruction at baseline. Conclusions: In this large multicenter prospective community cohort, better cardiovascular autonomic function at baseline was associated with a lower risk of subsequent hospitalization for COPD, particularly among participants without evidence of lung disease at baseline.

Sudden cardiac arrest during the COVID-19 pandemic: A two-year prospective evaluation in a North American community.

BACKGROUND: Early during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, higher sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) incidence and lower survival rates were reported. However, ongoing effects on SCA during the evolving pandemic have not been evaluated. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of COVID-19 on SCA during 2 years of the pandemic. METHODS: In a prospective study of Ventura County, California (2020 population 843,843; 44.1% Hispanic), we compared SCA incidence and outcomes during the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic to the prior 4 years. RESULTS: Of 2222 out-of-hospital SCA cases identified, 907 occurred during the pandemic (March 2020 to February 2022) and 1315 occurred prepandemic (March 2016 to February 2020). Overall age-standardized annual SCA incidence increased from 39 per 100,000 (95% confidence [CI] 37-41) prepandemic to 54 per 100,000 (95% CI 50-57; P <.001) during the pandemic. Among Hispanics, incidence increased by 77%, from 38 per 100,000 (95% CI 34-43) to 68 per 100,000 (95% CI 60-76; P <.001). Among non-Hispanics, incidence increased by 26%, from 39 per 100,000 (95% CI 37-42; P <.001) to 50 per 100,000 (95% CI 46-54). SCA incidence rates closely tracked COVID-19 infection rates. During the pandemic, SCA survival was significantly reduced (15% to 10%; P <.001), and Hispanics were less likely than non-Hispanics to receive bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (45% vs 55%; P = .005) and to present with shockable rhythm (15% vs 24%; P = .003). CONCLUSION: Overall SCA rates remained consistently higher and survival outcomes consistently lower, with exaggerated effects during COVID infection peaks. This longer evaluation uncovered higher increases in SCA incidence among Hispanics, with worse resuscitation profiles. Potential ethnicity-specific barriers to acute SCA care warrant urgent evaluation and intervention.

Associations between MICA and MICB Genetic Variants, Protein Levels, and Colorectal Cancer: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC).

BACKGROUND: The MHC class I chain-related protein A (MICA) and protein B (MICB) participate in tumor immunosurveillance and may be important in colorectal cancer, but have not been examined in colorectal cancer development. METHODS: sMICA and sMICB blood levels were measured by SomaScan in Visit 2 (1990-92, baseline) and Visit 3 (1993-95) samples in cancer-free participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. We selected rs1051792, rs1063635, rs2516448, rs3763288, rs1131896, rs2596542, and rs2395029 that were located in or in the vicinity of MICA or MICB and were associated with cancer or autoimmune diseases in published studies. SNPs were genotyped by the Affymetrix Genome-Wide Human SNP Array. We applied linear and Cox proportional hazards regressions to examine the associations of preselected SNPs with sMICA and sMICB levels and colorectal cancer risk (236 colorectal cancers, 8,609 participants) and of sMICA and sMICB levels with colorectal cancer risk (312 colorectal cancers, 10,834 participants). In genetic analyses, estimates adjusted for ancestry markers were meta-analyzed. RESULTS: Rs1051792-A, rs1063635-A, rs2516448-C, rs3763288-A, rs2596542-T, and rs2395029-G were significantly associated with decreased sMICA levels. Rs2395029-G, in the vicinity of MICA and MICB, was also associated with increased sMICB levels. Rs2596542-T was significantly associated with decreased colorectal cancer risk. Lower sMICA levels were associated with lower colorectal cancer risk in males (HR = 0.68; 95% confidence interval, 0.49-0.96) but not in females (Pinteraction = 0.08). CONCLUSIONS: Rs2596542-T associated with lower sMICA levels was associated with decreased colorectal cancer risk. Lower sMICA levels were associated with lower colorectal cancer risk in males. IMPACT: These findings support an importance of immunosurveillance in colorectal cancer.

Association of abnormal p-wave parameters with brain MRI morphology: The atherosclerosis risk in communities neurocognitive study (ARIC-NCS).

BACKGROUND: Recent evidence indicates that abnormal P-wave parameters (PWPs)-ECG markers of atrial myopathy-are associated with incident dementia, independent of atrial fibrillation (AF) and clinical ischemic stroke. However, the mechanisms remain unclear and may include subclinical vascular brain injury. Hence, we evaluated the association of abnormal PWPs with brain MRI correlates of vascular brain injury in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study (ARIC-NCS). METHODS: ARIC-NCS participants who underwent 3T brain MRI scans in 2011-2013 were included. PWPs were measured from standard 12-lead ECGs. Brain MRI outcomes included cortical infarcts, lacunar infarcts, cerebral microhemorrhages, brain volumes, and white matter disease (WMD) volume. We used weighted multivariable logistic and linear regression to evaluate the associations of abnormal PWPs with brain MRI outcomes. RESULTS: Among 1715 participants (mean age, 76.1 years; 61% women; 29% Black), 797 (46%) had ≥1 abnormal PWP. After multivariable adjustment, including adjusting for prevalent AF, abnormal P-wave terminal force in lead V1 (aPTFV1) and prolonged P-wave duration (PPWD) were associated with increased odds of both cortical (OR 1.41; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.74 and OR 1.30; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.63, respectively) and lacunar infarcts (OR 1.36; 95% CI, 1.15 to 1.63 and OR 1.37; 95% CI, 1.15 to 1.65, respectively). Advanced interatrial block (aIAB) was associated with higher odds of subcortical microhemorrhage (OR 2.04; 95% CI, 1.36 to 3.06). Other than a significant association between aPTFV1 with lower parietal lobe volume, there were no other significant associations with brain or WMD volume. CONCLUSION: In this exploratory analysis of a US community-based cohort, ECG surrogates of atrial myopathy are associated with a higher prevalence of brain infarcts and microhemorrhage, suggesting subclinical vascular brain injury as a possible mechanism underlying the association of atrial myopathy with dementia.

Autoimmune disease and risk of postpartum venous thromboembolism.

Background: The risk of pregnancy-related mortality in the United States has nearly doubled since 1990, with venous thromboembolism (VTE) accounting for approximately 10% of these deaths. Objectives: The objective of this study was to assess whether preexisting autoimmune disease is a risk factor for postpartum VTE. Methods: Using the MarketScan Commercial and Medicare Supplemental administrative databases, a retrospective cohort study analyzed whether postpartum persons with autoimmune disease had a higher risk of postpartum VTE incidence than postpartum persons without autoimmune disease. Using International Classification of Diseases codes, we identified 757,303 individuals of childbearing age who had a valid delivery date with at least 12 weeks of follow-up. Results: Individuals were, on average, 30.7 years old (SD, 5.4), and 3.7% (N = 27,997 of 757,303) of them had evidence of preexisting autoimmune disease. In covariate-adjusted models, postpartum persons with preexisting autoimmune disease had higher rates of postpartum VTE than postpartum persons without autoimmune disease (hazard ratio [HR], 1.33; 95% CI, 1.07-1.64). When analyzed by individual autoimmune disease, those with systemic lupus erythematosus (HR, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.47-4.21) and Crohn's disease (HR, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.34-4.64) were at an elevated risk of postpartum VTE compared with those without autoimmune disease. Conclusion: Autoimmune disease was associated with a higher rate of postpartum VTE, with evidence that the association was most pronounced among individuals with systemic lupus erythematosus and Crohn's disease. These findings suggest that postpartum persons of childbearing age with autoimmune disease may require more monitoring and prophylactic care after delivery to prevent potentially fatal VTE events.

Sudden Cardiac Arrest During Sports Activity in Older Adults.

BACKGROUND: Sports activity among older adults is rising, but there is a lack of community-based data on sports-related sudden cardiac arrest (SrSCA) in the elderly. OBJECTIVES: In this study, the authors investigated the prevalence and characteristics of SrSCA among subjects ≥65 years of age in a large U.S. METHODS: All out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrests (SCAs) were prospectively ascertained in the Portland, Oregon, USA, metro area (2002-2017), and Ventura County, California, USA (2015-2021) (catchment population ∼1.85 million). Detailed information was obtained for SCA warning symptoms, circumstances, and lifetime clinical history. Subjects with SCA during or within 1 hour of cessation of sports activity were categorized as SrSCA. RESULTS: Of 4,078 SCAs among subjects ≥65 years of age, 77 were SrSCA (1.9%; 91% men). The crude annual SrSCA incidence among age ≥65 years was 3.29/100,000 in Portland and 2.10/100,000 in Ventura. The most common associated activities were cycling, gym activity, and running. SrSCA cases had lower burden of cardiovascular risk factors (P = 0.03) as well as comorbidities (P < 0.005) compared with non-SrSCA. Based on conservative estimates of community residents ≥65 years of age who participate in sports activity, the SrSCA incidence was 28.9/100,000 sport participation years and 18.4/100,000 sport participation years in Portland and Ventura, respectively. Crude survival to hospital discharge rate was higher in SrSCA, but the difference was nonsignificant after adjustment for confounding factors. CONCLUSIONS: Among free-living community residents age ≥65 years, SrSCA is uncommon, predominantly occurs in men, and is associated with lower disease burden than non-SrSCA. These results suggest that the risk of SrSCA is low, and probably outweighed by the high benefit of exercise.

Left Atrial Mechanical Dysfunction and the Risk for Ischemic Stroke in People Without Prevalent Atrial Fibrillation or Stroke : A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Atrial myopathy-characterized by changes in left atrial function and size-may precede and promote atrial fibrillation (AF) and cardiac thromboembolism. In people without prior AF or stroke, whether analysis of left atrial function and size can improve ischemic stroke prediction is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association of echocardiographic left atrial function (reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain) and left atrial size (left atrial volume index) with ischemic stroke and determine whether these measures can improve the stroke prediction achieved by CHA2DS2-VASc score variables. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study. PARTICIPANTS: 4917 ARIC participants without prevalent stroke or AF. MEASUREMENTS: Ischemic stroke events (2011 to 2019) were adjudicated by physicians. Left atrial strain was measured using speckle-tracking echocardiography. RESULTS: Over 5 years, the cumulative incidences of ischemic stroke in the lowest quintiles of left atrial reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain were 2.99% (95% CI, 1.89% to 4.09%), 3.18% (CI, 2.14% to 4.22%), and 2.15% (CI, 1.09% to 3.21%), respectively, and that of severe left atrial enlargement was 1.99% (CI, 0.23% to 3.75%). On the basis of the Akaike information criterion, left atrial reservoir strain plus CHA2DS2-VASc variables was the best predictive model. With the addition of left atrial reservoir strain to CHA2DS2-VASc variables, 11.6% of the 112 participants with stroke after 5 years were reclassified to higher risk categories and 1.8% to lower risk categories. Among the 4805 participants who did not develop stroke, 12.2% were reclassified to lower and 12.7% to higher risk categories. Decision curve analysis showed a predicted net benefit of 1.34 per 1000 people at a 5-year risk threshold of 5%. LIMITATION: Underascertainment of subclinical AF. CONCLUSION: In people without prior AF or stroke, when added to CHA2DS2-VASc variables, left atrial reservoir strain improves stroke prediction and yields a predicted net benefit, as shown by decision curve analysis. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health.

A proteomic approach for investigating the pleiotropic effects of statins in the atherosclerosis risk in communities (ARIC) study.

BACKGROUND: Statins are prescribed to reduce LDL-c and risk of CVD. Statins have pleiotropic effects, affecting pathophysiological functions beyond LDL-c reduction. We compared the proteome of statin users and nonusers (controls). We hypothesized that statin use is associated with proteins unrelated to lipid metabolism. METHODS: Among 10,902 participants attending ARIC visit 3 (1993-95), plasma concentrations of 4955 proteins were determined using SOMAlogic's DNA aptamer-based capture array. 379 participants initiated statins within the 2 years prior. Propensity scores (PS) were calculated based on visit 2 (1990-92) LDL-c levels and visit 3 demographic/clinical characteristics. 360 statin users were PS matched to controls. Log2-transformed and standardized protein levels were compared using t-tests, with false discovery rate (FDR) adjustment for multiple comparisons. Analyses were replicated in visit 2. RESULTS: Covariates were balanced after PS matching, except for higher visit 3 LDL-c levels among controls (125.70 vs 147.65 mg/dL; p < 0.0001). Statin users had 11 enriched and 11 depleted protein levels after FDR adjustment (q < 0.05). Proteins related and unrelated to lipid metabolism differed between groups. Results were largely replicated in visit 2. CONCLUSION: Proteins unrelated to lipid metabolism differed by statin use. Pending external validation, exploring their biological functions could elucidate pleiotropic effects of statins. SIGNIFICANCE: Statins are the primary pharmacotherapy for lowering low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol and preventing cardiovascular disease. Their primary mechanism of action is through inhibiting the protein 3hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl CoA reductase (HMGCR) in the mevalonate pathway of LDL cholesterol synthesis. However, statins have pleiotropic effects and may affect other biological processes directly or indirectly, with hypothesized negative and positive effects. The present study contributes to identifying these pathways by comparing the proteome of stain users and nonusers with propensity score matching. Our findings highlight potential biological mechanisms underlying statin pleiotropy, informing future efforts to identify statin users at risk of rare nonatherosclerotic outcomes and identify health benefits of statin use independent of LDL-C reduction.

Proteomics Analysis of Genetic Liability of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Identifies Plasma Neogenin and Kit Ligand: The ARIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies have reported 23 gene loci related to abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA)-a potentially lethal condition characterized by a weakened dilated vessel wall. This study aimed to identify proteomic signatures and pathways related to these risk loci to better characterize AAA genetic susceptibility. METHODS: Plasma concentrations of 4870 proteins were determined using a DNA aptamer-based array. Linear regression analysis estimated the associations between the 23 risk alleles and plasma protein levels with adjustments for potential confounders in a race-stratified analysis of 1671 Black and 7241 White participants. Significant proteins were then evaluated for their prediction of clinical AAA (454 AAA events in 11 064 individuals), and those significantly associated with AAA were further interrogated using Mendelian randomization analysis. RESULTS: Risk variants proximal to PSRC1-CELSR2-SORT1, PCIF1-ZNF335-MMP9, RP11-136O12.2/TRIB1, ZNF259/APOA5, IL6R, PCSK9, LPA, and APOE were associated with 118 plasma proteins in Whites and 59 were replicated in Black participants. Novel associations with clinical AAA incidence were observed for kit ligand (HR, 0.59 [95% CI, 0.42-0.82] for top versus first quintiles) and neogenin (HR, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.46-0.88]) over a median 21.2-year follow-up; neogenin was also associated with ultrasound-detected asymptomatic AAA (N=4295; 57 asymptomatic AAA cases). Mendelian randomization inverse variance weighted estimates suggested that AAA risk is promoted by lower levels of kit ligand (OR per SD=0.67; P=1.4×10-5) and neogenin (OR per SD=0.50; P=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Low levels of neogenin and kit ligand may be novel risk factors for AAA development in potentially causal pathways. These findings provide insights and potential targets to reduce AAA susceptibility.

A panel of blood biomarkers unique to sudden cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND: The identification of circulating biomarkers specific for sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) could enhance risk prediction. Of particular interest are biomarkers specific to SCA, independent of coronary artery disease (CAD). OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to identify biomarkers of SCA obtained close to the SCA event. METHODS: Twenty cases (survivors of SCA) and 40 age- and sex-matched controls were compared, with a replication analysis of 29 cases matched to 57 controls. A secondary analysis compared 20 SCA cases to 20 controls with CAD. Blood samples were obtained from SCA survivors at a median of 11 months after the SCA event. Proteins were analyzed on a mass spectrometer using data-independent acquisition; a subset of cytokines were analyzed using immunoassays; and 1153 lipids (13 classes) were analyzed. A false discovery rate P value of <.05 identified associated proteins. RESULTS: Patients had a mean age of 58 years (range 25-87 years), and 70% were male. A total of 26 protein biomarkers associated with SCA when cases were compared with controls, of which 20 differentiated SCA from CAD. The replication analysis identified 8 of 26 biomarkers, of which 6 were not overlapping with CAD. The top identified biological processes involved the extracellular matrix, coagulation cascades, and platelet activation. Lipids in the lysophosphatidylcholine class were implicated in SCA through the CAD pathway. CONCLUSION: We identified a panel of novel blood biomarkers specifically associated with SCA, including several that may be involved outside the CAD pathway. These biomarkers could have mechanistic significance and the potential to enhance clinical prediction of SCA.

Proteomic analysis of diabetes genetic risk scores identifies complement C2 and neuropilin-2 as predictors of type 2 diabetes: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Genetic predisposition to type 2 diabetes is well-established, and genetic risk scores (GRS) have been developed that capture heritable liabilities for type 2 diabetes phenotypes. However, the proteins through which these genetic variants influence risk have not been thoroughly investigated. This study aimed to identify proteins and pathways through which type 2 diabetes risk variants may influence pathophysiology. METHODS: Using a proteomics data-driven approach in a discovery sample of 7241 White participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC) cohort and a replication sample of 1674 Black ARIC participants, we interrogated plasma levels of 4870 proteins and four GRS of specific type 2 diabetes phenotypes related to beta cell function, insulin resistance, lipodystrophy, BMI/blood lipid abnormalities and a composite score of all variants combined. RESULTS: Twenty-two plasma proteins were identified in White participants after Bonferroni correction. Of the 22 protein-GRS associations that were statistically significant, 10 were replicated in Black participants and all but one were directionally consistent. In a secondary analysis, 18 of the 22 proteins were found to be associated with prevalent type 2 diabetes and ten proteins were associated with incident type 2 diabetes. Two-sample Mendelian randomisation indicated that complement C2 may be causally related to greater type 2 diabetes risk (inverse variance weighted estimate: OR 1.65 per SD; p=7.0 × 10-3), while neuropilin-2 was inversely associated (OR 0.44 per SD; p=8.0 × 10-3). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Identified proteins may represent viable intervention or pharmacological targets to prevent, reverse or slow type 2 diabetes progression, and further research is needed to pursue these targets.