ABSTRACT
AIM: The aim of this paper was to assess short and long term prognostic value of the OESIL risk score (ORS), a risk stratification rule for syncope which consider abnormal ECG, age > 65, history of cardiovascular diseases, lack of prodromal symptoms to identify patients at higher risk of mortality (ORS≥2) to be admitted. METHODS: This is a prospective cohort study in which syncopal recurrences, readmission for other reasons, major therapeutic procedures, cardiovascular events, death for any reason, were assessed in a group of 200 syncopal patients at both 1 month and 1 year after discharge from an Emergency Department Observation Unit. RESULTS: Multinomial logistic regression analysis showed that ORS ≥2 is not associated with any endpoint, except major procedures. Conversely, ORS≥3 was a strong predictor of at least 1 adverse event within 1 month and severe outcomes within 1 year, particularly for non-syncopal readmission (P<0.005), major procedures (P<0.002), cardiovascular events (P<0.023), and death for any cause (P<0.022). CONCLUSION: Our patient group was significantly older than the ORS derivation cohort (72.4±15.1 vs. 59.5±24.3 yrs) and mostly above the age considered as 1 point in the ORS, so it is rather understandable that only a more restrictive cut-off might be advantageous for identifying high risk patients. On the evidence of a progressive ageing of patients presenting at the EDs, we suggest to use a ³3 ORS threshold when deciding for admission.
Subject(s)
Decision Support Techniques , Hospitalization , Severity of Illness Index , Syncope , Age Factors , Aged , Cardiovascular Diseases/complications , Emergencies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Patient Discharge , Patient Readmission , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , Recurrence , Reference Values , Regression Analysis , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Syncope/etiology , Syncope/mortality , Syncope/therapy , TriageABSTRACT
To address the potential role that tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha) might play in modulation of insulin resistance in healthy, nondiabetic individuals, we compared plasma TNF-alpha and soluble TNF-alpha receptor 2 (sTNF-R2) concentrations, as well as TNF-alpha polymorphisms, in 94 healthy individuals, stratified into insulin-resistant (IR) and insulin-sensitive (IS) groups based on their plasma insulin concentrations 120 minutes after oral glucose on 2 occasions (1993 and 2000). The IR group (n = 50; 29 men and 21 women) was in the upper quartile and the IS group (n = 44; 24 men and 20 women) in the lowest quartile of the distribution of post-glucose challenge insulin concentrations in a large unselected population (>50 v <23 microU/mL). The IR group had significantly higher values for body mass index, waist-to-hip girth, fasting and post-glucose challenge insulin concentrations, and fasting triglyceride concentrations, and lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations as compared to the IS group. Despite the fact that they were relatively more obese, and insulin-resistant, plasma concentrations of TNF-alpha were similar in the IR (1.6 +/- 0.6 pg/mL) and IS (1.7 +/- 0.6 pg/mL) groups, as were the concentrations (5.4 +/- 1.4 v 5.8 +/- 2.0 pg/mL) of sTNF-R2. Furthermore, TNF-alpha polymorphisms (detected by polymerase chain reaction [PCR]) were similar in the 2 groups, with essentially identical allelic frequencies of the 238 (10.3% v 9.4%) and 308 polymorphisms (17.9% v 18.7%). In conclusion, plasma TNF-alpha and sTNF-R2 concentrations, as well as TNF-alpha gene polymorphisms, were not different in healthy volunteers stratified into IR and IS groups on the basis of their plasma insulin response to an oral glucose challenge. Given these data, it does not appear that differences in TNF-alpha activity contribute to the marked variations in insulin action that occur in healthy individuals.
