Combination HIV prevention during pregnancy and the post-partum period in Malawi and Zambia: a mathematical modelling analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Despite widespread success in reducing vertical HIV transmission, most antenatal care (ANC) programmes in eastern and southern Africa have not emphasized primary prevention of maternal HIV acquisition during pregnancy and lactation/breastfeeding. We hypothesized that combination HIV prevention interventions initiated alongside ANC could substantially reduce maternal HIV incidence. METHODS: We constructed a multi-state model describing male-to-female HIV transmission in steady heterosexual partnerships during pregnancy and lactation/breastfeeding, with initial conditions based on population distribution estimates for Malawi and Zambia in 2020. We modelled individual and joint increases in three HIV prevention strategies at or soon after ANC initiation: (1) HIV testing of male partners, resulting in HIV diagnosis and less condomless sex among those with previously undiagnosed HIV; (2) initiation (or re-initiation) of suppressive antiretroviral therapy (ART) for male partners with diagnosed but unsuppressed HIV; and (3) adherent pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for HIV-negative female ANC patients with HIV-diagnosed or unknown-status male partners. We estimated the percentage of within-couple, male-to-female HIV transmissions that could be averted during pregnancy and lactation/breastfeeding with these strategies, relative to base-case conditions in which 45% of undiagnosed male partners become newly HIV diagnosed via testing, 75% of male partners with diagnosed but unsuppressed HIV initiate/re-initiate ART and 0% of female ANC patients start PrEP. RESULTS: Increasing uptake of any single strategy by 20 percentage points above base-case levels averted 10%-11% of maternal HIV acquisitions during pregnancy and lactation/breastfeeding in the model. Joint uptake increases of 20 percentage points in two interventions averted an estimated 19%-23% of transmissions, and with a 20-percentage-point increase in uptake of all three interventions, 29% were averted. Strategies achieving 95% male testing, 90% male ART initiation/re-initiation and 40% female PrEP use reduced incident infections by 45%. CONCLUSIONS: Combination HIV prevention strategies provided alongside ANC and sustained through the post-partum period could substantially reduce maternal HIV incidence during pregnancy and lactation/breastfeeding in eastern and southern Africa.

Early-phase scale-up of isoniazid preventive therapy for people living with HIV in two districts in Malawi (2017).

BACKGROUND: Isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT) against tuberculosis (TB) is a life-saving intervention for people living with HIV (PLHIV). In September 2017, Malawi began programmatic scale-up of IPT to eligible PLHIV in five districts with high HIV and TB burden. We measured the frequency and timeliness of early-phase IPT implementation to inform quality-improvement processes. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We applied a two-stage cluster design with systematic, probability-proportional-to-size sampling of six U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)-affiliated antiretroviral therapy (ART) centers operating in the urban areas of Lilongwe and Blantyre, Malawi (November 2017). ART clinic patient volume determined cluster size. Within each cluster, we sequentially sampled approximately 50 PLHIV newly enrolled in ART care. We described a quality-of-care cascade for intensive TB case finding (ICF) and IPT in PLHIV. PLHIV newly enrolled in ART care were eligibility-screened for hepatitis and peripheral neuropathy, as well as for TB disease using a standardized four-symptom screening tool. Among eligible PLHIV, the overall weighted IPT initiation rate was 70% (95% CI: 46%-86%). Weighted IPT initiation among persons aged <15 years (30% [95% CI: 12%-55%]) was significantly lower than among persons aged ≥15 years (72% [95% CI: 47%-89%]; Rao-Scott chi-square P = 0.03). HIV-positive children aged <5 years had a weighted initiation rate of only 13% (95% CI: 1%-79%). For pregnant women, the weighted initiation rate was 67% (95% CI: 32%-90%), similar to non-pregnant women aged ≥15 years (72% [95% CI: 49%-87%]). Lastly, 95% (95% CI: 92%-97%) of eligible PLHIV started ART within one week of HIV diagnosis, and 92% (95% CI: 73%-98%) of patients receiving IPT began on the same day as ART. CONCLUSIONS: Early-phase IPT uptake among adults at ART centers in Malawi was high. Child uptake needed improvement. National programs could adapt this framework to evaluate their ICF-IPT care cascades.