Estimation of the Eligible Population For Resmetirom Among Adults in the United States for Treatment of Non-Cirrhotic NASH with Moderate-to-Advanced Liver Fibrosis.

INTRODUCTION: As of March 2024, resmetirom is the first and only therapy approved in the United States (US) for the treatment of adults with non-cirrhotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) with moderate-to-advanced liver fibrosis (MALF) consistent with stages F2/F3 fibrosis. Estimates of the diagnosed, treatment-eligible NASH population are poorly understood due to diagnostic variability. This study provides a contemporary estimate of the size of the US resmetirom treatment-eligible population. METHODS: A dynamic population calculator was developed combining literature, screening guidelines, resmetirom study criteria, and analyses of the NHANES 2017-March 2020 cycle. It computes NASH prevalence, proportion non-cirrhotic NASH with MALF, Year 1 diagnosis, and new diagnoses in Years 2 and 3. NASH prevalence was estimated by applying the American Association of Clinical Endocrinology screening algorithm and recommended NIT cut-offs in the NHANES dataset. The proportion of non-cirrhotic NASH with MALF was informed by analyses of the Forian US integrated medical claims database using NASH and cirrhosis-specific ICD-10-CM codes and FIB-4 scores. NASH diagnosis rates were obtained from published estimates and NHANES responses. Treatment-eligible population growth was projected using published incidence data. Estimates were compared to a NASH budget-impact-analysis (BIA) from the Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER). RESULTS: In the base case, a NASH prevalence of 4.6% was modeled (range 1.3-14.2%). This value was multiplied by the proportion estimated to have non-cirrhotic MALF (i.e., 35%). Published analyses suggest a diagnosis rate of ~ 10% (range 3.3-14.3%) and ~ 16% year-over-year growth in the treatment-eligible population. Assuming a 1-million commercial-member population, the resmetirom treatment-eligible population was estimated as 1255-1699 in Years 1-3 following approval. Sensitivity analyses were conducted and comparison to the ICER BIA was influenced by different diagnosis rates. CONCLUSION: Estimation of the treatment-eligible population for resmetirom depends importantly on NASH diagnosis rates, which are predicted to be < 15% in the 3 years after drug approval. Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is an advanced form of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Previously there were no treatments for NASH in the United States (US), but as of March 2024, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved resmetirom (REZDIFFRA™), a once-daily, oral therapy, in conjunction with diet and exercise, under accelerated approval for the treatment of adults (aged 18 years or older) with non-cirrhotic NASH with moderate-to-advanced liver fibrosis (MALF), consistent with stages F2-F3. It is not well understood how many diagnosed patients with NASH would be eligible for treatment with resmetirom; thus, this study aimed to estimate the size of the US resmetirom treatment-eligible population. To do so, we created a flexible population calculator that considers how many people have NASH, what proportion would be eligible for resmetirom treatment-i.e., have non-cirrhotic NASH with MALF-and of those how many people would be diagnosed. We used published literature, screening guidelines, resmetirom study criteria, and analyses of national surveys to inform our range of estimates. In the main analysis, we modeled a NASH prevalence of 4.6% (range 1.3-14.2%), which was then limited to the proportion estimated to have non-cirrhotic NASH with MALF (i.e., 35%) and diagnosed (i.e., 10%, range 3.3-14.3%). A year-over-year growth of approximately 16% in the treatment-eligible population was modeled in years following approval. Assuming a population of 1 million commercial insurance enrollees, the resmetirom treatment-eligible population was estimated to be 1255-1699 in Years 1-3 following approval. We assessed alternative scenarios and have compared our results to existing models.

Cardiovascular risk in US adults with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) vs. matched non-NASH controls, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2017-2020.

BACKGROUND: NASH is considered a contributor to atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk; however, its contribution beyond traditional risk factors for CVD, particularly diabetes, is less clearly understood. This study aimed to quantify the cardiovascular-event risk associated with NASH, independent of diabetes status. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis was conducted using the 2017-2020 NHANES pre-pandemic cycle. NASH was defined based on presence of steatosis without other causes of liver disease, and FibroScan+AST score from vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE). Significant fibrosis (stages F2-F4) was identified by liver stiffness measurement from VCTE. Predicted primary CV-event risk was estimated using both the Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) and the Framingham Risk Score (FRS). NASH patients were matched with non-NASH controls on age, sex, race/ethnicity, and diabetes status. Weighted logistic regression was conducted, modeling elevated predicted CV risk (binary) as the dependent variable and indicators for NASH / fibrosis stages as independent variables. RESULTS: A sample of 125 NASH patients was matched with 2585 controls. NASH with significant fibrosis was associated with elevated predicted 10-year CV risk, although this association was only statistically significant in PCE analyses (odds ratio and 95% CI 2.34 [1.25, 4.36]). Analyses restricting to ages <65 years showed similar results, with associations of greater magnitude. CONCLUSION: Independent of diabetes, a significant association was observed between NASH with significant liver fibrosis and predicted primary CV-event risk in US adults, particularly for those <65. These findings suggest the importance of accounting for NASH and liver-fibrosis stage in predicting CV-event risk.

Prevalence of Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis and Associated Fibrosis Stages Among US Adults Using Imaging-Based vs Biomarker-Based Noninvasive Tests.

Introduction: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is believed to be the most common chronic liver disease worldwide. Therapies are under development for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), the progressive form of NAFLD, such that the prevalence of NASH with liver fibrosis, which is likely to require treatment, may be of interest to healthcare decision makers. Noninvasive tests are used in initial screening for NASH, as well as in observational studies of NASH prevalence. However, existing evidence does not address how estimated prevalence varies with different noninvasive tests. This analysis estimated the prevalence of NASH among US adults and assessed variation with different noninvasive tests. Methods: A cross-sectional analysis was conducted using the 2017-March 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey cycle. Participants with presumed NAFLD (steatosis and without alternative causes of liver disease) were identified, among whom NASH was predicted based on FAST score, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and AST-to-Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) cutoffs across 11 scenarios. Among NASH participants, fibrosis stages were explored based on distribution across the spectrum of liver-stiffness measurements. Results: Among participants with complete data for the analysis (N=6969), prevalence of presumed NAFLD was 25.6%. Within presumed NAFLD, prediction of NASH using imaging-based NIT cutoffs yielded estimated prevalence of 1.3%-4.8% (3.3 million-12.2 million) based on FAST score cutoffs from 0.35-0.67. Using biomarker-based NIT cutoffs yielded estimated prevalence of 0.4%-12.3% (1.0 million-14.5 million) based on FIB-4 cutoffs from 0.90-2.67, and 0.1%-1.9% (0.2-5.0 million) based on APRI cutoffs from 0.50-1.50. Conclusion: Prevalence of NASH among US adults was estimated to range from 1.3% to 4.8% when predicted using imaging-based noninvasive test values for participants with presumed NAFLD, generally aligning with estimates in the literature of prevalence of biopsy-confirmed NASH. Use of biomarker-based noninvasive test values for prediction of NASH yielded a wider range of estimates with FIB-4, and a considerably lower range of estimates with APRI.

Matching-Adjusted Indirect Comparison Between Risankizumab and Ustekinumab for Induction and Maintenance Treatment of Moderately to Severely Active Crohn's Disease.

INTRODUCTION: Risankizumab (RZB) and ustekinumab (UST), interleukin (IL)-23 and IL-12/23 inhibitors, respectively, are approved treatments for moderately to severely active Crohn's disease (CD); direct comparison between the two is ongoing. We indirectly compared efficacy of RZB versus UST using data from phase 3 trials (RZB: NCT03104413; NCT03105128; NCT03105102; UST: NCT01369329; NCT01369342; NCT01369355). METHODS: Matching-adjusted indirect comparison was conducted using individual patient-level data from RZB trials and published aggregated data from UST trials. During induction, patients received RZB 600 mg intravenous (IV) at weeks 0, 4, and 8 or a single dose of UST 6 mg/kg IV at week 0. During maintenance, patients received RZB 180 or 360 mg subcutaneous (SC) or UST 90 mg SC every 8 or 12 weeks to 52 weeks. Outcomes included proportion of patients achieving Crohn's Disease Activity Index (CDAI) response (decrease of ≥ 100 points or total score < 150) or remission (CDAI ≤ 150) and endoscopic improvement (measured by the Simple Endoscopic Score in CD [SES-CD]; response, ≥ 50% reduction from baseline; remission, SES-CD ≤ 2) following induction/baseline. RESULTS: Higher proportions of patients achieved clinical and endoscopic outcomes with RZB vs. UST induction treatment, resulting in significantly (p ≤ 0.05) greater percent differences (95% confidence intervals) between groups for CDAI remission (15% [5%, 25%]) and endoscopic response (26% [13%, 40%]) and remission (9% [0%, 19%]). Following maintenance, rates of CDAI remission were similar (range - 0.3% to - 5.0%) for RZB vs. UST. Differences for endoscopic response and remission ranged from 9.3% to 27.7% and 11.6% to 12.5%, respectively; differences were significant (p < 0.05) for endoscopic response for both doses of RZB compared to UST 12-week dosing. CONCLUSIONS: This indirect comparison demonstrated higher rates of clinical and endoscopic outcomes during induction for RZB compared to UST; CDAI remission following maintenance was comparable. Direct comparisons of RZB and UST are warranted to validate these findings.

Using individual patient-level data from risankizumab and aggregated data from ustekinumab phase 3 Crohn's disease trials, we indirectly compared efficacy of risankizumab and ustekinumab to determine whether rates of improvement in disease symptoms (clinical) and endoscopic outcomes differed between treatments. Findings showed that clinical and endoscopic outcomes were more frequently achieved for patients receiving risankizumab versus ustekinumab after induction, while most maintenance outcomes were comparable.

Observational Analysis of the Costs Associated with Acute Treatment of Breakthrough Migraine Attacks in Medicaid Patients Using Preventive Therapies.

INTRODUCTION: Medications for preventive treatment of migraine reduce migraine frequency, usually measured by a reduction in monthly migraine days (MMD), but generally do not eliminate the need for acute treatment. To assess the economic impact of treatment-related reductions in frequency, methodological guidance recommends capturing cost differences along the spectrum of MMD. OBJECTIVE: Characterize monthly migraine medication costs along the spectrum of MMD for patients using calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) for prevention. METHODS: Medicaid State Drug Utilization Data (SDUD) were used to identify formulations and per-unit costs for oral, intranasal, and parenteral migraine-specific medications for acute and preventive treatment used by fee-for-service (FFS) Medicaid enrollees in 2020. National drug codes of relevant therapies were used to match SDUD to formulation characteristics including substance, route of administration, and branded/generic marketing status. Mean per-unit cost and the formulation's share of total prescriptions were estimated. Monthly medication costs were modeled based on formulations' per-unit costs and frequency of acute medication use during clinical trials of CGRP mAbs. RESULTS: In the SDUD, there were 563,338 prescriptions for migraine-specific acute medications; triptans accounted for 97.37%. Triptan formulations prescribed were 83.78% oral tablet, 10.89% orally disintegrating tablet, 2.60% intranasal, and 2.73% parenteral. Dihydroergotamine accounted for < 1% of total prescriptions and had the highest per-unit cost ($443.50, branded intranasal). There were 97,119 prescriptions for CGRP mAbs, the majority for erenumab (45.73%) or galcanezumab (45.24%). Modeled monthly acute and preventive medication costs ranged from approximately $550 in patients with the fewest MMD treated with oral triptans to > $1500 in patients with the most MMD treated with dihydroergotamine. CONCLUSION: In consideration of the migraine-specific acute medications used in FFS Medicaid 2020, for patients using CGRP mAbs for prevention, medication costs may vary significantly with the number of breakthrough attacks treated per month and the type of migraine-specific acute therapy used.

Association between chronic acetaminophen exposure and allergic rhinitis in a rat model.

BACKGROUND: Several population studies demonstrated an increased risk of allergic rhinitis in patients exposed to acetaminophen. However, no histologic studies have been conducted to assess the relationship between acetaminophen exposure and allergic rhinitis. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we investigated the association between chronic acetaminophen exposure and the development of allergic rhinitis in a rat model. METHODS: Ten female Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly assigned to either a control (n = 5) or an acetaminophen group (n = 5). The acetaminophen group received 200 mg/kg/day of acetaminophen suspended in yogurt via oral gavage for 120 days. The control group received only the yogurt vehicle. Allergic behavioral responses, including nose rub, eye rub, ear scratching, and neck and/or face scratching, were quantified. The rats were killed, and the noses were harvested. The portion of the nose, including the nasal septum and the inferior turbinates, was embedded in paraffin, sectioned, and stained with hematoxylin and eosin to quantify the inflammatory infiltrate. RESULTS: The average number of allergic responses per animal was 13.2 in the acetaminophen group versus 6.2 in the control group (p = 0.032). All the rats in the acetaminophen group (100%) had mast cells infiltrating the lamina propria of the inferior turbinate, whereas mast cells were detected in only 40% of the animals in the control group. The average number of mast cells per animal in the acetaminophen group was 134 versus 21 in the control group (p = 0.048). CONCLUSIONS: Our study was the first to demonstrate a histologic association between chronic exposure to acetaminophen and rhinitis. Further research to elucidate the mechanism that underlies these findings is necessary.

Ill-health retirement of schoolteachers in the Republic of Ireland.

BACKGROUND: To investigate the epidemiological profile and medical causes of ill-health retirement (IHR) of teachers in the Republic of Ireland. METHODS: Medical file review of teacher IHR in Irish primary and secondary schools, between 2002 and 2005 inclusive. RESULTS: In all, 466 employees were granted IHR between 2002 and 2005. The rate of IHR was 2.7/1000 teachers per annum, with an average age at IHR of 52 years. The most common reasons for IHR were mental disorders (46%), cancer (19%), circulatory (14%) and musculoskeletal disorders (10%). CONCLUSIONS: The rate of IHR among Irish teachers is similar to that of other occupational groups, with psychiatric conditions, cancer and circulatory diseases as the principal causes.