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1.
Blood Transfus ; 2024 May 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38814884

ABSTRACT

Several countries have recently reassessed the international risk of variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (vCJD) transmission through transfusion of blood and blood components (red blood cells, platelets and plasma) and relaxed donor deferrals based on geographic and transfusion exposure in countries formerly considered to be high risk, such as the UK. In this regard, the European Blood Alliance organised a consensus meeting of experts and involved professionals to discuss current knowledge, epidemiological data, prevention and various methods for assessing the risk of transfusion-transmitted vCJD, as well as to develop an appropriate position on possible approaches to address these challenges in Europe. Participants reached a consensus that the current risk of transfusion-transmitted vCJD associated with blood donors who either travelled to or received transfusions in the UK during the vCJD outbreak is minimal. In addressing such risks, it would be pragmatic that assessments and guidelines are developed by European expert bodies, rather than individual assessments by Member States. Regardless of the approach used, European or national, a qualitative risk assessment based on a review and analysis of available data, considering all the uncertainties and experiences of other countries, would provide crucial information to reassess blood donation strategies regarding the transfusion-associated vCJD risk.

2.
Br J Surg ; 111(1)2024 Jan 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38055888

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The necessity of performing a sentinel lymph node biopsy in patients with clinically and radiologically node-negative breast cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy has been questioned. The aim of this study was to determine the rate of nodal positivity in these patients and to identify clinicopathological features associated with lymph node metastasis after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (ypN+). METHODS: A retrospective multicentre study was performed. Patients with cT1-3 cN0 breast cancer who underwent sentinel lymph node biopsy after neoadjuvant chemotherapy between 2016 and 2021 were included. Negative nodal status was defined as the absence of palpable lymph nodes, and the absence of suspicious nodes on axillary ultrasonography, or the absence of tumour cells on axillary nodal fine needle aspiration or core biopsy. RESULTS: A total of 371 patients were analysed. Overall, 47 patients (12.7%) had a positive sentinel lymph node biopsy. Nodal positivity was identified in 22 patients (29.0%) with hormone receptor+/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2- tumours, 12 patients (13.8%) with hormone receptor+/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2+ tumours, 3 patients (5.6%) with hormone receptor-/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2+ tumours, and 10 patients (6.5%) with triple-negative breast cancer. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that multicentric disease was associated with a higher likelihood of ypN+ (OR 2.66, 95% c.i. 1.18 to 6.01; P = 0.018), whilst a radiological complete response in the breast was associated with a reduced likelihood of ypN+ (OR 0.10, 95% c.i. 0.02 to 0.42; P = 0.002), regardless of molecular subtype. Only 3% of patients who had a radiological complete response in the breast were ypN+. The majority of patients (85%) with a positive sentinel node proceeded to axillary lymph node dissection and 93% had N1 disease. CONCLUSION: The rate of sentinel lymph node positivity in patients who achieve a radiological complete response in the breast is exceptionally low for all molecular subtypes.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Triple Negative Breast Neoplasms , Humans , Female , Breast Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Breast Neoplasms/drug therapy , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Neoadjuvant Therapy , Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy , Lymph Node Excision , Triple Negative Breast Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Triple Negative Breast Neoplasms/drug therapy , Triple Negative Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Hormones/therapeutic use , Axilla/pathology , Lymph Nodes/diagnostic imaging , Lymph Nodes/pathology
4.
BMJ Open ; 13(10): e071052, 2023 10 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37899144

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To examine the use of CT, emergency department (ED)-presentation and hospitalisation and in 12 months before and after a diagnosis of cancer. DESIGN: Population-based retrospective cohort study. SETTING: West Australian linked administrative records at individual level. PARTICIPANTS: 104 009 adults newly diagnosed with cancer in 2004-2014. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: CT use, ED presentations, hospitalisations. RESULTS: As compared with the rates in the 12th month before diagnosis, the rate of CT scans started to increase from 2 months before diagnosis with an increase in both ED presentations and hospitalisation from 1 month before the diagnosis. These rates peaked in the month of diagnosis for CT scans (477 (95% CI 471 to 482) per 1000 patients), and for hospitalisations (910 (95% CI 902 to 919) per 1000 patients), and the month prior to diagnosis for ED (181 (95% CI 178 to 184) per 1000 patients) then rapidly reduced after diagnosis but remained high for the next 12 months. While the patterns of the health services used were similar between 2004 and 2014, the rate of the health services used during after diagnosis was higher in 2014 versus 2004 except for CT use in patients with lymphohaematopoietic cancer with a significant reduction. CONCLUSION: Our results showed an increase in demand for health services from 2 months before diagnosis of cancer. Increasing use of health services during and post cancer diagnosis may warrant further investigation to identify factors driving this change.


Subject(s)
Hospitalization , Neoplasms , Adult , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Australia , Western Australia/epidemiology , Emergency Service, Hospital , Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Tomography, X-Ray Computed
6.
Vox Sang ; 118(9): 798-806, 2023 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37463772

ABSTRACT

At the symposium organized by the International Plasma and Fractionation Association and European Blood Alliance, experts presented their views and experiences showing that the public sector and its blood establishments may strengthen the collection and increase the supply of plasma using the right strategies in plasma donor recruitment, retention and protection, scaling-up collection by increasing the number of donors within improved/new infrastructure, supportive funding, policies and legislation as well as harmonization of clinical guidelines and the collaboration of all stakeholders. Such approaches should contribute to increased plasma collection in Europe to meet patients' needs for plasma-derived medicinal products, notably immunoglobulins and avoid shortages. Overall, presentations and discussions confirmed that European non-profit transfusion institutions are committed to increasing the collection of plasma for fractionation from unpaid donors through dedicated programmes as well as novel strategies and research.


Subject(s)
Blood Transfusion , Plasma , Humans , Europe , Plasma/chemistry , Immunoglobulins/analysis
7.
Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg ; 49(6): 2413-2427, 2023 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37318517

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Whilst computed tomography (CT) imaging has been a vital component of injury management, its increasing use has raised concern regarding ionising radiation exposure. This study aims to identify latent classes (underlying patterns) of CT use over a 3-year period following the incidence of injury and factors predicting the observed patterns. METHOD: A retrospective observational cohort study was conducted in 21,544 individuals aged 18 + years presenting to emergency departments (ED) of four tertiary public hospitals with new injury in Western Australia. Mixture modelling approach was used to identify latent classes of CT use over a 3-year period post injury. RESULTS: Amongst injured people with at least one CT scan, three latent classes of CT use were identified including a: temporarily high CT use (46.4%); consistently high CT use (2.6%); and low CT use class (51.1%). Being 65 + years or older, having 3 + comorbidities, history with 3 + hospitalisations and history of CT use before injury were associated with consistently high use of CT. Injury to the head, neck, thorax or abdomen, being admitted to hospital after the injury and arriving to ED by ambulance were predictors for the temporarily high use class. Living in areas of higher socio-economic disadvantage was a unique factor associated with the low CT use class. CONCLUSIONS: Instead of assuming a single pattern of CT use for all patients with injury, the advanced latent class modelling approach has provided more nuanced understanding of the underlying patterns of CT use that may be useful for developing targeted interventions.


Subject(s)
Craniocerebral Trauma , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Humans , Western Australia/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods , Hospitalization , Emergency Service, Hospital
8.
J Genet Couns ; 32(5): 1047-1056, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37096445

ABSTRACT

Prenatal screening has evolved rapidly following the introduction of non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT), with screening now available for an increasing number of conditions. We explored the attitudes and expectations of women within the context of using NIPT to detect multiple different single gene and chromosome conditions during pregnancy. An online survey was used to assess these issues with a sample of 219 women from Western Australia. In our study, the majority of women (96%) support of the concept of expanded NIPT for single gene and chromosome conditions provided the test involves no risk to the pregnancy and can provide the parents with relevant medical information about the fetus at any stage of pregnancy. 80% believed that expanded NIPT for single gene and chromosome conditions should be available at any stage during pregnancy and 68% of women indicated that test cost would be a factor in determining their participation in testing. Under half (43%) of the women favored an option to terminate a pregnancy at any stage if the fetus had a medical condition that would interfere with day to day functioning. The majority (78%) of women believed that testing for multiple genetic conditions would provide reassurance and lead to the delivery of a healthy child.


Subject(s)
Chromosome Disorders , Genetic Testing , Pregnancy , Child , Female , Humans , Genes, Recessive , Motivation , Australia , Prenatal Diagnosis , Chromosome Disorders/diagnosis , Aneuploidy
9.
Int J Surg ; 109(3): 343-351, 2023 Mar 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37093074

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is increasing evidence that uncomplicated appendicitis (UA) may be treated nonoperatively in cases of UA. This study aimed to evaluate and compare the diagnostic accuracy of circulating fibrocyte percentage (CFP), white blood cell count, C-reactive protein, and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in diagnosing uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Eighty consecutive adult patients presenting with suspected appendicitis were recruited in a cohort-based prospective study between June 2015 and February 2016 at University Hospital Limerick in Ireland. Peripheral venous samples were obtained at the presentation. Clinical, biochemical, radiological, and histopathological parameters were recorded. The CFP was determined by dual-staining for CD45 and collagen-I using flow cytometry analysis and correlated with histopathological diagnoses. RESULTS: Of the 46 patients who underwent appendicectomy, 34 (73.9%) had histologically proven acute appendicitis. A comparison of the diagnostic accuracy of biomarkers demonstrated the CFP had the highest diagnostic accuracy for UA (area under the curve=0.83, sensitivity=72.7%, specificity=83.3%, P=0.002). The NLR had the highest diagnostic accuracy in relation to complicated appendicitis (area under the curve=0.84, sensitivity=75.5%, specificity=83.3%, P=0.005). CONCLUSIONS: CFP and NLR are accurate biomarkers of UA and complicated appendicitis.


Subject(s)
Appendicitis , Neutrophils , Adult , Humans , Neutrophils/pathology , Prospective Studies , Appendicitis/surgery , Lymphocytes/pathology , Leukocyte Count , Biomarkers , C-Reactive Protein/analysis , Sensitivity and Specificity , Retrospective Studies
10.
J Clin Med ; 12(3)2023 Jan 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36769627

ABSTRACT

(1) Background: Pulmonary embolism (PE) can be fatal. Computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) can accurately diagnose PE, but it should be used only when reasonable pre-test probability exists. Overtesting with CTPA exposes patients to excess ionizing radiation and contrast media, while PE overdiagnosis leads to the treatment of small emboli unlikely to cause harm. This study assessed trends in CTPA use and diagnostic yield. We also assessed trends in PE hospitalizations and mortality to indicate PE severity. (2) Methods: Analysis of Western Australian linked administrative data for 2003-2015 including hospitalizations, emergency department (ED) attendances, and CTPA performed at hospitals. Age-sex standardized trends were calculated for CTPA use, PE hospitalizations, and mortality (as a proxy for severity). Logistic regression assessed diagnostic yield of CTPA following unplanned ED presentations. (3) Results: CTPA use increased from 3.3 per 10,000 person-years in 2003 (95% CI 3.0-3.6) to 17.1 per 10,000 person-years (16.5-17.7) in 2015. Diagnostic yield of CTPA increased from 12.7% in 2003 to 17.4% in 2005, declining to 12.2% in 2015 (p = 0.049). PE hospitalizations increased from 3.8 per 10,000 (3.5-4.1) in 2003 to 5.2 per 10,000 (4.8-5.5) in 2015. Mortality remained constant at 0.50 per 10,000 (0.39-0.62) in 2003 and 0.42 per 10,000 (0.32-0.51) in 2015. (4) Conclusions: CTPA increased from 2003 to 2015, while diagnostic yield decreased, potentially indicating overtesting. PE mortality remained constant despite increasing hospitalizations, likely indicating a higher proportion of less severe cases. As treatment can be harmful, this could represent overdiagnosis.

11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36068728

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) using cell-free DNA (cfDNA) has expanded from detecting chromosome aneuploidy to testing for a variety of genetic conditions, including some select single gene disorders. As next generation sequencing/whole exome sequencing technology develops, it may be possible to expand NIPT of cfDNA to identify hundreds of single gene and chromosomal disorders in a fetus, thereby increasing the complexity of pretest counselling and parental decision-making. AIM: The aim of this study was to assess the views of women on the phenotypes of genetic conditions potentially detectable with expanded NIPT that they would consider severe enough to warrant pregnancy termination. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using multiple clinical scenarios, we asked women via an online survey about the early detection of several well-described genetic phenotypes in pregnancy that in theory could be detected by expanded NIPT. RESULTS: Two hundred and nineteen women participated in this study. There was high support for early diagnosis and the option for termination of pregnancy in conditions perceived as severe (52-71%). Women expressed a preference for testing to be provided by general practitioners and assigned a high value to genetic counselling support (75-90%). In the case of a continuing pregnancy, women recognised the essential role of ongoing psychosocial counselling for family members and childhood early intervention programs. CONCLUSION: Women expressed clear preferences for termination of pregnancy for severe conditions and as early in gestation as feasible. Information and support from genetic counsellors are a highly valued resource in decision-making following a prenatal diagnosis of a fetal genetic abnormality.

12.
Ann Surg ; 276(2): e136, 2022 Aug 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36036996
13.
BMJ Open ; 12(4): e057424, 2022 04 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35450909

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The professional service review (PSR) is an Australian Government agency aiming to reduce inappropriate practices funded via Medicare, Australia's public insurer. Our objective was to examine changes in CT following the 2008-2009 PSR annual report, which noted excessive CT use. DESIGN: Interrupted time series analysis examined trends in CT use following the 2008-2009 PSR report, estimating both change in the immediate rate of CT and the slope of the trend in usage postintervention. SETTING: Medicare-funded imaging (most out-of-hospital imaging) in Australia. PARTICIPANTS: Patients receiving Medicare-funded CT and other imaging. INTERVENTION: The 2008-2009 PSR report highlighted concerns regarding excessive CT use. Two providers were financially penalised for CT overuse with these cases detailed in the PSR report and highlighted in an associated Report to the Professions, distributed to 50 000 providers. Media articles on radiation risks followed. OUTCOMES: Quarterly rates of out-of-hospital CT, MRI (as a comparator), and all other Medicare-funded diagnostic imaging examinations 2001-2019. RESULTS: CT scanning increased from 4663.5 per 100 000 person-years in 2001 to 14 506 in 2019 (211% increase), with substantial variation by type and anatomical region. The 2008-2009 PSR report was followed by an immediate reduction in CT scanning of 237.7 CTs per 100 000 people per quarter (95% CI -333.4 to -141.9) though growth in use soon continued at the preintervention rate. The degree of change in utilisation following the report differed between states/territories and by scan type, both in terms of the immediate change and the slope. For other diagnostic imaging modalities, there was an increase in the slope, while for MRI there was no change in either parameter. CONCLUSION: Actions consisting of financial disincentives for service overtesting and provider/public education components may limit excessive use of diagnostic imaging in fee-for-service systems, however, effects observed here were only short lived.


Subject(s)
National Health Programs , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Aged , Australia , Cohort Studies , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , United States
14.
Acad Emerg Med ; 29(2): 193-205, 2022 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34480498

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study investigated trends in computed tomography (CT) utilization across different triage categories of injury presentations to tertiary emergency departments (EDs) and associations with diagnostic yield measured by injury severity, hospitalization and length of stay (LOS), and mortality. METHODS: A total of 411,155 injury-related ED presentations extracted from linked records from Western Australia from 2004 to 2015 were included in the retrospective study. The use of CT scanning and diagnostic yield measured by rate of diagnosis with severe injury, hospitalizations and LOS, and mortality were captured annually for injury-related ED presentations. Multivariable regression models were used to calculate the annual adjusted rate of CT scanning for injury presentations and hospitalizations across triage categories, diagnosis with severe injury, LOS, and mortality. The significance of changes observed was compared among patients with CT imaging relative to those without CT. RESULTS: While the number of ED presentations with injury increased by 65% from 2004 to 2015, the use of CT scanning in these presentations increased by 176%. The largest increase in CT use was among ED presentations triaged as semi-/nonurgent (+256%). Injury presentations with CT, compared to those without, had a higher rate of diagnosis with moderate/severe injury and hospitalization but no difference in LOS and mortality. The probability/rate observed in the outcomes of interest had a greater decrease over time in those with CT scanning compared with those without CT scanning across triage categories. CONCLUSIONS: The reduction in diagnostic yield in terms of injury severity and hospitalization found in our study might indicate a shift toward overtesting using CT in ED for injury or a higher use of CT to assist in the management of injuries. This helps health care policymakers consider whether the current increase in CT use meets the desired levels of quality and efficient care.


Subject(s)
Emergency Service, Hospital , Triage , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Western Australia
15.
BMJ Open ; 11(11): e052954, 2021 11 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34764174

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: While CT scanning plays a significant role in healthcare, its increasing use has raised concerns about inappropriate use. This study investigated factors driving the changing use of CT among people admitted to tertiary hospitals in Western Australia (WA). DESIGN AND SETTING: A repeated cross-sectional study of CT use in WA in 2003-2005 and 2013-2015 using linked administrative heath data at the individual patient level. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 2 375 787 tertiary hospital admissions of people aged 18 years or older. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Rate of CT scanning per 1000 hospital admissions. METHODS: A multivariable decomposition model was used to quantify the contribution of changes in patient characteristics and changes in the probability of having a CT over the study period. RESULTS: The rate of CT scanning increased by 112 CT scans per 1000 admissions over the study period. Changes in the distribution of the observed patient characteristics were accounted for 62.7% of the growth in CT use. However, among unplanned admissions, changes in the distribution of patient characteristics only explained 17% of the growth in CT use, the remainder being explained by changes in the probability of having a CT scan. While the relative probability of having a CT scan generally increased over time across most observed characteristics, it reduced in young adults (-2.8%), people living in the rural/remote areas (-0.8%) and people transferred from secondary hospitals (-0.8%). CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights potential improvements in practice towards reducing medical radiation exposure in certain high risk population. Since changes in the relative probability of having a CT scan (representing changes in scope) rather than changes in the distribution of the patient characteristics (representing changes in need) explained a major proportion of the growth in CT use, this warrants more in-depth investigations in clinical practices to better inform health policies promoting appropriate use of diagnostic imaging tests.


Subject(s)
Radiation Exposure , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Cross-Sectional Studies , Humans , Tertiary Care Centers , Western Australia/epidemiology , Young Adult
16.
BMJ Open ; 11(3): e043315, 2021 03 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33664075

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine trends in number of CT scans requested by tertiary emergency department (ED) physicians in Western Australia (WA) from 2003 to 2015 across broad demographic and presentation characteristics, anatomical areas and presented symptoms. DESIGN: An observational cross-sectional study over study period from 2003 to 2015. SETTING: Linked administrative health service data at individual level from WA. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1 666 884 tertiary hospital ED presentations of people aged 18 years or older were included in this study MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Number of CT scans requested by tertiary ED physicians in an ED presentation. METHODS: Poisson regression models were used to assess variation and trends in number of CT scans requested by ED physicians across demographic characteristics, clinical presentation characteristics and anatomical areas. RESULTS: Over the entire study duration, 71 per 1000 ED episodes had a CT requested by tertiary ED physicians. Between 2003 and 2015, the rate of CT scanning almost doubled from 58 to 105 per 1000 ED presentations. After adjusted for all observed characteristics, the rate of CT scans showed a downward trend from 2009 to 2011 and subsequent increase. Males, older individuals, those attending ED as a result of pain, those with neurological symptoms or injury or with higher priority triage code were the most likely to have CT requested by tertiary ED physicians. CONCLUSIONS: Noticeable changes in the number of CTs requested by tertiary ED physicians corresponded to the time frame of major health reforms happening within WA and nationally.


Subject(s)
Emergency Service, Hospital , Physicians , Adolescent , Adult , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Tertiary Care Centers , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Western Australia/epidemiology , Young Adult
17.
Cureus ; 12(9): e10641, 2020 Sep 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33133811

ABSTRACT

Background Appendicitis is the most common indication for emergency surgery in the world. There is no one laboratory or radiological test that is used to diagnose it. Various routine and novel blood markers have been identified, however none have proved to be conclusive. The aim of this study was to combine routine blood markers to increase the sensitivity and specificity in diagnosing histologically confirmed appendicitis. Methods We retrospectively reviewed the theatre logs for the calendar year of 2015 to identify all of the appendectomies which were performed. We reviewed all of the admission bloods for the patients - including their white blood cell (WBC) count, their neutrophil count, and their C-Reactive protein (CRP) value. We also reviewed all of the histology to identify the inflamed appendices, and analysed all of this information together. Results The neutrophil count is the most sensitive of the three blood markers with a score of 82%. It has a specificity of 63%. The CRP value is the most specific of the three blood markers with a value of 67% and a sensitivity of 76%. WBC has a sensitivity of 75% and a specificity of 63%. Combining all of the blood values (i.e. elevated white blood cell count or elevated neutrophil count or elevated CRP) demonstrates a sensitivity of 96% and a specificity of 45%. Conclusion Combining routine admission blood markers (WBC, neutrophil count, and CRP) can assist in diagnosing appendicitis in unwell patients with abdominal pain.

18.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 29(1): 10-21, 2020 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31748260

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is growing evidence for personalizing colorectal cancer screening based on risk factors. We compared the cost-effectiveness of personalized colorectal cancer screening based on polygenic risk and family history to uniform screening. METHODS: Using the MISCAN-Colon model, we simulated a cohort of 100 million 40-year-olds, offering them uniform or personalized screening. Individuals were categorized based on polygenic risk and family history of colorectal cancer. We varied screening strategies by start age, interval and test and estimated costs, and quality-adjusted life years (QALY). In our analysis, we (i) assessed the cost-effectiveness of uniform screening; (ii) developed personalized screening scenarios based on optimal screening strategies by risk group; and (iii) compared the cost-effectiveness of both. RESULTS: At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000/QALY, the optimal uniform screening scenario was annual fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) from ages 50 to 74 years, whereas for personalized screening the optimal screening scenario consisted of annual and biennial FIT screening except for those at highest risk who were offered 5-yearly colonoscopy from age 50 years. Although these scenarios gained the same number of QALYs (17,887), personalized screening was not cost-effective, costing an additional $428,953 due to costs associated with determining risk (assumed to be $240 per person). Personalized screening was cost-effective when these costs were less than ∼$48. CONCLUSIONS: Uniform colorectal cancer screening currently appears more cost-effective than personalized screening based on polygenic risk and family history. However, cost-effectiveness is highly dependent on the cost of determining risk. IMPACT: Personalized screening could become increasingly viable as costs for determining risk decrease.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/prevention & control , Early Detection of Cancer/economics , Mass Screening/economics , Precision Medicine/economics , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Australia/epidemiology , Colonoscopy/economics , Colorectal Neoplasms/diagnosis , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Colorectal Neoplasms/genetics , Computer Simulation , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , Female , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Genetic Testing/economics , Health Care Costs , Humans , Male , Mass Screening/methods , Medical History Taking , Middle Aged , Models, Economic , Multifactorial Inheritance , Occult Blood , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , Precision Medicine/methods , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Risk Assessment/economics , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Factors
19.
Int J Colorectal Dis ; 34(10): 1673-1680, 2019 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31471697

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Survival following colorectal cancer (CRC) survival may be influenced by a number of factors including family history, individual medical history, and comorbidities. The impact of these factors may vary based on the patient's age. METHODS: The study cohort consisted of individuals born in Western Australia between 1945 and 1996, who had been diagnosed with CRC prior to 2015 (n = 3220). Hospital, cancer, and mortality data were extracted for each patient from state health records and were used to identify potential risk factors associated with CRC survival. Family linkage data, in combination with cancer registry data, were used to identify first-degree family members with a history of CRC. The association between survival following CRC diagnosis and identified risk factors was examined using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Age and sex were not significantly associated with survival in young patients. However, in middle-aged patients increasing age (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05, p = 0.003) and being male (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.60-0.87, p < 0.001) were associated with reduced survival. Being diagnosed with polyps and having a colonoscopy prior to CRC diagnosis were associated with improved survival in both young and middle-aged patients, while a history of non-CRC and liver disease was associated with reduced survival. In middle-aged patients, having diabetes-related hospital admissions (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.15-2.03, p = 0.004) was associated with reduced survival. CONCLUSIONS: In both young and middle-aged patients with CRC, factors associated with early screening and detection were associated with increased CRC survival while a history of liver disease and non-CRC was associated with decreased CRC survival.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Risk Factors , Survival Analysis , Young Adult
20.
Cancer Epidemiol ; 62: 101591, 2019 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31494463

ABSTRACT

AIMS: The aim of this study was to examine factors including family history, medical history and comorbidities associated with the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) in young (18-49 years) and middle-age (50-69 years) individuals. METHODS: State records were used to identify individuals born in Western Australia between 1945 and 1996, and their first-degree relatives. Individuals in the cohort and their relatives were linked to State cancer registry, hospital and mortality data to identify diagnoses of CRC and other risk factors. The associations between CRC and identified risk factors were examined using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: For both young and middle-aged patients, family history of CRC, and a history of smoking, inflammatory bowel disease, liver disease and non-CRC cancer were associated with a significant increase in odds of CRC. In middle-aged patients, having a colonoscopy in the previous 10 years was associated with a reduced odds of CRC regardless of the detection of polyps. However, in young patients only the absence of polyps as confirmed by colonoscopy was associated with a decreased risk of CRC (OR: 0.38, 95%CI: 0.26 - 0.54, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Many of the risk factors associated with CRC were similar in young and middle-aged persons, and should be used to identify high risk young patients for screening. The association between colonoscopy and polyps with CRC was modified by age, likely as the result of routine screening in middle-aged patients.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , Adolescent , Adult , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Mass Screening , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Western Australia , Young Adult
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