Spatio-temporal characterization of phenotypic resistance in malaria vector species.

BACKGROUND: Malaria, a deadly disease caused by Plasmodium protozoa parasite and transmitted through bites of infected female Anopheles mosquitoes, remains a significant public health challenge in sub-Saharan Africa. Efforts to eliminate malaria have increasingly focused on vector control using insecticides. However, the emergence of insecticide resistance (IR) in malaria vectors pose a formidable obstacle, and the current IR mapping models remain static, relying on fixed coefficients. This study introduces a dynamic spatio-temporal approach to characterize phenotypic resistance in Anopheles gambiae complex and Anopheles arabiensis. We developed a cellular automata (CA) model and applied it to data collected from Ethiopia, Nigeria, Cameroon, Chad, and Burkina Faso. The data encompasses georeferenced records detailing IR levels in mosquito vector populations across various classes of insecticides. In characterizing the dynamic patterns of confirmed resistance, we identified key driving factors through correlation analysis, chi-square tests, and extensive literature review. RESULTS: The CA model demonstrated robustness in capturing the spatio-temporal dynamics of confirmed IR states in the vector populations. In our model, the key driving factors included insecticide usage, agricultural activities, human population density, Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) characteristics, and environmental variables. CONCLUSIONS: The CA model developed offers a robust tool for countries that have limited data on confirmed IR in malaria vectors. The embrace of a dynamical modeling approach and accounting for evolving conditions and influences, contribute to deeper understanding of IR dynamics, and can inform effective strategies for malaria vector control, and prevention in regions facing this critical health challenge.

Insights and challenges of insecticide resistance modelling in malaria vectors: a review.

BACKGROUND: Malaria is one of the most devastating tropical diseases, resulting in loss of lives each year, especially in children under the age of 5 years. Malaria burden, related deaths and stall in the progress against malaria transmission is evident, particularly in countries that have moderate or high malaria transmission. Hence, mitigating malaria spread requires information on the distribution of vectors and the drivers of insecticide resistance (IR). However, owing to the impracticality in establishing the critical need for real-world information at every location, modelling provides an informed best guess for such information. Therefore, this review examines the various methodologies used to model spatial, temporal and spatio-temporal patterns of IR within populations of malaria vectors, incorporating pest-biology parameters, adopted ecological principles, and the associated modelling challenges. METHODS: The review focused on the period ending March 2023 without imposing restrictions on the initial year of publication, and included articles sourced from PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus. It was also limited to publications that deal with modelling of IR distribution across spatial and temporal dimensions and excluded articles solely focusing on insecticide susceptibility tests or articles not published in English. After rigorous selection, 33 articles met the review's elibility criteria and were subjected to full-text screening. RESULTS: Results show the popularity of Bayesian geostatistical approaches, and logistic and static models, with limited adoption of dynamic modelling approaches for spatial and temporal IR modelling. Furthermore, our review identifies the availability of surveillance data and scarcity of comprehensive information on the potential drivers of IR as major impediments to developing holistic models of IR evolution. CONCLUSIONS: The review notes that incorporating pest-biology parameters, and ecological principles into IR models, in tandem with fundamental ecological concepts, potentially offers crucial insights into the evolution of IR. The results extend our knowledge of IR models that provide potentially accurate results, which can be translated into policy recommendations to combat the challenge of IR in malaria control.

State-of-the-Art Deep Learning Methods for Objects Detection in Remote Sensing Satellite Images.

Introduction: Object detection in remotely sensed satellite images is critical to socio-economic, bio-physical, and environmental monitoring, necessary for the prevention of natural disasters such as flooding and fires, socio-economic service delivery, and general urban and rural planning and management. Whereas deep learning approaches have recently gained popularity in remotely sensed image analysis, they have been unable to efficiently detect image objects due to complex landscape heterogeneity, high inter-class similarity and intra-class diversity, and difficulty in acquiring suitable training data that represents the complexities, among others. Methods: To address these challenges, this study employed multi-object detection deep learning algorithms with a transfer learning approach on remotely sensed satellite imagery captured on a heterogeneous landscape. In the study, a new dataset of diverse features with five object classes collected from Google Earth Engine in various locations in southern KwaZulu-Natal province in South Africa was used to evaluate the models. The dataset images were characterized with objects that have varying sizes and resolutions. Five (5) object detection methods based on R-CNN and YOLO architectures were investigated via experiments on our newly created dataset. Conclusions: This paper provides a comprehensive performance evaluation and analysis of the recent deep learning-based object detection methods for detecting objects in high-resolution remote sensing satellite images. The models were also evaluated on two publicly available datasets: Visdron and PASCAL VOC2007. Results showed that the highest detection accuracy of the vegetation and swimming pool instances was more than 90%, and the fastest detection speed 0.2 ms was observed in YOLOv8.

The role of remote sensing in tropical grassland nutrient estimation: a review.

The carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) ratio is a key indicator of nutrient utilization and limitations in rangelands. To understand the distribution of herbivores and grazing patterns, information on grass quality and quantity is important. In heterogeneous environments, remote sensing offers a timely, economical, and effective method for assessing foliar biochemical ratios at varying spatial and temporal scales. Hence, this study provides a synopsis of the advancement in remote sensing technology, limitations, and emerging opportunities in mapping the C:N ratio in rangelands. Specifically, the paper focuses on multispectral and hyperspectral sensors and investigates their properties, absorption features, empirical and physical methods, and algorithms in predicting the C:N ratio in grasslands. Literature shows that the determination of the C:N ratio in grasslands is not in line with developments in remote sensing technologies. Thus, the use of advanced and freely available sensors with improved spectral and spatial properties such as Sentinel 2 and Landsat 8/9 with sophisticated algorithms may provide new opportunities to estimate C:N ratio in grasslands at regional scales, especially in developing countries. Spectral bands in the near-infrared, shortwave infrared, red, and red edge were identified to predict the C:N ratio in plants. New indices developed from recent multispectral satellite imagery, for example, Sentinel 2 aided by cutting-edge algorithms, can improve the estimation of foliar biochemical ratios. Therefore, this study recommends that future research should adopt new satellite technologies with recent development in machine learning algorithms for improved mapping of the C:N ratio in grasslands.

A novel change detection and threshold-based ensemble of scenarios pyramid for flood extent mapping using Sentinel-1 data.

Flood disasters destroy infrastructure, disrupt ecosystem processes, adversely affect social and economic activities and cause human fatalities. As such, flood extent mapping (FEM) is critical to mitigate these impacts. Specifically, FEM is essential to mitigate adverse impacts through early warning, efficient response during evacuation, search, rescue and recovery. Furthermore, accurate FEM is crucial for policy formulation, planning and management, rehabilitation, and promoting community resilience for sustainable occupation and use of floodplains. Recently, remote sensing has become valuable in flood studies. However, whereas free passive remote sensing images have been common input into predictive models, damage assessment and FEM, their utility is constrained by clouds during flooding events. Conversely, microwave-based data is unconstrained by clouds, hence is important for FEM. Hence, to increase the reliability and accuracy of FEM using Sentinel-1 radar data, we propose a three-step process that builds an ensemble of scenarios pyramid (ESP) based on change detection and thresholding technique. We deployed the ESP technique and tested it on a use-case based on two, five and 10 images. The use-case calculated three co-polarized Vertical-Vertical (VV) and three cross-polarized Vertical-Horizontal (VH) normalized difference flood index scenarios to form six binary classified FEMs at the base. We ensembled the base scenarios to three dual-polarized centre FEMs, and likewise the centre scenarios to a final pinnacle flood extent map. The base, centre and pinnacle scenarios were validated using six binary classification performance metrics. The results show that the ESP increased the base-to-pinnacle minimum classification performance metrics with overall accuracy, Cohen's Kappa, intersect over union, recall, F1-score, and Matthews Correlation coefficient of 93.204%, 0.864, 0.865, 0.870, 0.927, and 0.871 respectively. The study also established that the VV channels were superior in FEM than VH at the ESP base. Overall, this study demonstrates the efficacy of the ESP for operational flood disaster management.

Mapping soil organic carbon distribution across South Africa's major biomes using remote sensing-topo-climatic covariates and Concrete Autoencoder-Deep neural networks.

The management of soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks remains at the forefront of greenhouse gas mitigation. However, unprecedented anthropogenic disturbances emanating from continued land-use change have significantly altered SOC distribution across global biomes leading to considerable carbon losses. Consequently, understanding the spatial distribution of SOC across different biomes, particularly at larger scales, is critical for climate change policy formulation and planning. Advancements in remote sensing, availability of big data, and deep learning architecture offer great potential in large-scale SOC mapping. In this regard, this study mapped SOC distribution across South Africa's major biomes using remotely sensed-topo-climatic data and Concrete Autoencoder-Deep neural networks (CAE-DNN). From the different deep neural frameworks tested, the CAE-DNN model (developed from 26 selected covariates) achieved the best accuracy with an RMSE value of 7.91 t/ha (about 20 % of the mean). Results further showed that SOC stock correlated with general biome coverage, as the Grassland and Savanna biomes contributed the most (32.38 % and 31.28 %) to the overall SOC pool in South Africa. However, despite their smaller footprint, Forests (44.12 t/h) and the Indian Ocean Coastal Belt (43.05 t/h) biomes demonstrated the highest SOC sequestration capacity. The restoration of degraded biomes is advocated for, in order to boost SOC storage; but a balance between carbon sequestration capacity, biodiversity health, and the adequate provision of ecosystem services must be maintained. To this end, these findings provide a guideline to facilitate sustainable SOC stock management within South Africa's major biomes and indeed other regions of the world.

A Fuzzy-Based Model to Predict the Spatio-Temporal Performance of the Dolichogenidea gelechiidivoris Natural Enemy against Tuta absoluta under Climate Change.

The South American tomato pinworm, Tuta absoluta, causes up to 100% tomato crop losses. As Tuta absoluta is non-native to African agroecologies and lacks efficient resident natural enemies, the microgastrine koinobiont solitary oligophagous larval endoparasitoid, Dolichogenidea gelechiidivoris (Marsh) (Syn.: Apanteles gelechiidivoris Marsh) (Hymenoptera: Braconidae) was released for classical biological control. This study elucidates the current and future spatio-temporal performance of D. gelechiidivoris against T. absoluta in tomato cropping systems using a fuzzy logic modelling approach. Specifically, the study considers the presence of the host and the host crop, as well as the parasitoid reproductive capacity, as key variables. Results show that the fuzzy algorithm predicted the performance of the parasitoid (in terms of net reproductive rate (R0)), with a low root mean square error (RMSE) value (<0.90) and a considerably high R2 coefficient (=0.98), accurately predicting the parasitoid performance over time and space. Under the current climatic scenario, the parasitoid is predicted to perform well in all regions throughout the year, except for the coastal region. Under the future climatic scenario, the performance of the parasitoid is projected to improve in all regions throughout the year. Overall, the model sheds light on the varying performance of the parasitoid across different regions of Kenya, and in different seasons, under both current and future climatic scenarios.

Quantitative remote sensing of forest ecosystem services in sub-Saharan Africa's urban landscapes: a review.

A dearth of information on urban ecosystem services in the past decades has led to little consolidation of such information for informed planning, decision-making and policy development in sub-Saharan African cities. However, the increasing recognition of the value of urban ecological processes and services as well as their contribution to climate change adaptation and mitigation has recently become an area of great research interest. Specifically, the emerging geospatial analytical approaches like remote sensing have led to an increase in the number of studies that seek to quantify and map urban ecosystem services at varying scales. Hence, this study sought to review the current remote sensing trends, challenges and prospects in quantifying urban ecosystem services in sub-Saharan Africa cities. Literature shows that consistent modelling and understanding of urban ecosystem services using remotely sensed approaches began in the 1990s, with an average of five publications per year after around 2010. This is mainly attributed to the approach's ability to provide fast, accurate and repeated spatial information necessary for optimal and timely quantification and mapping of urban ecosystem services. Although commercially available high spatial resolution sensors (e.g. the Worldview series, Quickbird and RapidEye) with higher spatial and spectral properties have been valuable in providing highly accurate and reliable data for quantification of urban ecosystem services, their adoption has been limited by high image acquisition cost and small spatial coverage that limits regional assessment. Thus, the newly launched sensors that provide freely and readily available data (i.e. Landsat 8 and 9 OLI, Sentinel-2) are increasingly becoming popular. These sensors provide data with improved spatial and spectral properties, hence valuable for past, current and future urban ecosystem service assessment, especially in developing countries. Therefore, the study provides guidance for future studies to continuously assess urban ecosystem services in order to achieve the objectives of Kyoto Protocol and Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation (REDD +) of promoting climate-resilient and sustainable cities, especially in developing world.

Estimating aboveground net primary productivity of reforested trees in an urban landscape using biophysical variables and remotely sensed data.

Recently, urban reforestation programs have emerged as potential carbon sinks and climate mitigates in urban landscapes. Thus, spatially explicit information on net primary productivity (NPP) of reforested trees in urban environments is central to understanding the value of reforestation initiatives in the global carbon budget and climate regulation potential. To date, numerous studies have mainly focused on natural and commercial forests NPP at a regional scale based on coarse spatial resolution remotely sensed data. Generally, local scale NPP studies based on fine spatial resolution data are limited. Therefore, this study sought to estimate aboveground NPP of an urban reforested landscape using biophysical and Sentinel-2 Multispectral Imager data derived variables. Using the MOD17 model, results showed that mean NPP ranged between 6.24 Mg C ha-1 with high coefficient of determination (R2: 0.92) and low RMSE (0.82 Mg ha-1) across all reforested trees within the study area. Results also showed a considerable variation in NPP among the reforested trees, with deciduous Acacia and Dalbergia obovate species showing the highest NPP (7.62 Mg C ha-1 and 7.58 Mg C ha-1, respectively), while the evergreen Syzygium cordatum and shrub Artemisia afra had the lowest NPP (4.54 Mg C ha-1 and 5.26 Mg C ha-1). Furthermore, the multiple linear regression analysis showed that vegetation specific biophysical variables (i.e. leaf area index, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and Fraction of Photosynthetically Active Radiation) significantly improved the estimation of reforested aboveground NPP at a fine-scale resolution. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of biophysical and remotely sensed variables in determining NPP (as carbon sequestration surrogate) at fine-scaled reforested urban landscape. Furthermore, the utility of species biometric measurements and MOD17 model offers unprecedented opportunity for improved local scale reforestation assessment and monitoring schedules.

Deep learning approaches in remote sensing of soil organic carbon: a review of utility, challenges, and prospects.

The use of neural network (NN) models for remote sensing (RS) retrieval of landscape biophysical and biochemical properties has become popular in the last decade. Recently, the emergence of "big data" that can be generated from remotely sensed data and innovative machine learning (ML) approaches have provided a platform for novel analytical approaches. Specifically, the advent of deep learning (DL) frameworks developed from traditional neural networks (TNN) offer unprecedented opportunities to improve the accuracy of SOC retrievals from remotely sensed imagery. This review highlights the use of TNN models and their evolution into DL architectures in remote sensing of SOC estimation. The review also highlights the application of DL, with a specific focus on its development and adoption in remote sensing of SOC mapping. The review concludes by highlighting future opportunities for the use of DL frameworks for the retrieval of SOC from remotely sensed data.

Suitability of resampled multispectral datasets for mapping flowering plants in the Kenyan savannah.

Pollination services and honeybee health in general are important in the African savannahs particularly to farmers who often rely on honeybee products as a supplementary source of income. Therefore, it is imperative to understand the floral cycle, abundance and spatial distribution of melliferous plants in the African savannah landscapes. Furthermore, placement of apiaries in the landscapes could benefit from information on spatiotemporal patterns of flowering plants, by optimising honeybees' foraging behaviours, which could improve apiary productivity. This study sought to assess the suitability of simulated multispectral data for mapping melliferous (flowering) plants in the African savannahs. Bi-temporal AISA Eagle hyperspectral images, resampled to four sensors (i.e. WorldView-2, RapidEye, Spot-6 and Sentinel-2) spatial and spectral resolutions, and a 10-cm ultra-high spatial resolution aerial imagery coinciding with onset and peak flowering periods were used in this study. Ground reference data was collected at the time of imagery capture. The advanced machine learning random forest (RF) classifier was used to map the flowering plants at a landscape scale and a classification accuracy validated using 30% independent test samples. The results showed that 93.33%, 69.43%, 67.52% and 82.18% accuracies could be achieved using WorldView-2, RapidEye, Spot-6 and Sentinel-2 data sets respectively, at the peak flowering period. Our study provides a basis for the development of operational and cost-effective approaches for mapping flowering plants in an African semiarid agroecological landscape. Specifically, such mapping approaches are valuable in providing timely and reliable advisory tools for guiding the implementation of beekeeping systems at a landscape scale.