Risk of death in old Japanese COVID-19 cases infected with the Omicron variant: a population-based study.

We assessed case fatality rates (CFRs) in cases aged ≥70 years in 10 Japanese prefectures (14.8 million residents) diagnosed between January 2022 and March 2023, when the Omicron variant was dominant in Japan. We selected incident reports on 283,052 study subjects from participating Public Health Centers adhering to the Infectious Diseases Control Law. Cases were passively followed up until the end of their isolation, date of death or 28 days after the COVID-19 diagnosis, whichever occurred first. We calculated age-standardized CFRs with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using the Japanese population aged 70-79, 80-89 and ≥90 in 2022 divided into 16 subgroups according to the period of COVID-19 diagnosis. The total overall CFR was 1.59% (95% CI 1.55-1.64); it ranged between 0.67% (95% CI 0.38-0.96, May 23-June 19) and 2.58% (95% CI 2.36-2.80, January 31-February 27). We observed three peaks of age-standardized CFRs paralleling the 6th, 7th and 8th endemic COVID-19 waves driven by Omicron in Japan (2.2% January 31-February 27, 1.0% July 18-August 14 and 1.6% December 26-January 22, 2023, respectively). Population-based CFRs for Omicron variant COVID-19 in Japanese aged ≥70 years remained <3% throughout the period January 2022-March 2023, including during three large endemic waves in this country.

Association between elevated serum transaminase and moderately increased albuminuria: a cross-sectional study in western Tokushima, Japan.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to identify the factors relating to moderately increased albuminuria among middle-aged and older individuals in Japan. METHODS: We conducted specific health examinations in which we measured albuminuria levels, and administered a questionnaire survey to record participants' lifestyles in western Tokushima Prefecture, Japan. A total of 1,660 people whose albuminuria was less than 300 mg/g creatinine (Cr) were analyzed. We divided participants into two groups-those with normal albuminuria (< 30 mg/gCr) and those with moderately increased albuminuria (≥ 30 mg/gCr, > 300 mg/gCr)-and compared their characteristics. To investigate all relevant factors, we conducted a multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The moderately increased albuminuria group were significantly older and had, among them, significantly higher percentages of a body mass index (BMI) ≥ 25 kg/m2, diabetes, hypertension, and mild liver disorder (aspartate transaminase ≥ 31 U/L or alanine aminotransferase ≥ 31 U/L or gamma-glutamyl transferase ≥ 51 U/L). (p < 0.01) In a multivariate logistic regression analysis that used microalbuminuria as an independent variable, we found the adjusted odds ratio (AOR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) to be significantly higher among individuals with diabetes (AOR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.40-2.99); hypertension (AOR: 1.90, 95% CI: 1.36-2.65); BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 (AOR: 1.76, 95% CI: 1.27-2.44); and mild liver disorder (AOR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.10-2.18). CONCLUSIONS: In addition to diabetes, hypertension, and BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2, this study found that among the middle-aged and older general population living in western Tokushima Prefecture, there were cases of mild liver disorder (elevated serum transaminase), which independently associated with moderately increased albuminuria. Therefore, in health checkups targeting the general population, there is a need to consider measuring albuminuria, even in those who have only mild liver dysfunction (health guidance level). TRIAL REGISTRATION: N/A.

Change over Time in the Risk of Death among Japanese COVID-19 Cases Caused by the Omicron Variant Depending on Prevalence of Sublineages.

To assess temporal changes to the risk of death in COVID-19 cases caused by the Omicron variant, we calculated age-standardized case fatality rates (CFR) in patients aged ≥40 years over nine diagnostic periods (3 January to 28 August 2022) in ten Japanese prefectures (14.8 million residents). Among 552,581 study subjects, we found that there were 1836 fatalities during the isolation period (up to 28 days from date of onset). The highest age-standardized CFR (0.85%, 95% confidence interval (CI):0.78-0.92) was observed in cases diagnosed in the second 4-week period (January 31 to February 27), after which it declined significantly up to the 6th 4-week period (0.23%, 95% CI: 0.13-0.33, May 23 to June 19). The CFR then increased again but remained at 0.39% in the eighth period (July 18 to August 28). The CFR in cases with the BA.2 or BA.5 sublineages in the age range 60-80 years was significantly lower than that with BA.1 infections (60 years: 0.19%, 0.02%, 0.053%, respectively; 70 years: 0.91%, 0.33%, 0.39%; ≥80 years: 3.78%, 1.96%, 1.81%, respectively). We conclude that the risk of death in Japanese COVID-19 patients infected with Omicron variants declined through February to mid-June 2022.