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1.
Rheumatol Adv Pract ; 8(2): rkae050, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38660024

ABSTRACT

Objectives: To identify non-pharmacological fatigue interventions and determine the effectiveness of these non-pharmacological interventions in reducing fatigue immediately and over time in OA. Methods: A review protocol (CRD42020163730) was developed and registered with the PROSPERO database. Included studies comprised peer-reviewed randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that examined the effects of conservative interventions on fatigue in people with upper and lower limb OA. Cochrane Collaboration's tool for assessing the risk of bias (ROB-2) was used to assess the quality of evidence of studies. Narrative synthesis was used to summarize the effectiveness of identified fatigue interventions. Results: Out of 2644 citations identified from databases, 32 reports were included after screening for titles, abstracts and full texts. Of these reports, 30 parallel RCTs, one cluster and one cross-over RCT were included. 13 RCTs were of low ROB, 6 had some concerns and 13 had high ROB. The narrative synthesis identified interventions for fatigue including exercise, activity pacing, cognitive behavioural therapy, telerehabilitation and complementary alternative therapies. Exercise interventions showed the most significant beneficial effects on fatigue. Conclusions: Diverse interventions for fatigue management among individuals with upper and lower limb OA were identified. Of these, exercise interventions appear to be the most promising with the majority of these interventions favouring fatigue improvement. While cognitive behavioural therapy has limited evidence of beneficial effects, there is insufficient evidence regarding the effectiveness of other identified interventions, including complementary and alternative therapies, and telerehabilitation.

2.
Acta Biotheor ; 71(2): 9, 2023 Mar 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36877326

ABSTRACT

This paper is concerned with the formulation and analysis of an epidemic model of COVID-19 governed by an eight-dimensional system of ordinary differential equations, by taking into account the first dose and the second dose of vaccinated individuals in the population. The developed model is analyzed and the threshold quantity known as the control reproduction number [Formula: see text] is obtained. We investigate the equilibrium stability of the system, and the COVID-free equilibrium is said to be locally asymptotically stable when the control reproduction number is less than unity, and unstable otherwise. Using the least-squares method, the model is calibrated based on the cumulative number of COVID-19 reported cases and available information about the mass vaccine administration in Malaysia between the 24th of February 2021 and February 2022. Following the model fitting and estimation of the parameter values, a global sensitivity analysis was performed by using the Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient (PRCC) to determine the most influential parameters on the threshold quantities. The result shows that the effective transmission rate [Formula: see text], the rate of first vaccine dose [Formula: see text], the second dose vaccination rate [Formula: see text] and the recovery rate due to the second dose of vaccination [Formula: see text] are the most influential of all the model parameters. We further investigate the impact of these parameters by performing a numerical simulation on the developed COVID-19 model. The result of the study shows that adhering to the preventive measures has a huge impact on reducing the spread of the disease in the population. Particularly, an increase in both the first and second dose vaccination rates reduces the number of infected individuals, thus reducing the disease burden in the population.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Animals , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Pandemics/prevention & control , Vaccination , Computer Simulation , Models, Theoretical
3.
Math Comput Simul ; 207: 499-520, 2023 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36691571

ABSTRACT

In this study, we formulated and analyzed a deterministic mathematical model for the co-infection of COVID-19 and tuberculosis, to study the co-dynamics and impact of each disease in a given population. Using each disease's corresponding reproduction number, the existence and stability of the disease-free equilibrium were established. When the respective threshold quantities R C , and R T are below unity, the COVID-19 and TB-free equilibrium are said to be locally asymptotically stable. The impact of vaccine (i.e., efficacy and vaccinated proportion) and the condition required for COVID-19 eradication was examined. Furthermore, the presence of the endemic equilibria of the sub-models is analyzed and the criteria for the phenomenon of backward bifurcation of the COVID-19 sub-model are presented. To better understand how each disease condition impacts the dynamics behavior of the other, we investigate the invasion criterion of each disease by computing the threshold quantity known as the invasion reproduction number. We perform a numerical simulation to investigate the impact of threshold quantities ( R C , R T ) with respect to their invasion reproduction number, co-infection transmission rate ( ß c t ) , and each disease transmission rate ( ß c , ß t ) on disease dynamics. The outcomes established the necessity for the coexistence or elimination of both diseases from the communities. Overall, our findings imply that while COVID-19 incidence decreases with co-infection prevalence, the burden of tuberculosis on the human population increases.

4.
Physica A ; 607: 128173, 2022 Dec 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36106051

ABSTRACT

Infectious diseases have remained one of humanity's biggest problems for decades. Multiple disease infections, in particular, have been shown to increase the difficulty of diagnosing and treating infected people, resulting in worsening human health. For example, the presence of influenza in the population is exacerbating the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. We formulate and analyze a deterministic mathematical model that incorporates the biological dynamics of COVID-19 and influenza to effectively investigate the co-dynamics of the two diseases in the public. The existence and stability of the disease-free equilibrium of COVID-19-only and influenza-only sub-models are established by using their respective threshold quantities. The result shows that the COVID-19 free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable when R C < 1 , whereas the influenza-only model, is locally asymptotically stable when R F < 1 . Furthermore, the existence of the endemic equilibria of the sub-models is examined while the conditions for the phenomenon of backward bifurcation are presented. A generalized analytical result of the COVID-19-influenza co-infection model is presented. We run a numerical simulation on the model without optimal control to see how competitive outcomes between-hosts and within-hosts affect disease co-dynamics. The findings established that disease competitive dynamics in the population are determined by transmission probabilities and threshold quantities. To obtain the optimal control problem, we extend the formulated model by including three time-dependent control functions. The maximum principle of Pontryagin was used to prove the existence of the optimal control problem and to derive the necessary conditions for optimum disease control. A numerical simulation was performed to demonstrate the impact of different combinations of control strategies on the infected population. The findings show that, while single and twofold control interventions can be used to reduce disease, the threefold control intervention, which incorporates all three controls, will be the most effective in reducing COVID-19 and influenza in the population.

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