Highly sensitive quantification of optic neuritis intrathecal biomarker CXCL13.

BACKGROUND: Elevation of CXCL13, a key regulator of B-cell recruitment in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is implicated in multiple sclerosis (MS). OBJECTIVE: to evaluate if measurement of CXCL13 using a highly sensitive assay is of value in acute optic neuritis (ON) patients for the prediction of later MS. METHOD: CXCL13 was measured by Simoa in two independent treatment-naïve ON cohorts, a training cohort (TC, n = 33) originating from a population-based cohort, a validation cohort (VC, n = 30) consecutively collected following principles for population studies. Prospectively, 14/33 TC and 12/30 VC patients progressed to MS (MS-ON) while 19/33 TC and 18/30 VC patients, remained as isolated ON (ION). RESULTS: CXCL13 was detectable in all samples and were higher in ON compared with healthy controls (HC) (p = 0.012). In the TC, CSF levels in MS-ON were higher compared with ION patients and HC (p = 0.0001 and p<0.0001). In the VC, we confirmed the increase of CXCL13 in MS-ON compared to ION (p = 0.0091). Logistic regression analysis revealed an area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.83 [95% C.I: 0.73-0.93]. CONCLUSIONS: The highly sensitive CXCL13 Simoa assay demonstrated ability to identify ON patients and separate MS-ON from ION, and predictive diagnostic values indicates a promising potential of this assay.

Cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers for predicting development of multiple sclerosis in acute optic neuritis: a population-based prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Long-term outcome in multiple sclerosis (MS) depends on early treatment. In patients with acute optic neuritis (ON), an early inflammatory event, we investigated markers in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), which may predict a diagnosis of MS. METHODS: Forty patients with acute ON were recruited in a prospective population-based cohort with median 29 months (range 19-41) of follow-up. Paired CSF and serum samples were taken within 14 days (range 2-38), prior to treatment. Prospectively, 16/40 patients were by a uniform algorithm diagnosed with MS (MS-ON) and 24 patients continued to manifest isolated ON (ION) during follow-up. Levels of cytokines and neurofilament light chain (NF-L) were measured at the onset of acute ON and compared to healthy controls (HC). Significance levels were corrected for multiple comparisons ("q"). The predictive value of biomarkers was determined with multivariable prediction models using nomograms. RESULTS: CSF TNF-α, IL-10, and CXCL13 levels were increased in MS-ON compared to those in ION patients (q = 0.021, 0.004, and 0.0006, respectively). MS-ON patients had increased CSF pleocytosis, IgG indices, and oligoclonal bands (OCBs) compared to ION (q = 0.0007, q = 0.0058, and q = 0.0021, respectively). CSF levels of IL-10, TNF-a, IL-17A, and CXCL13 in MS-ON patients correlated with leukocyte counts (r > 0.69 and p < 0.002) and IgG index (r > 0.55, p < 0.037). CSF NF-L levels were increased in ON patients compared to those in HC (q = 0.0077). In MS-ON, a progressive increase in NF-L levels was observed at 7 to 14 days after disease onset (r = 0.73, p < 0.0065). Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves for two multivariable prediction models were generated, with IL-10, CXCL13, and NF-L in one ("candidate") and IgG index, OCB, and leukocytes in another ("routine"). Area under the curve was 0.89 [95% CI 0.77-1] and 0.86 [0.74-0.98], respectively. Predictions of the risk of MS diagnosis were illustrated by two nomograms. CONCLUSIONS: CSF TNF-α, IL-10, CXCL13, and NF-L levels were associated with the development of MS, suggesting that the inflammatory and neurodegenerative processes occurred early. Based on subsequent diagnosis, we observed a high predictive value of routine and candidate biomarkers in CSF for the development of MS in acute ON. The nomogram predictions may be useful in the diagnostic work-up of MS.