Descriptions of Etiology, Clinical Course, and Prognosis of Patients Presenting with Pericardial Effusion.

Pericardial effusion (PE) presentation varies from an incidental finding to a life-threatening situation; thus, its etiology and clinical course remain unknown. The aim of the present study was to retrospectively investigate these factors.We analyzed 171 patients (0.4%) who presented with PE among 34,873 patients who underwent echocardiography between 2011 and 2021 at our hospital. Clinical and prognostic information was retrieved from electronic medical records. The primary endpoints were all-cause death, hospitalization due to heart failure (HF), and other cardiovascular events such as cardiovascular death, acute coronary syndrome, elective percutaneous coronary intervention, and stroke.The etiologies of PE were as follows: idiopathic (32%), HF-related (18%), iatrogenic (11%), cardiac surgery-related (10%), radiation therapy-related (9%), malignancy (8%), pericarditis/myocarditis (8%), myocardial infarction-related (2%), and acute aortic dissection (2%). Patients with idiopathic/HF etiology were more likely to be older than the others.During a mean follow-up period of 2.5 years, all-cause death occurred in 21 patients (12.3%), cardiovascular events in 10 patients (5.8%), and hospitalization for HF in 24 patients (14.0%). All-cause death was frequently observed in patients with malignancy (44% per person-year). Cardiovascular events were mostly observed in patients with radiation therapy-related and malignancy (8.6% and 7.3% per person-year, respectively).The annual incidence of hospitalization for HF was the highest in patients with HF-related (25.1% per person-year), followed by radiation therapy-related (10.4% per person-year).This retrospective study is the first, to the best of our knowledge, to reveal the contemporary prevalence of PE, its cause, and outcome in patients who visited a cardiovascular hospital in an urban area of Japan.

Identifying patients with acute aortic dissection using an electrocardiogram with convolutional neural network.

Background: The potential of utilizing artificial intelligence with electrocardiography (ECG) for initial screening of aortic dissection (AD) is promising. However, achieving a high positive predictive rate (PPR) remains challenging. Methods and results: This retrospective analysis of a single-center, prospective cohort study (Shinken Database 2010-2017, N = 19,170) used digital 12-lead ECGs from initial patient visits. We assessed a convolutional neural network (CNN) model's performance for AD detection with eight-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead (I, II) ECGs via five-fold cross-validation. The mean age was 63.5 ± 12.5 years for the AD group (n = 147) and 58.1 ± 15.7 years for the non-AD group (n = 19,023). The CNN model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.936 (standard deviation [SD]: 0.023) for AD detection with eight-lead ECGs. In the entire cohort, the PPR was 7 %, with 126 out of 147 AD cases correctly diagnosed (sensitivity 86 %). When applied to patients with D-dimer levels ≥1 µg/dL and a history of hypertension, the PPR increased to 35 %, with 113 AD cases correctly identified (sensitivity 86 %). The single V1 lead displayed the highest diagnostic performance (AUC: 0.933, SD: 0.03), with PPR improvement from 8 % to 38 % within the same population. Conclusions: Our CNN model using ECG data for AD detection achieved an over 30% PPR when applied to patients with elevated D-dimer levels and hypertension history while maintaining sensitivity. A similar level of performance was observed with a single-lead V1 ECG in the CNN model.

Evaluating convolutional neural network-enhanced electrocardiography for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy detection in a specialized cardiovascular setting.

The efficacy of convolutional neural network (CNN)-enhanced electrocardiography (ECG) in detecting hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) and dilated HCM (dHCM) remains uncertain in real-world applications. This retrospective study analyzed data from 19,170 patients (including 140 HCM or dHCM) in the Shinken Database (2010-2017). We evaluated the sensitivity, positive predictive rate (PPR), and F1 score of CNN-enhanced ECG in a ''basic diagnosis'' model (total disease label) and a ''comprehensive diagnosis'' model (including disease subtypes). Using all-lead ECG in the "basic diagnosis" model, we observed a sensitivity of 76%, PPR of 2.9%, and F1 score of 0.056. These metrics improved in cases with a diagnostic probability of ≥ 0.9 and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) on ECG: 100% sensitivity, 8.6% PPR, and 0.158 F1 score. The ''comprehensive diagnosis'' model further enhanced these figures to 100%, 13.0%, and 0.230, respectively. Performance was broadly consistent across CNN models using different lead configurations, particularly when including leads viewing the lateral walls. While the precision of CNN models in detecting HCM or dHCM in real-world settings is initially low, it improves by targeting specific patient groups and integrating disease subtype models. The use of ECGs with fewer leads, especially those involving the lateral walls, appears comparably effective.

Lead-Specific Performance for Atrial Fibrillation Detection in Convolutional Neural Network Models Using Sinus Rhythm Electrocardiography.

Background: We developed a convolutional neural network (CNN) model to detect atrial fibrillation (AF) using the sinus rhythm ECG (SR-ECG). However, the diagnostic performance of the CNN model based on different ECG leads remains unclear. Methods and Results: In this retrospective analysis of a single-center, prospective cohort study, we identified 616 AF cases and 3,412 SR cases for the modeling dataset among new patients (n=19,170). The modeling dataset included SR-ECGs obtained within 31 days from AF-ECGs in AF cases and SR cases with follow-up ≥1,095 days. We evaluated the CNN model's performance for AF detection using 8-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead ECGs through 5-fold cross-validation. The CNN model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.872 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.856-0.888) and an odds ratio of 15.24 (95% CI: 12.42-18.72) for AF detection using the eight-lead ECG. Among the single-lead and double-lead ECGs, the double-lead ECG using leads I and V1 yielded an AUC of 0.871 (95% CI: 0.856-0.886) with an odds ratio of 14.34 (95% CI: 11.64-17.67). Conclusions: We assessed the performance of a CNN model for detecting AF using eight-lead, single-lead, and double-lead SR-ECGs. The model's performance with a double-lead (I, V1) ECG was comparable to that of the 8-lead ECG, suggesting its potential as an alternative for AF screening using SR-ECG.

Identification of patients with dilated phase of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy using a convolutional neural network applied to multiple, dual, and single lead electrocardiograms.

Background: This study sought to develop an artificial intelligence-derived model to detect the dilated phase of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (dHCM) on digital electrocardiography (ECG) and to evaluate the performance of the model applied to multiple-lead or single-lead ECG. Methods: This is a retrospective analysis using a single-center prospective cohort study (Shinken Database 2010-2017, n = 19,170). After excluding those without a normal P wave on index ECG (n = 1,831) and adding dHCM patients registered before 2009 (n = 39), 17,378 digital ECGs were used. Totally 54 dHCM patients were identified of which 11 diagnosed at baseline, 4 developed during the time course, and 39 registered before 2009. The performance of the convolutional neural network (CNN) model for detecting dHCM was evaluated using eight-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead (I, II) ECGs with the five-fold cross validation method. Results: The area under the curve (AUC) of the CNN model to detect dHCM (n = 54) with eight-lead ECG was 0.929 (standard deviation [SD]: 0.025) and the odds ratio was 38.64 (SD 9.10). Among the single-lead and double-lead ECGs, the AUC was highest with the single lead of V5 (0.953 [SD: 0.038]), with an odds ratio of 58.89 (SD:68.56). Conclusion: Compared with the performance of eight-lead ECG, the most similar performance was achieved with the model with a single V5 lead, suggesting that this single-lead ECG can be an alternative to eight-lead ECG for the screening of dHCM.

Registry for Evaluating Healthy Life Expectancy and Long-Term Outcomes after Catheter Ablation of Atrial Fibrillation in the Very Elderly (REHEALTH AF) study: rationale and design of a prospective, multicentre, observational, comparative study.

INTRODUCTION: Data are lacking on the extent to which patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) who are aged ≥80 years benefit from ablation treatment. The question pertains especially to patients' postablation quality of life (QoL) and long-term clinical outcomes. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We are initiating a prospective, registry-based, multicentre observational study that will include patients aged ≥80 years with non-valvular AF who choose to undergo treatment by catheter ablation and, for comparison, such patients who do not choose to undergo ablation (either according to their physician's advice or their own preference). Study subjects are to be enrolled from 52 participant hospitals and three clinics located throughout Japan from 1 June 2022 to 31 December 2023, and each will be followed up for 1 year. The planned sample size is 660, comprising 220 ablation group patients and 440 non-ablation group patients. The primary endpoint will be the composite incidence of stroke/transient ischaemic attack (TIA) or systemic embolism (SE), another cardiovascular event, major bleeding and/or death from any cause. Other clinical events such as postablation AF recurrence, a fall or bone fracture will be recorded. We will collect standard clinical background information plus each patient's Clinical Frailty Scale score, AF-related symptoms, QoL (Five-Level Version of EQ-5D) scores, Mini-Mental State Examination (optional) score and laboratory test results, including measures of nutritional status, on entry into the study and 1 year later, and serial changes in symptoms and QoL will also be secondary endpoints. Propensity score matching will be performed to account for covariates that could affect study results. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study conforms to the Declaration of Helsinki and the Ethical Guidelines for Clinical Studies issued by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan. Results of the study will be published in one or more peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: UMIN000047023.

Cardiovascular events and artificial intelligence-predicted age using 12-lead electrocardiograms.

Background: There is increasing evidence that 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECG) can be used to predict biological age, which is associated with cardiovascular events. However, the utility of artificial intelligence (AI)-predicted age using ECGs remains unclear. Methods: Using a single-center database, we developed an AI-enabled ECG using 17 042 sinus rhythm ECGs (SR-ECG) to predict chronological age (CA) with a convolutional neural network that yields AI-predicted age. Using the 5-fold cross validation method, AI-predicted age deriving from the test dataset was yielded for all ECGs. The incidence by AgeDiff and the areas under the curve by receiver operating characteristic curve with AI-predicted age for cardiovascular events were analyzed. Results: During the mean follow-up period of 460.1 days, there were 543 cardiovascular events. The annualized incidence of cardiovascular events was 2.24 %, 2.44 %, and 3.01 %/year for patients with AgeDiff < -6, -6 to ≤6, and >6 years, respectively. The areas under the curve for cardiovascular events with CA and AI-predicted age, respectively, were 0.673 and 0.679 (Delong's test, P = 0.388) for all patients; 0.642 and 0.700 (P = 0.003) for younger patients (CA < 60 years); and 0.584 and 0.570 (P = 0.268) for older patients (CA ≥ 60 years). Conclusions: AI-predicted age using 12-lead ECGs showed superiority in predicting cardiovascular events compared with CA in younger patients, but not in older patients.

Effect of Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation in Heart Failure With Mid-Range or Preserved Ejection Fraction　- Pooled Analysis of the AF Frontier Ablation Registry and Hokuriku-Plus AF Registry.

BACKGROUND: A recent randomized trial demonstrated that catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (EF) is associated with a reduction in death or heart failure. However, the effect of catheter ablation for AF in patients with heart failure with mid-range or preserved EF is unclear.Methods and Results: We screened 899 AF patients (72.4% male, mean age 68.4 years) with heart failure and left ventricular EF ≥40% from 2 Japanese multicenter AF registries: the Atrial Fibrillation registry to Follow the long-teRm Outcomes and use of aNTIcoagulants aftER Ablation (AF Frontier Ablation Registry) as the ablation group (525 patients who underwent ablation) and the Hokuriku-Plus AF Registry as the medical therapy group (374 patients who did not undergo ablation). Propensity score matching was performed in these 2 registries to yield 106 matched patient pairs. The primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death and hospitalization for heart failure. At 24.6 months, the ablation group had a significantly lower incidence of the primary endpoint (hazard ratio 0.32; 95% confidence interval 0.13-0.70; P=0.004) than the medical therapy group. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with medical therapy, catheter ablation for AF in patients with heart failure and mid-range or preserved EF was associated with a significantly lower incidence of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure.

Association between serum alkaline phosphatase and cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation.

High alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels are reported to be associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Given the pathological link with CKD, a similar relationship may exist in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We retrospectively evaluated 1,719 patients with AF and normal hepatic function who were registered in the Shinken Database between November 2011 and March 2017. Study patients were divided into three groups according to ALP value tertiles with cut-offs of 175 and 227 IU/L (normal range: 95-350 IU/L). Each group's incidence rate was recorded, and the risks of cardiovascular events and each component for patients in the middle and high ALP tertiles were compared with those in the low tertile and evaluated using Cox regression models. The additional predictive value of the high ALP tertile over the existing risk scores for the components of cardiovascular events was evaluated via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. During the median follow-up of 731 days (IQR: 444-1095 days), 137 cardiovascular events occurred, with incidence rates of 2.94%, 3.44%, and 6.19%/person-year for the low, middle, and high ALP tertiles, respectively. Of these cardiovascular events, heart failure had the highest incidence rates (1.34%, 1.89%, and 4.29%/person-year for the low, middle, and high ALP tertiles, respectively) and the incidence rates of the other components of cardiovascular event were similar in each ALP groups. Multivariate Cox regression analysis yielded hazard ratios of 1.22 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.70-1.96) and 1.62 (95% CI 1.06-2.48) for cardiovascular events and 1.66 (95% CI 0.87-3.15) and 2.50 (95% CI 1.39-4.48) for heart failure admission in the middle and high ALP tertiles, respectively. By ROC curve analysis for heart failure admission showed that the high ALP tertile lacked significant additive predictive value over the existing risk scores. High serum ALP levels, even those in the normal range, were significantly associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events, especially heart failure admission in patients with AF.

Identifying patients with atrial fibrillation during sinus rhythm on ECG: Significance of the labeling in the artificial intelligence algorithm.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to increase the knowledge on how to enhance the performance of artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled electrocardiography (ECG) to detect atrial fibrillation (AF) on sinus rhythm ECG (SR-ECG). METHODS: It is a retrospective analysis of a single-center, prospective cohort study (Shinken Database). We developed AI-enabled ECG using SR-ECG to predict AF with a convolutional neural network (CNN). Among new patients in our hospital (n = 19,170), 276 AF label (having ECG on AF [AF-ECG] in the ECG database) and 1896 SR label with following three conditions were identified in the derivation dataset: (1) without structural heart disease, (2) in AF label, SR-ECG was taken within 31 days from AF-ECG, and (3) in SR label, follow-up ≥ 1,095 days. Three patterns of AF label were analyzed by timing of SR-ECG to AF-ECG (before/after/before-or-after, CNN algorithm 1 to 3). The outcome measurement was area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and F1 score. As an extra-testing dataset, the performance of AI-enabled ECG was tested in patients with structural heart disease. RESULTS: The AUC of AI-enabled ECG with CNN algorithm 1, 2, and 3 in the derivation dataset was 0.83, 0.88, and 0.86, respectively; when tested in patients with structural heart disease, 0.75, 0.81, and 0.78, respectively. CONCLUSION: We confirmed high performance of AI-enabled ECG to detect AF on SR-ECG in patients without structural heart disease. The performance enhanced especially when SR-ECG after index AF-ECG was included in the algorithm, which was consistent in patients with structural heart disease.

Impact of sinus rhythm maintenance on major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events after catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation: insights from AF frontier ablation registry.

The impact of catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) on cardiovascular events and mortality is controversial. We investigated the impact of sinus rhythm maintenance on major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events after AF ablation from a Japanese multicenter cohort of AF ablation. We investigated 3326 consecutive patients (25.8% female, mean age 63.3 ± 10.3 years) who underwent catheter ablation for AF from the atrial fibrillation registry to follow the long-term outcomes and use of anti coagulants after ablation (AF frontier ablation registry). The primary endpoint was a composite of stroke, transient ischemic attack, cardiovascular events, and all-cause death. During a mean follow-up of 24.0 months, 2339 (70.3%) patients were free from AF after catheter ablation, and the primary composite endpoint occurred in 144 (4.3%) patients. The AF nonrecurrence group had a significantly lower incidence of the primary endpoint (1.8 per 100 person-years) compared with the AF recurrence group (3.0 per 100 person-years, p = 0.003). The multivariate analysis revealed that freedom from AF (hazard ratio 0.61, 95% confidence interval 0.44-0.86, p = 0.005) was independently associated with the incidence of the composite event. In the multicenter cohort of AF ablation, sinus rhythm maintenance after catheter ablation was independently associated with lower rates of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events.

Different Determinants of the Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation and Adverse Clinical Events in the Mid-Term Period After Atrial Fibrillation Ablation.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether there are differences in the clinical factors between atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence and adverse clinical events (AEs), including stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA), major bleeding, and death, after AF ablation.Methods and Results:We examined the data from a retrospective multicenter Japanese registry conducted at 24 cardiovascular centers between 2011 and 2017. Of the 3,451 patients (74.1% men; 63.3±10.3 years) who underwent AF ablation, 1,046 (30.3%) had AF recurrence and 224 (6.5%) suffered AEs (51 strokes/TIAs, 71 major bleeding events, and 36 deaths) over a median follow-up of 20.7 months. After multivariate adjustment, female sex, persistent and long-lasting persistent AF (vs. paroxysmal AF), and stepwise increased left atrial diameter (LAd) quartiles were significantly associated with post-ablation recurrences. A multivariate analysis revealed that an age ≥75 years (vs. <65 years), body weight <50 kg, diabetes, vascular disease, left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction <40% (vs. ≥50%), Lad ≥44 mm (vs. <36 mm), and creatinine clearance <50 mL/min were independently associated with AE incidences, but not with recurrences. CONCLUSIONS: This study disclosed different determinants of post-ablation recurrence and AEs. Female sex, persistent AF, and enlarged LAd were determinants of post-ablation recurrence, whereas an old age, comorbidities, and LV and renal dysfunction rather than post-ablation recurrence were AEs determinants. These findings will help determine ablation indications and post-ablation management.

Glasgow prognostic score can be a prognostic indicator after percutaneous coronary intervention: a two-center study in Japan.

Glasgow prognostic score (GPS) has been used to evaluate inflammatory response and nutritional status. This study aimed to investigate the impact of nutritional status on cardiac prognosis by using GPS in patients after undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). We included 862 patients who underwent PCI for stable angina pectoris between 2015 and 2018. We used the original cutoff values, which were an albumin (Alb) level of 3.5 g/dl and a C-reactive protein (CRP) level of 0.3 mg/dl. We categorized them into the three groups: originally defined GPS (od-GPS) 0 (high Alb and low CRP), 1 (low Alb or high CRP), and 2 (low Alb and high CRP). Major adverse clinical events (MACEs) included all-cause death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, revascularization, and hospitalization for heart failure. The median follow-up period was 398.5 days. During the follow-up, MACEs occurred in 136 patients. Od-GPS 2 had higher prevalence rates in terms of chronic kidney disease (CKD; 31.7% [229/722] vs. 44.9% [53/118] vs. 63.6% [14/22], p < 0.001), hemodialysis (6.4% [46/722] vs. 14.4% [17/118] vs. 31.8% [7/22], p < 0.001), and heart failure cases (HF; 9.1% [66/722] vs. 14.4% [17/118] vs. 27.3% [6/22], p = 0.007), with higher creatinine (1.17 ± 1.37 mg/dl vs. 1.89 ± 2.60 mg/dl vs. 3.49 ± 4.01 mg/dl, p < 0.001) and brain natriuretic peptide levels (104.1 ± 304.6 pg/ml vs. 242.4 ± 565.9 pg/ml vs. 668.1 ± 872.2 pg/ml, p < 0.001) and lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (101.5 ± 32.9 mg/dl vs. 98.2 ± 28.8 mg/dl vs. 77.1 ± 24.3 mg/dl, p = 0.002) than od-GPS 0 and 1.Od-GPS 2 (HR 2.42; 95% CI 1.16-5.02; p = 0.018), od-GPS 1 (HR 2.09; 95% CI 1.40-3.13; p < 0.001), diabetes (HR 1.41; 95% CI 1.00-1.99; p = 0.048), CKD (HR 2.10; 95% CI 1.49-2.96; p < 0.001), and HF (HR 1.64; 95% CI 1.05-2.56; p = 0.029) were independent predictors of MACEs. A scoring system using CRP and Alb levels with a milder definition than GPS suitably predicted the risk of MACEs in the patients who underwent PCI.

Identifying risk patterns in older adults with atrial fibrillation by hierarchical cluster analysis: A retrospective approach based on the risk probability for clinical events.

BACKGROUND: Older adults with atrial fibrillation (AF) have highly diverse risk levels for mortality, heart failure (HF), thromboembolism (TE), and major bleeding (MB), thus an integrated risk-pattern algorithm is warranted. METHODS: We analyzed 573 AF patients aged ≥ 75 years from our single-center cohort (Shinken Database 2010-2018). The 3-year risk scores (risk probability) for mortality (M-score), HF (HF-score), TE (TE-score), and MB (MB-score) were estimated for each patient by logistic regression analysis. Using the four risk scores, cluster analysis was performed with Ward's linkage hierarchical algorithm. RESULTS: Three clusters were identified: Clusters 1 (n = 429, 74%), 2 (n = 24, 5%), and 3 (n = 120, 21%). The clusters were characterized as standard risk (Cluster 1), high TE- and MB-risk (Cluster 2), and high M- and HF-risk (Cluster 3). Oral anticoagulants were prescribed for over 80% of the patients in each cluster. Catheter ablation for AF was performed only in Cluster 1 (8.9%). Compared with Cluster 1, Cluster 2 was more closely associated with males, asymptomatic AF, history of cerebral infarction or transient ischemic attack, history of intracranial hemorrhage, high HAS-BLED score (≥3), and low body mass index (<18.0 kg/m2). Cluster 3 was more closely associated with old age, heart failure, and low estimated creatinine clearance (<30 mL/min). CONCLUSION: The cluster analysis identified those at a high risk for all-cause death and HF or a high risk for TE and MB and could support decision making in older adults with AF.

Factors associated with health intentions and behaviour among health checkup participants in Japan.

Health intentions and behaviours are essential for improving the health of individuals and society. This study used cross-sectional data from 20,155 health checkup participants in the Yamagata study to identify factors associated with health intentions and behaviours. Information regarding the current level of health intentions and behaviours was collected using a baseline survey questionnaire. Participants were categorised into three groups: having no intention (no intention), having intentions to improve but not acting on them (intention), and already active (action). The associations between background factors and the presence/absence of health intentions and behaviours were assessed using logistic regression analysis. Of the participants, 35.4%, 37.7%, and 26.9% belonged to the no intention, intention, and action groups, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that the factors associated with health intentions were being young, being female, longer duration of education, higher body mass index and abdominal circumference, diabetes, and dyslipidaemia. The factors associated with health behaviours were being older and male, not consuming alcohol, not smoking, performing daily exercise, and having diabetes. These results indicate that health guidance considering background factors, including age, gender, education, and comorbidities, may be useful for effectively promoting health intentions and health behaviours in the Japanese population.

Association between number of medications and mortality among older adult patients in a specialized cardiology hospital.

AIM: Although polypharmacy has been associated with poor clinical outcomes, whether taking an increased number of medications is harmful or beneficial for older adult patients treated for cardiovascular diseases might require further discussion. METHODS: We analyzed data of 2089 patients aged ≥75 years in a single hospital-based cohort. The study population was divided into three groups according to the tertiles of the number of medications at baseline: <3 (n = 647), 3-7 (n = 707) and ≥8 (n = 735). RESULTS: The cumulative incidences of all-cause death at 3 years among patients taking less than three, three to seven and eight or more medications were 3.7%, 4.1% and 7.8%, respectively (log-rank test P = 0.015). In a Cox regression analysis, taking eight or more total medications (vs 0-2) was independently associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio 1.67, 95% CI 1.01-2.78). For predicting mortality using the number of medications, the maximum Youden Index was 7. In subgroups with certain heart diseases, no regular tendency of an increase in the risk of all-cause death was observed with an increase in the number of medications. CONCLUSIONS: The number of medications taken was independently associated with mortality among older adult patients, with a relatively high cut-off point. This association was not observed in patients with certain heart diseases, possibly indicating the merit - rather than the harm - of medical treatment in the cardiovascular field. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2021; 21: 985-995.

Current Status of Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation in Japan.

Catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) has been an established and frequently utilized approach in a variety of clinical settings. Nevertheless, real-world data about the clinical course of AF patients after initial catheter ablation remain limited, and these are mainly derived from particular registries or selected high-volume centers.In this study, we used health check-ups and insurance claims database from a Japanese insurance organization. The study population was comprised of 1777 patients who underwent catheter ablation for AF before June 2016. During the 3-year follow-up period, 396 (22.3%) patients underwent at least one repeated AF ablation, while 74 (4.2%) underwent two or more repeated ablations. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, longer time after AF diagnosis (7-11 months and ≥12 months versus 1-6 months) (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.08 and HR, 1.04; 95% CI 1.02-1.07) was independently associated with repeated ablation. The discontinuation rates of OACs and AADs after the first ablation were 26.7% and 63.0% at 3 months and 75.2% and 89.1% at 1 year after the initial ablation, respectively. The former was independently associated with shorter time after AF diagnosis and lower diastolic blood pressure, whereas the latter was independently associated with older age, smaller CHADS2 score, and shorter time after AF diagnosis.We presented real-world data regarding the clinical course of young Japanese AF patients after initial catheter ablation based on a claims database in Japan.